MCKINSEY:HALF OF WORLD'S JOBS COULD BE AUTOMATED BY 2055

MCKINSEY:HALF OF WORLD'S JOBS COULD BE AUTOMATED BY 2055

>A McKinsey Global Institute report on automation suggests that by 2055, about “half of all the activities people are paid to do in the world’s workforce could potentially be automated by adapting currently demonstrated technologies.” That, the report says, could save almost $16 trillion in wages. The report is food for thought for a wide swatch of workers:

The activities most susceptible to automation are physical ones in highly structured and predictable environments, as well as data collection and processing. In the United States, these activities make up 51 percent of activities in the economy, accounting for almost $2.7 trillion in wages. They are most prevalent in manufacturing, accommodation and food service, and retail trade.
>The report says that the potential for automation goes beyond low-skill/low-wage workers. Tasks performed by highly paid and skilled workers are liable for replacement as well.

artificialintelligenceonline.com/30603/mckinsey-half-of-worlds-jobs-could-be-automated-by-2055/

Well Sup Forums so what will happen when half of the population is unemployed because of robots?

Other urls found in this thread:

economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/china-sets-up-first-unmanned-factory-all-processes-are-operated-by-robots/articleshow/48238331.cms
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_income
spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/artificial-intelligence/google-large-scale-robotic-grasping-project
research.googleblog.com/
youtube.com/watch?v=W8N3FF_3KvU
research.googleblog.com/2017/01/the-google-brain-team-looking-back-on.html
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Driverless_tractor
youtu.be/o3q2mXDSqRU
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter
twitter.com/SFWRedditGifs

Best start deporting now then

more like 10-15 years most shit could be automated. Every office work could be done with a AI bot program. that's like 80% of all work

How can we get rich off this now? B/C I'd like to still have money vs just waiting for it to happen. Then I won't have to work ... any ideas?

ONLY HALF ?!?!?!

Just wait when we create AI. They could self engineer and fuck humanity.

Human are literally useless as work force because they are a emotional being. Better replace them with better design and power.

>half of the population - unemployed because of robots
2/3 of the population on this earth is usless (nigers,chinks,etc)

>tfw hitler.exe triggers finalsolution.bat

>Vote for Trump to bring jobs back
>Jobs are actually replaced by robots made in China
TOP KEK

ill be dead by 2025 so what the fuck

Learn how to build robots, get educated in that field. You live you adapt.

We can automate jobs done by Mexicans!

Yes and it includes automating CEO functions as well. Well, at least some of them right now can be automated.

A bright future for engineers and technicians. Plant workers and produce pickers BTFO.

>Plant workers and produce pickers BTFO.
implying thats bad

>chinks are useless
>is from bulgaria

how many of the world's great tech leader come from bulgarians?

Then they ask for welfare; they don't buy anything from the higher class, high class also falls.

this

I'll just leave this here

economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/china-sets-up-first-unmanned-factory-all-processes-are-operated-by-robots/articleshow/48238331.cms

the biggest question is who will buy all the stuff the robots make when nobody is employed

you cant really automate services- where we are going

No clue, maybe UBI will fix that.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_income

git gud

This is why AI driven vehicles are coming whether you want it or not.

It all ties into Agenda 21. Movement will be restricted via a revolution in AI vehicles. The population will be restricted to habitable zones and vehicles simply wont take you anywhere outside these human containment zones.

At the same time meaningful work is going to be systematically replaced and automated. It will move far too quickly for society to keep pace. Mass job loss will result in the adoption of a universal basic income but it will not be enough to satisfy the proles. The gaps between have and have not will widen and it's why human habitability is going to come with structure and restrictions.

The cages to contain us all are being erected as the world gets ready for the growing pains of a much faster automation revolution.

FULLY

AUTOMATED

LUXURY

COMMUNISM

If the current state of programming prowess in the world is any index, you will probably have to wait way longer than that to have "AI" robotics, and even more for reliable self-driving cars

Guys fast, what should I study

SUPER RARE.

But the sooner all jobs are automated, the better.

STEM. Right now, PhDs in maths and AI are getting so much money you wouldn't believe.

Don't go to social sciences or arts, it's absolute garbage.

Kek, good thing I'm a psychiatrist

computer engineering or any it field.

