Your Pre-election Day predictions

Be honest.
Post em.

Pic related was what 270towin had as their map the day of election day.

Other urls found in this thread:

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5981.html
twitter.com/NSFWRedditVideo

I was so wrong.

This was my optimistic prediction going into Nov. 8th

I knew FL was going red based on the early voting and knew NV and CO were lost causes for the same reason.

We all owe a huge thank you to the rust belt.

HIVE MIND!

(I had this too)

>Texas
>Red
It's going blue this year fuccbois. :^)

Based PA and great lake states.

t. Calicuck

...

>Rhode Island

There was a weird outlier poll that had Hillary +3 in RI and for a while it was the only RI poll

I seriously thought that Mrs. Clinton was going to mop the fucking floor with Drumpf's hairpiece

On behalf of all decent human beings in this country, I am still shocked, and I am sorry.

>PEOPLE WHO DISAGREE WITH ME ARENT DECENT.

Is it karma that the left is getting this massive amount of butthurt from Trump winning because they played identity politics and demonized anyone who had the audacity to disagree with them?

...

I live in PA.
All I saw was enthusiasm for Trump, more than I've ever seen for any political figure ever.

I talked to people, saw the rally lines, in fucking Pittsburgh of all places, and I WANTED TO BELIEVE... but I couldn't, I thought after 3 decades that Philly was going to keep putting just out of reach.

I forced people who had never voted to go vote, I donated, I bought signs and planted them in major areas, but I still thought it was only a long shot.

Please forgive me.

We had a raging freedom boner for Trump here in PA.

I'm not sorry at all.

My prediction from November 4th. I fucked up on PA but he would've won CO and NV without illegal voter fraud taking place.
>I knew FL was going red based on the early voting and knew NV and CO were lost causes for the same reason.
NV had a 3 or 4% swing in early voting towards Reps, factoring in that Trump would do well on election day it was going to be close.

>mfw I'm surrounded by non-believers

I was really optimistic the day before

New Hampshire makes no sense to me.
It's known for being a state with an abnormally high number of independants, and Trump WON with independants, yet the state went blue.

Yes it was close, lose enough that Trump could have legally contested the results, but still, I'm surprised and a little disappointed

Ayotte pussied out, she was down by 700 and conceded.

...

I didn't think he would get Michigan, PA, or Wisconsin. I thought he would get the CSA sweep (including Virginia, NC, ND Florida) plus Iowa, Ohio, and maybe a couple of southwestern states (NV or CO)

The only way I saw Trump losing was massive, nationwide voter fraud resulting in the kinds of maps pollsters were predicting

I predicted that Pennsylvania would go red for the first time since 1984, so I felt pretty smug on election night:

Mine on Nov. 4th. Wisconsin and Michigan were a huge surprise for me.

My theory to explain NH not flipping red is that when you look at the states he was able to flip, traditionally blue states, and the people in those states, the truth becomes clear... at least in my mind.

>My theory
The Never Trump Movement was stronger than the Never Hillary movement. Lots of traditional republican voters simply didn't come out. They establishment dissing towards Trump from the people they generally trust (Rubio, Kasich, Ryan, Jeb!, Cruz, etc.) was enough to stop a lot of them from coming out. So even though Trump did better with independants, he didn't have enough of the traditional GOP base behind him to win in places like NH, CO, VA, and NV.

However, Trump's message resonated very well with blue collar workers of the middle class that don't normally vote, or if they do, they usually vote democrat. Remember, the Dems used to be the party of the working class, but the dems have abandoned that instead for minorities and "college educated" millenials. The dems must have thought the blue collar voters would just vote DEM anyway, since they always had (Clinton didn't visit Wisconsin once).

So that's my theory. I hope someone else agrees.

Thank you user for yourd hardwork. MAGA

He won IA by higher margin than texas, yet one is gray and other one is red.

I never made a full map but i live im a Michibro, i was telling irl friends and Sup Forums alike for weeks that i thought Michigan was going to go red for Trump and his job protection plans for middle class workers.

Irl friends told me "stupid rednecks won't outnumber everyone else and make MI go red" and the only believers on Sup Forums were my fellow Michibros. so i got to feel particularly smug about that for about 2 weeks afterward.

Here. I fucking saved it.

I never believed he would win PA, WI or MI

>he didn't have enough of the traditional GOP base behind him to win in places like NH, CO, VA, and NV.
Yes, he lost those states because of establishment type college-educated voter fear. If things are stable, in 2020 I think he (or whichever Republican) starts off with a minor drop in the Midwest and a major bump in those states for the same reason.

Live in Orange County CA here, we're a good example (despite increased minority turnout and fraud). +6 GOP to -8.5 in one cycle.

I was in DFW airport and delayed a few hours this year. When Trump was giving one of his "African Americans live in hell" speeches on TV and everyone was glued to the screen, I knew MI was going to flip.

my attempt

...

...

NC was never in play

this is what it was really looking like

it was the only one he actually won a majority of votes in

I was sure he was going to win Nevada and New Hampshire.
And then would pull an upset in Colorado.

The nevertrumpers will come back in '20 maybe.

Wisconsin caught me by surprise.

Same prediction.

literally every poll had him winning IA by a lot
realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5981.html
And they were off by like 0.1 there.

>Texas
>Blue

>Lots of traditional republican voters simply didn't come out.

Lots of everyone didn't come out.


Trump got slightly less voters than republicans in the last two elections.

Clinton was an absolute trainwreck. She barely won woman as the first female candidate which shows just how unelectable she was.

If he's better than disastrous, they'll be irrelevant.

Never expected Pennsylvania, I thought it was a meme

Sorry for the literal screenshot, it's all I had on my phone

>Trump got slightly less voters than republicans in the last two elections
No
McCain: 59,948,323
Romney: 60,933,504
Trump: 62,979,636

I think I made this the day before or on voting day before the results came in. I overestimated Trump's win by a bit.

While true, the problem here is that's such a small margin of increase compared to the population increase.
We can't rely on winning with those numbers in 4 years.
Trump needs to find a way to I crease his numbers up to roughly 70m, because the next democrat will absolutely pull at least Obama '12 numbers.

It's simple, it's entirely dependant on how good of a job he does, because Booker/Warren are simply not hated by their base the way Hillary was.

Honestly as long as it's not Warren I'll sleep soundly.

I will literally change my registration and vote in the Democratic primaries to stop her from being nominated.
I'll vote Booker (who I actually like), Cuomo, Schumer, fucking Michelle even.

you can check how log ago (and often sadly) i posted this

From my own data, cutting out the over sample of DEM+12 happening, plus using the Primary and Caucus results.

I also used Google's own data against them.

Was there ever any doubt? He actually won, you know. He just doesn't will the people to see it yet.