Will she win the second round?

Frenchies, what are the chances that she'll actually win the second round? Slim? None?

I'd say it's not certain, but there are very good chances. 50-50

Why do you think that?

arrête de rêver sale fasciste.
Même si des gens seraient (assez stupides) pour voter FN en tant que message fort au PREMIER tour, personne ne le ferait au 2e: Il y aurait, comme la dernière fois, des émeutes monstres, et au 2e tour Marine se ferait écraser comme la sous-merde qu'elle est.

People are genuinely upset. They want change. The FN has been growing for years. I think we're ready.

But it might just be a case of "il faut faire barrage" -> every party vs the FN, like last year's election. Yes, that's incredibly undemocratic. Yes, they didn't care.

...

I'm thinking 30% chances like Emmanuel Macron.

I'm hopeful, but the French Election is set up in such a way that any outside voice gets quashed. All the other parties will throw all their support behind whoever Le Pen faces in the run-off. And then there's the issue that the continental Europoors keep fucking up. Hofer, Geert, etc. It's almost like unfucking yourself is strictly an Anglo thing (although that wouldn't explain Canada...)

mais tue toi sale con...

Geert had a bad electoral strategy, and Hofer almost won. Le Pen's strategy is sound.

T'as passé combien d'heure sur Google Translate?

I don't give her must chances.
We had riots in 2002 full of leftist scum and sandnigers for the second round with Lepen Vs Sarkoshit

It was Chirac

I have more faith in the french people than the nederlanders and austrians t b h

If there's one European country closely aligned with American values of Freedom, it's gotta be France.

Excuse me for my mistake good sir, sir.
But sill the problem is the same.
Muh republican alliance....

Get fucked by an emu

When looking at the polls i see a lot of "will not cast vote" percentage. I'm thinking these are really Le Pen voters, too shy to say they'll vote for her.

Also there is the matter of political excitement. How excited are Macron voters? Will they show up on election day? This might ruin Macrons chances. I'm thinking Le pen will definitely get a high turnout for her potential voters. Le Pen voters definitely feel more strongly about their candidate.

But how will she beat Marcron in the 2nd round?

In the polls he leads 60-40.

I know (((polls))),but 60-40 seems to be a little too clear for me; I mean when the (((polls))) are 60-40,maybe the result will be 55-45 or even 53-47, but she will not win I think.

Git fucked by sandniggers.

I just came here to post this for /ourgirl/ Marine.

But since Jospin leave, lot of these leftists are joining Marine Le Pen when this Phillipot was hired by Front National. Others socialists are joining Emmanuel Macron without any doubt shadow.

Never forget
>99% chances to win the election
Macron is being mass shilled by our (((media))), do not trust the polls, they are all giving Macron the winner because they are fucking bootlickers

Low. We'll get a metric fuckton of anti-FN progapanda on MSM before the second round and people may back down and not vote for her when it counts. The establishment will ask everyone to vote for whichever kike we get instead in order to "protect democracy", even if that israli's policies don't match with the other parties'. But even if she does win, she won't be getting a majority in the parliament in a few months, making it hard for her to do anything. And that's without taking antifa and commies who will most likely riot 24/7.

Not a lot of people don't say they will vote Le Pen because in France FN supporters are literally Hitler for the social mediacraty.
They're just based french people.

Macron has the lowest proportion of voters certain to vote for him (Le Pen has the highest), and his latest meetings had low turnout.

Between Fillon's debacle and Macron being an obvious tool of Hollande and the establishment, we could have a surprise opponent against Le Pen in the second round.

From what I've read about the French election system, it looks pretty unlikely that she wins 2nd round.

She will win in a landslide

GO MARINE!

LET'S MAKE FRANCE GREAT AGAIN!

(also, I would like to be offered Marion for my support).

riots would actually help her (like 2005 riots helped Sarkozy a lot)

The FN voter base is made from :
->French mid class
->Low class white people
->Immigrants who understand the danger of sandniggers.
I think it's a good thing that the commie party died, and that the Anti-capitalists are made of leftists shits and stupid students.

Honestly, if she wins, I'm going out of my neet den and getting a beer in the city center to celebrate.

So what date is round 1 and 2

>But even if she does win, she won't be getting a majority in the parliament in a few months, making it hard for her to do anything

She should use constitution Article 16 then and govern alone.

I don't like her, the same reason i don't like Trump.
I don't trust them. But...
The tears of the social mediacraty, of the journalists, and all this bunch of traitors.
Definitively would drink a beer for that.

1 more large terror attack and its a guaranteed Madame president.

