R8 my election prediction

R8 my election prediction

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realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton-5538.html
realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_trump_vs_clinton-5597.html
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270towin.com/maps/nbc-battleground
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Make your own -- realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html

My state Virginia won't go for Clinton. New 2014 voter ID laws, and Clinton isn't Obama and won't get the turnout she needs to win. If she picks our Criminal senator Tim Kaine, she will lose even worse. Virginia is out of the question for Clinton.

Probably something like this.

t. Romney in Ohio & Wisconsin

What about all those criminals that your governor is allowing to vote?

I heard there were like 200,000

Is it really possible that Trump could win PA and not win FL and NC?

Doesn't matter. Not all will vote for Clinton. She has no chance here.

If Trump picks a military man he will win Virginia by 8 points. If he doesn't he will win by 4 points.

That's good to hear.

I've never spent much time in Virginia outside the DC suburbs (New Somalia) so maybe I don't give you guys enough credit.

Rate my prediction.

I think it's possible.

NC and FL are a lot less white.

Obama didn't have an advantage with white females in 2012 so he lost North Carolina, Hillary does this time around.

So Hillary has an advantage w/ non-whites (lots in NC & FL) and white females

No

pretty great m8 i r8 8/8

Would be worried with any other candidate other than Clinton, but she isn't liked here. Maybe Trump would lose against O'malley or Webb, but not Clinton.

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lol he thinks the criminals will vote for Trump, he's nuts.

No it's not he is an idiot he has NC blue don't pay attention to him

Are you guys retarded? VA is the state that almost voted for Rubio over Trump.

NoVa is just too large and too anti-trump and pro-clinton

It's also educated so they'll definitely turnout.

If no one gets 270, the House votes.

The Speaker of the House has endorsed Trump.

>win win!

Last 2 polls show Hillary up in NC

The actual result, not that I'm happy about it.

Are you stupid North Carolina will go blue when hell freezes over

RCP average for NC is Clinton +.07

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton-5538.html

If there's a state where lots of white people who haven't voted in 20 years (and therefore aren't polled) will come out for Trump, its NC

This Sup Forumslock knows what's up

Ya and I've seen polls with trump wining Oregon doesn't meen it's going to happen

>0.7 typo

I don't think it will go blue but don't be surprised if it does.

I'm here in NC and there's a lot of rage over our idiot Republican governor.

Too much baggage around here. Her buddy gov Mcauliffe and Criminal Kaines approval ratings are in free fall. The military presence is just too strong for Clinton to overcome. The reason Virginia went for Obama after Bush, is because Military members were pissed with establishment Republicans. Trump isn't the establishment, and has favorable numbers among Military members. NOVA doesn't decide Virginia. Military members do, and there are plenty up there. It's too much for Clinton to overcome, especially after Benghazi.

Only two polls for Oregon, both with small sample sizes. One Clinton +11, the other Trump +2

Oregon is the kind of state where disgruntled Sanders people in Portland might not vote at all, while turnout among "NW Front" people in the Mountains could be huge.

All about turnout.

I mean does anyone outside of charlotte and asheville really want clinton

I really don't see Iowa ever voting for Hillary Clinton

The only thing I disagree with is Colorado, unfortunately.

Percentage wise maybe Trump gets closer than Romney did, but definitely not electorally.

I'd like to see it happen don't get me wrong but I don't expect it. At least I know my home state of TN will be red

Trump just puts too many states in play. Michigan,PA,Maine,Oregon. Clinton is in serious trouble.

I live in Raleigh and it's filled with berniefags.

She's up by 14 in the latest.

I actually made Colorado red by mistake I definitely agree.

delusional

>If there's a state where lots of white people who haven't voted in 20 years (and therefore aren't polled) will come out for Trump, its NC

Well if they haven't registered to vote they don't matter.

Shut up Poland nobody cares about you

>Her buddy gov Mcauliffe and Criminal Kaines approval ratings are in free fall.

Do you have any actual proof of that

>NOVA doesn't decide Virginia. Military members do, and there are plenty up there. It's too much for Clinton to overcome, especially after Benghazi.

Benghazi literally happened in 2012 and guess who won Virginia? Obama.

You guys are fucking retarded

>Trump winning CO

>Hillary winning NM

If you want to be more relistic at least make Florida and Ohio red, Iowa also

I'm an American you fucking idiot I said my home state is Tennessee

NC: They will register to vote this time for the first time since 2004 or 1988, is what I meant to say.

Trump really didn't even get that many new people out to vote, he just got general election voters to vote in the primaries

In 2012, Obama won by lying about Benghazi and lying about Russia

>The 1980s called, they want their foreign policy back
^^ he said about Russia

>Osama bin laden is dead, GM is alive
^^ he said about "winning" the war on terror and fixing the economy.

All of that is clearly evident as bullshit now

>Florida against Clinton

Iowa has Clinton at a massive lead and it's hard to see that changing.

You may not be crazy about Ohio but I expect Ohio Repubs to ultimately not be able to stomach Trump.

You are referring to one poll with a sample size of 600 people about Iowa.

