Why didn't anyone do a breakdown on this shit? Let's do it right now.
This graph is completely baloney, let's see why:
1. The drop doesn't match the rise. In the part marked with 2 there is an action and a reaction, in part marked with 1 there is no rise on shillary's poll numbers, so it is fabricated.
2.Did a google search for this graph and it doesn't exist. It is fabricated. RCP did not do any graphs that show this happening.
3. This is made and paid by shillary and her supporters, shown in a recent thread on pol.
Heartaches by the number, troubles by the storm. Everyday you love me less, each day i love you more Sup Forums
Noah Ortiz
Cause i'm a lurker, oh a lurker. I lurk around around around around.
Justin Barnes
And so i lurk from board to board. I drop a redpill without a care. And i'm as happy as the Fuhrer, and with my two fists of truth i'm destroying shillary.
Chase Hill
But seriously guys, hillary's gonna win... a trip to the jailhouse.
John Morgan
Yeah I can't tel what's a real shill and what's just shitposting
Very frustrating how many summer gags and leafs get their jollies off on pretending to be shillbots
Lincoln Perez
...
Jack Martin
We'll get our revenge in the fall, when the masses are gone and we can prey on them one at a time.
Alexander Taylor
Sup Forums.
Benjamin Brown
Not New Hampshire, thats for sure.
Jordan Gomez
It means that the third party anarchist party is polling higher.
Jackson Morris
...
Christopher Rivera
there is no 3rd party.
i know you're joking
Andrew Bailey
>anarchist Gary Johnson =/= Ron Paul Gary isn't an anarchist
Juan Kelly
Fuck you Romania. You gypsies grade tests/essays so strictly.
Nathaniel Cox
Yeah if you look at the questions they preface the polls with you can see how they are biased towards Clinton. And they also lean the polls towards Clinton within the MOE
it's almost like they're not switching to hillary, but rather switching to not voting at all
Justin Powell
Romania
Nolan Garcia
He isn't an anarchist, he just panders to gays and abortionists
Angel Sanders
AND WE GOT THE SHILLARY! DING DING DING DING
Lol butthurt because you got rekt by a 2nd world country
Aiden Turner
2 cents has been deposited into your account
Juan Nelson
that's not bad for hillary though
Jeremiah Price
but there would be a decrease in hillary's votes too.
Jayden Barnes
It doesnt even matter because Trumps approval is still increasing while Hillarys decreases
People have too many knee jerk reactions
Leo Walker
>1. The drop doesn't match the rise. Because voters switched from supporting trump to being undecided.
John Morris
That is REALLY bad for hillary mate, because turn out for republicans has been huge this year
Jaxon Moore
If you try adding up the two %'s on any poll it doesn't add up to 100% you retard. It goes into undecided and a bit of it went to Johnson
Lincoln Bailey
There are many ways to rig GE polls. The two most popular are to oversample democucks and/or to make a bunch of biased statements to frame the question.
The trouble is, TRUMP has come out against starting WW3 over some shithole desert that only Jews care about. So the pollsters have no choice but to rig the polls against him. He is simply too dangerous to be allowed to win.
Nathaniel Reed
Literally add the numbers together dumbshit.
38+44 is not 100. 18% of people don't like either Trump or Hilary, which really isn't surprising since the socialist got btfo and libertarians are perpetually btfo
Robert Brooks
Good article from Pew that helps understand the early polls
44% of americans plan to vote for hillary, 42% for trump
trump says something stupid
44% of americans plan to vote for hillary, now 36% for trump, 2% have switched to undecided or not voting
Jaxon Nelson
It's not fake. Gary Johnson is polling close to 10%. That's why. There are more than two options on the polls.
Colton Clark
>12 posts by this ID
Cameron Davis
>1 post by this ID
Jack Rodriguez
>Lying
Leo Edwards
It's not zero sum. Trump lost support to Undecided/Libertarian (likely temporarily) thus there is very high no response bias in current polling.
Adrian Hall
Wow, thank god someone checked the ID!
Logan James
That's great, trump will surpass hillary.....after the election
Owen Clark
test
Julian Jenkins
...
Jason Richardson
I think Trump's drop might have something to do with cucks flirting with voting for the lolbertarian party. Thats why Shillary isn't rising in the polls, she's just stagnating.
Ryan Edwards
I thought Sup Forums was more sophisticated politically than this. Of course its shills that are pushing this. This is a crucial time for Trump to garner establishment support and to raise money. The polls are meant to drive a wedge between Trump and scared establishment cucks and donors.
I do not believe for a minute that the country is even a little bit enthusiastic about voting for Hillary
Asher Nelson
what the FUCK is Apober
Daniel Mitchell
I'm going to add to my original statement the following: 4. The polls are done on a very limited group, under 1 million people, and can and will be very biased. 5. The polls are asking about the primary election, not the final. So a lot of people don't want to say anything until the finals.
Hunter Reyes
probably another language than english.
Robert Wright
Apriltober, the new month between June and July.
Wyatt Clark
Orlando brought a whole new wave of anti-Trump shills. This place has been even shittier than usual in the last few days.
Bentley Evans
Kek, pls let his happen
Isaac Young
i love when noobs try to analyze graphs and fail. to think that is a given is dumb -finacial analyst
Asher Nguyen
www.primarymodel.com
trump will win
chill faggots
Jacob Hughes
what the fuck are you doing?
