I'm Canadian, and not for either party whatsoever. Just updating some people who think Hillary is ahead...

I'm Canadian, and not for either party whatsoever. Just updating some people who think Hillary is ahead. Please share your thoughts.

Other urls found in this thread:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_polling_for_U.S._Presidential_elections#United_States_presidential_election.2C_1980
strawpoll.me/11309360/
ballotpedia.org/Early_voting
mostdamagingwikileaks.com/
nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html?_r=0
foreignpolicy.com/2016/09/07/the-kremlin-really-believes-that-hillary-clinton-will-start-a-war-with-russia-donald-trump-vladimir-putin/
twitter.com/SFWRedditGifs

But Hillary is ahead. Trump has already lost. Why? Because if you give Trump all of the remaining tossup states, he still doesn't get the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election. The remaining states added to his current states aren't enough for the win.

Hillary has already statistically won the election.

>Please share your thoughts.
This is one poll. Though it's true that Trump is gaining some ground, on average (considering the total polling landscape instead of just one poll) he's still about 5 points behind. If the current trend keeps up though, he could be ahead before election day. It's somewhat unlikely because it's unprecedented in US election history, but it's not impossible.

Who are these mysterious people taking polls. I never have been asked to partake in these mysterious polls.

Isn't it obvious it's all bullshit?

Source? Wait, there is none HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA FAGGOT

p r o o f

I was actually called by one. It kind of went like this.

Caller: Are you a registered voter?
Me: Yes

Caller: What party affiliation?
Me: Independent

Caller: Have you decided on who you will vote for in the upcoming presidential election, and if so who?
Me: Donald Trump

{click} I was abruptly hung up on. I am pretty sure that they wanted a different answer to that question, so they didn't register my vote in their polling.

>1 per cent

But still the polls don't represent all the people who plan to vote.

Apparently it's only bullshit if trump is shown being ahead. Libtard logic.

kek, these people have to make several hundreds of phone calls every day.

they hung up to make the next call, there's no conspiracy on the polling you fucking mongoloid. why would they even call and ask if they're going to forge the result anyway?

I've heard this is how it goes all the time. Trump is going to win. You have to remember that the "polls" had Jimmy Carter ahead by 8 points the day of the election in 1980. We all know how that happened. Either side saying it's already over is retarded.

I don't even plan to vote moron but I'm registered. I'm not even liberal. Idiot.

those polls do not show you what state they are voting

Wasn't attacking you faggot, but hysterical libtard confirmed.

That's the "ABC/Wash Post Tracking" poll. They've essentially shown a tie for months. The margin of error is 4% and they've never exceeded that amount in either direction. This is just more of the same.

Stop spreading misinformation.
>You have to remember that the "polls" had Jimmy Carter ahead by 8 points the day of the election in 1980.
>8 points
November 1980 polling average:
Reagan 47% / Carter 44%
Election result:
Reagen 51% / Carter 41%
>en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_polling_for_U.S._Presidential_elections#United_States_presidential_election.2C_1980

>I'm Canadian
Stopped reading

That's one poll lol

this.

Reagan was behind in most, and some by as much as 12 points.

Here's a poll for regular folks.

strawpoll.me/11309360/

I haven't voted since 2012. Don't plan to vote for anything anymore. Voting doesn't matter anyway and the election is already fixed. All the media covering the election is propaganda to give the illusion that there's a choice, but it's all been planned out already. It's all an act, like theater.

Voting is an act you do which legitimizes the system even though it's all a fraud. The people who vote are keeping this fraudulant system continue by acting like voting matters, but it only matters because you're helping to make it look real. The only people who are not responsible for keeping the lie perpetuating are people who don't vote. People who vote have blood their hands.

Here's the NYT doing something similar with their journalism.

History has been repeating itself for a long time now. You're probably too young to remember Harry S Truman…

...

>its a "stupid millennial who gets his news from buzzfeed doesnt know what the electoral college is or how it works" episode

oh the good side, at least a bunch of you retards wont vote because you think hillary already won, making it that much easier for trump

The electoral college elects the president. We don't get to see everything either. Good faith should be dead and buried at this point. But people are unable to change it, essentially. We are expected to believe in the American dream even if it's pushing up daisies thanks to money. Money makes the world go, however you want it to. You can
Be anything as long as big money backs you. Or you have it to begin with.

Trump voters, nor Trump himself understand how the EC works.

kek, keep believing that

romney was ahead in a bunch of polls to and lost by 4 million votes

Brexit was polling and predicted that Remain would win by 10% and it ended up losing by 2%

polls are mostly bullshit, and usually run by bought out media trying to influence the election

You think Hillary actually has won anything yet because of projected polls. Youre an idiot, thats not how the electoral college works.

As long as we have people dumb enough to believe demographics, we have an environment that can be influenced.

Early voting has her ahead in nearly every state too. 25% more people came out to vote and most were registered democrats.

Delusion much?

The media outlets are making the race look as close as possible so Clinton voters show up. The odds have changed since the third debate, but not much.

voting has already started in some of the key swing states like FL, NC, and PA

>butthurt at somebody smarter than you posting something, no matter what it is.
Trump supporter detected.