The second-most recent poll only has her up +2

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_trump_vs_clinton-5597.html

I don't think they like him but they hate Hilary more in Ohio and Trump has Florida she only will win dade county

Trump's whole campaign is based on the idea that he can appeal to enough disgruntled white people in the rust belt and in the South who haven't voted in 20 years to push him over the top.

If that assumption is wrong, he's doomed.

He'll flip New Mexico. I can feel it in my bones.

John Kasich is the governor, and he used to work at Lehmen Bros., he is not representative of "Ohio Republicans"

Ok, that doesn't change that Romney still lost

Ohio voted for Hillary and against Trump.

They voted for their pro-TPP pro-NAFTA governor.

Messed up muh crop.

>Iowa has Clinton at a massive lead and it's hard to see that changing.

Haven't been paying attention to the polls lately, have you?

Trump has little to no ground game in the swing states. I'm afraid the fix is in. Hillary will win.

too close for comfort, yo.

In a scenario where he's going to win NV and NM, I can't see him not winning NC, IA and CO

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html

Lol, no.

Trump's going to get slaughtered so bad in November. People will talk about this election on the scale of how lopsided the '84 one was.

PA won't go red this election. Too many nigs and welfare queens on either end to get past, even though the entire state is red otherwise.

Ryan will pull some sketchy shit if that happens. He'll ask everybody to write him in.

A demonstration is scheduled in Brazil for July 31 for the impeachment. I could go with a pro-Trump sign, to show that not all latinos are wall jumpers Mexicans. Do you thing it is a good idea or a "fuck off, Brazil" one

Farmers want gibsmedats. They don't give a fuck about anything else.

The American news literally doesn't report anything about Brazil

He has reputation, and more conservative Hispanics in Nevada.

Clinton won't get much turnout from New Mexico, there's just so much chronic apathy here, especially among her demographics (spics and yungins). Pic very related.

Colorado is a toss up. I know it certainly leans left, but most of the Colofags I've spoken with support Trump. Maybe I'm just too deep in the hug box, who knows.

NC is similar, but there's no way he'll get Iowa. The Republicans won't show up at the ballots out of saltiness.

my prediction

He needs to turn PA or MI red or if he can get Colorado

>Endorsing a candidate who despises your ethnicity

How could you be a bigger cuck?

Cubans are probably worried about him stepping the wet-foot dry-foot policy.

It's doubtful that he'll win Florida.

Even NBC has PA rated as a "tossup"

270towin.com/maps/nbc-battleground

Now that we are reopening legal travel to Cuba, how have we not removed this policy yet????

Fuck off shill. Beaners=/=monkeys.

Nice dubs, fool
>despises your ethnicity

What the fuck are you talking about, I thought Brazillians were white

>Losing NH
Nah family, they love him. PA is also a fair red.

Even the rural upstate part of Maine that for some reason has a separate vote might go for Trump

I was being conservative if he lost I would imagine a map something like that

PA and CO are both within reason for Trump

He visited both of those states this week, which means he is trying.

...

Another Virginian here and poster is right, it will be red and there is not doubt about that...

Kek in our dreams

inshallah

>Giving him the entire PNW.
Shit, little much even for the God Emperor desu.

It's hard to get a Trump win, even by giving generous big wins like Ohio and Florida to him (which currently favor Clinton).

Oregon is possible, IMHO

Washington state is a bit of a stretch, unless all the Sanders supporters vote for Jill Stein or Gary Johnson

I wish.

Washington and Oregon were balls deep in the Sanders camp.

They're extra fanatical and hate Hillary enough to flip the states.

more like

>Kansas
>Hillary Clinton
Areyoufuckingkiddingme?

Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are absolute must wins for Trump.

> Trumps wet dream
> Hilarys wet dream

I hope you guys are right. I'm fighting tooth-and-nail down here in the Land of Enchantment. Good luck.

Reminder that Hillary Clinton only got 7,140 votes in the Washington Democratic primary

>Trump got 403,003

The most probable map for a Trump win imo.

Orlando shooting gave him Florida. It's red.

Caucus != Primary

It's gonna end up being this, and anyone saying otherwise is deluded. Screenshot this.

Enjoy the next few months Trumpcucks. We're getting shitty Clinton for president.

I live in New Jersey (the state which voted for Gov. Sandwiches twice, BTW) and I see Trump bumper stickers and lawn signs on the regular. Literally never seen anything for Hillary, but lots of Sanders.

>Goldman Sachs is here though

>the fix is in
Speaking of, have any more of Trump's staffers quit the last hour or so?

Washington actually holds both

I'm CO and will vote anything but Clinton. I don't see CO turning red, though.

>Donald "I don't care" Trump
>Losing Florida and Pennsylvania.
Yeah, nah.

Pennsylvania, Ohio and Colorado will go blue

Did you pay any attention to anything outside of Sup Forums? People thought his handling of it was abhorrent. It hurt him.

That's what the television said. Not real actual human beings.

...

You're a fucking idiot, Trump is only wildly popular with a few people. Fewer than you'd think. Barring anything coming out of the FBI or some new scandal, it's going to be a slaughter.