The purpose of this thread is to provide Sup Forums a convenient guide to the 2018 midterms, and a platform to take action to achieve specific objectives that will prevent any semblance of a “Blue Wave.”
IMPORTANT DATES
November 6, 2018 --> THE BIG ONE. This is when you’ll cast your votes to elect your choices to the House of Representatives and the Senate
March 18, 2018 --> Pennsylvania special election for the 18th Congressional District; likely Republican but the Democrats have a strong candidate and you can bet your ass that they’ll be gunning for this seat
>Defeatist Black Pillers not welcome. Your mentality is for losers. We didn't need you in 2016, and we don't need you now.
>Shills not welcome. Your attempts are utterly transparent. You were wrong in 2016. You were defeated in all 5 House Races in 2017. Your only real victory was in Alabama, and that was when our guy was smeared as a pedo, got massively outspent, and got betrayed by prominent figures in the GOP. You won't be able to do that in every single race this year. We know the stakes are too high for that. On the other hand, legitimate dissenters of all types are welcome.
>REMINDER that most political power in the USA isn't in the Presidency, it's in the Congress. In many ways, this can be even more impactful than Trump becoming President
>REMINDER that a Democrat congress can fuck up everything we've achieved in 2016, and they definitely will try their best to. You can bet that they will seriously try impeachment.
>REMINDER that Trump's victory is a once in a lifetime opportunity. If we fuck up now, we may NEVER get another man like him in government in our lifetime
>REMINDER that even if you’re disappointed with how Trump is compromising too much with the Democrats by not doing things like immediately repealing DACA and not getting the wall through…November 6, 2018 is your chance to elect a much redder congress so that he doesn’t have to compromise with the Democrats so much and has a much greater chance of passing every item on his agenda through
>REMINDER that even if you hate Republicucks like Bitch McConnell, instead of whining in impotent rage, you should use your energy on electing solid MAGA candidates in the primaries and casting a vote against the Democrat even if a Republicuck wins the primary
[ ] sign up for the Democrats’ mailing list on obstructionistlosers.com/ to keep an eye out for what they want to do in your area
[ ] sign up for the Republican’s mailing list on gop.com/ to keep an eye out for what they want to do in your area [ ]think of all the family members and friends you know who are willing to vote against the Democrats, and get them to register to vote if they haven’t yet, and CONSTANTLY REMIND THEM THAT NOVEMBER 6 IS THE BIG DAY. Do whatever it takes. If you have a younger Gen Z sister who hates the Democrats and recently turned 18, get her to stop taking selfies and take some time to register. Prepare a family / friend party for November 6 or close to it. Anything along those lines. If you’re a hot chick (or a girl who isn’t a landwhale, really) get your beta orbiters to vote.
[ ] if you know people willing to vote Democrat, think of all the ways to redpill or demotivate them; obviously this will vary on a case-by-case basis
[ ] share what you know about how each candidate is perceived in your area (e.g. I live in Indiana and Joe Donnelly isn't even popular among progressives; I live in NYC and many people here won't even bother going out to vote for Gillibrand)
[ ] share your ideas on how to improve this general
Levi Ramirez
(OHIO) 2016 Presidential Election: 2,841,005 Trump (51.69%) to 2,394,164 Hillary (43.56%) 2016 House Elections: 2,996,017 GOP (58.17%) to 2,154,523 DEM (41.83%) 1.85% downward GOP swing from 2014 2016 Senate Election: 3,118,567 GOP – 58% to 1,996,908 DEM – 37.2% >purple state turning redder
>there’s a good chance that Democrat, Sherrod Brown is going down Who here lives in Ohio? How many people do you know will vote this November? What will you be doing for the midterms?
Nathan Reyes
Republicans will lose the house unless Trump approval rating reaches near 50%
Parker Anderson
(PENNSYLVANIA) 2016 Presidential Election: 2,970,733 Trump (48.18%) to 2,926,441 Hillary (47.46%) 2016 House Elections: 3,096,576 GOP (53.91%) to 2,625,157 DEM (45.70%) 1.63% downward GOP swing from 2014, 1.24% upward DEM swing from 2014 2016 Senate Election: 2,951,702 GOP (48.8%) to 2,865,012 (47.3%) >rust belt blue state turned slightly red in 2016
>Bob Casey, the Democrat, is particularly vulnerable if we bring out enough of the 2016 GOP numbers against him Who here lives in Pennsylvania? How many people do you know will vote this November? What will you be doing for the midterms?
