Clinton has 90 percent chance of winning: Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation

Clinton has 90 percent chance of winning: Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation

reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKBN1322J1

>YOU MAD TRUMPKINS?

Other urls found in this thread:

nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/polls.html
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
youtube.com/watch?v=3VumDFvCkyA
twitter.com/NSFWRedditImage

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won't you be surprised.

>you
>this is you

Trump wins.... How does that grab you?

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we will see who is mad tuesday night

or in january when that crooked bitch is in jail

Feel a teeny bit bad for the trumpers. I celebrated Hillary's victory the moment Trump clinched the nomination. He's exactly who we wanted.

Yes, Trumpers, if pays to actually know something about the game your playing. Now you know a little more. Welcome to the game.

How does this grab you? Three point lead for HillDAWG.
nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/polls.html

10/10 post

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not by this pussy. you missed with those small grubby sausage fingers.

It amazes me how dumb Americans really are, not all, but the majority.

Every god damn election, Americans have a chance to finally stop the Democrat/Republican power shifting and get a new party into power.

No matter if Democrat or Republican win the congress members are shareholders of corporations that get large profitable contracts, e.g. McDonnell Douglas.

And those large corps that contribute to the GDP, get most of their taxes back, again congress members being shareholders.

Congress continues to rape Americans for money, and Americans are blinded by media campaigns and propaganda to keep it continuing.

If Trump wins, one thing is assured, America will eventually lose massive trade with many nations. Right now America relies heavily on China and Germany for mechanical and technical goods, without them, the American infrastructure will collapse.

Well done America. You have been running your country to the ground for the last 40 years.

so you must be an ugly bitch. He never missed the hot ones

90% chance of winning? What the fuck are you smoking

Your momma's clit.

>takes a look at the ones in the allegations he "grabbed"

looks to me like he was grabbing at anything and everything friendo

and what is the margin of error in those polls you quote

>allegations

Ausfag here, does anyone know what time the next president will actually be announced tomorrow. Feel sorry for you guys, and your shitty choices, I feel no matter who gets elected, they will both be impeached due to something corrupt, or simply unpopularity with a vast majority of Americans, and you'll have Tim Kaine/Mike Pence in

oh good one. Why are you still up. Doesn't class start soon?

Hilary will win and all the uneducated Americans across the bible-belt will scream, "RIGGED! IT'S RIGGED!". I would honestly be surprised if anyone with an IQ in the triple digits voted from Trump.

Use a better source.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

probably around 10-midnight Eastern time should be a good idea of how its heading

it's awright

Pussy eating class started months ago. Your mommy was so pleased she gave me an A+ and three gold stars.

>implying the people who orchestrated the alt-right movement didn't expect this from the start

they're gonna cry "MUH RIGGED ELECTION" for the next decade and use it to indoctrinate even more people into their retardation

sad tbh

rekt

Just STFU. I'm tired of hearing how we have "bad choices" this election. Trump is the best candidate we've had since Reagan. The only reason people think otherwise is because they can't see through the corruption of the media and Hillary's BS.

Just like brexit

It all depends on how the electoral college plays out and how close it is. Likely scenario is it's called sometime late evening US time. If it still seems close or a toss up it could be later.

You claimed there were hot ones. You have no proof.

something got your tongue user?

Trump has a massive lead in votes, but America is not a democracy. You know it, I know it.
You only suggest who gets elected. You do not get to choose. Hillary is already in, because she represents corporate interests who run your country and regard you people as trade stock, chattle, cost and profit.

But enjoy getting manic and shouting as loud as you can going "Wooo" and waving your little flags, convincing yourself that you mean anything at all.

and you just proved my point. Thank you

That wasn't me. That was a different user.

Usually around 7pm pacific US time unless some important states are too close to call based on only partial numbers coming in. Few more hours in that case.

>Trump has a massive lead in votes

How do you figure?

nothing matters till it happens friend

It is 2 percent for either candidate last I heard, so she could be up and he be down even, then the chance of winning be 7%. But largely the only useful poll is an exit poll and by then it is too late

>Trump has a massive lead in votes.

This is obviously untrue. Why invalidate the rest of your post by being so clearly wrong on something thats so easily disproven?

>the only propaganda I follow is the propaganda I identify with, and anyone who follows different propaganda is a retard!

feel free to start calling me buzzwords now

Calm down man, it was just my opinion. I'm Australian, so it doesn't even matter haha. From my perspective Trump is a bad choice, because he has no political or legal experience, and would struggle getting any Laws passed through congress. He also has a bad temperament and I feel as though he'd do idiotic things when dealing with other countries, simply from having a big ego.

