THE FIGHT ISN'T OVER

The French Legislative elections are coming soon, and they will dictate to a large degree, how easy Macron can enforce his cuck policies. This is where the meme magic will REALLY count.

anthonyveyssiere.com/legislatives2017/


What you're seeing is a simulation of the french legislative elections. You'll notice Macron's party barely achieves a majority on their best case scenario, and that the frog system's results are very volatile.

Now decrease Macron's support by just 5% and see what happens.

What does this mean? It means Macron can ally with LFI and PS (something in itself unlikely), and even the widely impossible EM+FN+LFI+PS alliance would only get a bare majority.

What does that mean? That if just a few Macron voters decide to stay home and not vote, he'll need an alliance with LR to govern, either with a supply and confidence agreement or giving them the PM.

That means they'd be in an excellent position to stop him from making whatever the fuck he wants, and it's in their self interest to start protecting the borders better if they want Le Pen to not win in 2022.


We need to guarantee Macron doesn't get a working majority, at any cost.

I don't understand. How come that FN has few seats when it's actually 5he second party?

Explain this system to me. FN 22% of the vote gets 15-25 seat?

Because of the two-turns election system.

France is not a democracy.

>PS : 7
JUST

They need to be first in a constituency to win it and they got only 2 in the presidential election

seeAlso remember UKIP winning 14 percent of the vote and wining 2 two seats

Explain. Doesn't make any sense.

Ah okay, I got that.

I don't care about Europe anymore, they're already dead.

The lower house is elected through uninominal suffrage, according to a majority, two rounds system.

Every assemblyman is elected in a 2 round system. They get 1st place in a lot of places but lose the 2nd round just like Marine. Its a very retarded system

Oh, and if you click the options on the rihgt, you can see that if the far left and left join together with single candidates, they cuck Macron even harder, and he'd either have to govern with the left/far-left (and not accomplish anything economically) or with the right (and get socially cuccked)

It's like some analysts have been warning.

The really decisive election is the legislative one, in a couple months.

Very small differences in votes for each party and voter turnout for each party can bring massively different outcomes, and many of these outcomes lead to Macron being a ineffective lame duck and France's problem either growing/not being solved until Le Pen get's elected or being solved but with the main parties moving to a more sensible/nationalist position, like in dutchland

They have FPTP.

The last time the way to "deal" with them was that Socialists gave their votes to Republicans wherever FN was the #1 at < 50% and vice versa.

In this way results could've been like:
FN - 40%
Rep. - 35%
Soc. - 25%
And Republican got into the assembly because socialists transferred their votes to them.

And people wonder why both of those parties became irrelevant in presidential elections. Expect this to repeat though.

The leaks might help us here.

I'm starting to think it was the UK that hacked him.

They didn't want Le Pen to win because she'd just crash and burn the EU, making the euro go crazy and fucking the UK's economy on the short/medium term.

But they also don't want a powerful president Macron to fuck up their brexit terms as much as possible.

What do?

Leak all his bullshit the day before the election, so there's maximum exposition of the leak's existence (everybody desperately shilling either for/against macron real fast so the presidential elections aren't affected), but they can't be read fast enough before it's too late to change the outcome of the presidential eleciton.

But it's not too late to affect the LEGISLATIVE elections and make Macron an ineffective lame duck unable to get shit done, thus impopular and thus not able to fuck britain as much as he wants to

Its not fptp, its a runoff system. If they hsd fptp FN would get a majority

It's not. Parliamentary instability has been removing by this system.

I think this is actually the worst system I have ever heard of. It actually punishes people for trying to support their party, if FN and Macron's cuck party make it to the 2nd round for example, even if in total FN + Fillion's party has more support, Macron wins 100%.

And its even bad at preventing so called extreme parties cause they never have to prove they're not full of shit since they never win, and their voters only get mlre and more angry and radical

FPTP guarantees stability while avoiding this

lol notice how the socialists are projected to win basically 0 seats, en marche are projected to win about half and the republicans are projected to win half. en marche effectively replaced the socialists...

i wonder what happened to the latvian user who gave us the offshore account docs... he promised us swift logs.

...

They threw him in french Guantanamo

#
The point is that the elections aren't over. Look at Trump, he can't get half the things he wants done because congress won't let him.
A french president has less powers than Trump does (except he can call new elections, which is a dangerous bet to make), so if he doesn't get a friendly congress he can't do shit.
Also keep in mind they'll also elect the senate, but the senate is not directly elected, it's elected by elected politicians in different levels of power in France, which since the post-war period made the conventional right control the senate almost every time (they only lost it once or twice), so that LR's power would be even bigger.
We could have president Macron but a LR assembly and senate, and they aren't exactly best friends. LR is full of "Never Macron!" types

Bump

Fillonpf 2017 PM of France

Interesting theory but anything they got on him will be swept under the rug, especially now he's won. Short of tiddling kids, nothing will stick.

Might help FI and LR voters to stay home and not vote for his party if they think he is a corrupt junkie gay puppet

>i-its not over guys!

lmao get fucked

user this is getting sad.

It won't as long as there will be white people willing to save the country.

Not an argument

>PS : 7
>FN : 24

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

General Baroin is taking this fight.

He is sharp.

it actually isn't.

strategically speaking if we can influence the outcome of the legislative assembly elections it makes macron fail and populism look good.

>this is like "bernie can still win"

We need to concede France, and I am not saying that due to the fact I hate those Islamic cheese eating surrender monkeys.

More like Trump can still achieve nothing he wants