Give it to me str8, Nederfags

Realistically, what are his chances tomorrow?

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why are you asking op? It's like you did not even see all those sixes

Polls saying he's sitting around 25 seats, which is double what he has now, but as to whether it will be a plurality? Who the hell knows? There are about 4 parties running neck and neck for the top spot in the polls right now, but what is certain is that the establishment cucks, VVD and PvDA, will be losing many seats

Thread/

It's so rigged it's not funny and not really possible, but then again Trump won despite the same illegal machinations by the Democrats (though just barely).

I'm asking for the opinions of actual Dutchmen, fuck off fagits

That was uncalled for.

60/40 he wins

>Thinking they know better than we do
They have a few anecdotes about how people say they'll vote PVV behind closed doors, but overall, no one can even come close to making an objective prediction of the overall mood of millions

We're asleep. Fuck off.

>Polls saying he's sitting around 25 seats, which is double what he has now, but as to whether it will be a plurality?

Polls have backed off a bit and are currently showing around 24 seats.

However, one aspect of this that is unclear is that given that the Netherlands is generally a very liberal country, albeit with strong conservative roots, the polls may be underrepresenting the support for PVD, especially given the current brouhaha over the Turkish PM's visit to the country as part of their political campaign for Turkish expatriates.

I suspect that the "Shy Tory" phenomena is in play as it was during both the UK General election in 2015 and the UK BRExit Referendum.

What I mean by this is that some people who are expressing neutrality or support for more liberal parties will actually vote for Mr. Wilders PVV party on Wednesday.

I don't expect the difference to be much, but I expect it to be an additional +1% or so, which should just push the PVV over the top.

Whether Mr. Wilders can turn electoral victory into an actual government remains to be seen.

There have been enough circumstances where populist politicians have been thwarted by the left to prevent the formation of a government.

telegraph.co.uk/news/0/dutch-election-far-right-could-win-not-rule-country-known-liberal/

We will have to wait and see, but I wish Mr. Wilders and the PVV every success.

The Deal Is Done.

Europeans are asleep.

geert is gonna dominate

>We're asleep. Fuck off.

Wakey Wakey motherfucker!

The Wildebeest is coming!

Time for NExit!

Even if he gets the votes, he doesn´t need to become prime minister. A coalition must be formed, between all the parties. If they think he´s gay, he´s out

fuck off, Shariablue faggot

Nigga, it's only 3:00am in Amsterdam. Half your country's still awake.

The thing about PVV is that they're not overly right wing. They just don't like Muslims. That's literally it. Hell, even their wish to leave the EU seems entirely based on the desire to not want to take in any more refugees, not on any economic reason.

I don't think your prediction really applies

are they?

>Time for NExit!
Coming soon..

Not +1%, look at America, we destroyed our polls

PVV won't rule, it might get the most seats but no other party will team-up with them to get the majority, the only hope is PVV, CDA, SGP, CU, D66 but that is unlikely. Honestly we have to change focus from Wilders to Baudet

Most seats in parliament: 70% chance
Banning of islam: 0% chance
Safeguarding dutch identity: 100% chance
Right wing majority: depends on the issue at hand

The average dutchman, native or immigrant, is done with the watering down and demonizing of our uses and values and will likely result in a nice conservative change of pace the next four years

Wilders becoming prime minister: 10%
Even his own voters don't see him as the next prime minister, and i dont either.

Hiddema and Baudet are my picks for PM, but it's likely Rutte is going for round 3

Media is really biased towards the left parties here and PVV always loses votes last minute before the elections. It is to bad the mainstream media didn't allow Forum voor Democratie(FvD) to take part in debates or let them speak. If they had some positive media attention I think they would be seen in a whole different light now. Problem is the sitting parties are playing an unfair game against new parties and especially new rightwing parties, because they have too many influance in the mainstream media.

>Not +1%, look at America, we destroyed our polls

I'm erring on the side of caution. It may be higher, but I doubt it will be a significant margin.

Still not going to make a difference as even if he is the leader of the largest party, he cannot become PM unless he forms a coalition government and all the other parties have said they will refuse to go into a coalition government with the PVV.

I expect Mark Rutte or one of his coalition allies to be PM this time next year.

is Netherlands like how its depicted in Deuce Bigalow? Pot and hot chicks with loose morals?

