15% economic GDP crash coming to UK due to Brexit

Ian Russell
Ian Russell

Based on a study by Prognos, in the most "plausible" scenario, the British GDP will be 15% lower in 2025 compared to within the EU following Brexit.

http://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Prognos-Brexit-kostet-Zehntausende-Jobs-article18112731.html

There are also half a million jobs in the EU (without the UK) less by 2025 than if the UK were not to leave, as a result of the lower growth in the UK and the EU. Another half a million jobs will be lost in the UK.

All urls found in this thread:
http://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Prognos-Brexit-kostet-Zehntausende-Jobs-article18112731.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JxkUzUr2L-U
https://heatst.com/uk/us-uk-trade-bill-in-congress-just-one-week-after-brexit-vote/
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3672815/World-queues-win-trade-deals-Britain-Brexit.html
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/684885/EU-referendum-Brexit-Merkel-trade-deal-UK-Britain-German-jobs
https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EFTSE#symbol=%5EFTSE;range=1m
Carson Butler
Carson Butler

This so much

Sup Forums BTFO BY GERMAN NEWS SHOW
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JxkUzUr2L-U

Charles Collins
Charles Collins

2025

Thomas Powell
Thomas Powell

Everybody including Boris thought it would happen.

Benjamin Mitchell
Benjamin Mitchell

>>2025
2025 matters, Aussie. It is 9 years from now, people want to have jobs then as well. 15% GDP growth reduction is a shitton. You can build millions of houses and wage 3 Afghanistan wars with that money.

Ethan Mitchell
Ethan Mitchell

We heard for over 9 years that North Korea would collapse due to economic reasons too, this was "the most plausible scenario" according to economists.

Predicting something 9 years out that is even remotely related to economics is fucking retarded, fuck it - they can't even predict how things will turn out next year, I really don't know what you expect or why you think this holds any sway.

Jaxon Jones
Jaxon Jones

UK will enter a recession that is true, but we are making our corporation tax one of the lowest in the developed world so we can leech jobs from Germoney and EUSSR.

Also is the 15% before or after Deutsche Bank collapses?

You know the EU made a rule that you cannot make money from shorting a stock?

mfw they just made a rule that was going to be the only way for the Frankfurt finance industry to stay alive when the next financial happening happens.

mfw Brexit actually makes that happening more likely.

Maybe your immigrants can figure out a solution.

inb4 beady.

James Phillips
James Phillips

North Korea would collapse by 1995*

Asher Harris
Asher Harris

We heard for over 9 years that North Korea would collapse due to economic reasons too, this was "the most plausible scenario" according to economists.
Link? Never heard of that.

Predicting something 9 years out that is even remotely related to economics is fucking retarded
Why? It is what economists do all the time. They predict long term outcomes of certain political events. The whole American politics meme of "it costs trillions" is based on 10 year projections.

Caleb Turner
Caleb Turner

You know the EU made a rule that you cannot make money from shorting a stock?

Not quite sure whether you know anything about so called naked shorts. You can synthetically short anything you want. Naked shorts are, however, regulated, not disallowed. People trade with leverage (including going short) across the EU everywhere.

Mason Williams
Mason Williams

So much salt and anal devastation.

Kayden Reyes
Kayden Reyes

Britbong here. I will bet my house that it will be 15% HIGHER in 2025.

Alexander Lewis
Alexander Lewis

german news source on brexit
reliable

Hans your source is biased and it's probably funded by the eu

Mason Rodriguez
Mason Rodriguez

Can't find a link at the moment, this was before the widespread use of the internet but you only need to google "north korea economic collapse" to see a bunch of articles at least from the past 10 or so years up until now.

Why? It is what economists do all the time. They predict long term outcomes of certain political events.
That's a completely different scenario m8, it's based on projected costs which are actually based in reality and not "omg leeving the EU is so bad".

It hasn't even been 2 weeks and already we're seeing actual shit happening for the UK that the EU has had its thumb up its ass about for way too long.

https://heatst.com/uk/us-uk-trade-bill-in-congress-just-one-week-after-brexit-vote/

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3672815/World-queues-win-trade-deals-Britain-Brexit.html

Predicting something like this is especially stupid if you don't even bother to look at the economic or political ramifications to the EU because of Britain leaving. We're already seeing Europe starting to wake up to their (((masters))) thanks to the UK

Anthony Jackson
Anthony Jackson

I will bet my house that it will be 15% HIGHER in 2025.
You just lost your house.... but you can be happy, it ain't worth much anyway in a few years.

Grayson Jenkins
Grayson Jenkins

That's a completely different scenario m8, it's based on projected costs which are actually based in reality and not "omg leeving the EU is so bad".

So you are saying all these economists just pull these projections out of their ass?

Is there a reason why there isn't a single projection of any economic institute or international organization which isn't showing a significant GDP decline in the next years? Why can't the Brexiteers even buy a single organization?

Anthony King
Anthony King

and it's probably funded by the eu

the EU wants the UK out as soon as possible. Why would they fund studies NOW that the UK is already leaving?