Owen Flores
(MICHIGAN)
2016 Presidential Election: 2,279,543 Trump (47.5%) to 2,268,839 Hillary (47.27%) 2016 House Elections: 2,243,402 GOP (48.03%) to 2,193,980 DEM (46.97%) – 0.55% upward swing from 2014 for the GOP, 2.2% downward swing from 2014 for the Democrats 2014 Senate Election: 1.290,199 GOP (41.3%) to 1,704,936 DEM (54.6%) >rust belt blue state turned slightly red in 2016 >The Democrat Stabenow seems somewhat vulnerable, it’s going to be a tough senate battle and Trump will definitely campaign hard for whoever the GOP nominates Who here lives in Michigan? How many people do you know will vote this November? What will you be doing for the midterms?
Logan Carter
(WISCONSIN)
2016 Presidential Election: 1,405,284 Trump (47.22%) to 1,382,536 Hillary (46.45%) 2016 House Elections: 1,270,279 GOP (45.8%) to 1,379,996 DEM (49.75%) 2016 Senate Election: 1,479,471 GOP (50.2%) to 1,380,335 DEM (46.8%) >rust belt blue state turned slightly red in 2016 >The Democrat Baldwin seems somewhat vulnerable, it’s going to be a tough senate battle and Trump will definitely campaign hard for whoever the GOP nominates Who here lives in Wisconsin? How many people do you know will vote this November? What will you be doing for the midterms?
Nicholas King
(Jobs)
>With the new Trump tax cuts, the resulting economic growth will lead to more jobs >Trump is bringing back plenty of new jobs to the rust belt
(Healthcare)
>Obamacare is massively unpopular. I know a few former Obama supporters who switched to Trump, with this issue being one of the main reasons.
>Trump has made strides in repealing Obamacare
(Immigration)
>Trump has made strides in improving border security
>Democrats are holding back funding for the Wall
(Opioid Epidemic)
>The Opioid epidemic is caused by drug cartels sending immigrants into the country as drug mules and also all the cities most affected by the drugs are run by democrats.
>Opioid overdose is the leading cause of death for adults in the US under the age of 50. This is the most pressing health issue in the nation. It beats out literally everything else.
Luis Gonzalez
(Gun Control)
>There are many voters who are pro-2nd Amendment who consider being anti-gun to be a dealbreaker. These can be counted upon to show up to vote against Democrats
>likewise, "think of muh children in schools" types might act the opposite way
(Abortion)
>we can count on evangelical pro-lifers to reliably vote for pro-life candidates, as this is often a dealbreaker issue for them
>likewise, some pro-choicers will reliably vote for pro-choice candidates
(Marijuana)
>a problem the GOP has is that its candidates generalize oppose legalization or decriminilization, and voters who consider this important can swing an election
>if Trump kicks out sessions and moves towards decriminalization or legalization, it can help him and the GOP tremendously
(President Trump)
>Democrats will attack Trump for a variety of issues -- conspiracy theories about Russian collusion, his mental health
>People with an autistic hatred for Trump can be motivated to turnout for the Democrats, though that probably won’t mean much given that they’re going to be centered in areas that are already reliably blue. At the same time, their hatred can be offputting to independents and moderates.
>GOP candidates in NeverTrumper areas will need to distance themselves from Trump, and we are going to have to be fine with that, because they’re likely to be better than the Democrat candidates
>GOP candidates in areas where Trump is popular should market themselves as explicitly MAGA anti-establishment candidates.
Hunter Martin
(Human Trafficking / Pizzagate / Pedos in the Establishment)
>if John Podesta gets busted this year, the GOP can capitalize on this MASSIVELY. Even if we don’t get Skippy, getting some other Democrat figures exposed as pedos will fuck them up like how Moore got fucked up and turned Alabama blue
(Sexual Harrassment)
>have no doubt about it, you can bet your balls that more than a few GOP candidates WILL face allegations of sexual harassment, maybe even as severe as Moore’s or worse. Everyone running as a Republican must be prepared to respond ‘no’ in a clear, definitive way that makes the Democrats look bad for trying to smear them
>it’s a double edged sword. Democrats will probably face allegations and will be harmed by them too.
(COMMON OPPOSITION TALKING POINTS AND RESPECTIVE REBUTTALS)
“The first midterm always goes against the party in the Presidency”
Realize that "first midterm going against party in Presidency" phenomenon isn't some magical axiom that just happens, but is explainable through factors that can be altered in our favor
i.e.