Medicine. Specifically psychiatric medicine, AI likely won't reach the point where it can diagnose mental health patients until after you retire

you have to go back ,gook

Also,
>have more kids

Thank god i can't wait until they start depopulating earth

This t.b.h. By 2055 only employed people will be a handful of scientists, polticians and artists.

It won't eliminate work but it will decentralize it--there will be no incentive to employee a human worker therefore people will be more or less either free lancing or completely dependent on the wealth landowning class..technology induces a return to serfdom. IMO the automation will not even be used on earth that much--in the off world colonies where the elites will go while the last resources are taken from earth and the rest of us are left to die in an apocalyptic scenario that we have been taught to expect for millennia

War will come.

>implying a bias human with its own feelings and agenda never mind how psychologically fucked up most psychiatrists are would accurately diagnose and treat your mental problems better than an AI with statistical and biological data processing powers beyond human capability

get this meatbag outta here

> implying people on gibs won't spend all their time getting high, fucking each other, and engaging in gang violence.

> implying useless eaters won't get shoah'd.

Half will be automated by 2030, it will be more like 80% by 2055

True AI is just like a pol/ack though. We will be fine.

>believing the automation meme
Automation is overblown, people were saying the same thing in the 1850s, the only reason leftists are pushing it so hard now is to cover up for the fact globalist have exported our jobs to other countries by pretending it was inevitable.

taytay ;__;

the sad fact of all of this is that the struggle for life, for money, for food is what drives innovation in the brain of humans.

You see it in generations that were successful for some time. At some point they just stop with the desire to work more, and they decline.

...

Basic income isn't happening. Everything is being set up for a mass culling.

Wow this is basically an article saying that things will be different in 40 years

Truly enlightening

It's going to get really comfy user.

>go to africa
>wipe out niggers with turboAIDs
>transplant white americans and euros to new lebensraum
>sustainable farming in comfy rural communities
>meanwhile the smart ones go to the cities to become technicians, engineers and programmers
>utopia achieved

/this

We should go back to pre the electricity and steam power

Think of all the jobs we could have

Crypto-commies trying To justify basic income

Why all of you are falling for this meme?
Even in 90's everyone was yelling that in 2010 everything is automated.
No, it is not.
And in 2055 half of the jobs are not automated by robots.

Automation is good for repeating same thing over and over and over and over again. But if you need to do something more complex than inserting screw on a regular point X, and that point X is allways at exacly same point, it will work a long time.
But if that point X is off a couple of millimeters, it will go wrong, badly.
Robotics and automation is really inflexible, it is only good for simple repeative work that does not need to know any king of knowledge of anything.
Main problem is that robots cant really see and think visually that something is wrong, that is easy for human.
And robot are clumsy, ebery single thing human can do with a hand needs it own tool in a robot or in automatic assembly line.
Pleace, dont fall on this stupid meme.
For real god sake.

>be human
>for millions of years your mind was designed to look for food, calculate food things, fishes in rivers, prey on land, berries in forests, drinking water etc.
>desire for food eventually turns into animal husbandry
>and farming
>and advances to make farming easier
>from slaves in the roman empire
>to factories in the industrial revolution
>eventually food becomes so easy
>That the constantly researching brain does not know what to do
>and just basically shuts down
>and retreats into hedonism and perversions
>erodes the working system and does not tend to it
>immigration, lack of services, non proper border control

it all has happened before. Some may call it the brain becoming lazy, some may call it the r/K selection theory. It matters little, the only thing that does is the fact that "stable food = deterioration of society"

Two options:
Universal Basic Income reaches a viable point
>or
Mass Genocide of lesser races

Employers will likely be forced to pay taxes for the amount of robotic equipment they use in order to provide the funds to keep these people alive. Welfare is ultimately a terrible idea that destroys society.
When the world is overpopulated due to automation countries will likely start invading eachother once again meaning the best option for our countries is to hurry this and use excess population to build up the military for Lebensraum before other countries beat us to it.

Things have evolved since that.

spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/artificial-intelligence/google-large-scale-robotic-grasping-project

You guys should read Google's research blog from time to time.

research.googleblog.com/

They are currently at the forefront of AI.

really makes you think.

MCKINSEY:WHITE PEOPLE WILL BE DOING HALF OF WORLD'S JOBS

watch this if you care about it all

youtube.com/watch?v=W8N3FF_3KvU

Wouldn't the emergence of an ai around 2045 to 2050 eliminate the need for virtually every kind of work on earth?
t. programmer

holy shit are you saying my flying car will be able to pilot itself?