Connor Perez
Connor Perez

How the fuck....? Its 2025 already.

You Sir, are retarded. Good day to you.

Owen Brown
Owen Brown

That's because India becoming superpower in 2020 will lead to all western nations' GDP going down the toilet.

Cameron Evans
Cameron Evans

So you are saying all these economists just pull these projections out of their ass?

pretty much

show me the people predicting the various bubbles forming and bursting over the past 100 years

if they were competent they wouldn't be busting their nut writing dull reports all day they'd be rad billionaires fucking supermodels and driving lambos around

Logan Hall
Logan Hall

* Assuming literally no bilateral deals are ratified

Lugenpresse

Connor Torres
Connor Torres

India
toilet

checked

Jason Stewart
Jason Stewart

pretty much
Why? If they are all wrong, they will be the world's laughing stock. They make money for their clients/investors by telling them where the market and economy is moving. If they are all wrong, they will lose clients.

show me the people predicting the various bubbles forming and bursting over the past 100 years
Goldman SACHS

Christian Howard
Christian Howard

Would you like a few more million muslims with your salt?

Aaron Johnson
Aaron Johnson

* Assuming literally no bilateral deals are ratified
Lugenpresse

What do you mean? The current EU commission position is that the UK needs to exit and only then will a trade agreement be negotiated... same way as with the US or Canada, which takes 5-7 years.

James Butler
James Butler

If they are all wrong, they will lose clients.

no they won't because they diversify and HEDGE their bets, that's why it's called a HEDGE fund

Soros made millions because of Brexit, guess what, he would have made millions if they stayed too because there is such a thing as "too big to fail"

Adam Foster
Adam Foster

no they won't because they diversify and HEDGE their bets, that's why it's called a HEDGE fund
It is not hedge funds which make these predictions.

Soros made millions because of Brexit, guess what, he would have made millions if they stayed too because there is such a thing as "too big to fail"
So? What has Soros to do with analysts?

Sebastian Clark
Sebastian Clark

This
No real economist predicts that far into the future. The economy is all based on minimizing doubt to ensure stability. It is counter intuitive to predict economic downturn for an entire country when innumerable factors would be at play. Anything could happen between now and 2025.

Any bold claim made by an economist is clearly propaganda produced by the EU. Keep in mind, if the EU has economic instability it would cause much more drastic consequences than the instability of a country in control of its own economic principles.

Christian Phillips
Christian Phillips

And Germany could lose at least 750000 jobs:

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/684885/EU-referendum-Brexit-Merkel-trade-deal-UK-Britain-German-jobs

Now give us that free trade deal Hanz.

Evan Walker
Evan Walker

Brexit wasn't about the economy or jobs but rather getting rid of immigrants.

Owen Price
Owen Price

Germans are so mad about brexit i love it

Isaiah Edwards
Isaiah Edwards

It's a butthurt German's economic forecast for 2025 thread

Christopher Gomez
Christopher Gomez

this butthurt German

Alexander Collins
Alexander Collins

butthurt krauts making predictions that validate their butthurt

More at 11

Jack Ross
Jack Ross

There won't BE a European Union by 2025.

You'll be goddamn lucky if there's still a NATO.

Liam Bailey
Liam Bailey

I think he means economies outside the lumbering bureaucratic abomination that is the EU.

Ryder Harris
Ryder Harris

BANE?

Evan Long
Evan Long

implying the EU will still be around in 2025

Landon Rivera
Landon Rivera

What was he implying with this comment?

Robert Turner
Robert Turner

Said the increasingly nervous German for the xth time.

Adam Wright
Adam Wright

With these kinds of studies you choose what variables to use and what methods to apply to get the result you want. Economics is rarely aboutanything more than justifying what you want to the ignorant masses.

Aaron Flores
Aaron Flores

property market going down

OH NO. This is so horrible, please someone do something.

Chase Martinez
Chase Martinez

Just imagine the horror of actually being able to afford to buy your own property.

Dominic Thomas
Dominic Thomas

long term macroeconomic forecasting
"I'll take 'What can a degree in Mayan Astrology lead to as a career?', Alex"

Grayson Cook
Grayson Cook

Brexit, the gift that keeps on giving.

Isaac Brooks
Isaac Brooks

And based on the study by Fuckyoukraut the most probable scenario for your mother is 15% increase of sucked turkish dicks by midnight.

Gavin Lee
Gavin Lee

https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EFTSE#symbol=%5EFTSE;range=1m

what did the shill mean by this

Elijah Edwards
Elijah Edwards

OH NO. This is so horrible, please someone do something.
The BRitish government is already trying hard to counteract and prop up the property market with lots of stimulus. But builder stocks have still crashed 30% and more.

Aaron James
Aaron James

It is actually 70,000 jobs until 2025... meanwhile we have 1 million jobs that we cannot even find people to hire... our economy is so good, we just don't have enough workers!

Oliver Thompson
Oliver Thompson

bonfire of the quangos
eu subversive non-jobs btfo
greedy public sector mandarins also btfo

Fuck your pensions.
Burn it all!

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