Sorry, guys. I know you really wanted that fat tranny to win
>Le Pen’s situation is far different than Trump’s was in November 2016. Clinton was ahead of Trump in national polls by about 4 percentage points in the final FiveThirtyEight adjusted polling average. The national polls in the U.S. ended up being off by only 2 percentage points, or equal to the average error in previous presidential campaigns over the past 50 years. State polling was slightly worse, but even in the biggest shocker (Wisconsin), the polling average was off by 6 points. A polling miss of that magnitude in France would still result in an easy win for Macron.
Once again, like in Austria and the Netherlands, rural and suburban retards have been BTFO
>Donald Trump was just a normal polling error behind Hillary Clinton >normal having your shit flipped upside down is the new normal kys faggot
Matthew Morris
>German cuck believes still in polls
Henry Ortiz
I got so, I don't want to have to liberate Germanistan again.
Grayson Martin
I hate people who live in cities! Only subhumans are living in big cities!
Josiah Cruz
Le pen win
Caleb Nguyen
Fuck I'm actually tempted to bet on her now if 538 are saying she can't win
Sebastian Barnes
I did it yesterday. The odds are 6.50 right now
Austin Bell
The pollsters learned from Trump's election that they need to tip the scale harder that's all.
Luis Reed
>Nate Copper
Kevin James
>a gargantuan polling error behind
WHAT A COINCIDENCE
Juan Long
Yeah 6.5 in retail bookies here. That's pretty tempting.
Carter Peterson
>nate carbon's """polling""" methods
Adrian Adams
ESPN just laid off half their company and somehow these kikes silver and eten avoided the axe
Xavier Jones
...
Brayden Cox
She's probably going to lose but so will you. Enjoy the future EU police state your disgusting people have formed and enjoy the drastic decline in genetic quality and IQ points.
Germans are the real Jews.
Noah Walker
If you can afford to lose the money. Go for it mate
Parker Cooper
Yeah you probably get to keep France for now but the Eternal Anglo will have the last laugh.
Asher Lewis
Just got on board at 13/2. Fuck 538 and fuck the (((polls))).
Matthew Smith
>State polling was slightly worse >slightly
It defied statistics. Well outside the MOE on all the polls. Ironically the poll with the smallest MOE was the most wrong.
Liam Robinson
Austria is about to make it MANDATORY for ALL WOMEN to wear headscarves. But totally worth it to not be a rural and suburban retard, right? Fuck those farmers and people who keep our industrial machines alive, amirite? Get the fuck off your high horse, and get onto Achmed Ibn Ali Muhammad's dick, where you'll end up anyways.
Colton Garcia
US has 2 party system. Pollsters expect 50% of Melenchon's voters to go for Macron and only 30% of Fillon's going for Le Pen. They're way off. Over 50% of Fillon's will vote for Le Pen while majority of Melenchon's communists will abstain. I haven't heard ANY of the Melenchon's supporters say they will vote for Macron publicly. It's an ideological suicide for them and what comes to Fillon's people, well, Le Pen is still considered right-wing and you know how "much" these people want to vote for a leftist / centrist. French pollsters ultimate sin is to weight these demographies wrong, the same way they weighted african american vote wrong in US elections. I'll be shocked if that Melenchon's 50% -> Macron and Fillon's 30% -> Le Pen. It will mean people are so afraid of Le Pen that they're willing to vote for a literal enemy of their sole political existance. Consider that. Would you do it just because people TELL you who you should vote. Fuck no. I wouldn't.
Noah Lopez
>Over 50% of Fillon's will vote for Le Pen while majority of Melenchon's communists will abstain
You seriously underestimate how hated Le Pen is in France if you believe that.
Kayden Long
>~1.5 SD in one state (2%) >2 SD is ~3% >defied statistics k
Christopher Rivera
>Once again, like in Austria and the Netherlands, rural and suburban retards have been BTFO Only Americans vote for right-wing populist buffoons. We Europeans are too cultured and enlightened to fall for such memes.
Christopher Jenkins
I know the hate is based on face-value. She hasn't said or planned for any hateful policies. People are increasingly seeing this more as the whole FN has been growing. The only reason Macron would win is the french leftist bullshit media (which i follow daily 24/7) fearmongering about how she's a nazi/far right despite of what she actually says and presents. Not even French people can be this frigging blind. Over 60% of voters voted for an eurosceptic. The chance of getting the fuck out of EU will weight more than an artificial image of her being the end of a nation.