Thats crazy.

Once 3d printing becomes a viable alternative to cheap work, Chinese workers will be buttfucked. It will be "Dem lobots stealing oul jobs"!

No. Don't fall for the fucking automation meme.

Automation will effect 3rd world assembly manufacturing economies, but it'll hardly make a dent in most western economies that are mostly service-oriented and dynamic.

Already the case

Why aren't we talking about jobs that have already been automated? Like bank tellers, cashiers, photographers, postal workers...
It's quite obvious we have a huge unemployment today, everybody is acting as if everything is ok and we only have to worry about the future.

Service and office jobs will be the first to fall for automatization m8. Blue collar workers will only be affected in about 20-25 years.
Good, fuck the Chinese. I hope we start mining asteroids and tell those dog-eating yellows to fuck themselves.

...

Because in one or two decades, it won't just be the smaller branches that get automatized but the majority of all jobs.

Here's an example:

research.googleblog.com/2017/01/the-google-brain-team-looking-back-on.html

>Robotics
>Traditional robotics control algorithms are carefully and painstakingly hand-programmed, and therefore embodying robots with new capabilities is often a very laborious process. We believe that having robots automatically learn to acquire new skills through machine learning is a better approach. Last year, we collaborated with researchers at [X] to demonstrate how robotic arms could learn hand-eye coordination, pooling their experiences to teach themselves more quickly (research paper). Our robots made about 800,000 grasping attempts during this research. Later in the year, we explored three possible ways for robots to learn new skills, through reinforcement learning, through their own interaction with objects, and through human demonstrations. We’re continuing to build on this work in our goals for making robots that are able to flexibly and readily learn new tasks and operate in messy, real-world environments. To help other robotics researchers, we have made multiple robotics datasets publicly available.

solar flare when?

So, depending on how tastes go there will probably be three major themes

>Mass universal income
Essentially this is just bread for the masses; people may not be useful, but they can definitely fuck things up. So, to profit on this, look into affordable housing, or government lobbying programs.

Also, look into essentially nickle and dime jewing eachother for status tech items and value stores; if everyone is equally valued in the eyes of society, how does one denote status?

>Artisan movements
If we see this on the back of an evangelical movement, we might see the start of businesses that sell goods that are valued simply because of their humanness.

E.g., I would pay more money for bread made by a baker than a machine. Why? Because I think human made bread is more valuable or better.

Of course, there isn't much true in this scenario, but you may see the rise of long dead industries, and perhaps crafts and leisure activities. So, start looking into artistic skills, and training. Think epicurean. Think the start of religious schools.

>Chaos
I'm earnestly more terrified about the automation of force. If you don't need consent of the governed to rule them,or the consent of the military, at what point are humans useful in this new world?

Buy guns.

Are you legitimately retarded? This is nothing like the Industrial Revolution, which created more jobs through factories and improved technology.

This is a blackhole for jobs. For every 2 new engineers who get a job setting up robots for new chain branchs, there will be 300 people who lost their jobs due to automation.

Of the 15 largest job sectors in the United States, only 2 of them (hospital employees and blue collar workers like plumbers and electricians) are safe from automation, at least for now. Truckers? Gone. Bus, taxi, and Uber drivers? Gone. Barristas? Gone. Burger flippers? Gone. Cashiers? Gone. All the managers hired to look over these guys? Gone.

>wow we need millions of uneducated muslims to come over and do all the jobs because there arent enough people
>wow all jobs will be automated
fucking pick one globalists

50+% youth unemployment is smaller branches?
OK.

FUCK YES SINGULARITY HERE WE COME

>physical ones in highly structured and predictable environments, as well as data collection and processing. In the United States, these activities make up 51 percent of activities in the economy

Wow, America really is 3rd world.

ONLY HALF? NIGGA THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS WITHOUT A JOB NOW.

Half of activities, not half of jobs. This just means less time spent on the tedious parts of your job, meaning workers will be less stressed out and more productive in general. Very few jobs will be completely automated.

...

(((They))) said the same thing when tractors were invented.

What happened?

I disagree completely. The vast majority of jobs at current are only valuable because of the tedious portion of them.

Why not pay one person to do the non-tedious portion of 10 jobs?

