Oscar Prediction Thread

I've seen none of these films BTW

>Best Picture:
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
The Post
Battle of the Sexes
Call Me By Your Name (Winner)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Blade Runner 2049
Lady Bird
The Post

Which ever one has the most blacks and feminists in it

Arrival got nominated last year.
Blade Runner is much better, but with all the talk about how it's not hella diverse I don't think it will get a nod.

Dunkirk may be the movie to get Nolan an oscar.

Get Out being a nomination frontrunner scares me more than the actual film, I hope they aren't actually THAT baited to vote for that shit.

Dunkirk definitely seems like a good decade/career defining "timeless" film to give the award to, it would be looked at as the film that got Nolan the Oscar and as the 2010s spectacle film.

It doesn't really seem to align well with the Academy's sensibilities though, so it's not my #1 bet.

oh at least one black movie must get the nod
can you think of another one this year?

Detroit?

Hmmmm, that list is not very diverse, user. But I guess privileged white gays are the closest thing, so I'm okay with it winning

they added 600 minorities to their membership so i'm sure they'll black it all up any

No way will Dunkirk receive anything. It's too pale and too male and doesn't go far enough to demonize Nazis

Best wafui: blade runner ai
Besteres wiafu:hela
bestest waifu: aquaman

my reddit radar is detecting large amounts of sarcasm in this thread

Do white people actually do this?

Do what?

ride bikes

Go on bicycle rides together

In the Netherlands and Denmark everyone rides a bike.
In the USA nobody rides a bike.

Yeah.
What do you do with bikes after stealing them?

Put them in my garage with the rest

who cares they're all rapists, pedos and satan worshippers.

And Weinstein showed that its not about the merits of film but whoever spends the most money. How do you explain how the same companies get their movies nominated every single year.

>inb4 hurr durr everyone knows its rigged

untrue. plenty of hipsters and cyclists in some metro areas. you can even see the white bikes alongside roads where theyve died.

>How do you explain how the same companies get their movies nominated every single year.
cuz they're the biggest game in town?

cool

>he still acknowledges the Oscars
good goy

the oscars are fun to discuss, dood.

The thing is the Netherlands and Denmark are flat. Without hills its really easy to bike around. And with seperate bike lanes you dont need a helmet anymore so it becomes very accessible as well as you dont have to worry about such things.

flat ground definitely helps a lot. by contrast, i lived in san francisco, a city of hills, and bicyclists still thrived there.

bike lines in america are not very good. i always hate seeing bicyclists without helmets. too many shitty drivers

There are two movies there that were a flop in the BO so you can exclude them. And thePost is repeated.

In the Netherlands the car driver is always wrong in accidents with a bike.

With great power comes great responsibility.

I've seen none of these films BTW

>Best Picture:
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
The Post
Battle of the Sexes
Call Me By Your Name (Winner)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Lady Bird
Get Out
Logan

NOW the post is repeated

>best picture
Blade runner
>actor
Goose
>actress
Blade runner waifu
>director
Denis
>animation
Loving vincent

dunno if waifu will get a nomination
otherwise ideally it should be Goose and Frog

Decent predictions. I'd switch out BR2049 with I Tonya. Have a feeling it may sneak under the radar.

>it must do well at the box office to be nominated

That's not how it works.

BOTS was my under the radar pick. It'll probably get 3 other nominations (Actress, Writing, Cinematography).

2049 is so revered and so technically proficient they may give it a BP nod just for the sake of it. They nominated Mad Max after all.

Yeah, but MM had a lot of general crossover appeal with its cast and well-staged action. I think BR is too meandering and nontraditional of a blockbuster for most voters, and will be omitted ala Interstellar.

Also curious to see if Florida Project or Phantom Thread will make it.

If length is an issue, then I hope the older voters still have a reasonable amount of clout since long films tended to be a GOOD thing with the Academy for a long time. Hopefully they see another Lawrence of Arabia type film in there or something.

It not just the length, it's the content itself being pretty ambiguous closer in tone to an art film than a Hollywood triple figure sci-fi epic. You say you haven't seen it? I'll be curious to see how far it'll go outside of technical award noms. Voters and critics aren't the same. I myself didn't love 2049, and the original's one of my favorite movies.

Otherwise I know what you mean. Revenant was quite long though.

Revenant had AGI being AGI.

I enjoyed it, but there's a reason it wasn't nominated for writing. Though 2015 was one of the worst film years of the decade so there's that.

>

WTF !! It should go like .... “Get Out”, “A Cure For Wellness”, “Logan”, “Catfight”, “Good Time”, “Song To Song”, “It Comes At Night”, “Big Sick”, Wander Woman”, “Battle Of The Sexes”, “Borg VS. McEnroe”, & “Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri”

This isn't 1935, they don't allow 12 nominees.

9 last time. What's the difference?

Nobody is taking BOTS and BR and Detroit because of that, and also because of that Victoria&Abdul is getting some recon.

if i recall correctly it's 5-10 movies now.