ABC Poll

New ABC Polls has Hillary +8
>Sample: 642 landline callers
>Partisan Divisions: D34,R24,i33 (for a total of 91%)
>Trump Supporters = 90% likely to vote
>Clinton Supporters = 80% likely to vote
>50% of whites support Trump

Running out of time.

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washingtonpost.com/politics/clinton-holds-lead-over-trump-in-new-poll-but-warning-signs-emerge/2016/09/10/800dee0c-76c8-11e6-b786-19d0cb1ed06c_story.html
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Is that really how polls work?

Did they ask for race on the phone?

why do I feel like this isn't accurate

wow look at the source

washingtonpost.com/politics/clinton-holds-lead-over-trump-in-new-poll-but-warning-signs-emerge/2016/09/10/800dee0c-76c8-11e6-b786-19d0cb1ed06c_story.html

>>Partisan Divisions: D34,R24,i33 (for a total of 91%)


Into the trash it goes

>Landline callers

So old people. They sampled boomers.

>46 to 41 percent
>eight point lead
no

Its 46-41 (with all 4 candidates), but for (((SOME REASON))) RCP put it as Clinton +8

>642 landline callers
>642
>landline

sounds legit, friend.

Depends, if the interviewer is able to identify the race by speech he shouldn't ask, what is 95% of the cases.

>if the interviewer is able to identify the race by speech he shouldn't ask

Its 2016 you bigoted fuck I bet you think they can tell gender over the phone too.

Yes of course, after all they are trained wizards

>10 more D than R
There's your problem

Because it isn't

>landline callers
Hahahahaha
Who the fuck uses a landline in 2016.
Cell phones, mang. Do you use them?

they also sampled disproportionately more dems and disproportionately fewer independents, as well as having a number that doesn't add up to 100%

Also
>R24
This is bullshit and I know it.

Trump -4 vs Clinton
Clinton +4 vs Trump

Somehow leftist logic says that the difference is 8pts.

what's your name : "Jameel"
and race: "ughhh i' m white"

1. its clinton +4 , not 8
2. if we weight for the fact that 90% of trumpsters will vote, vs 80% of hitlerians, that means trump wins, no?

>80% of hitlerians

I think that is overly optimistic for dems.

No one likes Hillary. The only reason they will vote is to prevent Trump, and many will stay home because "lol Hillary is ahead in the polls"

Does anyone in their right mind think that 8% of the country likes her more than Trump? KEK

Let's just think about this for a moment:

Gallup poll puts the numbers as 28% R, 42% I, 30% D.

Trump consistently gets about 80% from R, 8% from D and 40% from I.

Clinton consistently gets about 5% R, 90% D (very generous) and 25% I.

This is being very generous to Clinton and going by the 'polls'.

This gives Trump 42% Clinton 39%.

Then take into account voter turnout, pic related, Trump is going to get so many more people just turn out to vote (Maybe 10%+).

This is before the debates, more scandals and Assange's leak.

TLDR - the popular vote is in the bag.

>TLDR - the popular vote is in the bag.
Remember Al Gore?

yeah, that's why i made the distinction, plus the surplus for trump is much more than that

>500,000 votes
it's not enough even go to do over the line for the win in few states.

yes, back in 2012 they were "unskewing" the polls using similar logic

ask president Romney how that worked out

>50% of whites support Trump

If he doesn't get north of 65%, the whore will win in a landslide.

>R24% D34%

HOW DO THEY KEEP GETTING AWAY WITH IT

I used to unskew polls like you, until I took an arrow for Romney.

>Partisan Divisions: D34,R24,i33 (for a total of 91%

>every outcome ever will always be like romney

>over sampling dems +10
>Clinton only ahead +8

I think we know the real winner here

Looks like the UK is staying in the EU, lads.

>Under sampling R by 8
>Under sampling I by 7

They usually oversample women as well. Probably a 56/44 F/M split.

Statistically, I wonder if men or women are more likely to vote

>independents: clinton +2
Yeah, they can't keep getting away with this.

>D34

Why not 95%?

>600 landline calls

Hahahahahahahahahahaha

If Trump isnt 20 points or more behind in a poll like this then he has it in the fucking bag

>Poll 10% more Dems
>missing 9% of sample
>still only up 8%
Holy shit that's desperate

>abc and (((washington post)))

poll discarded

Lol at you for thinking the people here were even alive in 2012.

Nigger