The purpose of this thread is to provide Sup Forums a convenient guide to the 2018 midterms, and a platform to take action to achieve specific objectives that will prevent any semblance of a “Blue Wave.”
[ ] sign up for the Democrats’ mailing list on obstructionistlosers.com/ to keep an eye out for what they want to do in your area
[ ] sign up for the Republican’s mailing list on gop.com/ to keep an eye out for what they want to do in your area [ ]think of all the family members and friends you know who are willing to vote against the Democrats, and get them to register to vote if they haven’t yet, and CONSTANTLY REMIND THEM THAT NOVEMBER 6 IS THE BIG DAY. Do whatever it takes. If you have a younger Gen Z sister who hates the Democrats and recently turned 18, get her to stop taking selfies and take some time to register. Prepare a family / friend party for November 6 or close to it. Anything along those lines. If you’re a hot chick (or a girl who isn’t a landwhale, really) get your beta orbiters to vote.
[ ] if you know people willing to vote Democrat, think of all the ways to redpill or demotivate them; obviously this will vary on a case-by-case basis
[ ] share what you know about how each candidate is perceived in your area (e.g. I live in Indiana and Joe Donnelly isn't even popular among progressives; I live in NYC and many people here won't even bother going out to vote for Gillibrand)
[ ] share your ideas on how to improve this general
William Butler
The Complete Red Storm Todo-List
(ONLINE)
[ ] use a disposable email and sign up for The Daily Kos, Democratic Underground, and any other online leftist space you feel like; start racking up posts masquerading as a leftist (shouldn’t be hard, just rant about Russian bots, mimic their quirks like “yet another scared little white male afraid of losing power”); become a reputable poster so that you can set things up for later psy-ops
[ ] make a fake leftist Twitter account, follow a bunch of leftists and masquerade as a soyboy / SJW harpy by writing up a bunch of leftist sounding tweets
[ ] make a list of all Trump supporting / right-leaning people you know on social media, Steam, forums, etc; pm them to ask if they’re voting in the primaries and this November in the midterms; keep track of them every once in a while to ensure that they do
[ ] compile a folder of memes and a word document of copypastas to make certain things more efficient (OFFLINE / ‘REAL WORLD’)
[ ] register to vote; register for the Republican Party if it’s required to vote in the primaries in your state; mark the date for the primaries for your state on your calendar; mark November 6 on your calendar)
[ ] research the primary candidates and incumbents in your area for the House, Senate, and Governor races; decide who you want to support, and keep track of them;
[ ] make a list of people you know in real life who support Trump
[ ] make a list of people you know in real life who lean right (but aren’t really in support of Trump, e.g. NeverTrumpers)
[ ] make a list of people you know in real life who are politically apathetic or on the fence, but can be swayed to support Trump and/or vote GOP (e.g. people who dislike feminism but see no point in voting; people who used to vote Democrat but feel disenfranchised by the party)
Jaxson Phillips
[ ] have a conversation with or send a message to everyone you know who supports Trump; ask them if they’re voting this November in the midterms, and get them to commit to voting (use whatever means at your disposal; for instance, plan a party on November 6 so you can all get out to vote together); ask them if they are voting in the primaries, and get them to vote with you for the Trumpian nominee
[ ] have a conversation with or send a message to everyone you know who leans right but doesn’t necessarily support Trump; ask them if they’re voting this November in the midterms, and get them to commit to voting for the GOP (stress that despite their grievances with Trump, they still need to be aware that the Left is salivating for a ‘Blue Wave’ and that they need to join in to prevent that)
[ ] have a conversation with or send a message to everyone you know who is apathetic or on the fence; if they have left-leaning sympathies, don’t bother letting them know about the midterms, just talk about how you wish everyone would shut up about politics or something along those lines; if they have right-leaning sympathies, coax them into considering voting in the midterms by talking about all the things that could be fixed and what it could mean for them
[ ] have a conversation with or send a message to everyone you know who is on the left; ask them if they’re voting this November in the midterms; if they are voting, keep track of what they’re up to; if they’re the deranged type, use their offputting behavior as a means of swaying the people you know who are on the fence or have right leaning sympathies (e.g. ask them “hey, what do you think of that thing Alison McSJW posted on facebook”); if they’re not voting, keep track of whether they change their mind
Owen Ortiz
...
Connor Long
Getting a job helps too
Christopher Rivera
indeed
What is your pic of btw ?
Jeremiah Ortiz
Don't forget, there are still 4 house special elections before the midterms. One in PA,one in Arizona, and one in Ohio. All 3 of those. And there is one safe Democrap seat coyners. So the Republicans are going to have another 3 seats before the midterms even begin.