>CDA
>CU
>D66
>Not VVD
VVD and PVV are both trying to look tough on immigrants right now, and VVD refusing to work with a PVV plurality would not only be ideologically inconsistent, it would reinforce everything that Wilders has said about them. You can tell how power hungry these cucks are; they'll take whatever path is easiest. If it seems that they won't lose seats from their base by joining with Wilders, then that's what they'll do.

FvD is a much better party than PVV, but it can't be relied on for this election given how it's too new and unknown, and will probably not get enough seats to help out Geert too much.

Considering how many bots are saying that he has no chance I'd say it's pretty damn good!

One day soon again these jews will have their dirty lying mouths stuffed.

No.

Depends where you are, but yeah in the large cities definitely

The reason American polls were wrong was because the methodology underestimated rural voters. Does Netherlands have a significant rural voter base? Are they angry? If yes to both, then it's possible we may say a big boost to the far-right parties.

good

shitty EU policies are coming to a head.

The polls were right for the most part. What was wrong was that everyone assumed a good poll sample of the population doesn't count for jack shit when elections are state by state basis especially in very politically sectarian times when people are divided along regional and geographic lines.

kek the digits

Interesting, so do you have Canadians taking shits in your streets too?

Impressive

If 7 Wilders wins

I don't touch Amsterdam with a 10 foot pole, but it probably happens. I know there was a video of some anglo taking a dump against the window of a whorehouse some years ago

Yes they are mad and afraid, but PVV won't be able to get a chance to rule because other parties will just denie him in there coalitions even if he is by far the biggest party

So does anyone think FvD will be there for next elections even if they only get 2-4 seats? I hope so because I think their changes for next elections will be alot higher if this doesn't work out.

Not gonna lie, former Wilders supporter here. This is fucking hilarious watching Wilders crash and burn.. But in all seriousness we can't let this man get the bleach!

checked

FvD doet het heel goed bij studenten, zzp en mkb dus ik denk dat als ze meer aandacht krijgen volgend jaar dat ze een goeie kans hebben om met een dozijn zetels ervantussen te gaan

I generally find Europeanese politics hilarious. Always have, fuck if I know why.

>crash and burn

>assumed
>nobody knew how the electoral college worked

It was a narrative.

test

new

He will win

Test

A lot of parties excluded forming a coalition with Wilders.

He needs to have the most seat of any party to have any chance of forming a coalition.

He can get SGP (hardcore christians) and 50 Plus (conservative elderly party) to form a coalition with him if they all 3 have a combined majority.

Pretty much all other combinations are impossible.

Socialist party, Green party, Labor party and VVD(main conservative party in power now) have all basically guaranteed that they will under no circumstance form a coalition with Wilders.

This is the list of parties running this year with a small description:

150 seats

VVD (41 seats, current government coalition head and prime minister): classical liberals, big focus on economic freedom and small government (closest american counterpart is the Libertarian party)

PvdA (35 seats, Current coalition member): Labor party, but only slightly left wing. (Pretty similar to the American Democrats)

SP (15 seats, Socialist Party.) Quite extreme on the left wing. Just slightly less socialist than Maduro from Venezuela. (There has never been a seriously socialist party in the US so there's no real equivalent, Bernie Sanders would've been seen as a capitalist by SP voters)

CDA (13 seats, Christian Democrats.) Slightly right wing but mostly center. (This is the party most similar to our version of Republicans but less extreme on the rhetoric)

PVV: (12 seats, Nationalist party.) Big focus on racial and cultural homogeneity. (Trump on steroids with genocidal tendecies, likes to troll and stir up shit even more than Trump)

Fuck, wanted to list every party available to vote for in the election but Sup Forums limit.

1/2?

(Pic related slightly outdated)

>VVD
>Classical liberals
I thought they were more like Dutch neocons. If they were Libertarians, ruling with PvdA would be a near oxymoron

What are the economic policy differences between them, the Libertarian party and VNL?

he looks like a fat Milo

2/2

D66 (12 seats, Democrats right at the center) This party usually tries to reach a middle ground every time in negotiations. This is the most succesful party for the amount of seats they historically have had. Due to their center leaning and willingness to adept they get a lot of their campaign promises fullfilled even though they are not part of the ruling coalition. (US equivalent would probably be the "Technocrat party" In the 1930's)

CU (5 seats, Christian fundamentalists). Basically a vasal party of CDA but more extreme. (Think of your average evangelical christian in the US)

GroenLinks (4 seats, Green party). The most Cuck party currently in office. They have outrageous proposals like cutting most of the army budget and giving it to humanitarian efforts in africa/middle east. SJW galore.

