unless there's a major terrorist attack it's impossible for her to win
Samuel Turner
Hard to take you serious without any context.
Did you look at the results? It was only a million off and there are 7 million republican voters who now have to choose between Macron or Le Pen.
James Morgan
so you're saying she's favorite?
Kevin Jackson
Nice one, Nils.
Josiah Kelly
i'm saying you have to look at each individual case
even with drumpf and brexit "surprising" the world, frenchmen are too cucked, regular people will go with the safe option (pro-EU macron) and all the leftists (like 50% of the country) will vote against le pen out of spite
Carson Richardson
>Who else here is betting on the French elections in 4 days? I put $1k on it
Joshua Ward
Been thinking about putting money on it but i'd say its a 1 and 3 that she will win. I could win big but I am super cautious with my money and so won't do it unless she seems closer to a 1 and 2 like Trump.
Tyler Baker
Go for it. I wouldn't get my hopes up though.
Adrian Sullivan
Need to factor in the majority of french people are very left and cautious of nationalists.. They are too afraid to take the leap
John Cooper
Trump lost the popular vote, Le Pen doesn't have the advantage of FPTP.
Charles Mitchell
Frenchfags where do you bet?
No french betting site with that ARJEL shit I've checked have an election bet ongoing.
Isaac Murphy
The french election is not as safe as the american election though. Trump was a solid bet, I think I withdrew around $16000 after Trump's win.
Adam Young
Use Betfair. France, just like Holland, doesn't allow betting on political outcomes.
William Brooks
Micron don't have the advantage of 5 million illegals voting without even so much as showing some ID.
Christopher Johnson
>Our Software detects that you may be accessing the Betfair website from a country that Betfair does not accept bets from. If you believe that this detection has occurred in error, please Contact us for further assistance.
I love this country
Brody Garcia
France doesn't have an electoral college, so rural and suburban retards only get one vote each instead of seven like in America.
Aaron Howard
Mudslime Pushing Back!
Paris mosque urges Muslims to follow ‘path of hope’ by voting Macron
Le pen 21% Fillon 20% DLF 5% 46% total right wing votes. She needs a 4% swing from melenchon to win. If 2% of those don't even vote then le pen only needs 2% of those votes to actually vote for her and she wins. Possible? It'll be damn close either way so only bet a low amount on it. 100 bucks max
Austin Morgan
befair went from 8.8 to 9.0 to 9.6 now, all in three hours
Henry Rogers
What site?
Aiden Wood
So how do you bypass the fact that some country are banned from bet? Proxy/VPN? if so which one?
Jacob Lewis
betfair
I don't, I'm not banned. Anyway, either would work.
Evan Miller
i am, she's good value at 9/2, 10/2, and 11/2 up to 13/2 in some online bookies.
The odds are longer but the actual chance of her being elected is higher than the odds. It is a good value bet. Even just £ 10 will get you a decent return of ~50 £ . It's a no-brainer.
Remember, we were lied to about Trump, and brexit, and in France they've had the worst of the terrorism so if anything there'll be more nationalist sentiment there. What le pen has to do now is talk about jobs. Thats what won it for Trump. End of the day people vote with their wallets. Le pen is mightier than the sword.
Zachary Murphy
Don't let your memes just be dreams
Tyler Reed
You got a link OP? I'm actually going to put down $100 myself. That's not much of a loss or me and to get $1k out of it would be awesome considering there's a real chance.
Can't comment on how promising Le Pen will be but it's actually looking good enough to be a somewhat safe bet.
Luke James
Is there a way to change £ to something relevant on betfair?
Grayson Jenkins
I just bet 10 euro's on her.
Noah Bailey
we can't bet on this in the states. Theres like 1 off shore website where you can legally though. can't think of the name but maybe someone else knows it.
Anyone?
Noah Long
I live on the border, I can cross into Mexico and go into an online cafe over there and bet?
Andrew Scott
Damn. Going to bump this one more time because I'm interested. I really wish I bet with Trump because it was obvious as fuck he was going to win I was just worried about the obvious fraud and if it would be enough to fuck him.
Lincoln White
Good job, just put down 50 myself.
Landon Sanders
i'm not sure desu. all i remember is that the odds on that off shore site were not as good/high as the ones for the european sites. It would have still made you about 300-500% iirc. the sooner you bought it the higher the odds were. some people bought in at like 13 to 1 iirc.
Landon Campbell
les republicains are cuckservatives, by definition they'll back macron
Hunter Ward
Is there a board who's got some kind of "money game general"? Maybe they would have more information about all this
Ethan Martinez
...
Julian Long
I did but I bet on Macron. Le Pen is 20 points behind Macron. Trump and Brexit were both within the margin of error. Poor comparison
Mason Young
Just a reminder for you, you commit a sin if you gamble >Well I just go to church and clean my sins and that's it God knows that and he tells you about it in the Bible. You're going to hell. Don't abuse God's power.
Luis Stewart
bump
where to get reliable stats on undecided voters?
Carson Perez
There is not Trump voting equivalent in France, they are cucks completely brainwashed with white guilt by the jews.
You might as well burn your money.
