It's that time again faggots

It's that time again faggots.
As always I'll give you the answer...
> you double your chance to win by switching
Cue relentless arguing anyway

Other urls found in this thread:

youtube.com/watch?v=9vRUxbzJZ9Y
twitter.com/SFWRedditImages

Always swap

I'm gonna pretend you're a retard because it's 50/60

Simple nothing to argue about, switch.

Definitely keep.my door because amendments and freedom and other such nonsense

Just because you're right doesn't mean there's nothing to argue about...

You'll see soon enough.

Where's all the dumb USAsians?
Is there a ball throwing game on or something?

Bumb

I'll pretend it's 50/50 and call everyone else dumb faggots for bump

Slowest monty hall thread so far

Too early for Ameriburgers?
I thought you fatties were up by now

Who cares?

Why don't we have a good old fashioned newfags can't triforce thread?

Because that's shit.
And you didn't answer the question faggot

What question?

Bum

The OP image and post.
What are you doing here if you missed that

no you don't, you go from a 33% to a 50% to win.
Your first decision is a 1/3 chance to win, excluding one door now gives you a 1/2 chance to win.
retard

But that's wrong.
Without explain the 66% thing, you know there can never be a 50% anything from a choice of 3

youtube.com/watch?v=9vRUxbzJZ9Y

Where's the other 16%?
Is there a fourth door?

after one door has been opened, you're not making a choice from 3, you're making one from 2.
what?

Pretty sure hes American.
Probably stashed the extra up his cornhole

You have a 50/50 chance at both the start and finish. The door that gets revealed effectively doesn't exist from the start, you don't up your chances by switching.
There's a 50% chance your door will have a car, a 0% chance for the revealed door, and a 50% chance for the other door

But you.made a choice from 3, so anything after is from 1/3

33% and 50% only adds up to 83%, where's the other 16%?

So you're saying you have a 50/50 chance of choosing the prize door in the beginning?..

That's wrong faggot

But one of the choices gets eliminated, so there's only 2

100 - 83 = 16

Whoever made that is a legitimate dumbass. You don't fucking add up how many times you switch vs. stay. That's just retarded. It's based on probability. It's either in the door you originally picked or the one you didn't. What does that equal out to be? 50-fucking/50. It doesn't make your chances increase. Also that fucking deck of cards bullshit was equally as retarded because three doors is a lot different than 52 cards.

I worded that wrong, you definitely have a 33% chance at the start

If theres 2/3 chance of picking goat to start, if you switch every time then it goes to 2/3 chances of not goat

ITT: Niggers fail basic statistics.

So I guess that means you have a 33% chance at the end

And since one of the other two is eliminated all the rest is piled onto the other option, therefor leading to 33% on the door you picked and 66% on the one you didn't.

Switch to door #3 for the goat you fucking idiots

Ok, you tell us then, what are the odds?

I read a book where a mathematician explains this. OP is correct. when you pick your door. you have 1/3 chance of picking the right door. just cus you open a door, doesn't change the fact that you had a 1/3 chance of picking the right door. therefore, the other options besides the door you picked have a 2/3 chance of being right. therefore, the only remaining door has a 2/3 chance of being right.
People will say "it's 50/50" that is effectively saying you had a 1/3 chance of picking right, you do something completely unrelated, suddenly you choice that you already made has gone up from 1/3 to 1/2. it doesn't work that way

Start with 33%
66% remaining
1 WRONG choice removed
33% remaining
Still have only 33% chance of first choice being right.
Switching switches to 66% because only a wrong answer can be removed

Your first choice and the second choice are 2 different situations.

33.333...% to win/66.66...% to get jack shit (combine 100%)

now, after one door that contains shit gets opened, you are left with 2 choices, 1 winning and one with shit.
so: 50% to win / 50% to lose.

If you don't switch, you made your choice based on info that gave you a 33% chance to win. If you switch after one door containing shit gets revealed, you make a choice based on info that nets you 50% chance to win.


feel free to not use this info if you ever are presented the opportunity though.

That equation don't relate to this, and if you actually think it does, change your classes.

I think the real issue here is that the problem, which is mathematical in nature, presents itself in a real life setting.
In the practical sense, it becomes a 50/50, or stays 33/67
In a mathematical sense, it changes to 67/33

Tl;dr: The problem is inherently flawed

Refer to these guys.

Yes.
But they'll still give you the angries

most easy way for idiots to understand this:

imagine there's a million doors, 1 door with the prize, 999999 with goats. you pick door 573132.

host removes every door except 573132 (your pick) and 221352

now do you actually think you picked the correct 1 in a million door, or do you switch to the only other door left available?

You're absolutely correct. I just wanted to decorate the post with some probability theory/statistics, and that was the only (somewhat) relevant image I had.

tl;dr: I fucked up, because aesthetics.

You are dumb.
If you choose 1/3, the 2/3 applies to every choice you didn't take.
If we remove one KNOW ING it's not the winner, theres still a 2/3 chance you didn't pick the winner.first
Blahblahduhduh yougunSAY50/fifty anyway because retard

No.
Everything you said is wrong on every possible level

Then where is the remaining 16%?
You can't have two options who's odds don't add up to 100%.

Explain how this worldwide known mathematical problem is inherently flawed.

you are on the right track. but what you are saying is that there is two choices switching for 50% win and not switching for 33% win.
So there is a 17% chance you will do.... what? fuck the goat?

I have two children, one is a boy born on a Tuesday.
What is the probability I have two boys?

Answer 13 in 27

Debate

The mathematical problem isn't, the way it is presented is. If you were given the pure facts, it would be ezpz. But the irl setting it has been given has caused people to doubt the math.

Also, any well known problem must be at least partially unanswered/unanswerable to catch on, which is a flaw in the problem

It isn't unanswered, the answer is just counter-intuitive.

Get fucked.
We all know both your kids are tranny faggots.
Get your jollies derailing a thread somewhere else you sad fuck

That was the exact word I was looking for, thank you

No.
Real life gives a choice of 3.
You choose 1.

Real.life means the one you.chose has a 33% chance of being the winner.
And by default, 66% chance the winner is one you DID NOT choose.

So when one of the two you didn't choose gets revealed, there is still a 66% chance that you DID NOT choose the winner, so the only remaining door you didn't choose still has a 66% chance of being the winner.

There's can never be 50/50 from a choice of 3, no matter what happens

If you think that switching doesn't give you 66% chance every time, then counterintuitive was not the word.you were looking for

Dumb bumb

No math is unanswered.
There's just people that can't figure out the answer

There's definitely some ball throwing event or political jumbo going on in USAsia right now.

I forgot to do the INB4
> but I want a goat
> the other door has a goats ass
> I'm a muslim

And none have come up.
Generally at least 2 of those would be posted with I g the first 30

Bumb bumb bumb bumb bumb
Bu-bumb

Bumb because americans seem to actully be doing something today

There's no such thing as world fat acceptance day is there?

ITT: People who went to college vs. People who didn't goto college.

Which category do you fall into?

tl;dr it's 50% chance of winning by changing or 0.0001% chance of winning

Fags with diabetes and hiv

Mr professor off Jacking to trap and loli

Did you get this from that book about that autistic kid

Sorry to hear that user...
You say strong and you can get through this

You have a 66% chance of not picking the car the first time, so that means after the other goat is revealed there's a 66% chance the car is in the other one.