Just go fuck yourself, you pathetic autistic faggot.

Brexit is great for us Norfags, because the pound ain't worth shit now. And it will only go down when all the financial institutions move to Germany instead. UK will turn into an even more boring Lonely Island.

Must be a nice feeling having confidence in the media. You should know every news media outlet has analysts who have convoluted reasons to extrapolate why certain polls were wrong and/or suggest being rigged and much of the outcome was easily understood to be the outcome it is by the evidence at the time. Maybe the polls didn't reflect that, but it's all explainable. This is media spin, they're right even when they're wrong.

I won't be voting for Trump, but I wouldn't be surprised on either outcome. I have more confidence in tossing a coin than relying on media information. Every youthful generation was so sure Brexit wouldn't happen, and when it did, they don't think seniors should have the right to vote because they're too old to vote. The media gave them confidence, and it was destroyed by reality. It's a nice feeling thinking polls are on your vote, but Bush/Gore put things into perspective, and Gore was an extremely crafty and charismatic politician.

I wouldn't wave the victory flag a day before any election, but that's me.

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As an American, yeah.

when you secure the woman vote just because you have a vagina, then yeah, you're going to win any election.
it could be to elect the biggest retard on the planet or the sexiest white mama alive, doesn't matter, you'll win because you have majority vote.

Your mammy pleased my point. bibbitybebopeyooooooooooo!

Monitoring numbers at every rally, looking at all internet polls, all independent polls.

Only reason the *idea* that the candidates are close exists because your propaganda machine that calls itself news works together in unison to create fake figures and facts.

>real clear politics shows 272 for hillary and 266 for trump
>op has 90% chance of being bullshit

You're right. I shouldn't expect people from other countries to know about our politics or the truth about our candidates, but we're getting this shit from Americans over here. These assholes are the ones destroying everything and I hope they all get burned to death.

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arent we just claiming things without fact? Thats all i see here.

Theres a space monkey alive and well on the moon base, you can grow banana trees on the lunar surface. Prove me wrong

He doesn't based on early voting trends. Bottom line at this point is he can't actually win. He will just make it so Hillary doesn't have the 270 necessary delegates best case scenario, then the decision will go to the House of Representatives, and there is enough republicans there he's even upset it will likely go to Hillary

youtube.com/watch?v=3VumDFvCkyA

uyihujlmk,

>Reagan
>best candidate since

How's that solar panel you bought off the info wars store.

Bullshit.

I'd cut you up into little pieces and feed them to my dog.

Most polls that aren't skewed show ranges of Hillary winning by 3-5% though. Most conservative media that has any legitimacy has abandoned Trump

Internet polls are shit my friend. Not saying that Hillary will win, but Internet polls sucks. It's never representative of what most people think. And even us fags at /b easily manipulates them.

Internet polls always shows the right wing populist party in my country at 40+% but in the last elections they got around 15%

>monitoring numbers at every rally
>internet polls

Oh...so you're obviously an idiot.

Good argument Trumpkin

Oh are they paper votes counted in public are they?

It is true, Hillary would literally have to lose all the swing states and Trump has to get Utah, which is currently dominated by an independent. And right now Hillary has Michigan and Florida is a toss up. He will likely get Ohio though.

No that's why we are having a debate, the one who is more correct can support their argument with either facts from a source or numbers and statistics from a reliable source. You can't provide either, so therefore you are automatically wrong.

Can't dispute what is true, can only name-call.
What a shame you are an ignorant American.

Honestly, I believe Hillary is probably the most corrupt politican America has ever had. (Or atleast the most corrupt politican that we know of). But just because she's unfit to lead, certainly doesn't mean Trump is fit to lead, and I feel as though people from both sides are blindly following their candidate, simply because they hate their other choice, and will defend their own candidate no matter what they do. And I don't see why people are so hostile over it and towards people who vote otherwise, from any persons perspective there are legitimate reasons to like and dislike both of them.

>Super high while writing this

Reagan started the whole Al Qaeda bullshit that led to 9/11.

If you think that was great.. then you are an idiot.

Reagan started the downhill National Debt curve, he spent $1 trn on Saddam Hussein to try and remove the new power in Iran in the 80s, so they could reinstate the deposed Shah so they could get cheap oil again.

Funny thing is this..

America was liked in the Middle East, even Iran liked the US, even the new power shift. But they didn't want to sell their oil cheaply, and asked for a respectable price, and the US and Britain got greedy.

However the US took it further.

And after spending $1trn nothing was gained, but what was lost was the respect America had.