SGP (3 seats, Christian Theocracy party) The most insane Christian party I've seen. They want to ban female labor, Ban working on sunday. Re-connect church and state. Basically wants a Christian saudi-arabia.

PvdD (2 seats, Literal animal party). A party made purely for animal rights. Only voted into government by people that vote ironically and think it's funny to vote for "animal party".

50PLUS (1 seat, Conservative Elderly party). Party primarily focused on the Elderly in the Netherlands since we are a rapidly aging society. They want to propose taxes based on age and ability to work.

DENK ("2 seats" illegitimately stolen, Erdogan funded turkish party) This is the most dangerous party in the Netherlands. The US would have banned this party. This party isn't even made to represent dutch people or for the Dutch greater good. It's only purpose is to better the condition of turks both in the Netherlands and in Turkey, They want to propose turks having the right to only speak Turkish and sending most of our humanitarian aid to Turkey.

VVD is really Pro-EU. They have made statements in the past in favor of EU federalization. They think the GDP of the Netherlands would grow even faster without local government and a more integrated global market.

Libertarians want to legalize as much as possible for trade. The VVD only wants to legalize stuff if they think the economic benefit outweighs the public outcry. (Meaning hardcore drugs will not be legalized by VVD).

VNL is primarily a Nationalist party with a neutral stance towards EU. They want to build more infrastructure and stimulate economic activity for a nationalist reason. Focusing on domestic production and slowing imports from outside EU.

This. How can he lose?

...

I masturbate every night while looking at this beautiful pic of Jar Jar Binks, and thinking about Wilders as the leader of the Senate. What a nice galaxy that will be my fellow faggots.

Yeah, VVD is not Libertarian at all, which I would have remembered immediately if I remembered they were pro-EU. Minarchism is incompatible with membership in a supernational governing and economic regulatory agency.

>They want to propose turks having the right to only speak Turkish and sending most of our humanitarian aid to Turkey.
Yeah I'm not surprised you threw those politicians out. That is some absolutely shameless bullshit.

'Denk' is a bigger threath to the Dutch society then the left who yells Wilders must die.

>pic unrelated

Geert must win.

Kek wills Geert's win.
Shadilay!

There are better right alternatives. Geert is not an intellectual. The FvD party is much better. Also against muslim invasions, immigration and stuff like that, but they are more intellectual. They offer normal, yet good right wing solutions. I like them.

>pic unrelated

I presume the roaches roaching out will seal Mr David Lynch hair politician man?

I didn't say they were libertarian. The closest american counterpart IS the Libertarian party though.

We are Drugs&Hooker land for a reason. The Dutch prefer trade over morals making it fertile ground for parties like the VVD that has a complete GDP growth focus. (Please also notice that they are in a coalition so they have to pander more to the center from time to time)

not good. would be nice to see him set up an atmosphere for a Le Pen victory.

give em Hell, Geert

His chances are exactly 6.66%.

Probably not, since it wasn't his party that ordered the rallies being banned. It was VVD, trying to steal votes from PVV. VVD has permitted rallies before, so this is obvious posturing for the elections, but the question is whether the majority of the Dutch see that.

These digits say 100 percent

Ik neuk jullie allemaal de kanker moeder.

In newspeak, so thats an upper 90s chance

They don't. My grandmother a staunch conservative will be voting VVD after the stance against turkey. I guess most PVV voters that vote PVV for nationalist reasons might switch votes.

PVV was the only nationalist party for more than a decade. That is slowly beginning to change as more parties are pandering to that demographic, especially since Brexit and Trump

>using the line that shills used during the U.S election
Top kek m8

May KEK be with him.

very high, but a coalition will be hard to form

Go for it Geert !

It's fucking Monday you cunt. Dutch are proper whites that party when they don't have work the next day.

...

KEK WILLS IT
DIGITS TO CONFIRM

bump

Wrong on so many levels.