>not getting complacent >getting voters motivated against the Democrats >a lot of fundraising >not listening to blackpilled faggots from cucked out countries >organization, which is what this general contributes to >voters who would normally vote Democrat realizing how fruitless it is >Trump’s base turning out in large numbers and high energy for MAGA candidates that Trump endorses
“B-but Alabama went blue! You have no chance! Blue wave imminent!”
Realize that it only went blue because of *severely* depressed Republican turnout due to pedo allegations and backstabbing from other GOP figures like Dick Shelby, Flake, McConnell, Ivanka, et al. Old ladies who get their news from local talk radio and FOX News thought the allegations were legit.
This year, there will be hundreds of races to focus on, which means pedo allegations and party infighting won’t be factors. We were outspent in Alabama by 7-to-1. The Democrats are running out of money while the GOP has saved up MASSIVE amounts.
Justin Smith
(FLORIDA) 2016 Presidential Election: 4,617,886 Trump (49.02%) to 4,504,975 Hillary (47.82%) 2016 House Elections: 4,733,630 GOP (54.71%) to 3,985,050 DEM (45.21%) 2016 Senate Election: 4,835,191 GOP (52%) to 4,122,088 DEM (44.3%) >purple state that went a bit redder in 2016 >Bill Nelson seems to be a strong Democrat candidate. It’s still possible to defeat him, however Who here lives in Florida? How many people do you know will vote this November? What will you be doing for the midterms?
Ethan Cox
(VIRGINIA) 2016 Presidential Election: 1,769,443 Trump (44.41%) to 1,981,473 Hillary (49.73%) 2016 House Elections: 1,843,010 GOP (48.74%) to 1,859,426 DEM (49.17%) – 4.82% downward swing from 2014 for the GOP, 9.55% upward swing from 2014 for the Democrats 2014 Senate Election: 1,073,667 DEM (49.1%) to 1,055,940 GOP (48.3%) >Dixie state turned pretty blue >Tim Kaine, Hillary’s running mate, looks solid but he’s definitely still someone who can be BTFO like Pence did at the VP debate Who here lives in Virginia? How many people do you know will vote this November? What will you be doing for the midterms?
Chase Wilson
(MINNESOTA) 2016 Presidential Election: 1,322,951 Trump (44.9%) to 1,367,716 Hillary (46.4%) 2016 House Elections: 1,334,686 GOP (46.73%) to 1,434,590 DEM (50.23%) – 0.03% upswing from 2014 for the Democrats, 0.20% upswing from 2014 for the Republicans 2016 Senate Election: 850,227 GOP (42.9%) to 1,053,205 DEM (53.2%) >state that has gone blue for the Presidency in every year since 1972. Even Reagan didn’t win it in the 1984 49 state landslide. However, Trump ALMOST won it in 2016. Keep that in mind >there will be two senate races because of Franken’s resignation; we have a chance to pick up 2 new senate seats for the GOP Who here lives in Minnesota? How many people do you know will vote this November? What will you be doing for the midterms?
Ryan Roberts
>Utah
Owen Powell
(NEVADA) 2016 Presidential Election: 512,058 Trump (45.5%) to 539,260 Hillary (47.92%) 2016 House Elections: 498,104 GOP (46.19%) to 508,113 DEM (47.11%) 2016 Senate Election: 495,079 GOP (44.7%) to 521,994 DEM (47.1%) >purple state that swung slightly blue in 2016 >if we get GOP turnout high, we can win decently in this state in 2018; Dean Heller is the GOP incumbent and a lot of money will be spent on keeping him in Who here lives in Nevada? How many people do you know will vote this November? What will you be doing for the midterms?
>75 Years Old, former astronaut, 2nd sitting member of Congress to travel into space >3 Term Senator. First elected in 2000 with 51% of the vote. Reelected in 2006 with 60% of the vote. Reelected in 2012 with 55% of the vote. >Moderate Democrat. Accused of being a DINO -- Democrat in Name Only. Florida is a purple state, so no shit. >As of 2017 he holds a 52% approval rating with only 23% of his constituents saying they disapprove of his job as Senator.
