NATE SILVER RELEASES FINAL PREDICTION FOR 2016

NATE SILVER RELEASES FINAL PREDICTION FOR 2016

fivethirtyeight.com/

Other urls found in this thread:

fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/
washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2013/03/12/National-Politics/Polling/question_10030.xml?tid=a_inl
gallup.com/poll/184577/favor-path-citizenship-illegal-immigrants.aspx
citizen.org/documents/polling-memo.pdf
twitter.com/NSFWRedditGif

Think he will hang himself this time.

>Montana
>Texas
>Mississippi
>Indiana
>Missouri
>Alaska

>blue

>Nebraska
>Johnson

What is this guy on?

(((Silver)))

this is straight up delusional

with jews you lose

He is now only Nate.

>neb johnson
its split votes, no johnson

Is that fucking kike serious?

Mississippi gone Dem? No. Just no.

Nate gold has a proven track record for predicting general elections. I understand it's hard to use reasoning, because you're republicans, but Trump is losing very bad.

This is fake though, he has never claimed this is his prediction

wtf is Nate Cesium doing

He's using the skewed poll data, and he seems to think that Gary will split the vote against Trump. Also Democrats have this idea that Hilary will have the same black turnout as Obama.

>yfw we'll all be forced to accept universal wage checks every month knowing it will destroy our economy

Thank you for correcting the record

>Johnson 8% popular vote
>0.3% electoral college vote

Can we all agree that the electoral college is a disservice to democracy and there's literally no reason to support it? Like what the fuck?

also like how they only include Johnson in the results and not Jill Stein because he's more likely to take Trump votes and Stein is likely to take Hillary votes. Nate silver loves to take it in the ass

almost as delusional as longroom

i don't see this map anywhere on the site

fake and gay

Alaska will never vote someone who wants to place more gun restrictions, neither will Montana.

I'm hoping liberal faggots keep pushing this 'it's going to be a landslide' narrative so the average liberal doesn't get off their ass and actually vote.

gay and fake

I'm a Democrat here in Michegan, and I even campaigned for Obama in 2012 and 2008. We're not going to win this year because the base has eroded away and nobody trusts Hilary.

Remember Steve Rattner? He was Obama's car czar that killed the UAW and sent jobs to mexico. The survivors either moved to Chicago, or are underemployed. Most of their children moved out west (California, Portland, Seattle etc) while they themselves are going to vote for Trump since he promises to end free trade.

At the very least, it's going to be a very tight race. Hilary will not be having a blowout and it's totally delusional to think so.

>CTR is real
nice meme kiddo

67 delegates? Really? LMAO

>(((Nate Silver)))

Fake and super faggy

>/pol is too stupid and lazy to read Nate's article
>doesn't realize the image is just a hypothetical doomsday scenario and not Nate's real prediction

figures.

>

Trumpfags on suicide watch

$0.3 has been deposited into your account.

Thank you for Correcting The Record!

Is this why even the blacks in my area seem to dislike Hillary?

KY, Louisville btw.

It isn't real, CTR is busy with google and facebook shilling. All the hilary hype threads here are courtesy of /intl/

I'm very liberal and I'm also half hoping for this. The only thing I agree on with Trump is that whatever happens, the election will be rigged. They already did it in the primaries and we have proof thanks to Wikileaks. And yet you have morons on CNN silencing people who bring up voter fraud. I'm personally not voting for Hillary, because there are other candidates I agree with on more issues.

Lol, Texas and Montana voting for higher gun laws.

the nigger has already won

Honest question for CTR guys. Why are you even being paid if Hillary is already going to win?

>being this triggered
fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/

OP is a faggot though. This is a guess map if Hillary wins by 16

Literally no where on the site does it even show this as his final prediction and from what I can read it is actually a Clinton Landslide "Whaf If" so fuck you OP.

$1000 NEETBUX have been deposited to your account at Bank of Cuck. Thanks for Correcting the Record!

ctr doesnt post on this site you cuck
>WAHH IF SOMEONE DOESNT LIKE THE JEWNALD ITS A SHILL
>polls show trump winning
BASED POLLS LOOK AT THOSE GAINS WE WON!!
>polls show trump losing
wtf polls are rigged i hate polls now

WIkileaks didn't prove the primaries were rigged, they proved that the DNC was BIASED.
RIgged implies things like ballot stuffing, ect. It should be no surprise that the DNC held a personal dislike of Sanders - he's very unpopular in the senate (why he got so few endorsements from there) and he was a registered independent trying to run the DEMOCRATIC party.

>Nate gold

O shit I stepped into bizzaro Sup Forums again didn't I?

I'm not even a real trump supporter m8. I just don't even care. If Hillary wins. War in Syria starts sooner. If she doesn't. Its a big who knows what is going to happen. Donald Trump is way too much of a wild card to predict.

