> Phase 1: Define the race as Trump (American Interest) vs Clinton (Special Interest)...Timetable: Now until Conventions
> Phase 2: Conventions. Raise favorables by using free coverage of tightly scripted branding during conventions. Cast Trump as uniquely qualified candidate. Overtly positive.
> Phase 3: Debates. Break Hillary's glass jaw by showing how incompetent she is. Overwhelm her with attacks and distracting claims. Use confirmation bias to show she's weak.
> Phase 4: MAGA
We're currently in Phase One. "American Interest vs Special Interest"
I think Trump takes Colorado actually. He takes Arizona too.
Michigan is blue and won't change.
PA leans Clinton but still tossup.
Kayden Long
>Arizona >Swing state
"No". After the convention you will see his poll numbers pierce the heavens in Arizona.
The OP map should at least be the battleground map to be fair all around, or the RCP map (even though Georgia ISN'T A FUCKING BATTLEGROUND)
Matthew Richardson
I think It should also be noted that Shillary hadn't really gained much in the polls the past few weeks. Sure, Trump's numbers slumped, but really all that rose were the number of undecideds. And now we're seeing things tighten as People are redeclaring their support for Trump and Shilldog's support is falling again. Pic related
Cooper Richardson
And britain will remain
Carter Hernandez
>Arizona a swing state
there's no fucking way Arizona is going blue, fuck off
Ethan Moore
Thank you for Correcting the Record
Wyatt Anderson
I hope he wastes lots of money and time in MI - no chance of winning.
This doesn't fit your dreams of him sweeping the Rust Belt, but it's true.
We HAVE to get it trending to the normies, this shit gave me fucking goosebumps
Tyler Martinez
>no chance of winning.
Why?
Jeremiah Gomez
what happened is that Trump, uniquely among modern nominees, lost support in his own party after clinching the nomination.
Sad!
Leo Fisher
...
Nathan Davis
They cite "neck and neck" polling and agenda polls (one of the polls touted was "leaked" to NRO and was a "internal poll" for some "non-partisan" firm).
It wasn't a swing state in 2012 and it won't be one now, not even Clinton is biting the bait that she will get Arizona.
The DNC are paying pollsters to skew them by asking more Democrats who they're voting for than Republicans to demoralize Trump supporters.
Matthew Ross
>le ebin poll that was "leaked" to NRO
You can fuck right off with that.
Jose Smith
270towin.com/maps/qgJ8G Rate my analysis. This is where I think it lies right this moment, not where I think it will end up t. Nevadan
Ethan Watson
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
Cooper Fisher
It isn't a dream. Trump has a real chance here in Michigan. Same with Wisconsin. He should also campaigned heavily in Minnesota. Remember, it's much easier to get a bunch of white union workers to vote for him, than a bunch of spics to change their opinions. I do wish Trump would pick a black running make though. I think it would seal the deal.
Mason Flores
So guys, just got off work, are we winning again?
Landon Clark
ok you fucking kike i donated enjoy your shekels
Jordan Sanchez
>Arizona >Blue for Hillary fucking Clinton >Muh Latinos and nig minorities can sway Arizona nigga >Polls don't change Brexit proves Polls really don't mean shit. Especially in June. >Pennsylvania wants Clinton East Pennsylvania Maybe.
Easton Stewart
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
Aaron Butler
(You)
Gabriel Sanchez
dude can't even break 40% in polls. they just don't buy his bullshit.
i think people remember Obama bailing out Detroit. And the auto industry actually benefits from NAFTA - it's not like the Reagan era there any more.
Plus the darker side of the vote in Detroit, which is all Hillary all the time.
Finally, there's a large and highly motivated Arab community in Michigan who will vote for Hillary as if their life depended on it.
I think Ohio leans Trump. I think PA and Michigan are the wildcards. I don;t believe NH leans Clinton either.
Jacob Jones
The fuck is OH Predictive Insights anyway Sounds like the title for an (((opinion poll)))
Isaac Gonzalez
...
Christian Lopez
keep believing this and convince the Trump campaign to believe it too, please
Asher Bailey
>tfw you live in a blue state with no chance of it swinging the other way
Adam Foster
If he is only down by 4, why would he campaign here? 18% other. He could win a majority of those voters.
Sebastian Davis
That's a fair enough battleground, but if he's polling +12 in Washoe he would probably carry the state unless he does absolutely dogshit in Clark.
Florida shouldn't be lean-red, that's a major fucking state. NH should be toss up but I guess it's fair to make it at least lean. Maine CD2 should be toss up because he's polling +1 there.
Ayden Barnes
Kasich is really helping out there in OH
Ian Clark
>week later and it's still delivering keks
I can only hope when Trump is elected we get half as hilarious responses as this
I didn't notice that posters other posts. Pretty sure they are going to say Michigan will stay Blue because of "all the blacks".
Michigan WILL BE RED. We need all the auto manufacturer jobs back here. Trump will deliver this, NOT hillary.
The auto industry does not benefit from NAFTA like the retard just said. What a joke...