>PA

Nope. PA doesn't have early voting.

but it does you dumb ass, and hillary is ahead.

ballotpedia.org/Early_voting

let me explain this to you. Each state is worth a certain amount of "points" Texas is worth 38, Nevada is worth 6 ect

So in the popular election when you go out and vote, you are voting to see which candidate gets these points. If most of the state votes for the democrat, then they get those points, if most vote for the republican, then the republican gets the points.

But these arent just points, what they actually are are representatives to the electoral college. So when Louisiana for example votes to give the republican their 8 points, what they are actually doing is saying they want 8 republicans to represent their state at the electoral college, and when Wisconsin votes democrat, that means they want 10 democrats to represent them at the electoral college.

So then the electoral college gets together and they work together to decide who is going to be the next president based on this, with each state deciding who they want to essentially represent them.

For example, the reason Bush won in 2000 isnt because of Florida, its because solid blue Vermont ended up voting for him by voting for the republicans to represent them at the electoral college. This change, or "swing state" made them decide that Bush would be the best president

Why the fuck do you care?

Worry about your own irrelevant country.

>Early voting has her ahead in nearly every state too


No it doesnt. Shes still behind in places like Florida and Ohio. And in any case, this is goal post moving and assuming that early votes decide the election, they dont. You are clearly children and this is your first election.

>believing fake polls
Trump is way farther ahead.

>1 Per cent
Seems that Nicole can't grammar for shit

>Per cent
Unreadable

>ballotpedia.org/Early_voting
Wait, wait...
3 out of 4 states that legalized recreational weed have "mail-only" voting?

wut?

>You are clearly children and this is your first election.
I'm actually 37 and not even a US citizen.

Thats early voting. And the way early voting is is that you just mail in your ballot, but it cant be counted until election day, they only know if you are a republican, democrat, or maybe independent. So when they say Hillary is up in the early vote in somewhere like Virginia, all that means is that they got a bunch of early votes in from registered democrats. Some of those very well may have actually voted for someone else though.

Trump is ahead in Florida in terms of early votes though, based on the fact that mostly republicans early voted there so far.

Despite all the bullshit in the news the past few days about emails and Trump's illegal tax dodging, nothing has changed. Poll shifts are within the margin of error and the electoral college votes haven't changed at all. Trump is still fucked.

>not even a US citizen.

That explains at least why you dont understand how this stuff works

Is it just me, or is the level of CTR kind of light today? They're probably working on their next FBI investigation talking point.

>Shes still behind in places like Florida and Ohio.
Nate Silver's already projecting Trump victories in both FL and OH.
...oh, and a Hillary victory overall.

You spoke too soon.

see

Those are all still just projections user. Thats not how the electoral college works.

>implying there is just one poll
>what is a margin of error
They're neck and neck

>nate silver

Texas is going blue, and Hillary is ahead in FL by 4 today.

What gives you the idea that I don't understand how this works? I know the mechanics of your election system a lot better than the average American.

I think they're too busy posting the "u mad whiteboi" threads, and other interracial stuff in /gif/

>>nate silver

That clearly says average. He's talking about a specific poll the day of the election. You fucking idiot. You literally uses Wikipedia as a source

The projections are based off polls that show a clear winner, well outside of the margin of error. The toss-ups are still within the margin of error.

You can bank on the polls being wrong if you want. Though highly improbable, it's possible. Most likely, you're in for a rude awakening on election day though.

Trump is most likely ahead based on the fact that plently of democrats either left or refuse to vote for Hillary.

in the last election, Obama only won by 4 million votes, and he was really popular with democrats. But now, 2 million have switched parties this election, and there are around 6 million bernie voters who are either voting for someone like Jill Stein or just refusing to vote, so thats -8 million for Hillary right from the start.

But to her favor, Trump isnt popular with Republicans either, but its a double edged swrod because he at least has die hard supporters that WILL rush to vote for him, while most of hillarys supporters are just luke warm about her and are less willing to even vote.

This might be one of the closest elections in years

>He's talking about a specific poll
Read his post again you mongoloid.

>actually believes CTR meme
Because who wouldn't invest campaign resources and counting the number of pro-Hillary posts by anonymous posters on a board full of underage virgins from across the world in threads that disappear after 15 minutes

Just shut the fuck up you idiot.

>Please share your thoughts.

Armericans are fucking weak-minded, inconsistent and have the attention span of a guppy.

They can elect the Orange horseman and go to hell with him if they want to. The issue I have is that shit affects the rest of the world too. George Bush was a disaster but this would be far beyond that.

>What gives you the idea that I don't understand how this works?

based on the fact that you have no idea what the electoral college is or how it works.

Heres another fun fact, the electoral college doesnt even meet until a few months after the popular election. Anyone bringing up the electoral college at this stage as if its set in stone is an idiot talking out of their ass

see this if you want to learn how it works

>based on the fact that plently of democrats either left or refuse to vote for Hillary
>based on the fact
>fact

Wrong. Most voters have been unfazed by the latest GOP/FBI scandal against Hillary.