Joshua Garcia
t2bqh senpai senpai~~~~~ france is to cucked. i remember seeing on tv after the terrorist attack that killed like 100 plus people in france with one cuck stating "france will defeat the terrorists with flowers." even had his kid with him and he was telling his kid the flowers will "protect him" and stop the guns.
Joseph Green
morebump
Ryder Butler
Honestly memes aside, what most people in the anglosphere don't seem to understand is that there is a deep-rooted hatred for her because of her family, over here they are viewed almost as bad as the collaborators, not to mention they are also seen as the real aristocrats (Sorry Sargon, but seriously doubt the Marie Antoinette meming will work because most french don't know anything about her personal life or recognise her image). The first round was rigged(Lyon and other towns with 0 white votes: this is virtually impossible, + DOM TOM getting double votes and 500 000 mainland people being removed from the voting lists), however, the french will probably block her, most are more than willing to cut off their noses to spite their faces simply because while they hate government, they hate her more.
But anyway your money I suppose, hope she does win though.
Blake Allen
frenchbros, do we have websites where we can bet on politics stuff? Might be against the law or something with these odds, it's worth throwing in a few of shekels
Oliver Stewart
No chance in hell. >b-but Trump and Brexit That was a 2% gap, not 20%.
4 days to go. It's not happening.
Jeremiah Williams
Damn that's crazy. I'm unsure then if I'd want to do an off shore one with less of a return. 500 off 100 is less appealing desu.
Any French bros want to help a fellow user burger out? I'll give you 100 for the bet and if it's a win I'll cut you 10% for a quick $100 or yourself out of the $1k.
Just let me know, I'll send you my credit card info over the thread if you;re cool with it
Oliver Sanders
Bro read the thread Us french can't even bet legally because france forbid bet on political event And all foreign site I tried to access either outright ban you from accessing or don't even have france as an option when subscribing to them
Brayden Kelly
You're retarded. It's close as fuck with Le Pen in the leads. Also I just saw this thread on the frontpage RIP MACRON
Blake Turner
>Just let me know, I'll send you my credit card info over the thread if you;re cool with it I think I was joking.....
David Carter
Where do I bet?
Colton Miller
At France's current rate, that's at least 2 or 3 before Election Day.
Cooper Hill
Yeah I know it was more informative about the state of this fucking country than to try to help you
Gavin Ross
most redpilled people aren't enthusiastic about voting for A FUCKING WOMAN to be their leader. the only winning move is not to vote.
Adam Ross
What? No it isn't. The first round was close. The runoff is a 60/40 split in favor of Macron. There are many poll trackers online, this for example: bloomberg.com/graphics/2017-french-election/
Joshua Myers
Those are just two mirrored lines tho.
Gavin Roberts
That's what happens when you have 2 candidates and you don't show undecided.
Josiah Taylor
tbqh this is sad because it's so true
Wyatt Reed
>tfw could've bet a shitton of money on Trump and hit a jackpot >tfw was too scared to do it JUST
Alexander Hughes
All I can picture is little Francois being blown away in a hail of Allah alakbarh and multiculturalism raining down on him with no feasible means of defence like the nazis when they crossed through the Arden.
France is lost
Easton Rodriguez
screencapped, hopefully you are wrong and shit goes the way of our lord "Max XD"
Dominic Ortiz
Le Pen won't win. The left has too much to lose with a second nation dropping out of the EU, so they'll make the election dirtier than Obama's two elections to install a left-wing globalist.
And they'll get away with it ebcause everyone knows no one did shit about Obama being installed in the US because in spite of brave words the right is a bunch of fucking pussies who let the left walk all over them out of fear of being called names.
Jordan Sullivan
Le Pen is like UKIP and UKIP only won a single seat in parliament. I hope she does pull something off but I highly doubt it.
Jack Torres
Fuck off christcuck.
Daniel Gray
I just put £20 on Le Pen, let's do this.
Isaiah Williams
>early primary odds: 200:1 >general election odds: 5:1 If you had invested in Trump at the very beginning you could have become a millionaire for just $1000.
Hunter Sanchez
...
Chase Stewart
>tfw i put down $2K on Trump a week out >tfw the odds spike just a few days later because muh 2% chance I could have made so much more goddamnit.
Nolan Johnson
Why cant we bet on it in the US?
Xavier Davis
>Is there a board who's got some kind of "money game general"? /biz/ deals exclusively in retarded get-rich-quick schemes. Ask them.
Mason Martinez
Moet ik m'n echte naam geven of hoeft dat niet?
Jace Bennett
Ja, moet i.v.m. uitbetaling.
Julian Sanchez
Ahja, logisch. Ik zet wel €10 op Le Pen.
Isaac Moore
She won't win you faggot. Don't waste your money
Brandon Hall
Didnt bet on Trump or Brexit although I wanted them both to happen and thought about whacking a load on both of them.
Lumped £200 on Le Pen @ 13/2 (Betfair) Odds will shorten drastically between now and saturday i think, could go to 7/2 if not more depending on Polls and Media coverage / scandal.
Do it lads.
Liam Flores
Nice hate symbol you white supremacist!
Lucas Cox
even if she gets all the youth vote it won't matter marcon has 60% he could have nobody 18-24 vote for him and all of them vote for le pen and win.