The guy is a bit of a tough opponent. He has a solid resume. He won in 2006 and 2012 with nice margins, partly because those were ‘blue years’ where Democrats won big. However, a lot has changed in the country since 2012. SJW bullshit only really started in 2014. Trump changed the landscape in 2015 and won in 2016 when he was a fucking joke in 2012. This guy is beatable, but as a moderate Democrat can appeal to large segments of the Floridian population. We’re going to have to marshall the people who voted for Rubio and Trump to vote for this guy. I used to live in Florida but don’t know much about him.
Any thoughts? I’ll update this as more info comes in.
>62 Years Old, generic lawyer / career politician type, >1 Term Senator. First elected in 2012 with only 50% of the vote. Running for re-election this year.
This guy must know he’s in for a tough fight, being from Pence’s home state, which Trump won massively in 2016. We’re going to give him a fight even harder than he expects.
>During the election, Donnelly framed Mourdock as "the Wall Street candidate," saying that "the difference between me and Mourdock is, I represent the middle class, while he represents the special interests.
>During the campaign Mourdock (GOP opponent) became embroiled in a controversy after stating that pregnancy from rape is "something that God intended."
The guy probably would have lost in 2012 were it not for that.
>won by 52.92%. Republican had 30.73% and the Democrat had 13.15%
It seems he’s attracting a large amount of Democrats and moderate Republicans. Maine isn’t going to be a high priority state, but it would be nice if we could take this.
We are going up against Debbie Stabenow. Michigan, as we all know, is one of the rust belt states that flipped to Trump in a narrow margin. This is going to be one of the most hard fought races in the election.
>67 Years Old, generic career politician type >Michigan’s first female Senator >Three termer; won in 2000 with 49.5% as an underdog, won in 2006 with 57% (year the Democrats took Congress because of dissatisfaction with warmongering neocon George W. Bush who they now praise because he doesn’t like Drumpf) , won in 2012 with 59%
This looks like a tough battle based on those numbers, but a lot has changed since 2006 and 2012.
>Stabenow has expressed support in regulating talk radio via a measure like the Fairness doctrine. >Stabenow has a "F" rating from both the National Rifle Association (NRA) and the Gun Owners of America for her consistent voting against pro-gun laws. She has an "A+" rating from the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence. >In 2017, Stabenow, alongside Debbie Dingell, introduced a law that would make it illegal for people charged with misdemeanor stalking to buy guns. >Stabenow supported President Barack Obama's health reform legislation; she voted for the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act in December 2009,
I’m not sure how much Trump voters in Michigan care about these topics (namely the Trump voters who previously voted Democrat). Any thoughts?
Read up on your primary candidates and REMEMBER TO VOTE. If you live in Michigan, mark this date on your calendar and get family/friends out with you!!
Read up on your primary candidates and REMEMBER TO VOTE. If you live in Michigan, mark this date on your calendar and get family/friends out with you!! >Stabenow made a cameo in the 2016 Zack Snyder film Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice as the Governor of New Jersey, the state in which Gotham City is located in the DC Extended Universe.
We will be going up against Tina Smith, Al Franken’s replacement. Note that there are TWO Senate elections in Minnesota this time around.
>59 Years Old, worked with Planned Parenthood, aside from some time spent in marketing worked mainly in politics >former Lieutenant Governor of Minnesota
She got sworn in three days ago. There really isn’t much to be said at this point. Minnesota was one of the states that ALMOST went to Trump (a margin of around 40,000). If he won it, he would have won a state that even Reagan couldn’t win in 1984. The last time a Republican won it was 1972. The political landscape in Minnesota has changed massively. It’s similar to Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
>57 years old, generic lawyer turned career politician >She has been called a "rising star" in the Democratic Party. >She has been named by The New York Times and The New Yorker as one of the women most likely to become the first female President of the United States, and by MSNBC and The New Yorker as a possible nominee to the U.S. Supreme Court. >first won in 2006 with 58%, then reelected in 2012 with 65% of the vote
>Klobuchar has a "F" rating from the National Rifle Association (NRA) for supporting gun control legislation >Klobuchar opposed the Trans-Pacific Partnership "because she [had] concerns about whether the proposed legislation [was] strong enough for American workers."
This sounds like it’s going to be a tough battle. We’re going to need a strong GOP candidate to get turnout high among potential Trump voters. A huge reason he didn’t win in 2016 was because of McMullin who siphoned off 53,000 votes (probably not Democrat voters) and Johnson siphoning off 112,000 votes (including some Democrat voters). Margin between Trump and Hillary was 44,765 votes.