From the article cited by OP's article:
>Chui says that only about 5 percent of total occupations will be fully automated and 60 percent of all jobs include 30 percent of activities that may be automated. But automation will largely augment rather than replace work tasks, streamlining certain activities that make up an entire position rather than duplicating entire occupations.

Just imagine.

>create AI
>advances in robotics lead to autonomous, thinking robots
>androids happen
>fully identical, thinking, feeling humans but smarter
>take one look at niggers
>they all transform into niggers because they realize getting money for free is the optimal path in life
>everything was for naught

...

They also said the same thing when "3D printing will take over all manufacturing"

AI is just the tech meme for 2017.
Just like VR was for 2016.
And 3D printing was for 2015.

Something everybody can talk about and pretend progress in tech isn't agonizingly slow.

They are becoming driverless.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Driverless_tractor

Because history shows us that when we gain the ability to be ten times more productive, people want twenty times the amount of stuff. The clothing industry for example employs far more humans than ever in history even though automation and productivity have increased exponentially for the past two centuries. People buy a shit ton more clothes in modern society.

And I'll bet they will have huge vibrating penises.
Damn androids taking all our women.

>They also said the same thing when "3D printing will take over all manufacturing"
Anyone who said this was an idiot. No one who actually knows about or uses 3D printing ever thought it would be something that would take over traditional manufacturing methods.

> becoming driverless.

Welcome to the 1990's.

youtu.be/o3q2mXDSqRU

But that's a matter of production, not service. For instance, just because I could hire 10 more desk clerk who are now 100% better at their jobs doesn't mean there would be any advantage to doing so.

The core idea of service economy is to reduce employees to bare minimum as their expenses are just direct overhead and necessary cost centers.

Basically, UBI or complete societal collapse are the only two futures at this point, unless we unlock the super special 3rd route - space colonization.

With a UBI, we can get rid of minimum wage, workers rights, and etc. The only people who will work are those who want to, so employers can offer exactly enough to incentivize workers to help. People would work for $3 an hour if they already made enough to sustain themselves on. Working only to get yourself more luxury goods or buy presents for your children is the ideal future.
>Fathers can spend more time raising their children
>You can't be assfucked by alimony, child support, or wage garnishing
>No huge housing bubbles or automotive bubbles threatening the economy
>People with talents for book writing, game creation, etc will have time and space to create what they want
>No long work days means more time for working out, cooking proper meals, and getting fit
>Traveling the world becomes much easier, so you don't have to have 1,000,000,000 poo-in-loos in your country for curry when you can just go vacation in Mumbai

The only argument against UBI is "muh gommunism", when UBI is the closest thing to capitalism we can get when all of our jobs are automated. It really is the only future for capitalism at this point.

And nobody who actually knows about or uses AI ever thinks it will be something that can take over most jobs.

>How can we get rich off this now

>Be 2055
>Everything automated
>Not enough job for people
>governement introduces new stimulus plan for unskilled workers or 55% of population
>Busineess can start paying people in food stamps, the only way to earn food stamps by promoting or advertising businesses through your social media or wearing or using their merch.

AI has been around since the 1950s. It went through a winter period (known as AI winter) and came back in full force mostly through Google.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter

Dude this UBI meme pisses me off.

Instead of implementing a UBI that will be a huge drain on society because universal programs are shit, we could just implement a NIT instead and NOT encourage a society full of parasites. And spend a lot less money.

That's 40 years from. How many jobs that were being done 40 years ago become automated?

If productivity of workers raises tenfold, but demand for products and services raises twentyfold, you must necessarily double the workforce to meet that demand. Besides, the luddite's core argument is basically that people will stop wanting more stuff, which is fundamentally false.

>AI is just the tech meme for 2017
No, you fucking moron, it's not "just a meme", and it's been going on for far longer than 3D Printing. VR also doesn't kill jobs like the other 2.

I suppose you're just going to ignore the first successful cross-country trip by an automated truck in Australia last year.

>1903
>Wright brothers complete successful flight at Kitty Hawk
>"Air travel is just a meme, ships will remain the only form of cross-continent travel"
>1911
>Italians complete successful cross-continent bombing run

>2016
>Australian truck completes first successful trip carrying goods, no accidents, no wrecks
>"AI is just a meme, the transportation industry won't lay off its 4 million workers due to automated cars."
>2019
>The transportation industry now only employs 100,000 people across the world