It's going to come down to these four states, give or take. Trump HAS to win Ohio AND Florida...

It's going to come down to these four states, give or take. Trump HAS to win Ohio AND Florida, or he will lose the election.

Also post em

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>Trump: 25 states
>Clinton: 21 states
>Clinton would still win
What kind of system is this?

Isn't it amount of votes vs amount of votes?

He can't win all the swing states, and he needs to run the table to win the election.

Sorry guys, meme magic wasn't enough.

The electoral votes account for percent population, some states have more people than others and should therefore have less influence.

White people are fed up with the Democrat's shit. Thy're sick of working 40 hours a week only to be called a hillbilly inbread idiot by democrat comedians on TV. Trump is going to win Michigan, Pennsylvania and Florida without question.

You literally know fuck all about the US don't you sunshine?

to be fair i think both parties have had a hand in meddling with the way the election works, leading to the current shitshow of a system

Honestly Ohio and North Carolina probably go red.

I'd put money on Florida going blue if I had to and New Hampshire is most likely a lock for blue.

You can't talk reality with trump supporters, I was in a thread last night that had trump supporters claiming he could run Oregon and have a serious chance in California and New York

No, you can lose if you get the popular vote. It happened in 2000 with Bush vs Gore, and it's happened a few times before that as well. Whichever candidate gets the most electoral votes wins (they are denoted on the map).

Iowa will not be red.

Look at all the land we control though. Democrats will be forced to kill each other in the cities for food when SHTF while we're fishing off the back porch of the cabin on 100 acres of land.

Dead Democrats BTFO

Gore would've won in 2000 if that was the case.

Trump's only chance of winning is through the debates where the media can't protect Clinton

Why would i care about your idiot 2 party system?

Fucking this. This world is wrong

That giant swath of red in the center/north part of the country has a total population of 73 people.

But he could take Oregon. Like I said, Whites are uniting for Trump. Oregon already has a huge republican population. They only vode Democrat presidents for more labor rights. Obama betrayed working class whites, and they will have their revenge on the Democrats.

I live in NC , I'm not totally sure atm about us going red or blue as we don't know the full fallout if any from HB2 recently forcing out the NBA All-Star game. It did leave a really big economic impact so it "could" be a factor. Or not, who knows.

I know primary results are a poor indicator, but trump got less votes than Clinton (who lost)

Some states have more people in them, genius.

this is from a thread last night, this is what you guys actually think is going to happen

As a resident of PA, I really hope we can win our state back against the cancerous tumor known as Philadelphia.

sorry, forgot pic

>Nevada
>Red

LOL.

>Trump lost Ohio
>Popular governor refuses to endorse him

It's over Sup Forums there is no path to victory.

He does a lot of business in new york. He could take new york.

California and Oregon are lost.

unless trump can take virginia somehow, its going to come down to ohio and pennsylvania.

I'd wager that's more of a babby's first election effect than "dumb Trump supporters". The only way you would ever think Cali or NY would go blue is if you just have no idea what's going on in the first place. Can't forget about how monumentally retarded bernouts were about the election largely because it was their first.

>Oregon
>Red

I hope to all gods this is trolling/shitposting, because it is delusional....

TBQH senpai, I think Trump does well in those four states. 271-269 would be quite something.

Also, check those digits.

Colorado here. I don't see us swinging red. We've turned pretty blue, most people here are shills for hill

i think this is the most plausible

new york republican primary = ~800,000 voters

new york democrat primary voters = ~1,800,000 voters

yea no

that pic was from a trump thread last night, not what I think is going to happen

This is actually a pretty reasonable take on the electoral map.

Only thing I would disagree with is Iowa being a lock for Trump; it's a close call, but I do agree that Trump is more likely than Hillary to take it.

My prediction is that Florida, Ohio, and North Carolina will go blue, albeit by tiny margins (especially North Carolina), but that New Hampshire will go blue and give the election to Hillary.

With that being said, Trump needs to focus much more of his efforts on NH in the coming months if he wants to win, probably even moreso than any other state.

It'll be a close election regardless

Oregon is going red. Screencap this.

Virginia is lost. No point in throwing money there.

Thank god

>Florida, Ohio, and North Carolina will go blue

Meant to say they will go red

Trump did very well in the primary, he's been polling ahead, and NV is often a close call. Because of his immigration stance, I say he takes it this year.

a tie is an actual possibility.
giggity.

the only thing that would cause more butthurt than trump winning is trump winning because of a tie.

Considering that if you include independents that Trump polls higher, and that liberals here are the Bernie variety and hate Hillary, yes Oregon has a serious chance of swinging.

I honestly think that this will be the result.

He has no ground game and will make stupid sexist comments during the debates. Hillary will attack him on his rape record and corrupt business deals.

Trump is toast.

>Trump not taking NY
nigga please

Back to tumblr you go Kevin

who would congress give the presidency to? i want to say they would give it to trump, but who knows.

It is less than 10%, but entirely possible.

Hillary's ads were on dull blast in orderror to edge out sanders. Sanders reported in kind.

It was war. Of course turnout was high for the primary, but apathy may take over for the bernouts.

Because the US is one of the few countries on earth that could blow your little shithole off of the face of the earth with the press of a button.

They're pretty much tied in all of those swing states. He has to win them all to win, which I would say is incredibly doubtful.

I wouldn't be surprised at all if we see the same results from 2012

Never going to happen, it's too multicultural.

We're way too important for that

especially if shill dog wins iowa and nevada, then trump is royally fucked

If it's a tie, House of Representatives chooses the president and Senate chooses the VP. Imagine if House chooses Trump, but Senate chooses Kaine because it got flipped to Dems.