You can bet that the Democrats will employ their usual get out the vote efforts (though maybe they think Minnesota is safer than it actually is?).
Any thoughts?
Aiden Reed
The Democratic incumbent beat the Republican challenger 59-24 in my district (WA-06) in 2016, and at the Senate level the seething mass of libtards and illegals with driver's licenses in the Seattle metro completely nullify any choice I might have in the matter. Is there a competitive race in Idaho, Oregon, or Montana that needs help?
Dominic Lopez
No senate race in Oregon. There is a Democrat Senator in Montana we need to oust though,
Robert Edwards
the thing is, there are only like...150 posters per thread in /ptg/. Door-to-door activism isn't what we should focus on (if you want to do that on your own time though, go for it). Online psy-ops are what we should focus on
Christian Evans
Me, I flipped my registration from D to R recently thanks to your thread.
I'm in a very conservative part of the state but there is a leftist foothold due to certain bi annual events.
I have family members that will be voting right and a left leaning friend with a commie gf that will vote left.
I can't personally stump for midterm because I feel it will put my job at risk.
Connor Cook
Bump. I’m the Ohio user from the discord
Sebastian Jones
>doing my damndest to turn that CA arrow around hard work lads
Connor Cook
Nice! Great job. What made you leave the Democratic Party? Their catering to SJWs? You changing in political outlook?
Joshua Evans
Well yeah, but geographic proximity still matters (time zones, access to local news, etc.), and the only other thing in reasonable distance is fucking California.
Isaiah Evans
gg/jpzBnv
JOIN THE D I S C O R D
Cameron Gonzalez
Oregon is a bit too blue for you to have much impact, and Idaho seems comfortably red (also, no Senate race there)
Montana is what you should focus on
Ian Scott
so, just wanted to put this out there
dems are all talking about the blue wave... but they better fucking HOPE there is one, because theres 17 spots up for reelection compared to republican's 6.
even if they were to win 70% of these elections...they'd still lose ground.
why does no one ever mention this? is it because the excuse will be, even after they potentially lose a seat or two, that they "won most of the elections"?
Juan Gonzalez
No shit. what the fuck? Those mormons must have really been asspained when Trump pushed Romneys face in the mud.
Juan Perez
the diagram is for the MARGIN between the candidates. It's not that Hillary gained much in support, it's that Trump got a much lower percentage of the share than Romney, because
>not a Mormon, which would naturally have lost him some votes anyway
>Mormons butthurt about his alpha womanizing
>Evan McMullin siphoning off many votes...apparently pastors or whatever you call them in Mormon churches were telling the audiences to vote for McMullin
Ohio is republican virtually everywhere except its shithole cities. We will elect a republican governor (DeWine). The apparent republican opponent to Brown dropped out of the race so he caught a break, otherwise he might have been beat this time. People in Ohio seem to love Trump but there was also some sketchy shit going on at the polls last election.
Bentley Jones
Mandel dropped out but....he isn't the only Republican in Ohio. Come the fuck on. Why are you suggesting it's already a lost cause because someone dropped out months before the primary?
Jason Wilson
G-guys were going to WIN battleground states!!
Noah Turner
Cant even begin to imagine all the fun stuff 60+ repubs in the senate could bring
Robert Anderson
Ohiofag here. The Republican brand is doing better than it has in the last quarter century. Unfortunately, the State level GOP is a shitshow. Fortunately, the State level Democrat Party is an even bigger shitshow. Brown doesn't seem to be particularly popular or unpopular at the moment. So long as the GOP fields an at least decent candidate, they should win. Unfortunately, there's an uncomfortably large chance that they nominate some unpopular basket case and throw a winnable race.
Tl;Dr The GOP is more popular on the whole but this race boils down to who ends up fucking up more.
Nicholas Morgan
what happened in utah?
Jacob Scott
check out the above posts
Nathaniel Cooper
I see
Hudson Lopez
Yeah, I don't think Mandel is really all that popular. He tried to take on Brown last time the seat was up and got smoked. He did some shady things and had a habit of giving his war buddies cushy jobs they weren't qualified for in the Treasury Dept. (state level). He sounded good at first, but has kind of been a wet blanket in practice. I'm not sure who else they might run, though. The bench on both sides is atrocious.
Henry Bailey
I'm in VA. I know my father will be sign waving and I'll do what I can at school but Virginia Tech is a liberal hellhole
