What is the likelihood of ISIS or any other terror group executing a nuclear based attack?

What is the likelihood of ISIS or any other terror group executing a nuclear based attack?

They were too pussy to blow the mosul dam.

First they have to get the nuke, then they have to get a delivery system. Each of these is extremely unlikely.
Obama called them the JV but in fact they aren't even that. They are losing ground, they have no allies and tons of enemies.
The only good they are good at is making videos of executions that apparently frighten some people.

Impossible

100% in the next 6 months

the nuke would get bombed anyway

If they had such capability Saudi Arabia itself would be conquered and placed under martial law by the west until every terrorist investor gets captured and killed. Iraq would be a nuclear wasteland. The nation victim of the attack would turn fascist in an hearthbeat and Trump would win the election.

Fortunately, its not easy.

Building a missile requires advanced analytical skills. Obtaining advanced analytical skills means obtaining higher mathematics training. Obtaining higher mathematics training requires high academic rigor.

ISIS core values are against all these things. Islamic culture is more likely to charge you with a saber than a missile.

Russia is a terrorist state that possesses nuclear weapons so the chances are actually quite high

Dirty bomb just requires regular explosives and nuke materiel.

its 100% that is 0% chance

>T. Average libtard education

About the same as the likelihood of this post getting quints.

>digits

You're a fucking retard. Mosul dam blowing up would flood the city of Mosul which is controlled by ISIS. Why would they destroy their own capital in Iraq?

Checked, leaf

checked

That makes no sense what so ever. Saudi Arabia admits it has a nuclear stockpile, the west isn't going to risk WW3 fighting 1.7 billion Muslims.
>Islamic culture is more likely to charge you with a saber than a missile.
Enough culture to conquer your nation and reduce you to a landlocked shithole.
>Obama called them the JV but in fact they aren't even that.
Autist, they are literally fighting the entire planet, even when they 'lose ground' they just go into insurgency mode instead of conventional mode. They are very good at asymmetrical warfare, they even defeated NATO. That's true they have tons of enemies and no allies, and they do have a fantastic media department. But fighting the entire world and still being able to retain land is a feat that's incredible none the less.

Because they were too pussy

Because of you a pupper is going to die

I think the odds of ISIS obtaining nuclear material completely depends on their ability to coordinate with Pakistan and or North Korea.

If they could convince North Korea to give them nuclear material, they wouldnt hesitate to detonate a dirty bomb in any western city.

They give zero fucks. They would love to contaminate an American city.

There's a big difference between US nukes and the little toys that Pakistan and Saudis Arabia have.

They have tactical nukes. Like the one used in Yemen

Absolutely useless against ICBMs and can't be launched against the west because they don't possess the tech for it.

Best they can do is nuke a neighbour town

What interest would America have in declaring war on Saudi Arabia in the first place? It would destroy the petrodollar, Saudis would take Israel with it too. Pakistan is currently developing ICBM technology, perhaps they are prepping for an eventual war with India.

That truck reminds me of this

Launching a nuke is a complex event. This isn't a goddamn episode of 24

0

Pakistan would never cooperate with ISIS, Pakistan enjoys being a regional power, and dislikes ISIS gaining ground in Afghanistan. They are both Sunni nations, but Pakistan has Pakistan's interests first, Pakistan is also close to China and Russia, and wouldn't support an enemy of those states. As for North Korea, they literally have no interests in supporting ISIS, because Iran,Russia and Syria are allies of North Korea.
Pretty much, even if Incirclik airbase was hypothetically taken over, ISIS wouldn't have the capability to just launch those nukes at NYC,Paris or London

India is already a decade ahead of pakistan in terms of ICBM and nuclear miniaturization technology and they are still second rate at it.

if there were a rating from 1-5, 1 being the highest level of nuclear capability per unit warhead, India is a 4. Their missiles are short range, do not possess penetration aids, are slow, and non re-directable. Soviet missiles from the 60's are better than anything China or India/Pakistan can build.

The biggest nuclear threat for insurgent groups will ALWAYS be the fact that Russia lost about 50 250Kt- 750Kt MIRV warheads during its missile transfer in the 90's from Kazakhstan (especially), Ukraine, Poland, and the Baltics.

Approx. fucking zero. Sandniggers are retarded. The best thing they did so far was fly planes into buildings. Executing a nuclear assault is something only whites or Japanese are capable of.

Tongue my anus and my digits, niggers.
I know what the fuck I'm talking about.

Since ISIS = USA Army
Since ISIS = Mossad

100% chance of false flag nuclear attack.

Its more likely that they would simply use nuclear material to make a dirty bomb rather than an actual missile.

How you know dubs man?

Checked for truth

Likely.
They have very smart guys with them and secret weapons labs developing crazy shit from remote control car bombs and stealth bombs to trick airport scanners to reverse engineered AG missiles changed to AA. Don't forget they're rich and are confirmed to have both uranium and plutonium.

The fact the Turkish government is in bed with them says it all. They are currently surrounding the US nuke base right now in Incirclik...
Iraqi forces recaptured it before they could. If it was destroyed it would have killed hundreds of thousands from Mosul all the way down to Baghdad.

I think thats what they will do when the inevitable siege of Mosul begins which is now 18 months late.

>What is the likelihood of ISIS or any other terror group executing a nuclear based attack?

There is virtually no chance ISIS will ever get its hands on a nuclear weapon. Even if they did, they will have no idea how to detonate it.

As for nuclear material, ISIS might be able to get some. Hospitals have some to treat cancers and such, but not much. Also, it's low-level radioactive stuff anyway. Can never be turned into a nuclear weapon but it could be turned into a tiny dirty bomb. ISIS might be interested in polluting a few blocks of a city by detonating a dirty bomb, spreading radioactive material all around. Then, no one could ever work or live in that area for thousands of years.

But fear not, user. ISIS will never get its hands on a nuclear weapon. You have to understand something about nuclear weapons. You can't transport them without emitting radiation. It's like trying to use a flashlight to sneak up on somebody in the dark. If a nuclear weapon was stolen, every radiation-detecting instrument in existence is going to be on full alert looking for signs of radiation. The nuke itself would be like a homing beacon visible by every enemy of ISIS. And anyway, nukes aren't how ISIS rolls. They don't want to go through the trouble of all that. They would much rather do the unexpected and worrisome like driving a truck through a parade or setting off multiple bombs in an airport or flying explosive drones into sports stadiums.

Who said they need to develop it? If they get enough money why couldn't they just buy a WMD and find a way to smuggle it and use it. You can say that the seller would be put in a lot of trouble that it would never be worth it to sell it. But what if they lost "accountability" of it or made it look like it was stolen?

Obviously it would be extremely difficult to do and unlikely for them to be able to smuggle it into a Western country or even be able to get access to it. But it is not impossible and when you factor in that Islamic terrorists have no problem blowing themselves up and are already constantly getting bombed it wouldn't be hard to imagine that if they did get access to the weapons that they would use it.

kek wills it buddy