Trump's odds of winning below 25%

You know you Trump chumps are going to lose, right?

politicalodds.bet/next-us-president

Other urls found in this thread:

youtube.com/watch?v=CiJYGV8faZw
betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.107373419?rfr=2476120
m.youtube.com/watch?v=1RG10gZ_toU
twitter.com/SFWRedditGifs

[increasingly nervous]

why does he appear to be stagnating

[increasingly nervous trumpfags]
FTFY

>there's no way trump can EVER win the gop nomination
>rubio and bush are the CHOSEN candidates and Trump's odds are at 5% right now. hahaha

I am now a #FiorinaBallerina

...

>odds

what are the odds aliens invade?

hurr make up stats based on nothing/things that are impossible to predict durr

Hi Nate Silver?

havent killed yourself yet?

you're right OP, it does seem like an excellent buying opportunity.

...

Why don't you put your money where your mouth is?

Go to the link, bet on Trump. Lose your money. Otherwise you're just talking shit.

i wish i had the charts where Nate Silver moves Trump from 30% to 65% in a day in some states to cover his ass

and the readers are still like "wow what a smart guy"

This is an actual bet that most bookies will take. Find me someone who takes bets on aliens and then we'll talk.

We've meme'd him before, and we'll meme him again.

>Trump has a 20% ceiling, it'll all be downhill from there
>wait, make that 25%
>uhh, 30%
>...40% ceiling, 45% tops

can americans do this?

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>mfw I get a 25k payout when trump gets the nomination
>mfw I get 108k when trump wins the general

>please make it stop

I get an erection every time I imagine the liberal asspain that will ensue if he wins.

THERE ARE NO BRAKES ON THIS TRAIN

youtube.com/watch?v=CiJYGV8faZw

well done bro

Is there an updated version?

find me someone who will take this bet and ill bet for trump.

That's a 15 point increase in a month. How long until their numbers flip?

15/4/16!?
Euro poll!
Probably taken by mergel herself.
Gehengd fucking when!

betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.107373419?rfr=2476120

I placed a bet that Trump would win the GOP nomination, went to collect today and the fucker is now trying to back out.

Fucking Liberals.

that has loads of money betting that trump would win.

when he does win, the payout wont be much since nobody else is taking the offers.

>25 is greater than 75

if you weren't ready to shatter someone's bones with a sledge hammer you shouldn't be betting

This is America you jackoff, we can do whatever the fuck we want

Shhhhh. I know someone who's going to do that.

He bet for Trump too.

beat his ass until he pays.

you never make bets like that unless you can break some skulls to get them to pay.

What was underestimated was the stupidity of Republicans

I forgot Trump BTFO the leader of the christian world. Good times.

3/1 odds is 3/1 odds.

It spells it out for you, you bet $40 and win you get a $118 profit.

What one single thing is better in Hilary than trump?

I'll vote for him, if he loses... Well he loses and I tried. That's how "democracy" works

wont mean shit when everyone is voting for trump and there arent any shillbots to take money from.

maybe learn how betting works m8.

He gave all his money to the Bernie campaign but too ashamed to admit he wasted all his $$$

Lets make this meme happen guys! Ron Paul for Trumps Secretary of State!
m.youtube.com/watch?v=1RG10gZ_toU

...

This just means democrats can relax heh

They can boycott the elections

I'm going with Scott Adams on this election

First rule of bookkeeping is not doing it if you can't cover bets. Do it now, and you'll be entitled to your payout later.

Think of this election like Texas Hold 'Em. The odds of winning change depending on the amount of information available, as well as how effective the players are in communicating or misconstruing what they have or what other players could have. Once all the cards are dealt and election day hits, we will know the winner, and probability will be 100% for one candidate and 0% for the other as long as there isn't anything to contest in the process.

We've only been dealt the first cards and are about to go into the flop once the Democratic nominee is affirmed. There are several cards left afterwards (VP nominations, presidential debates, scandals, etc) that can change the game one way or the other, but that is to be seen in the weeks and months to come. It is quite silly of you to think that the current odds are going to do anything other than pat your own back and feel good about yourself in a political game with uncertainty and risk.

Once the presidential debates are over, I will start considering odds of winning as weak evidence, but until then, enjoy your gambling!

>FTFY
>Hillary paid a million dollars for this

Trump can win if either of the following happens:

1. The Republican convention has a huge riot, with property damage and casualties. Extra points if the rioters are the usual SJWs, BLMs, etc. Additional extra points for a lot of visible Mexican flags.

2. ISIL pulls off a large terrorist event, with a lot of casualties. Extra points if the perps were admitted to the US as refugees.

Either one of these could piss off enough people to vote for Trump.

>Trusting a Jewish bookie

You kikes are desperate for shekel.

>These are the people that had Jeb Bush as the odds on favorite for the nomination
K-k-k-kill yourself

1 is almost certain at this point.

ISIL is a controlled movment there is no way the globalists would allow there pet to get out of hand especially at a key moment where they power is being contested in the election