Say it with me Sup Forums:

"Grounds for Impeachment"

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youtube.com/watch?v=QJNgm4kM24s
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Impeachment is as inevitable as Hillary Clinton's Presidency.

"8 more years"

Which means impossible. Thanks for the info user.

Since she'll be taking over when he's removed, you are correct.

The online betting market puts impeachment at a 45% chance today. Since betting markets tend to converge on the value given all available information, it's quite likely Trump will be impeached.

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It's like these guys know what words mean and just try to throw them together to sound as bad as possible. The MSM is digging their grave deeper and deeper and deeper and deeper with all this shit.

>media ban

Again, its a fake news ban.

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Online betting markets also said that the possibility of Hillary winning was 80%, and Brexit's was 90%.

Those possibilities are not based on science, they are just based on retarded people who bet all their money on one side

Sorry for my ignorance, but I have two questions:

- Who becomes president if Trump is impeached? If it's Pence, everything stays the same right? Or are there elections?
- What is actually grounds for impeachment?

Not even slightly true.

They are company's and theirs no rules about it.

You dumb fucks are like the bullys who punched a kid then complains to his mommy about not being invited to the birthday party.

that's why youre the worst korea

this. holy fuck i can't stop laughing at these losers lmfao. thank you mr. president

No its not. They're allowed to write whatever they want across the street. Has the White House even issued a statement about this? Because a month ago Trump wanted to move press briefings to a larger building to accommodate MORE members of the media, and when established news outlets threw a fit over it, he said fine we'll stay here, but just know that we may have to turn people away due to overcrowding. That's probably what this is.

>the White House is no longer allowed to pick which outlets they allow in

Good to know, I guess I'm a #Shill4Hill now

God these people are such whint entitled cunts

He didnt shutdown the press companies. They are still free to publish whatever they want

>unconstitutional

Are they literally retarded? Or do they just think that little about the intelligence of their viewers?

its not unconstitutional to not talk to someone, he isn't stopping them from reporting thus he is not stopping there constitutional right.

Report fake news and try and shit on president

Get mad when not invited to press briefing that covers REAL news

why was Trump at a 1:5 ratio for the election if they are who to look to for predictions?

>muh freedom of the press
He's not dictating the press say specific shit, so this is in no way unconstitutional. Just CNN and friends being fucking crybabies because their only source of viewership is actively avoiding them.

They're not based on science, they're based on market forces. Market forces tend to converge on percentiles for P(A | B) where B is all given current information. It's based on priors. Not that I think you understand probability theory or "science" you fucking pleb.

80% does not mean certainty. It just means 80%.

Are you under the impression that that is how it works?

Are they going to call everything Trump does unconstitutional from now on?

>Best Friends of Fake News say that not including Fake News is unconstitutional

W E W

Yeah sure. Online betting percentages were spot on regarding the 2016 election.

OP is a cumguzzling faggot, Swiss user warns.

...theeeeeeeeey know

1. Pence
2. you're better off searching the impeachment process up

Yep. They invoke its name, but these idiots have no idea what the constitution is.

>Who becomes president if Trump is impeached? If it's Pence, everything stays the same right? Or are there elections?
Yeah it'd be Pence

>What is actually grounds for impeachment?
Committing a crime while in office is the general benchmark. I think there's another qualification if congress votes that he is no longer fit to serve or something, but there is no way a Republican controlled government is going to pull that on their own President since anyone voting to impeach would never get a job in Washington again.

Well, it is...

CNN can still report whatever they want. Trump is not telling them what they can and cannot put on their pages. Given their bias and unfair reporting strategies he has chosen not to allow them to attend White House functions. I don't really see the problem.

same betting sites had their money on hillary you faggot.

>not allowing someone in is censorship
are these people legitimately retarded?

>censorship
>for doing what king nigger did to fox
Step up your game worst korea.

Yes. Holding a private meeting with the press is unconstitutional if (((they))) aren't included. Even if Obama, and every president before him, did the exact same thing. See pic related.