Nolan Sanders
yeah, PA-18 on March 13
Rick Saccone (R) vs Conor Lamb (D)
Nolan Diaz
...
Anthony Flores
As long as we have good nominees in Florida, Arizona,PA I feel good about Republicans keeping there house seats in those states and other states as well Florida-Rick Scott Arizona-MCsally PA-Barletta
Christopher Robinson
Here are the most likely nominees, can you guys give what % chance you think the Republicans have at winning these? I hope they sweep them all. Florida-Rick Scott Arizona-MCsally PA-Barletta Ohio-Renacci Indiana-Todd Rokita WV-Morrisey ND-Campbell Montana-Rosendale Missouri-Hawley Michigan-Jim James Wisconsin-Vukmir or Nicholson Nevada-Heller or Danny Tarkanian (but I hope Sandoval files and runs by next months deadline
Can someone give me what % chance the Republican has for each race in your opinion?
Ryder Cooper
We need to remember to meme with the gun vote.
Alexander Morgan
I'm kind of worried about the Pa election. I live in the district and it will be really low turnout. There are also mouth breathers flooding in from all over helping Soy Boy Connor Lamv
Angel Richardson
CA-49 here. Issa is going to have a pretty tough time this election. Applegate got pretty close last election, and there have been alot of anti-Trump/Issa signs in the last year.
Jordan Green
Rick Scott - Greater than 50%
McSally -- Greater than 50%
Barletta -- Around 40%, Trump was an inspiring figure...if he campaigns extensively in PA with Barletta maybe you can put that closer to 50%
Renacci -- 60%, even more if Trump campaigns extensively with him
Rokita -- 90%, it's Indiana...I think Pence should campaign with him
Morrisey -- 50%, Manchin seems to be conservative enough and well liked, so it's up to Trump and Morrisey to make sure he gets painted as an obstructionist
Campbell -- 90% tomfornorthdakota.com/ his website looks well made and he seems to have the appeal, so I think he can take down Heitkamp easily. 2012 was a strong year for the Democrats and Heitkamp barely won
Rosendale -- 90% same with the Campbell race above...Tester won in 2012 because it was a strong Democrat year
Hawley -- 90% same with Campbell/Rosendale
Jim James -- 50% I think the fact that he's black can give him a much needed boost...Trump needs to campaign hard in Michigan
Vukmir/Nicholson -- 50% same with the Michigan race...Tammy Baldwin is a hardline progressive so it might not turn out so well for her this time around
Heller -- 70%, while it's a state Clinton won, Heller can focus entirely on Nevada and has incumbent advantage
Caleb Baker
Do you have family and friends in the district? Do you talk to your neighbors and everyone about it. According to ballotpedia, >"National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC): Politico also reported that the NRCC had invested $2 million in airtime for Saccone. The group's ads were scheduled to air from January 29, 2018, until Election Day.
".>Republican National Committee (RNC): Politico reported that the RNC planned to invest approximately $1 million to support Saccone. The funding was expected to go primarily to get-out-the-vote operation"
>45Committee: On January 11, 2018, Politico reported that 45Committee, a pro-Trump group, would spend $500,000 on a media campaign in support of Saccone
>ongressional Leadership Fund: On January 5, 2018, the Congressional Leadership Fund announced that it was opening two field offices in the 18th Congressional District. The Fund, which is associated with U.S. House Speaker Paul Ryan (R), described its 18th District plan as a "hyper-targeted operation [that] will consist of at least 50 full-time door knockers, making 250,000 voter contacts in door-to-door efforts by Election Day."[13] The Congressional Leadership Fund has also invested $1.7 million in a media campaign supporting Saccone.[15] Click here to view the Congressional Leadership Fund's ads.
>Ending Spending Inc.: On January 4, 2018, Ending Spending announced that it was purchasing $1 million in airtime for a pro-Saccone ad. The Washington Post reported that the Ricketts family-backed PAC was the first group on the air in the special election. The PAC's ad emphasizes Saccone's experience as a state representative, Air Force veteran, and counterintelligence professional and says he has "a proven record of working to lower spending and cut property taxes
Sacconne will win
Carter Brown
for real? Can you go into more detail
Elijah Murphy
I agree with most of your except Arizona. If McSally is the nominee, it will be closer to 90%, but if anyone else is the nominee, then it would be 50-50%.
Andrew Moore
If McSally wins the nomination, she is also most likely going to keep her house seat red. If Republicans in Arizona nominate anyone else, they're stupid. McSally is a guaranteed winner.
Brandon Wilson
I don't know much about McSally. All I know is that Arizona is purple, and Democrat voters might be more motivated to go to the polls than Republicans this year, but R's can get a boost because they're more reliable when it comes to showing up and Trump can motivate them and the GOP should fund their candidates more than in the special elections last year