>There has been a lot of polling over the past few days in advance of the Republican National Convention
>Trump’s odds have improved. He has a 36 percent chance of winning the election, according to our polls-only forecast, and a 38 percent chance according to polls-plus.
>But Clinton remains ahead of Trump in the clear majority of polls
>I’ve nevertheless detected a lot of consternation among Clinton voters: Why isn’t her position safer? There’s really about a 35 or 40 percent chance that Trump will become president?
>mfw when i know he'll kill himself before christmas
Brayden James
Link?
Josiah Murphy
Give him a break. Trump as a candidate was an unprecedented occurrence.
No one was sure what his chances were.
Nate is pretty darn good at analyzing general elections and coming up with a good prediction.
Zachary Johnson
>not even 5% >now close on 40% ahahahhaha AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA Will Trump's presidency finally end Nate's career?
David Lewis
He's a smart guy
Caleb Martinez
I absolutely won't link to that kike's site. I already felt bad looking at it myself. It's real. Just put it into google search you DUMB NIGGER FAGGOT
Jacob Baker
Hi nate. Are you getting that noose ready for november?
Oliver Scott
And Britain's remain in the EU polled high and the bookies constantly cited a 76% chance it would stay.
Guess what one of Hillary's recent betting odds chances of winning the election was cited at?
76%
Xavier Williams
Hi, Nate. How are you?
Grayson White
Rude
Brandon Clark
This. If Silver will stick to modelling instead of personal beliefs, he's in good form. The models are only as good as the data. America is undecided, and the data, thus the models, reflect this.
Nathan Watson
He is a poll manipulator. The guy has no experience with politics. His background is baseball statistics. Baseball has thousands of players. To be a successful stat guy in baseball you just need to be right most of the time. In the election there are 2 players. Tell me how his experience helps him with this. Also, if Nate was any good at baseball analytics. He would easily get a million dollar job at a baseball team. Tons of other guys in his line of work have gone that route.
Ethan Ward
Nate pls
Jason Mitchell
>what is archive Just take one for the team faggot. In fact, since you already viewed it you won't be giving him any extra clicks so you've nothing to lose now anyway.
Thomas Reed
That and if you use adblock you cuck him out of ad money anyway
Dominic Bennett
He already made money with PECOTA. I'm laughing at you faggots who dislike Silver because of his work instead of hating him for who he is.
Angel Gonzalez
>ignore nates articles >read 538 poll forecasts
Works pretty well
The actual forecasts are almost always right, it's just his articles have his personal spin and are shit