Honestly, I could understand their petulant whining if they were banned from the White House, but it was a private meeting with press that is favorable towards the administration. I don't understand what they're crying about.

80% doesn't mean certainty you fucking pleb. It just means 80%.

>implying 80% means 100%

ouchie

It isn't a media ban though. There are plenty of media allowed in.

>Who becomes president if Trump is impeached?

Getting impeached doesn't even mean leaving office though. Clinton was impeached.

you're a stupid nigger
that's still an 8-2 ratio, those """odds""" were massively in Hillarys favor

Say it with me:

8 Y E A R S
Y
E
A
R
S

Trump really needs to dial it back and stop being so reactionary. He won't be able to get shit done if he keeps giving people valid reasons to hate him.

It's only been a month and he's more hated than ever. He needs to learn to compromise.

There were several other mainstream media outlets who were allowed to enter the press briefing but actually decided not to out of "solidarity" with the news outlets who were not permitted entry. They definitely are hamming this shit up big time. Lmao it's not helping their cause I feel. Usually you can tell what people care about by Facebook posts and nobody outside of the media is talking about this.

Funny how leftists cunts squeal about "muh freeze peach" when it suits them

stfu kike

How is this censorship?
Is this Club a serious institution?

>thinks 80% is massive
>doesn't understand probability and priors

No, user. You're the pleb. Back to school.

Ah so all Trump has to do is just selectively invite, instead of banning the others. Worked for Obama

Where in the constitution does it say that the White House needs to invite CNN to their press briefings, or even hold press briefings at all.

The president can hold a press conference to an empty room if he pleases, so get the fuck out of here with your disinformation.

btw CNN is not "media", they are fake news

Trump has every right to strip their credentials and let them requalify for media credentials when they are worthy of the name of "media" again.

Fuck 'em.

>yes goy Drumpf will be impeached any minute now hehe you can give me your money rest assured

wew you're working too hard for those (you)s cowboy

I'm getting tired just watching you

Remember when Trump went out and got a steak without telling the media and they sperged out?

The media, the lying Democrat-supporting media, are given exclusive access to the POTUS and that means they get the scoop and the news first, and this makes them powerful and popular.

It makes no sense for Trump to give this kind of privilege to anti-Trump Democrat media outlets.

His ban on the BBC, CNN, etc. needs to be permanent. He must privilege fair, balanced media (Fox, Breitbart, Infowars, etc.) and make it hard for unfair media to compete.

I love this meme. Pence is pres if anything happens to Trump. And if Pence goes, it's Paul Ryan, then Orin Hatch, and on down the line. It will literally never be clinton or bernie.

We really, really need to get the Jews out of the media.

I look forward to a day where there are no more "exclusive interviews" because of press freedoms.

What the fuck is the point of percentages if you cunts can say you were right as long as you give the other side at least a 1% chance?

You were undeniably wrong on 2016.

>claim the POTUS hired hookers for pissplay with no proof
> "wff why am I not treated like a super serial news org anymore?"

how the fuck is that censorship? he's not saying "you're not allowed to say X", he's saying "you're not invited to the briefings". christ

>80% isn't a huge chance of success
neck yourself shill

>National Press Club = The CFR
Carnegie, Ford, and Rockefeller

youtube.com/watch?v=QJNgm4kM24s

It wasn't even a press conference. It was just a meeting that didn't include the leftist cucks. They'll get assblasted about anything. Remember when they cried for two days because he got a steak without telling them?

Oh and just look at all these biased headlines coming from media outlets today concerning the 12 billion dollar deficit cut. All of the shitty media outlets that you can think of have headlines like "Trump is mad the media isn't mentioning this meaningless 12 billion dollars in savings." Since fucking when was it the medias job to write sparky patronizing headlines like this? This is why people don't trust them. They're supposed to report things without bias. 90% of media on both sides is guilty of this shit. The headline should plainly report on what happened and inside the article talk about its causes and consequences.

>mfw when I play poker with me and drain your entire accounts because you plebs don't understand expected value and Bayes'

When Obama did the same to Fox News, why was he not impeached?