Gavin Bennett
>Virginia >dark blue
This is the most retarded meme
Aaron Peterson
coons smfh
Tyler Morales
>Trumpeter
Oliver Williams
again, I hope he does campaign there, as much as possible. it's a waste of his time.
Nolan Kelly
I think Ohio will go Trump in the end but it's toss up at the moment. I also think as things tighten places like Wisconsin Mighigan Nevada and New Hampshire will swing more towards toss ups while the traditional toss up states being to lean red
Hudson Edwards
> 7cLSJIwG > 7cLSJIwG
This faggot is working hard for pennies per post to help hillary destroy America.
Jordan Murphy
We unskewed polls part deux? Because that turned out fine the first time.
Dominic Hughes
>ceiling meme again
Oh boy, you fags are back.
Ethan Diaz
I love the lack of brakes on the RCP train
Carson Russell
au contraire, mon ami >I do it for free
Oliver Stewart
Notice how Trump doesn't talk about winning New York anymore
Holy shit Washoe isn't hard blue right now? What the fuck Reno you're usually what fucks us over along with my city Vegas. If it stays relatively stable like that, and whites in Vegas turn out (which is getting likelier by the month) he'll easily take NV
Henry Wilson
> 7cLSJIwG > 7cLSJIwG >for free
This piece of shit is even sadder than I could have imagined.
Ethan Ramirez
HE CAN'T WIN I TELL YA, OYYYY
Evan Flores
thx for the link famalam
Noah Morales
>Trump will never run >Trump will never breach 15% >Trump will never win New Hampshire >Trump will never release his financials >Trump will never breach 25% >Trump will never win SC >Trump will never breach 35% >Trump will never breach 50% >Trump will never reach 1237 >Trump will never recover after Wisconsin >Trump will never win unbound delegates >Trump will never recover after Colorado >Donald, hand over the delegates... >Trump will never be the nominee >Trump will never predict BREXIT >Trump will never pivot to the GE ------------------ You are here ------------------ >Trump will never unify the majority of the GOP >Trump will never beat Clinton in swing states >Trump will never get 270 >Trump will never be POTUS >Trump will never build the wall >Trump will never block risky or illegal shitskins >Trump will never deport said illegals >Trump will never win a second term >Trump will never bring back manufacturing jobs >Trump will never abolish Common Core >Trump will never renegotiate our trade deals >Trump will never MAGA >Trump will never MEGA >Trump will never colonize Mars >Trump will never colonize the Milky Way >Trump will never deport the xenos
How have the Democrats been doing in statewide elections in VA lately?
>Obama >Kaine >Warner >Terry fucking McAuliffe
if Terry McAuliffe can get elected, you don't have much of a red state any more, friendo.
Jacob Martin
>xenos
Christian Cook
What is there even to talk about on Trump to justify having threads up at all times? I don't get it.
Camden Sanders
>>When are you guys going to realize that it will be very, very unlikely that Trump will be POTUS?
Please tell me how big a chance he has. Just the harsh truth, no memes.
Levi Hall
HA! FROG SPEAK! Go away false burger
Landon Ortiz
t. Reddit
Isaac Anderson
he has about a 35% chance
Elijah Rodriguez
i am already pissed and am like 4 minutes in
Joshua Campbell
that's "burger faux" to you, mon vieux
Isaac Powell
As of right now, very good, pic related.
Also he has 33% of the Latino vote, which is fuckhuge for a Republican
Austin Phillips
Shit I'm a #clitmissle now
Easton Murphy
T-TRUMP WON'T EVER GO BEYOND 5 POINTS HIGHER
IT'S O-OVER.
Logan Jenkins
thank you for your MAGA
Isaac Kelly
what's your annual income by the way?
Joseph Wood
It's no doubt even higher now. That 33% was weeks ago. Weeks before it was 22%
Ayden Davis
HON! BURGER PARLER! Allez-vous en faux burger.
Isaac Lee
Now? No chance. After the convention and debates he gains a HUGE chance
Grayson Smith
>33% >good reminder that George W. Bush got 44% of the Latino vote
Ian Morgan
OBJECTION, OUTSIDE THE SCOPE OF PERMISSIBLE DISCOVERY
Lincoln Cruz
>before McAwful was governor it was Mcdonnell who was a Republican >the only reason Cuccinelli lost was because Sarvis and the Libertarians fucked things up >the only reason the incumbent Democrat senator won in 2014 was again because of Sarvis and the Libertarians >Republicans regained control of the Senate >the House is dominated by Republicans >McAwful is being investigated by the FBI and the Republican is going to win the governorship this year >was Republican for 50 years even in those 1990s elections where Perot split the Republican vote while "deep south" states swung for Clinton
No, you're retarded, under your logic you might as well claim "Clinton won Arkansas twice, therefore Bush can't win it in 2000"
Kaine was a popular ex-governor and Warner is a blue dog Democrat who used to be Republican
Chase Mitchell
You forget a literally who with little to no funding had come very close to beating Warner in 2014's senate race. See: Ed Gillespie
Michael Sanders
>33% of the Latino vote
Right here, nobody polled me.
This one I will reply directly to. I program PLCs, I charge out at $90 per hour, most charge out at $100 to $120, I'm a cheap whore.