Developments Jan29 >Syriabro visits Aleppo citadel, takes pictures for /sg/ >US airstrike kills 40 including 10 civilians in Yemen >SAA liberates SheikhDan on route to AlBab >SAA launches surprise offensive in Qalamoun, also killed an IS infiltration unit >SAA takes control of main water supply(Al-Fijeh Springs of Wadi Barada) to Damascus >Ru: Moscow never proposed Kurdish autonomy >Food supply and ammo cargo successfully dropped to DeZ troops >Al-nursa rebrands and merges with al-Zinki,Liwaa Al-Haq,Liwaa Ansar Al-Deen,Jaysh Al-Sunnah and formes Hey'sah Tahrir Al-Sham (Levant Liberation Body) >SAA repells attack of Jai and Nursa in the village of al-Qasimiyah(E Ghouta), the groups fight eachother in idlib >UN:Yemen could face famine in 2017
>Nusrat Ghani is proposing a bill in Parliament calling for the phrase “honour killing” to be banned in official publications and for support given to women who are subject to domestic violence while abroad to be strengthened.
>Nusrat
Jeremiah Wood
>Spring Fijeh in Wadi Barada after liberation by SAA
wait Are brits allowed to beat the shit outta their wifes?
Joseph Smith
How Can It Be Real If You Can't Mention It?
Levi Foster
Anyone know the number of soldiers the SAA and the rebels have, respectively?
Mason Morris
My guess is:
SAA: 150 000 - 200 000
Rebels: 60 000
Brody Barnes
200k??? No they have barelly like80-100 pro assad soldiers with hez and the ndf
Aiden Gomez
80k-100k
William Mitchell
>200k Top fucking kek, don't you know that they are conscripting 50 years old men now? If they really had 200k they would have already retaken whole Syria.
>rebels Well... it's very hard to define what's a "rebel" to be really honest, and it's even harder to know their strength since they don't have control neither publish documents. Rebel twitter fans says they're 120K to 200K.
Leo Gutierrez
Anybody find any other source yet that states Aran/Arran is taken? Only find two tweets
Tyler Sullivan
didn't Assad draft recently?
Jason Smith
Pro Government forces regular is about 125,000 (it has increased since 2014)
Pro Government forces irregular is about 350,000 (irregular forces have also increased)
Total rebels are about 100,000 (but are no longer as active since losing a lot of important areas)
Total ISIS is about 25,000 (only real force suffering significant losses)
Pro-Government forces have been reinforced very well since Russian intervention. Many new regular solders have been trained. Irregulars are swapping in and out for regulars keeping Pro government forces fresh. Pro-government forces become stronger the more key objectives are met.
Rebels have really gone into staying defensive and not really doing anything hoping for NATO intervention, which is NOT going to happen so long as Russia keeps its assets in the area.
There is NO shortage of soldiers and rebels, it's a stale mate, the rebels cannot win without NATO intervention, and the SAA can't win without suffering massive losses. Hence why the fighting has died down a lot lately, people are getting sick of fighting constantly for minimal gains.
Remember Syria is a very small country, there literally isn't even enough room to have large scale battles. Aleppo was the largest battle so far, which involved about 25,000 pro-government forces. There's about 2500 to 5000 pro government forces spread out around the country. The rebel do not have the firepower to engage pro-government forces in these numbers.
Pro-government forces are basically just waiting it out for the most part, just picking down rebels 1 by 1 in smaller pockets that don't have as much resistance. Pro-Government forces will begin liberation of Idilb once all the other small pockets of resistance around central/southern Syria are in government control. That could take a couple of years. The rebels will wait out in Idlib hoping for NATO to arrive, that isn't going to happen so long as Russia is there though!.
Elijah Morris
hey wazzup people
Grayson Adams
if its a desert, why are bombing campaigns so ineffective?
why not just bomb heavily sunni populated areas? they're collaborators anyway.
Brandon Gutierrez
>when you name your kid after a bunch of moderate headchoppers Which moderate extremist clique would you name your child after, /sg/? For me it is nour dinki albert the zinki, or maybe jund/aqsa
Isaiah Ross
>syria is a russian satelite >has been for decades >it starts looking like their puppet might fall >they step in and stop that >??? >that's all folks is there even anything to talk about?
Caleb Allen
This isn't Grozny, Ivan
Easton Thomas
Buses from Wadi Barada
Idlib, here we go.
Austin Roberts
Qasioun agency confirms Basically turkey is the source here But most likely true
Carter White
Are there any shitty Syrian tv series like the ones in Turkey or South America?
Joseph Kelly
They're effective. The rebels have lost much of their effectiveness because of it, and are now held up in mostly urban environments. Hence why it's a stale mate.
Just imagine 50-100 militants were in Moscow, it would take A LOT of effort by police/military to get them out and secure the city. Now imagine that, but with 5,000-10,000 armed men. It's just too dangerous.
Adam Lewis
...
Jonathan Stewart
Not a Russian satelite, e.g. Russia probably wouldn't agree with Syria aiding Hezbollah (and Hamas prior to the civil war).Russia supports Syria because until very recently, Syria was Russia's last chance at having any say in the middle-east.
Can add that looks like SAA are not alone on the AL-bab push. Some T90 are also seen in the video
Joseph Richardson
Maybe it's an idea to first cut the road south of Ali Baba and completely surround the town before taking a go at it?
Andrew Martinez
SAA and it's allies are probably around 250-300k minimum. Seeing as they act as peacekeepers all over their territory, border guards along all the fronts and rotations, assuming Syrian manpower is as low as 90k is just pure wishful thinking and ignorance from Al-Maghrebi.