Can someone redpill me on Nevada?
Why is a border state a liberal stronghold?
How can Arizona be so based and Nevada so gay?
Don't they have to deal with the beaner hordes too?

He won't win Florida. Too many spics voting for Hillary now that the dank VP speaks el espanolo

When did you guys realise that the globalist agenda quite literally is to exterminate the white race and replace white working class with non-white working class? It's always to the benefit of the elite of society when the working class is less organized and more stupid.

Me? After working with a turkish national socialist and turkish "islamist" for 3 months, they schooled me on the subject of The Jew.

He could even win all four but lose Nevada or Iowa, then she'd still win.

I still believe CO and PA have a shot to go red.

But otherwise i agree with your map. NH and OH i think go blue. NC and FLA red.

Well, the house is red, so there's that.

That's pretty much exactly what would happen for Trump to lose so yeah. I'm counting on the Trump effect though. I know it sounds silly, but look at how far he has gotten when his original chances were seen as less than 1% by pretty much everyone. I won't be entirely shocked if he somehow pulls an upset or two somewhere.

trump has a record of ruthless but legal business dealings; or in cases with mob ties, with illegal business dealings which are so entrenched they're unavoidable.

both of these are excusable in relation to an ultimately successful for-profit business which continues to gainfully employ thousands and produce.


hillary has a history of unethical dealings with brutal human rights violators, and illegal quid-pro-quo dealings, under the guise of a charitable non-profit which seems to funnel money to political purposes as much as spend anything on humanitarian causes.

He's going to win PA too so fuck off.

as long as trump wins ohio and pennsylvania, he is ok.

>Vegas
>Bastion of degeneracy
>Wetbacks pour in

Do the math

NC definitely goes red, Florida probably too. PA and MI actually possible according to fucking Nate Silver.

it depends on who wins congress in november. the incoming congress is the one who decides, not the outgoing, and it depends on which party controls the most seats in a state, not who controls the house regularly.

utah blue?

He would definitely win in the case of a tie. Too many red house controlled states

In Michigan Trump got more votes yet nobody is talking about Trump taking it.

I'm not so worried about Florida as I am with Pennsylvania. NV might go blue as well. The rust belt is absolutely critical here.

Assuming you mean New Mexico and not Nevada since Nevada isn't a border state and New Mexico is a comfortable blue this election.

New Mexico is a liberal stronghold for this election because it has the largest percentage of Hispanics in any state. 47% of their population is Hispanic. Factor in a healthy dose of cucked liberal white males and there's absolutely no chance of someone like Trump taking that state.

Arizona, on the other hand, only has something like 25% of a Hispanic population, so their numbers, while influential, don't tip the scales in a general election.

The current senate would pick, not the new one.

This is the BEST outcome for Trump. The way this election changes is if Trump flips the rust belt...which is very white and rekt by NAFTA. This has to be the republican strategy, right?

i dont expect utah blue, just trying to show oh and pa are the key

What if it's a tie and we end up with Hillary and Pence at VP. Post tfw

no he didn't

Imagine how much better the world would have been if the burgers just had a reasonable system for electing the person who gets to fuck with the entire world

No he didn't, he got 476k, Bernie got almost 600k and Shillary got 577k.

As long as NC white voters turn out in droves, it's fucking red.

>People still don't think this is Trump's absolute ceiling

His racist rhetoric will not win him the election

if trump takes michigan its over as fuck

Wtf I hate racist rhetoric now

I think what he meant to say is that Republicans had a higher turnout for the primaries.

Electoral college

270towin.com/2016-house-election/

yep.

even states that go blue in the presidential election will be voting republican in case of a tie.

pennsylvania, colorado, wisconsin, michigan. looks like even fucking new jersey has more republican reps than democratic ones.

it'll be a complete blow out for trump.

They should just change the party colors from blue and red to brown and white because that's what it is tbqh

Don't forget Illinois

>pennsylvania
>blue

What shills. Rubio still got 9% of the vote. It was a three-man race. He definitely would have got more votes.

Arkansas fag here. Should I not even bother voting?

fucking first debate when

>It's deep into the night
>We're all watching the news
>This is the map of the election

How nervous is everyone in this situation?

PA will be red this time.
So much love for Trump
and so little enthusiasm for Hillary.
Nigs won't turn out and vote in an all white election.

Michigan will be tough. As we know from the Dem Primary, Hillary can really turn out the blacks.

You must be new here

If it's that close it gets rigged.

isnt bill clinton from arkansas? vote trump twice. take no chances.

he was also competing against 3 candidates, not 1.
>It was a three-man race.
4

republicans had about 200k more voters turn out than democrats

See how Commiefornia has a 55 under the abbreviation? That's the electoral vote count.

Now see how the 5 states direclty north of Texas don't even total half of that?

yea and if bernie wasn't in the race hillary would have definitely had more votes

you should have just said republicans had a higher turnout than democrats

I think things will only continue to get worse for Hillary as time goes on, so I think this could be a plausible final result, give or take a few states. I originally had this as a closer race, but it's clearer to me now that this won't be the case.

If Hillary is swamped with more scandals, then it could be even worse than this, but if she manages to hold on then you can put more of the blue states back in her corner.

I think either way Trump will win though, and it won't be that close.

All Trump needs is Ohio, PA, Michigan and Florida

In Michigan he's only 4-5 percent below Hillary, if he campaigns there on stopping TPP and getting revenge for NAFTA I expect he might take it.