Isaac Collins
>Le Pen the FAR RIGHT CANDIDATE >FAR RIGHT >FAR RIGHT >FAR RIGHT
Noah Cruz
Fuck off nazi
Adam Bell
I think there's a misunderstanding about that election.
In 2002, her father lost against Chirac, 1st round, 5,665,855 for Chirac 4,804,713 for Le Pen 2nd round, 5,525,032 votes for Le Pen 25,537,956 for Chirac
Then Chirca proceeded to claim that it was a clear message from french people: that they are against the ideas of the FN. Which was true, that old fox gained 20 millions of new voters who didn't back him up in the 1st round.
If she loses but makes 40%, this will be a Trudeau's victory for her. The other parties won't be able to just celebrate the victory of democracy against evil then tomorrow act like nothing happened, the next election in June will be a (not litteral) bloodbath.
My town is socialist, and the mayor's team is already imploding. This will happen in many towns.
Samuel Foster
>Over 60% of voters voted for an eurosceptic
Yet now 60% of voters (probably) will vote for notorious Europhile Macron. People actually don't care enough about the EU to make it a big issue (yet).
I can see her win in 2022 but 2017 is simply too early.
Sebastian Rodriguez
>2 SD across 4 separate polls in one state > 3%^4 is .000081%
Yea, I'll say it defied statistics you dunce.
Ayden Watson
Anybody know a site where I can place a bet on Le Pen from the US? UK sites won't let me place bets.
Lucas Adams
I wonder how they will try to spin this when she wins.
Robert Williams
Lol the polls and the left wing shills are trying do everything to stop people going out voteing le pen.
Asher Sullivan
Don't care? It's the biggest topic in their election and the whole existance of european politics right now, and you think with 60% they still don't care? You think they gave their vote for fighting climate change and religious matters? Piss off already mate... you're in denial.
Charles Myers
that's not news or a poll it was an opinion you daft nigger
Justin Lewis
Same way the did with Trump
>The polls weren't lying, people just lied to the pollsters about being a likely voter.
Ethan Wood
you realise that the us go after foreigners who break their laws right? either go to a casino/vegas or use some sketchy offshore bookies aimed at americans. no reputable firm will let you gamble.
Anthony Nelson
predictit.org
Tyler Brooks
He's an american you idiot
Brandon Fisher
I know it's asking for too much but was anyone identified for that Huffington post prediction? Like who make it?
>clinton was ahead of trump in national polls by about 4% points NOPE ! I remember seeing 12-14 almost every day for the last 2 weeks of the election. Here they are just adding 10% to double down on their strategy of making the right think they have lost already so they give up and don't vote. don't fall for it France!
Chase Foster
>taking a bet from an american >not breaking us law learn to read cletus
Alexander Cox
When Macron wins with 60% will you say the people voted in favour of the EU seeing it's the biggest topic and all?
Hudson Gray
people are this delusional
Angel Harris
Le Pen for the gallows 2017
Ethan Price
...
Nathaniel Perez
>I hate people who live in cities! It's funny you should say that.
So, she's going to loose so badly that you have to spend all your time on Sup Forums trying to discourage our support for her. Makes perfect sense.
Jose Richardson
...
Isaiah Foster
Le Pen will win
Mason Fisher
This polls aren't counting differentiated abstention and macronleaks. She won't win, but it will be much closer
William Green
kek predictit has what she is going to lose by
Kayden Nguyen
>replying to bait remember, sage goes in options
Jack Smith
Les gens s'en foutent de l'Europe. Il y a ceux qui en ont plein le cul des arabes, et les autres. Les premiers ne sont pas majoritaires.
Robert Johnson
So what are her odds realistically
Michael Anderson
Macron is so far ahead
Jayden Carter
>normal polling error Yeah sure, 94% to win in a landslide; that's normal.
Dylan Fisher
The stink of city sewage attracts all the rats from the gutters of the suburbs, whom, living in perpetual envy of the independent and strong-moralled people who live satisfying, healthy lives, continually strive to bring them down to their level.