The left WILL tactically vote. Their dirty jewish tricks were used in 2015 to keep NF from taking SIX french provinces by pulling all leftist candidates and telling supporters to vote for the government to "keep the nazi's out!"

2017 is literally France's last chance as its already close to 25% non white racially and a minimum of 18% Islamic spiritually.

The Swedish will be ethnically cleansed by 2040. The Dutch will be ethnically cleansed by 2040-2045. France isn't that far behind.

I trust Trump and I trust her.

They're the only two politicians I trust in the west.

April 27
May 7

How are the media reacting to Le Pen's visit to the Kremlin to meet with President Putin?

bro,

in the media, lepen=putin=trump=assad=hitler

the narrative never changes, this is what you will hear everytime you turn on the tv or read a newspaper.

Dire que les gens sont stupides est stupide pusqu on fait aussi partie de ces gens.

Crise économique + émigration mal maîtrisée + corruption de la classe politique ! Tout est là pour l'arrivée du FN.

Regardez Trump au USA !

Est-ce-que le FN peut gouverner ? Pour moi non. Il n a pas les compétences.

also I couldn't tell you exactly what new choice of words they made to depict her as hitler since I stopped consumming mainstream news about 5 years ago.

How is the trust in the msm in France?

Are there any polls who suggest it is low?

French mid class has disappeared for years.
Voters are only
- rich class which vote Fillon and Macron and a bit Le Pen
- working class which doesn't vote anymore or Le Pen
- sick class which vote others candidates

I'd say 70% of people are cucked and by into war propaganda.

maybe less.

bump

We must meme her into office

Praise kek

why are you a putin apologist?

The difficulty in france is that it's even more complicated for le pen to win compared to trump.

Here's why: in the USA, candidates run once and then goodbye (mostly), so it's always a rather new face.

Trump was depicted as hitler for a couple of years but no more than that.

In france, politicians (especially smaller parties) run again and again. Le pen has been depicted as hitler for years, her father was hitler before her and so on.

So it's much more engraved in the brainwashed masses that they must do all they can to prevent le pen from being elected.

It's complicated.

If she wins it would be a real revolution, it would take a LOT. And it would change not only france but also the EU. Terrorists supporters (in the west) would be fucked.

May it happen.

That's not how the word bootlicker works. Bootlicker is slang for stormfag. The word you're thinking of regarding macron is shill.

bootlicked means lèche botte.

Macron qualifies as a boot licker since he licks neo cons' and globalists' boots all day long.

*bootlicker

>that's incredibly undemocratic

Waaah waaah why don't people vote the way I want them to! My democracy is soo dead because people vote against my shitty, facist candidate

ok hollande.
Time for your nap now.

Yes, pulling all the candidates but one is undemocratic.

le pen is literally all up lil vladimir's cock, talk about boot licker

Still not how it works at all. Bootlicker applies to people who bend over backwards to legitimate the police being used against the civilian population's interests

That's fucking hot homie.

You got pics?

le pen is for sovereignity, independence and cooperation with russia and china. Cooperating with someone doesn't mean licking their boots.

Traditionnal candidates are for war against russia and china.

It's as simple as that.Do you want war, more terrorism and so on, or peace.

Anyway if you're pro-terrorism I'm not gonna argue with you. Just fuck you.

you litterally described the behaviour of macron, hammon, melenchon, the media and 92% of the people in power in france in just one sentence.

>Italy

Love this country lm
Every election cycle it's the same shit with you stormfags. Loving every last teardrop

enjoy your complimentary beheading.

>le pen is for sovereignity, independence and cooperation with russia and china. Cooperating with someone doesn't mean licking their boots.

giving putin everything he wants is not cooperation is being a paid anf bought for puppet. and being run by a puppet is hardly sovereignty and independence. i think you might be retarded son.

>Traditionnal candidates are for war against russia and china.

what? how? because they don't bend over backwards to please little vladimir?

>Do you want war, more terrorism and so on, or peace.
>do what putin says or it's war

>Anyway if you're pro-terrorism I'm not gonna argue with you
what a non sequitur. really makes me think. makes me think you're an idiot

What the fuck no I didn't you utter babbling retard. Melenchon and phillipe have both taken a stance against police violence. The ones of the side of bootlicking are Nicolas Dupont aignan, Le Pen and Fillon

This won't happen because the streets are ours. That's something you would know if you ever came out your "neet den"

>antifas

kek

It's wierd.
I used to want to visit Sweden.
I have zero interest in that happening now. Might as well go on vacation in Dubai

>non sequitur
did your momma use to drop you on your head for hobby when you were young?

no its litterally impossible since people will litterally hate vote her opponent in the ballot even if they dont agree with him either, exactly like why M5S in italy will never attain power.

suck my dick faggot, you're not worth the effort

so that's a yes.