It's hard for babbys first military conflict to comprehend that soldiers are needed all over the place to counter any insurgencies and so on. They can't afford to just blitz all over with all their manpower.
ISIS and rebels however, don't have complete control over their territory as is made clear by the expansion of the buffer around khanasser, the literally non-existential defense of northern Raqqa countryside and southwestern countryside of Al-Bob.
Victory is ours, sooner or later.
Adrian Green
Y-y-y-you too
Caleb Richardson
I like this picture. It makes Assad look like the kind of guy who would tell bad Dad jokes at his kids 11th birthday party.
Grayson Adams
The safe zones seems to be areas where the jihadists can be safe, regroup and then strike at their leisure outside the 'safe zones'.
Basically like Saudi Arabia today, just located in Syria.
John Morgan
Europe.
Carter Brooks
...
Ayden Cooper
yeah, why not just destroy the entire section they're holed up in.
Most of the cities are filled with Sunni traitors no?
End this war quicker and change the pop ratio in Assad's favor.
Ryan Clark
that fucking scumbag used to laugh at gaddafi
Jack Rodriguez
In a perfect world... But you know, muh human rights etcetcetc.
Carter Evans
Ghgadhaphfiyi was a goofball tho.
Dominic Miller
Kek imagine red army storming Berlin while not beeing able to suppress a nazi pocket somewhere not far from Moscow during ww2. Surrealism as it is.
Camden Lopez
عذرا من المشاهدين لكن ضروري نحكي اول شي خرا عليك وعلى امريكا يا جحش يا ابن الجحش .. ثاني شي يا ابن الصرمايي نسيان مين يلي اسس امريكا؟ لانك حمار مارح تعترف يلي أسسها الهنود الحمر وكل الشعب يلي عندك مجنس مافي امريكي اصلي ياحمار وانت اول واحد مجنس .. اصلك من قرية بشي دولة فقيرة وصرت امريكي ورئيس ياخرا .. اصدر قرار واطرود العرب من امريكا وشوف كيف رح يضل عندك عدد سكان قطر لعما ف عيونك شو جحش .. بعدين تعال لقلك اذا مفكر العرب مقتولين على امريكا روح لفها كلها ودحشا ب .... خرا عليك وعليها .. ولقلك اخر شغله قرارك هاد مبدئي وبدي قص شعر اردوغان اذا ما بتتراجع عنه خلال شهرين بالكثير هي اول خازوق المكسيكي خري عليك وقلك حل عن طيزنا وهي الايراني رح يعاملك بالمثل ولسا الايام جايه يا ختيار
Xavier Nelson
kazunheight
Mason Clark
Well, it's a civil war. But yes, they should focus more on territory "back home".
Lincoln Jackson
This "analysis" seems kinda forced to be honest.
Josiah Walker
>SAA and it's allies are probably around 250-300k minimum. Seeing as they act as peacekeepers all over their territory, border guards along all the fronts and rotations, assuming Syrian manpower is as low as 90k is just pure wishful thinking and ignorance from Al-Maghrebi.
keep crying faggit
>It's hard for babbys first military conflict to comprehend that soldiers are needed all over the place to counter any insurgencies and so on. >They can't afford to just blitz all over with all their manpower.
>ISIS and rebels however, don't have complete control over their territory as is made clear by the expansion of the buffer around khanasser, the literally non-existential defense of northern Raqqa countryside and southwestern countryside of Al-Bob.
>Palmyra >Eastern Qalamoun >northern Hama
Where was the SAA in all these places? Why did the SAA ask JAI (FSA) for help around Dumayr and Sayqal???
kys shill, even the most butthurt SAA shills don't say such things
Evan Robinson
they remind me of lab rats when they run around like that
Cooper Rivera
#Breaking In response to repeated ceasefire violations FSA engages in clashes against regime on E.Daraa
The rebels are fractured though, does FSA even work as a fighting force or do they just exist in name only by now? The media here just clumps all rebel groups together into one big pile to make them look stronger but from my understanding their forces have all disbanded and/or defected to either ISIS or some other jihadist groups. How correct am I?
Xavier Ward
Gaddaffi was red-pilled AF and that made him look like a rambling old madman. His power level was too damn high.
Christian Myers
here we go again
Owen Jenkins
>so many tax dollars wasted on moderate beheaders I wonder if we could have just paid Assad to run a pipeline through Syria
Samuel White
Is morning /sg/ the best /sg/?
Gavin Brooks
That would result in massive civilian casualties and would only confirm the western media's portrayal of him as a cruel tyrant. Civil wars are won by first winning the hearts and minds of the people. Bombing your population to dust has the unfortunate side effect of being hated. Assad must still have a country to rule after the war, no?
Matthew Jackson
what is the strategic importance of Yemen to the Saudis?
Jordan Butler
You're right. There is actually nothing such "FSA" in the field. There are multiple factions like Free Idlib Army, Coastal Division and more who are "united" only by the Media and Western governments for propaganda and financial support.
It's either Allah, Syria, and Bashar or the bus, and nothing else.
Michael Lee
I am actually interested in this theory now.
Ethan Lee
They obviously retreated to stronger defensive lines and waited for reinforcements. Staying and fighting against overwhelming concentrated numbers is stupid and only happens to radicals blinded by ideology and in movies.
>Why did the SAA ask JAI (FSA) for help around Dumayr and Sayqal That's not an argument.