GODDESS OF EIGHT

So impeachment is absolutely stupid and the left should be focusing on finding a good candidate for 2020?

In what way? All he's doing is not inviting specific news outlets to the press conference. Freedom of the press means that they can publish whatever they want, not that they have access to all private meetings.

How the FUCK can you bet on or against trump being impeached? Is there a deadline? Do you win if he's impeached in the next 8 years? Do you lose if he winds up serving 4 terms and being coup'd? I have so many questions.

Why cooperate and comprimise? Remember Obama saying "Elections have consequences, we won you lost, you have to get to the back of the bus. I have a pen and a phone I can do what I want all by myself"

Bruh.

I played pok(h)er with your Mom last night and she "drained my entire account".

So you could say I do know something about expected value and Bayes, if you catch my drift.

The deadline for this particular pool is 4 years. If he dies, the bets are annulled (for legal reasons). A coup counts as "not being impeached" and those betting impeachment lose their money.

>National Press Club
Literally who

Freedom of the press means you can't force the press to publish or not publish something.
It doesn't mean you're forced to give them the time of day.

Thanks, that sounded shady as fuck for a while.

He's been getting shit done, because everyone is too focused on the shit that is pissing them off to actually do anything but hashtag campaigns and pussy marches.

Also FYI I'm betting "not impeached" in this pool, because I'm betting that there will be enough distractions in the foreign sector that Congress can't focus to do it during critical scandals.

They should be more worried about some 2018 state elections since more Ds are on the chopping block than Rs, but yeah.

Trumo didn't invite Major leftie leaning Media outlets such as Buzzfeed, CNN, HuffPost, he didn't ban them, or supress them
They can still report and spew bullshit as they always do,but they didn't get any of that delicious Trump cake

All the shit that's happened and people still think it's a good idea to bet against trump.

Every betting market I've seen has only had the option to bet ON impeachment, not against it, because they know it won't happen

Say it with me. Fuck off. Trumps based. Him getting impeached would unleash Death upon America.

This. There's nothing in law anywhere saying the White House has to give press conferences. Trump could go terrestrially silent and issue edicts on Twitter and there is literally no law against it.

Funny thing is that doing that is an attack on freedom of speech.
Meanwhile, burning down a town and beating down people who want to hear a speech is not an attack on freedom of speech.

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Depends on the pool. There's pools which give X% or nothing (like the one you mentioned), or one which give a choice with clear terms.

The "because they know it won't happen" argument is bullshit though. These are not some loanshark casino biddings. People are bidding for impeachment because they think it's likely to happen.

The pools adjust the payout as more information becomes available. If Trump was found to have Russia connections tomorrow, the payout might jump from x2.2 to x4 or so (75%+).

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so they would have to let in literally everybody even if they dont have any room? rmmt

>45%
>He's totally going to be impeached, its quite likely

>80%
>Its not certain guys, its only 4 in 5 odds

It isn't. Press conferences like the ones we have now didn't start until 1913 or something. Not something the founders thought of. They just didn't want the government telling the press what to say, didn't say anything about granting them access

Liberals don't get it. With being able to publicly discriminate across a spectrum like "truth" and "lie", you gain the ability to say "fuck off, liars", and your freedom to lie isn't infringed. You want to not be deemed a liar? Why not argue that based on it's merits? Ah, you cannot. You have no worth (look that up) and expect to be considered equal. Better find another weasel method.

Fuck that.

If Trump is banning media orgs from press events because he disagrees with them, that is unconstitutional. These press events are supported with public money, meaning they are subject to the first amendment.

I'm betting Trump would lose in court, handily. His numerous public and specific anti-press statements and his press secretary stating that they banned CNN and others as a form of punishment offers him no way out.

Where the fuck did I say "He's totally going to be impeached?" That's incredibly different from "It's quite likely."

Also, it was very likely that Hillary would become president. The market was betting on it. They were wrong, but not for the wrong reasons. It was a probabilistic outcome given all available information.

Back to probability school. Grab a book on gambler's fallacy when you head out.