Shills need to stop pushing their fake polls. Nobody rational and intelligent seeing how Trump fills stadiums while Shillary has to pay one hundred people to hear her evil cackle will actually believe she is leading. It's like Brexit all over again.

There's no way Arizona goes blue. I've been seeing anti-Obama bumper stickers for years now, and I've yet to run into anyone that supports Hillary here. A few weeks ago, for instance, while at a grocery store, the cashier and the customer in front of me were talking about politics, and one of them brought up "the commie, Bernie Sanders" while laughing, and referred to Hillary as a criminal.

Anyone who thinks that Arizona will go blue has either never been here or has only been in the Tucson area. People are open carrying all the time here. Local politicians here have been running on anti-PC rhetoric for years. We have politicians running ads that feature crossed-out Mexican flags. I remember seeing tons of McCain stickers in 08, Romney in 12, and don't remember Obama (unless they were derogatory) bumper stickers at all. Right now I see Trump bumper stickers everywhere, and not a single HRC bumper sticker or sign anywhere.

Another good way to see the temperature is to look at your local elections. Since I just got my ballot in my local elections, about 80% of the candidates are Republican. All the signs everywhere are only for Republicans. Republicans outpolled Democrats in the primaries by millions.

It's cool man. I'm going full accelerationist if trump loses. I'm going to just collect government handouts until the whole thing collapses under its own weight and the race war begins.

>I can't come up with an argument so I'll call you a shill.
1 Trump Coin has been deposited in your account.

Yes, the emails prove the primary was rigged. How else do you explain the closing of polling locations across America? In Arizona for example, there was 1 polling location for every 21,000 people, a 70% decrease from the last election year. And what about the fact that voters who had voted in every dem primary since they could legally vote having their registration switched to independent or republican?

It's no surprise Sanders doesn't have much support in the Senate, because most senate democrats are neocons and not real liberals. Sanders may be an independent, but he's certainly more liberal than the dems in the senate to anyone paying attention.

I'm Louisville, KY too!!! Sadly can't openly display that I support Trump here. Also can't stand Cruzmissle Bevin, but whatever.

Maybe if you stepped out of your house, you would realized 90% of people want reasonable gun control.

Pretty much. Niggers don't like being betrayed. Obama did that, he promised them (specifically middle class and lower income ones) that he would protect their jobs. He didn't. Everyone has gotten poorer, and even the ones that don't like the police aren't buying Hilary's "pledge" to "reform" them.

For example, niggers that eight years ago held lower income, but Union, jobs had homes and a mortgage. Their jobs left, and most were forced into bankruptcy. Most of their kids have gone feral, the few "smart" ones move west. Locally, Democrats try to play up the "koch right to work" stuff, which is true, but it's too late as there's just no jobs to actually work at (if there were jobs, then Unions would easily be able to get their favors back).

Even Union bosses are still hugely distrusting of her due to her coal miners' comment. In the 60s the UFW got fucked by LBJ, in the 70s Nixon fucked the ILWU, Reagan fucked the NACTA in the 80s, Bill fucked the NPWU in the 90s, Bush fucked the UMWA in the 00s and in the 10s Obama fucked the UAW. Union membership is at it's lowest point in history and everyone is concerned. Hilary's campaign won't respond with anything other than the regular slogans.

It's just bad all around. Something is rotten at 430 South Capitol St (DNC HQ).

she doesn't want reasonable gun control, and was on record saying Heller decision was wrong.

Those are just 2 examples of rigging. What about that top DNC official who colluded that MSM should attack Sanders based on his religion? By the way, Election Justice USA estimated that Sanders lost 187 delegates to fraud and never before seen irregularities, and that would have won him the pledged delegate race.

I guess I wasn't the only one with this plan. Might as well benefit from the short lived socialism.
I live in Shively. Its pretty calm here surprisingly. Considering the demographics. Although I won't say its without some weird outbursts.

It's too bad that I actually live in Montana and know actual people from Montana.

West side of the state here, just this weekend Hillary started advertising on TV. Why would she be spending any money in MI if she is blowing Trump out here?

There is no proof the primary was rigged, Sander's supporters just can't accept that a centrist like Hillary resonates more with the public versus a borderline extremist like Bernie.

In fact, given how negative the media coverage has been to Hillary, I'm very surprised she won. But that is most likely a testament to how good of a politician she is.

Why do you hate Trumpfags user?

>you would realized 90% of people want reasonable gun control
Ok buddy, whatever your 93 person surveys at liberal colleges say

if you're smart you'd advertise fucking everywhere retard

How many times had he been right in the past?

>NATE SILVER RELEASES FINAL PREDICTION FOR 2016

No he didn't.

This was a purely hypothetical map of what would happen if Clinton won by +16%.
He even stated this wouldn't happen.