Americans had no problems with Islamic Extremism until then. In fact before the end of the Iraq-Iran war, most Americans welcomed Muslims.

That is how stupid your country is, that you would elect Reagan v2.0

Trump represents the new party. Hes not a republican, hes been democrat his whole life pretty much, but what i like about him is hes more for the people than shillary.

I mean mail in ballots, and no Democrat has been convicted of voter fraud like Trump supporters have been so? But I do know it can be unreliable. Just saying the current trend, the only reliable poll is an exit poll, and by then the election is basically over

>Name-calling
The only weapon in the Hillshill arsenal.

jesus, it's actually kind of scary how brainwashed you are.

the Chinese psychic monkey already decided.

The 90% figure is due to the margin of error. I believe it comes from a Monte Carlo simulation, which means they pick randomly from the error bands for all states and record who wins the (hypothetical) election for that round of picking. Then, across all the simulations, Clinton won 90% of them.
I mean I don't know for sure that's where the number comes from, but from what I know of numerical statistics, it's the most likely source.

Go f*** yourself, Trumpkin.

(can you swear on this website? It's fine on Reddit but I want to make sure it's fine here)

Too bad polls say he is fucked.

I mean if you choose to ignore other people's comments. There are shit throwing monkeys on both sides of the political fence while people who try and have actual debates just watch with our heads in our hands

Why bother disputing it at this point? Should I link to 538 like others have probably done for you a million times? Real Clear politics? New York Times? You'll only dismiss and ignore anything that doesn't fit your version of reality.

You'll blow off anything that doesn't support your opinion right up until the moments before the election is called for Clinton. And then you'll scream about how it was all rigged and Trump should have won. You aren't actually interested in any type of grounded discussion or debate.

Trump is a twat and Reagan wouldn't like him now at all.

Reagan wasn't perfect, but he sure as hell is better than the two candidates now. And he and his (great advisors) contributed greatly to the end of the cold war and liberation of eastern european countries. There's a reason that parks in several countries are named after Reagan.

I don't think the nutbag republicans would have voted for Reagan now.

>(can you swear on this website? It's fine on Reddit but I want to make sure it's fine here)

I mean all career politicians are corrupt, normally we don't hear about it until well after their time. Guarantee we'll hear a lot more about some of the recent "greats" in the next 50 years but by then it will be too late. Like I still think Ollie North was more corrupt

>Not realizing how much bait this is

That was different, a lot of the polls showed Brexit winning and nobody believed them.

Now a lot of the polls show Clinton winning, and nobody is believing them here.

Nice damage control, Hillshill

>Polls

I am amazed that there are still people in the USA that actually believe polls are real figures, that voting figures, are real figures.

Seriously guys, grow up. Look around you. It's all a rigged control grid and you are chattle.

to busy clicking on these porn ads to read anything in this thread, but here is a nice picture.

In fact most current democrat policies are similar to Reagan's, the whole system has shifted to the right. Obama's most recent tax plan was based on Reagan's

Seriously. Just go to real clear politics website and look at their predicted numbers it is predicted Hillary 272 / 266 Trump. It is very close.

You are so freaking high brother, take a step back from the bong. The 1T was to help economic stimulus from the shittiest president until that time period Carter. While what you say is true I'll admit it didn't take NEAR 1T to accomplish and it was more the trickle down economics that sent us into the debt, alongside the tax cuts and the other things.

You can't deny it was a great economic time though, it was bought by debt but people demanded it so Reagan gave it to them.

Wow nice 911 that must be who you are calling from Reuters since Hillary's campaign is in emergency mode. People have polled that said Romney was going to win too, you can't trust these people anymore they are all demented and in nursing homes, who cares what polls say.

People will find all kinds of ways to knick pick at you, but you're right. The ones who are most outspoken lean toward the left

Wew lad watch those edges, relax a little in your mommies basement amirite?

>#LoserDonald

>Hillary is probably the most corrupt politican America has ever had

According to conservative propaganda against her. None of it true of course.

>Implying I'm the same person that said it.

Polls have never been reliable. Since the country's inception we have had the electoral college actually predict the presidency, the fact there are so many people thinking WE actually make the decision is retarded

2 Million magazines, printed 48 hours early by a news organization scraping for profits. They could not afford a retraction, so why are they so sure?

There was never an election.

yeah, mad the US is gonna be butt-fucked by sand niggers when she's in office.

This is based off of one poll, its not reliable. Fivethirtyeight says Hillary only has a 70% chance of winning. I trust that, even though I don't want Trump to win, because they use real statistics. You are just looking for the source that gives you the most comfort by putting the lowest chance for Trump.