It was fun while it lasted rcp just posted a decline for trump

It was fun while it lasted rcp just posted a decline for trump

Other urls found in this thread:

rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch
dataprivacylab.org/courses/popd/lab2/ExcelLine.pdf
twitter.com/SFWRedditGifs

That blows, well at least it was good fun to piss all over the shills.

A S S A N G E
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wtf i hate trump now

>mfw I knew he never really stood a chance

wtf i love hillary now

That's Hillary's convention bump
TL;DR
>every candidates gets a "convention bump" in the polls
>it's been noted for decades
>bump is usually +2/3 points
The only question is whether her bump will be big or small.
Trump's bump was huge.

>That's Hillary's convention bump
But why? The bitch haven't said a fucking unscripted word during that convention. All we have is a gay video about little girls.

...

Can't wait to see how berniebros getting keked will affect her convention bumps

Nobody will notice that they are dead.

Yea, I looked at RealClear and apparently she just got a +1 in the recent Rasmussen poll.

Idk why, it's just a known fact among pollsters that after every convention each candidate gets a 2 of 3-point boost.
So far, her boost is only 1 point, which is a bad sign.

Top kek.

Maybe she should stop taking drugs, show up and say something that is not fucking retarded. I know that it's hard for her, but she should at least try.

> rcp
What is it exactly? Romanian communist party?

>Yea, I looked at RealClear and apparently she just got a +1 in the recent Rasmussen poll.


It is literally just the margin of error of one poll randomly giving the opposite response.

it's over polls are finished

I hate trump and its pretty obvious he's gonna win. All the cuntbag bernouts who cant handle Bernie getting fucked by the Dems are gonna vote for trump.

These guys are some real cunts.

It's okay, it'll fall and rise many times before the actual elections.

Yea, I'm surprised that she wasn't hammered for not even bothering to show up.
How the fuck do you not even show up to your own convention??
Trump's presence was felt at his convention, which gave him a boost in the polls.

YOU GUYS HAVE GOT TO TRY THE COLD CHAI.

Real Clear Politics
It's a website.

This, indeed

lol at the fucking idiots who actually think a orange in a suit can become president of the hamburger country

...

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> It's a website.
So what`s the fuss.

You can manipulate credit ratings for USA after they fucked up with (((lemon brothers))) back into AAA from AAB-, you can manipulate DNC polls against vulgar socialist (that must take 2/3 of their votes easy under any representative of the idea). But somehow the website, that does not show Trumps rating peaks, averaging it so he will always be behind shillary - is objective source of information, that meant to be reposted?

They are clearly using the "follow the crowd" insctincts to persuade people into voting for shillary.

wtf i love hillary now!

>Trump's bump was YYUuge.

it's the go-to website for the polls now. they don't make them they congregate them. so it's an easy tool
and people bitch just because that's what we do on 4chang

...

I don't know why either side and media gives a shit about polls so much when it's a percent of the percent of people who would answer the telemarketer call let alone have a landline telephone.
Really how many people do you know with landline telephone? Ok how many of those people you know would even be willing to waste their time answering the poll?

Nah. We just take all the polls and average them and make a chart.

>I'm old and traditional.
>Have both telephone landline (complete with wires and stuff) and cellphone.
>Get 2-5 survey calls weekly.
>-All- of them come in on landline.
>-None- of them come in on cell phone.
>Older people have landlines.
>Younger people have cellphones.
>Older people lean Trump
>Younger people lean Hillary
>Effect on polls ???

I take care of my mom so I have one for her since she finds cell phones complicated.

>tfw I actually did one of the telemarketing polls because she thought it was something important

Instead of hanging up I just did it, took less than a minute.

You guys are pathetic.

>Trumps up in poll
-HAHAHAHAHA
-How can Hillary ever compete
-It's over

>Hillary up in poll
-Poll sucks anyway, I'm anti math even though most poll, especially weighted average have been accurate for the primaries
-T-the jews did the polling
-Implying poll matters before debates

We will see a massive Bradley effect this year

Trump has been demonized and so many people are scared to admit they are voting for him

I think he's probably 3 points higher than polls reflect at any given time

welp that's it. I am now a #shill4hill

Go back to begging for crumbs

Seems legit to be honest. The trend for Hillary seems to be going down and for Trump consistently up.