>ctr doesnt post on this site you cuck

lurk more

>"final"

The supreme court likely did reach the wrong conclusion. They should have came to agreement that the 2nd amendment, like any other amendment, is open to reasonable restrictions. Which I reiterate, the majority of America wants.

No you don't retard

No, you advertise where the money is required. Money is not an unlimited resource dumb mother fucker.

>muh ctr boogeyman
just because people have different opinions and discuss them doesnt mean they're paid shills
why should i trust trump's supporters with calling people shills since he has a kike daughter?

The blacks here do seem to reflect your post. They seem pretty disenfranchised and a few seem thoroughly redpilled so to speak or just plain woke. They want nothing to do with the race baiting distractions and they want nothing to do with the establishment that screwed them sideways and behind the back.

Thanks. I wish I had more to say in response but its late and I've been studying all day. My brain is fried.

There's nothing extreme about Bernie's views. Do you know what's extreme? Putting together an international coalition to take out Assad. Intervening if Russia decides to invade Crimea. Giving Iran $1.5 billion worth of arms. All things Clinton supports.

Ok, kid.

washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2013/03/12/National-Politics/Polling/question_10030.xml?tid=a_inl

it is open to reasonable restrictions, state rights, as in NJ MD etc don't allow conceal carry, assault weapon ban and mag limits in states etc....

THE RECORD HAS BEEN CORRECTED, THANK YOU KIND SHILL!

Nate doesn't release his final predictions until right before election day. It's those that have always been spot on

...

His views on trade and immigration are very much like Trump's in the sense that the majority of Americans don't support them.

>Alaska
>blue

I don't think anyone has ever disputed that, but changing anything in our government is impossible because of partisan bickering... Not to mention both major parties benefit from that system for precisely the reason you point out there... Thus are in no hurry to change anything.

Lol, no way. Trump might lose badly but there's no way in hell those midwestern states are going to all go blue like that.

user, we may be dangerously close considering I'm from the Shively part, too. I live about as close as possible to "West Louisville" without actually being in West Louisville, though.

based idaho. always red or dead.

>2013

Go to Montana or Alaska, kid.

Go and tell people that we need more restrictions, I doubt you'll get a positive reaction.

>Would you support or oppose a law requiring background checks on people buying guns at gun shows?

You know this is already a thing, right? It's why my friend and I couldn't walk into a gun show and get a $200 MAS 36 a couple months back

Thank you for cucking the rectum.

We still need the ability to keep assault rifles and high capacity magazines out of the hands of criminals. State restrictions are invalidated by other states because a criminal can just drive over the border to a neighboring state and buy an aussalt rifle at a gunshow.

>nate cardboard
>my state going blue
wew

Most Americans worship a blood demon at this point and call it god. They want blood or they riot.
Oy vey. I live on Wathen LN.

Nowhere near that bad. Don't get me wrong, I'm not delusional enough to pretend he's doing good but that map is fucking absurd.

Because TV ads are cheaper than ever, and if I had to guess she's only just now catching on that Trump will flank her in the Rust Belt. Remember that she's a Clinton, and neither can imagine a scenario where their "demographic destiny" doesn't paint America totally blue like OP's image. They see manufacturing workers as brainless drones, until they're replaced by more loyal white collar workers or mexicans.

Problem is that the spic invasion isn't big enough, and they don't vote. Meanwhile as shops close up and move south people get fucking scared. Workers don't operate in a vacuum and everyone is seriously scared that they could be next. Remember the official party line: we won't protect your jobs, we'll retrain you to get real jobs. In practice this means student debt and many union workers do not want to take it on. The ones that do end up underemployed automatically start voting GOP out of frustration, and now it's starting to effect normal workers.

You're actually wrong about that, a majority of Americans support a path to citizenship as well as reducing the number of immigrant work visas due to corporations abusing them to pay slave wages.

gallup.com/poll/184577/favor-path-citizenship-illegal-immigrants.aspx

As for trade, a majority of Americans certainly don't want to see trade deals that have 25% to do with international trade and 75% corporations making sure they'll stay in business forever.

citizen.org/documents/polling-memo.pdf

I live in Alaska, he's right. Even our liberals carry guns, this state will never go for Clinton.

Get the fuck outta her ctr, it's written all over you

>it's a Sup Forums discounts statistical evidence because "dude I live here and the half a dozen people I know all vote trump" thread

define high capacity mags. in NY its 7 rounds, other states 10, others 15 etc....

But he is currently projecting that Hillary takes Arizona, which is pants-on-head retarded.

>people unironically believing this is what Nate predicted

>mfw people still take Nate Silver seriously

You also can't go to a gun show and just buy a weapon, that's a fucking lie that keeps getting thrown around. You need a check.

I would say you don't need any more than five rounds, but it will most likely be settled on ten.

liberals really are living in their own little bubble about to burst, I hope a civil war erupts over Trump winning, the ropes will be swinging.

Pretty funny, right?