1. There is literally no emails in this batch that are TO or FROM Hillary.
2. People are actually starting to feel bad for Hillary and feel this announcement was very political and very wrong, and as a result her numbers have actually GONE UP.

People around the world laugh at us for constantly being stupid enough to elect idiots like Bush and Reagan, this would be a new low that we will never live down. This guy represents every hateful American stereotype, not to mention that he's a fucking moron that would make this country plumet. I fucking hope this doesn't happen.

Kek, I know perfectly well how the electoral collage works. Again, where are you getting the idea that I don't?
>because you don't
isn't an answer.

They were busy fapping to a trap thread, but are back now.

Early votes are generally a right lean due to welfare queens not voting until the last minute.

Doesnt matter who gets the most votes in America, its a facade. Al Gore got more votes than Bush, but it doesnt matter

Dude, did you not hear what Hillary said about Russia? Or that Russia has officially stated they will prepare for war if she is elected?

Shit, I don't like Trump either but I don't want to be fucking drafted or try to survive a nuclear holocaust.

People like you are the truly stupid ones.

No one feels bad for her Lmfao. Where are you getting your bullshit information?

>Russia has officially stated they will prepare for war if she is elected
Link? I didn't hear anything abut that.

That is just Russia trying to influence little pussies like you to vote for Trump.

mostdamagingwikileaks.com/

>Again, where are you getting the idea that I don't?

You brought up early voting as if its set in stone and brought up florida as if hillary is ahead there. Shes not going to win Florida.

Again, you arent nearly as in the know on this as you believe you are.

Im not even talking about the email thing, Im talking about the bernie sanders supporters that refused to vote for her even before that and the number of democrats that switched parties.

>1. There is literally no emails in this batch that are TO or FROM Hillary.

Derp. I guess people never hired anyone to do their dirty work for them in the history of forever. Smart thinking there, chappo.

>2. People are actually starting to feel bad for Hillary and feel this announcement was very political and very wrong, and as a result her numbers have actually GONE UP.

I don't feel bad for someone who publicly has declared she wants another pointless war against the world's largest stockpiler of nuclear weapons. Or someone who has laughed at her opponents being brutally killed in the middle east.

Trump is bad, but Hillary is death on a global scale. I think they're working together, but Trump won't piss the Russians off nearly as much.

People votes mean nothing, this fucking idiot here actually thinks that this is how the electoral college works. And it's not at all.

>paid shills

Just wondering, if you were really spending money on people trying to change the views of people online by forum posts, why exactly would you send them to Sup Forums's Sup Forums or Sup Forums board?

Half of the people lurking those boards these days aren't old enough to vote and the rest isn't going to change their views no matter what.

This is about the level of response I expected from some dumb kid whos voting for hillary

The whole "Russia" thing is just more bullshit put out by Hillary to divert the attention off of her emails.

It is simply not true, and one more in a long chain of lies told by her.

nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html?_r=0

>Half of the people lurking those boards these days aren't old enough to vote and the rest isn't going to change their views no matter what.

And a significant number of user isn't even from the US.

I sure hope he wins. Hillary actually legit scares the shit out of me. If she can lie this much and get away with so much how much else could she do with the power of president also why do the people in the background want her elected so bad? Obviously not for something good.

It's all over the entire fucking internet.

foreignpolicy.com/2016/09/07/the-kremlin-really-believes-that-hillary-clinton-will-start-a-war-with-russia-donald-trump-vladimir-putin/

She compared Putin to Hitler and threatened war in Syria. The Kremlin is warning its military officials to get their families out of America on any vacations/visits, etc. Russia is positioning troops in the middle east.

Just goes to show Hillary supporters are so fucking stupid they're going to vote for WW3. And be proud of it. Fucking idiots.

>The whole "Russia" thing is just more bullshit put out by Hillary to divert the attention off of her emails.

And who exactly gave all those E-Mails to wikileaks?

dont get mad at me because your a angry and confused idiot who doenst understand how the electoral college works because you were too busy doing bong hits and fapping to furry porn to bother to do even 3 min of google research

Bernie supporters are totally on board with her. She has even adopted some of his ideas to appease them.

Don't bother. It's Russian propaganda.

Google it. I'm not the guy youre replying to but this is a legitimate thing. She wants to enforce a no fly zone over Serbia which is also pissing off russia

THE RUSSIANS

THE RUSSIANS

THE RUSSIANS

THE RUSSIANS

exactly

>If she can lie this much and get away with so much how much else could she do with the power of president also why do the people in the background want her elected so bad?

Are you an idiot? Donald Trump is pretty much lying everytime he opens his mouth and the bullshit he tells gets him his votes. It has been proven time and time again.

The point isn't to change votes. The point is to mold young minds into accepting shit like black men with white women, israeli supremacy, feminism, that sort of thing.

>You brought up early voting as if its set in stone
The only thing that I pointed out is that voting is underway. If Clinton's ahead in the polls in early voting states, and that included Florida up until midway last week, then she's banking on her lead. Obviously works both ways (as in Ohio), but it matters for the final result. Stop putting words in my mouth.

>Serbia
>tfw you're too dumb to even parrot bullshit correctly

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