Because of the media coverage.
CNN and co. do the dirty work for her, in Trump´s case his convention bump came from people liking his speech.
Considering the hundreds of millions of dollars + background plotting with journalists that it took Hill to get this convention bump, she doesn´t stand a chance.

WTF is that bottomless pit doing on her tongue? And lol @ those obvious dentures. Did she have a lesbian tongue ring?

>Donald Jr. references Infowars

WERE BREAKING THE CONDITIONING

>trump Jr. sharing info wars links

embarassing desu

May not be 54-37 as the graph shows,

But even if swing it 10 points and make it 49-42, it's a convincing win

That's not how best fit lines work

Wat is this

Show me

Not to mention the DNC was a disaster because it alienated the biggest demographic in this country: White Males.

TFW No one even likes Hilldawg because she isn't likeable.

TFW Very few have see Trump speak yet- the more Americans see Trump, the more they LOVE him.

>american education

Next time he will reference Sup Forums.

Um I said "BOTH SIDES" pay attention. I'm not a trump or hill supporter I'm an independent voter.

He's slowly bleeding her out. That's how he beat every other republican on the field. His opponents frantically scramble to find a silver bullet, like romney's 47% comment, while Trump waits for his opposition to bleed out and natural tipping points finish them off. Hillary has already lost the narrative of being the anointed queen of the USA, which was her strongest characteristic. She can't retake lost ground because she needs to avoid the public eye as much as possible.

even women are getting sick of her shit

Yeah. I honest expect Trump 52% win. A narrow but clear and decisive win. Sort of like Brexit. Maybe God will pull a huge storm on election day like he did in Britain so only the strong go out and vote.

Trump is due for another Rasmussen boost soon I think. If this is really HIllarys convention bump it's pathetic

Kind of like Brexit. A lit of people seem to have told the pollsters one thing, and then did another.

The only poll that really matters is the one you do in the voting booth.

My wife gets angry when she is mentioned.

Welp, see you guys in 2020.

So it's not true? Hate on Jones all you want but they cover shit others won't or will week's later. Kys

>Trumps down in poll
-HAHAHAHAHA
-How can Trump ever compete
-It's over

>Trump up in poll
-Poll sucks anyway, I'm anti math even though most poll, especially weighted average have been accurate for the primaries
-I-Its just a convention bump!
-Implying poll matters before debates


whatever you say buddy boy

Could this have had something to do with the Reddit AMA?

Yeah, I wish he had gone with a truthworthy unbiased news source like MSNBC or CNN.

the desperation is delicious

>leddit mattering

What are you implying medpack ?

>Hillary has already lost the narrative of being the anointed queen of the USA
I hope so but I'm afraid this DNC gave her a permanent boost but God please don't let this be true.

>She can't retake lost ground because she needs to avoid the public eye as much as possible.
This is what gives me hope.

>it's the go-to website for the polls now
Because (you) repost them.

Its impossible to express how silly your post is.

>Clinton winning Rasmussen while Trump is winning CNN
What the fuck

wtf i hate polls now

Okay so here's a real talk. I've been saying that Hillary will get a convention bump and a bunch of first time voters here in Sup Forums are saying that Hillary won't get so just because they think DNC is a mess. It doesn't matter what you, or any hardcore party liners and junkie think. The national convention on both sides are week long infomercials to sway people who are ignorant about politics, that's why they're on every major channel ABC, CBS, PBS, Fox, MSNBC and CNN on primetime TV. It doesn't matter whether they purged Bernie's delegates or not, or if there's counterprotest outside, what matters is the "optics." Those premade signs and telempromted speech works as quality TV brainwashing.

So here's the real kicker. Rasmussen poll is out showing Clinton +1 today. Rasmussen has a well acknowledged conservative bias in MSM, and had Trump up way before other polls and way before the RNC bump. Do you know what this means? Clinton's DNC bump was huge. Other more accurate polls like Marist and PPP will probably have Clinton +4 to +7.

The wikileaks stuff didn't even matter according to the poll. The Wikileaks story got drowned with made up Russia accusation and the DNC voicemail didn't even make it to today's front page news. Unless Assange has an ace in his pocket, the DNC bump will be BIGGER than RNC bump.