You can't do "an effort", your english isn't even close to palatable, how about you go back to crying over your shitty candidate losing thr elections? You clearly don't know shit about politics and need to fuck off.

The Anti Freespeech Antagonizers are here.

Don't worry France, I'm convincing my family in France to show up and vote for Marine.

Look at previous elections.

Voting is affected by a random variable. When there are many options this has little affect, but when the voters are faced with only two options the random voters will reduce the difference much more.

She does have he milf factor unlike shillary.

you replied to the wrong post

>muh family
lmao i'm sure those 3 votes will sway the election

>Waaah waaah why don't people vote the way I want them to!
t. every leftist after every election for the last decade when le pen's score get higher and higher

kek'd. Please let the part about his English be bait

...

see

You're so butthurt.
Fillon already won in every timeline.

a few votes here, a few votes there adds up after a while.

where are the french psy ops mobilizing and dropping weaponized lepen memes? are there widely used french chans?

your family is not a few votes a few votes there, it's just 3

shoo shoo

fuckin hope so, i knew I had french heritage a couple generations back but wasn't aware my grandparents/parents kept claiming the jus sanguinis citizenship and that I also had it until I asked last year. Guess my grandparents got my parents to claim nationality for us but didn't really care much past that, considering the cultural differences between the two countries at this point and the fact that my French greatgrandpa married into an anglo family so almost nobody speaks French on this branch of the family tree.

Went through the trouble of registering to vote from overseas and everything last minute so that i could vote for MLP, so she better damn win and reclaim Europe for my ancestors. Maybe I'll visit once she clears the mudslimes out.

No, she won't win. France is cucked forever. Deal with it.

wait what ?!
did she win the first round ?

Definitely no
France always has been and always will be cucked since they expelled patriot Charles de Gaulle by libtard's 68 revolution.

What's up with Sup Forums supporting retarded clowns these days?

She has ~25%. It's the people who have supported Front National for years and everytime they vote for le Le Pen, but other parties and candidates are separated from each other and receive like 25%,16%, 11%, 7% and etc, so Le Pen can overcome the first barrier and get into the second tour, but than other candidates unite their votes and she loses like 1:3, the same 25% vote for her and 75% vote against her. It's a pathetic spectacle which is repeated every fuckin elections.
France is cucked once and for all.
More niggers, more shitskins, more rapes and gangs, viva la France!

its sad. Le pen would represent great things for the rest of the world.

Praise KEK!
>Memeing for Marine,
A Goddess among Women

no she doesn't. unless you're an idiot

She won't win. Stop dreaming. Maybe next time, in 2022.

French bros, please don't disappoint.
Become face of based europe once more and save our continent and nations within it.

Elle est belle la démocratie, "votez pas FN au 2 ème tour ou les bougnoules vont brûler vos bagnoles"

Anyway, if people really want to vote Macron so badly, they deserved to be fucked hard, since he's basically Hollande 2.0 and a puppet

Very slim.

She will do better than what the polls are currently showing. Silent voters and all that, but she will lose in the second round.

However, she will still be the most powerful politician in the country. Macron will be president, but he has no party, nobody answering to him in the national assembly, and he's Hollande with a younger face. Typical systemic candidate. He will not change anything, since he's basically hand tied by the establishment. Moreover, France is not a society known for gradual changes. Their bureaucracy and interests groups are likely to sabotage any reform attempt.

That will only create more room for the FN's growth. The next legislative election will be the first one where FN gets a sizable amount of seats in the National Assembly. Last time they couldn't get almost any, since in France Representatives are elected with run offs between the top two, just like in the national election. FN candidates lost, but next time they will get more than 50% in many districts.

FN will keep on growing. And as Marine said a few years ago, when you have 40% of the voters, your ideas are likely to become policy. That will not be allowed by Macron, which will help to quickly decrease his popularity. I predict that after a year and a half he will be completely delegitimised, and absolutely unable to push for any policy change.

And then, in 2024, the FN, with a polished political machinery, seats in the assembly, a fed up citizenship that keeps on experiencing terrorist attacks, will elect Marine Le Pen as President.

Screencap this.

Can she play the Woman Card, or does that not work in France? Like just call all of her opponents sexist and accuse them of "mansplaining" if they criticize her, while reminding everybody that she's a Woman running to be the First Woman President?

Leftycucks will vote for a Conservicuck rival candidate ''on the right'' in the second round just like in the Netherlands.