What will be the political ramifications of China becoming the world's largest economy and eventually a geopolitical...

What will be the political ramifications of China becoming the world's largest economy and eventually a geopolitical power and rival to the US globally?

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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China–Pakistan_Economic_Corridor
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Depends on what other powers do. Whether EU fails, or succeeds, and how China handles Pakistan.

India is right next door and will have the second biggest economy and might surpass China too.
We can't just talk about things decades from here but it also depends on how USA handles it.

China is fine, but the bigger economical competition to USA is the EU. The general populace isn't aware about it.

China's growth is pretty much unsustainable.

They have serious class divides, ecological problems, are a net importer of food, lack of drinking water, and a real estate bubble the likes of which have never been seen.

They also don't have a military to back up their claims. Their military is a joke, and unable to compete with Western standards. Any armed confrontation with the US will result in a hilariously lopsided defeat.

Also this.

Due to China's modernization, multiple bubbles, slowing growth, and confrontational attitude, it is possible to for major Western companies to take advantage of the growing markets and potential manufacturing base in India, and if India turns to the West and accepts Western influence, that's a serious threat to China's economy and growth.

This. Plus it's politically unstable. Or it will be in the next couple of decades.

>how China handles Pakistan
Well it seems like they're already doing a very good job and making huge inroads into Central Asia. The China Pakistan Economic Corridor will not only give them access to a poor and potentially rapidly developable market with cheap labor, but it also opens up geographic access to Afghanistan, which may hold the largest lithium resources in the world in addition to massive amounts of other valuable mineral resources. China's heavily investing into useful raw materials and trade outlets it seems and I can't see the future going too poorly for them.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China–Pakistan_Economic_Corridor

India is like China, but without the organisation

The thing you have to realise about China is that for most of its 5000 year history it was the most powerful most prosperous country on earth. During this time, they didn't really bother their neighbours because, having all things in great abundance, they didn't need to mess around with barbarians, and always thought Empire was beneath them.

Although things went badly for them between 1850 and 1980, they are back on track. They see themselves as merely moving back to their proper place.

You might not like China but the people are really fucking smart and they work their asses off.

I lived there 10 years. I realised that they will surpass us in wealth and power, but by nature they are not warmongers, in fact they hate war because nothing good comes of it and it's bad for business.

Don't insult them and you have nothing to fear. They seldom start trouble. That being said, drive a hard bargain when dealing with them.

I was just in Erbil Iraq and the market was full of Chinese products and, like everywhere in the ME, Chinese civilians are all over the place opening businesses and doing deals. They won the war and it didn't cost them anything.

Will be fun.

Inner mongolia.
Aksai Chin
Pakistan Occupied kashmir
Tibet
Xinjiang

Maybe I'm forgetting some other parts.

They're promising billions of dollars but haven't really put their money where the mouth is. The area is very difficult to construct and it goes through Balochistan which is again another area where there is separatist movement.

also.
>planning an economic corridor in a disputed territory.

It's true that China will not leave Pakistan but their relationship is only good as long as pakistan does exactly what China wants (which it doesn't)

In the most recent wars when Pakistan attacked India, China didn't support them and asked for withdrawl because China wants its puppy to not bite someone who it cannot handle.

The terrain is very harsh and Pakistani beurocracy is so incompetent that the road from China to Pak was made decades ago and yet pakistan couldn't prepare their own. In the end the Chinese had to come and help them. The road was not maintained and had issues due to land slide and wasn't made again for years.

The reason China has Pakistan is because if and when there is a war with USA it can continue it's supply lines even if it is at minimum.

Their second biggest issue there is the Uygurs. This economic corridor goes through the Muslim populated area and as they become more economically prosperous they will ask for independence and attacks will increase.

India has been trying to declare Masood Azhar as international terrorist which china put on 'technical hold' because it's a permanent member, then USA put the same motion and China put it on technical hold too.

There was a terrorist attack in China and lo and behold, who was the person behind it? Masood Azhar! Lol. China is claiming him to be a terrorist and Indian envoy went to discuss about declaring him a terrorist. (which may or may not happen)

Also, after the attack China is talking about building a wall and sealing the border with Pakistan.

Chinese civilians are all over Pakistan. Setting up businesses and building shit. It's getting too dangerous for westerners to go there but they have no problems with Chinese. The Chinese don't want to rule you see. They just want to trade.

The stuff with Pakistan is interesting, I could see China trying to use Pakistan's incompetence and desperation for stability and economic growth in order to basically set it up as a Chinese vassal state and push the US in order to create some type of geopolitical control within the reason to create stability for economic growth and access to Afghanistan.

I lived in Nepal when the Chinese were arming and supporting Maoist rebels during the civil war. Many Nepalese even believed that Chinese intelligence assassinated the royal family.