You can bury your head in the sand all you want, I don't like Clinton either but that's a hard dosh of truth whether you like it or not

rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch

Except you can tell that Hillary has plateaued.

>you can tell! bernie's going to win
>you can tell! ron paul's going to win
>you can tell! trump's going to win

pick 0

>I'm an independent voter.

9 times out of 10 it means someone who is uninformed and doesn't want to inform themselves.

kek

i.e. like this.

I wouldn't write them off completely though.
Romney was the first pres. I voted for.
He was down in the polls against Obama but I kept telling myself the polls don't matter...

rasmussen is usually biased in favor of trump though (or at least less biased in favor of hillary). for example, look at these prior polls.

note which ones have trump ahead, and then look over to see who did the polling. it's rasmussen every time.

Assange better have something good, because that email shit was nothing

>Rasmussen has a well acknowledged conservative bias in MSM, and had Trump up way before other polls and way before the RNC bump. Do you know what this means?


The last Rasmussen poll only had Trump up by +1. Now Hillary is +1. Both are within the margin of error.

You are literally a dumbass who doesn't know what you're talking about.

I've been voting for a -long- time. In the first election that I took part in, I voted for Nixon. (No shit)

Where I live, I have two additional options. One of them is "None of the Above". The other is the Libertarians. In the past, I've voted for both of them. This year, I'm voting Libertarian.

We should modify the voting laws to make "None of the above" an option nationwide. If "None of the above" wins, we hold another election with different candidates.

How do they even poll now?

Nobody has a landline anymore, at least none of the young people. I've never gotten a polling call on my mobile phone.

Actually I pay attention to the issues I just don't vote based on what team they are on.

You don't take the end and beginning of a trend as the slope, you use the best fit formula. Excel has a function for it as well if you put each point into an X-Y table. On mobile right now, but here, follow this:

dataprivacylab.org/courses/popd/lab2/ExcelLine.pdf

Oh you mean the same MSM that just got exposed as being operated by the DNC? Lmao.

Rasmussen is a poll junkie. He fucking eats, sleeps, breathes polling and numbers. He doesn't throw his credibility away by doing all the faggoty bullshit that other polls do.

The MSM saying he is biased towards (R) is a dog whistle for hey this guy isnt a heavily biased faggot like all of the other pollsters.

Oh yeah, you're a faggot. Fuck you.

Or its a non democratically biased poll. The others are taken with clear party side bias.

oh shit

What the actual fuck is up with Rammusen, they seem to always be the opposite of what all the other polls say. Hell, the LA Times had another morning poll and Trump was still ahead by 7.

>Line is stable
>Decline

OK then

is that why he showed rommney winning in a land-slide? him, and him alone showed that. days before the election..thank god rommney won in '08 or you'd look like a fucking idiot faggot right now hamburger

The trend is your friend.
Trendlines are reasonably reliable to predict growth or decline.

Are you suggesting the data we have shows Hilary gaining ground?

The conclusion of trump moving ahead is still there even if you disagree to be method used

We still don't know what the full impact of the DNC Leak is for Stein and Johnson.


Democrats are going to lose some voters this elections. We just don't know how many yet. We have to wait for the delegates and the protesters to go home and see if they get more people to change.

they are the hipsters of polling

>The MSM saying he is biased towards (R) is a dog whistle for hey this guy isnt a heavily biased faggot like all of the other pollsters.

There's this thing called historical precedence. PPP is the most accurate poll, and that's just from objective indexing and weights. Rasmussen was very kind to Romney, showing it was a closeish election and Romney got landslided in 08. PPP, 538 average, and even Huffpo poll got all the states right and the percentage very close, way more accurate than Rasmussen.

You can bleed and spew bullshit as much as you want, you can't beat math

FRIENDLY REMINDER TO WORK WITHIN YAHOO, HUFF POST, 538, AND SOCIAL MEDIA SITES TO PROMOTE TRUMP AND DISCREDIT HILARY AND THE MEDIA

DONT BE LIKE REDDIT AND ONLY STAY HERE

Look at all this disinformation, how much do you faggots get paid?

>Actually voting for Gary fucking Johnson

This.
I always think of Rasmussen as the Sup Forums of polls
When everyone else is Clinton +7, they are Trump +1
When everyone else is Trump +5, they are Clinton +1

whoah seriously wtf is that