Josiah Brooks
He's a TA fag
Aaron Robinson
as far as approval rating goes, that is trumps worst case scenario
hillary is only losing support while trump only gains support
trump just needs 44% approval and he will win handily
Aaron Moore
Keep telling yourself that
Luke Stewart
Please elaborate and prove everyone wrong then.
Jack Torres
LMAO confirmed for dumbass learn to regression
Angel Edwards
he can't Otherwise everyone would be a financial analyst here.
Lincoln Rivera
OP how can you say it doesn't exist? It clearly does.
Several of the recent polls have been including 3rd party candidates. Gary Johnson in particular has surged to 12% support (unprecedented for a 3rd party candidate). This is why Hillary's support didn't rise commensurately, Trump's numbers are going to Johnson
Oliver Nguyen
You are literally linearly extrapolating off of two data points. Do you honestly think that holds any merit whatsoever?
Christopher Robinson
Lol 58% unfavorable
>Trump gonna win doe
I should let you know that I'm saving all of these posts so after Trump loses on election day I can make a thread where I post them and watch all of you kids rage.
Joshua Smith
Based gypsy
Jordan Reyes
You sound so smart.
Thomas Rogers
11/10 made me legitimately upset
Benjamin Davis
>2% of the population
Who the fuck cares. The only reason the LGBT vote has any significance is normal people who want to signal their tolerance, and thus vote on gay issues because they're cuck faggot pieces of shit
Landon Sullivan
fight me in real life
Kevin Ross
>Endpoint fallacy
This is used a lot by people who want to prove some fraudulent trend. Not every single trend can be approximated linearly, try that with the stock market see how it works out for you
Kevin Young
>, try that with the stock market see how it works out for you This is how I know you are stupid, because this DOES work with the stock market, every stock that is still being traded today is higher than its starting point
Nathan Adams
NOT AN ARGUMENT
Eli Smith
t. Nate Bronze, Republican cousin of Nate Silver
Christian Turner
Does anyone have all those polls that showed Bernie Sanders with %1 of chance in winning the states he won comfortably?
Mason Campbell
nice, got any data that is actually relevant to the modern day?
Elijah Cook
>2016 >being this autistic
The fucking graph doesn't show the third party spoilers, which are currently spoiling Trumps polls.
Wyatt Nelson
the markets and political polls don't work the same way, you could have used a trend channel like you did when it comes to the markets because they work by supply and demand, political polls show popularity. sure the growth can be exponential(although still not given the growth will continue to happen), but there are far more unpredictable factors in the political landscape than in the markets.
Thomas Cruz
>the underdog won everytime looking good for daddy donald
Jaxon Wright
>drumpfkins think this election will be different than the previous one
Brandon Richardson
Give me a proper polling graph from beginning to end and I will draw you two neat straight lines in there if you want. I just picked these because they were the first elections that popped into my head and there happened to me nice and similar graphs for them.
Are you suggesting that taking to points on a curve and linearly extrapolating has become accurate only somewhere around the year 2000?
Let's hope so. Go Trump!
Isaac King
Bump
Adam Sanders
Hey Drumpfags
look familiar?
Bentley Moore
LOL WHAT A FUCKING RETARD HAHAHAHAA
Jackson Harris
Leaf plz
Easton Powell
You mentioned you were a financial analyst. Do you use a lot of excel/tableau/powerBI/python/SQL in your work? I graduated recently, and am constantly everyday applying myself, creating visualizations (and submitting into online portfolio) and teaching myself financial modeling and statistics. What are 1 or 2 main criteria that have you succeed at your work? Sorry for sperging out in this thread, but I don't find a lot of BA/FA types on Sup Forums kek
Jason Barnes
Or those people just think both of them are shit candidates...
Let's say Trump came out and admitted he was just a plot by Hillary to win. Would all of you suddenly jump onto Hillary's bandwagon, or just not vote?
Brayden Hernandez
You exposed your fallacy yourself
Dominic Sanders
You're a retard. >1. The drop doesn't match the rise. In the part marked with 2 there is an action and a reaction, in part marked with 1 there is no rise on shillary's poll numbers, so it is fabricated. If you look again, the numbers don't add up to 100 in the first place. The rest of the people are undecided.
>2.Did a google search for this graph and it doesn't exist. It is fabricated. RCP did not do any graphs that show this happening. It's an average of multiple polls.
how do you people survive in the real world without even having taken a high school stats class
Tyler Kelly
not as bad as this leafpost
Jonathan Cooper
not an argument. not original. shill.
Colton Barnes
Even with the shit Bloomberg poll of only 750 people, she's only up 5.8% on the average.
Not insurmountable odds.
Evan Jones
Does Trump have enough time to use his curve advantage? I hope so...
Hudson Stewart
its pretty easy to see what happened Hardcore evangelicals getting mad at trump over his stance on gays Even though he's had that stance on gays for decades There a bit butthurt
Landon Rivera
what generic answer do you want for your generic question? to be honest I'm a trader, short/mid-span My main criteria (and basically everyone I've ever known in this racket) is yourself and how you cope with numbers and data flying around you all the time, kinda throwing your feelings away and becoming a robot, especially when you code. being quick, long days is insanely hard if you wanna chase the dough. spiritually and coping with all the stress.
Thomas Smith
Bump
Nicholas Foster
Hes bumping his own thread so the shills can't keep it down