Don't believe the lies. They aren't "peaceful merchants". They are just the same as everyone else.

Pakistan is key to the Silk Road project. And the Chinese pay cash. They don't interfere in domestic politics so they have more friends than enemies.

There is a terror problem in Xinjiang but its small compared to other places. The big problem is all the Uhigers who joined ISIS. Probably won't be many survivors but if they come back there could be trouble.

Tony Cartaluchi at New Eastern Outlook reports on this a lot.

Basically Turkish intelligence was bringing them to Thailand as tourists, giving them false passports, and moving them on to Syria. China got Thailand to crack down on it and that's why that shrine got bombed a few years ago.

I think Trump is going to crush the terrorists and that will help a lot of people and that's why he has many powerful enemies.

I think that was just a conspiracy theory. Last thing China wants is a bunch of commies running around on its borders.

is it easy living in Nepal?

Yes that's what they are doing. The Chinese claim that they are giving economic prosperity to the Pakistanis but what they only hire Chinese people for their project.

The protection is provided by the Pakistani Army.
The truth is that Pakistan has been occupying the blochistan area ever since the independence, the bloch people don't even consider themselves pakistani and there has been genocide going in the area. Pakistan has now given up on the area and they want the Chinese to take over. The leaders are mainly concentrated in the prosperous Punjab region and that's all they care about. The second reason they gave the route to China is because they couldn't handle the kashmir issue alone they gave Aksai chin (which was claimed by India, china, and pakistan but pakistan gave it up as good will and now China and India contest it)

This economic corridor goes through the Pakistan Occupied Kashmir region and the pakistan government gave the permission to China to construct stuff there, but according to UN resolution you cannot make any changes which would disrupt the demogrphics of the area.
This also means that China considers POK as part of Pakistan and this is going to be another front where they will have to fight in the security council.


Yeap no one is benevolent.

In the geopolitical game if you are a major player then you either expand or you collapse.
For china to even become self sufficient they will have to kick out the American influence from the south china sea, sea of Japan, and all surrounding areas. The countries like phillipines, indonesia, japan etc are strategecally located so that if anyone wants they can easily blockade China. So even if they do not want to fight they will have to in order to push USA back and secure its trade routes.

it is a well known fact that the revolution was prompted by maoists.

In the first assembly elections

>The Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) (CPN (M)) was the largest party in the Constituent Assembly, having won half of the constituency seats.

They did try to turn it into Chinese ally and one of the commie states.

The death of king of Nepal was failure of Indian security apparatus and then they woke up and saved Nepal from going on the others side.
It also helped that Nepal doesn't have proper connection to China. The Himalayas separate it from China.

"not warmongers" except among themselves. 10 years not knowing the Chinese saying, "one Chinese can do anything, but two or more together will just fight and bicker". Historically China's biggest threat is itself. They will crash and burn at their own doing.

5000, please.

Every 250 years though, so still a long way to go.

The sad part is that America handed it to them freely

people yes, gov't wants more than trade

>And the Chinese pay cash.
Most bribes are.

>They don't interfere in domestic politics so they have more friends than enemies.

It has always done that, and will continue to do it.

Phillipines got loans vs giving up the islands.
I already explained about Pakistan, and if I start to list them all then it would take a long time.
In Africa China goes in and imports workers from China, it does not help the natives.

It's same thing that the UN (under USA command) does, and there is nothing wrong with it, but if you're claiming that Chinese are some benevolent force then you're either ignorant, or are lying.

>Pakistan is key to the Silk Road project.
The only thing Pakistan is a key to is power projection and protecting their supply lines.

The Original Silk road joined China to Europe through Central Asia, Pakistan isn't the part of that equation.

>There is a terror problem in Xinjiang but its small compared to other places.

It is because it is not prosperous and till now it was disconnected from the afghan, and Pakistan influence. The moment they had some sort of connection to those areas, the attacks increased and they will not stop.

As much as it sounds that USA handed to them, it's not the case. They made some strategic mistakes but they're way ahead of the game in competing with China.

China was always going come on top with it's behemoth population and history as being one of the richer countries, no doubt about that.

They are very good at copying, but even their people admit that they fail at innovating. They will find a way but it takes times.

ancient Chinese secret?

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War

Are you ready for the age of chink drone swarms?

...

That chart is disingenuous. Any data regarding china is subject to political bias due to the fact that the regional reporting data is always skewed. Freakanomics even talks about it; economists in China (foreign ones too) use different metrics to measure actual GDP for the government. This is generally calculated by things like traffic and power usage, the real growth figures are generally in the 1-3% range iirc.

Are you ready for the age of genetic superchinks?

Niggers.