Devs Feb 19 >Turkish backed rebels are on the verge of capturing the strategic town of Rajou in NW Afrin >Damascus; Rebels fire mortar shells, missiles into residential areas of Dhahiyat Al-Assad, Bab Touma and Bab Al-Salam >SyAf launch large scale airstrikes across rebel areas of E Damascus in towns of Shifounyah, Douma, Hamouriyah, Sakba and Masraba >Russia demands immediate withdrawal of US forces at Tanf Military Base >Turkish FM warns ‘nothing can stop us’ if Syrian gov’t forces aid YPG in Afrin >Syrian troops gather in northern Aleppo, YPG official denies agreement with Damascus >Heavy shelling by Turkish artillery in towns of Harbul, Maryamin, Sheikh Issa, Tal Riffat and Tarandah, possibly to deter SAA >Buses filled with Kurdish YPG volunteers from Sheikh Maqsoud District of Aleppo reportedly enter Afrin region >Lavrov condemns Iran’s remarks about wiping Israel off the map >Kirkuk; PMU starts campaign to clear IS sleeper cells that are currently active in the Hawija District >ISIS kills at least 25 militiamen near Kirkuk in ambush
SAA must do this. The reason that Ghouta has been such a hard nut to crack (seriously, just look at the shape of the pocket, the memes write themselves) is because SAA has been focusing on single sectors (Harasta, Irbin, Nashabiya, Ein Tarma, Jobar) at a time, which means the Jihadis only have to reinforce a single sector with all available reserves. This results in a greater concentration of enemy fighters that the SAA has to kill or push back, and thus the battle is much harder. However, if SAA pressured the pocket along multiple frontlines, the Jihadis have to spread their reinforcements thin in order to hold all the frontlines against a numerically and logistically superior enemy - they may even have to choose which areas to lose and which to hold.
The question then becomes "which areas are they willing to lose in order to stave off their inevitable defeat?". They might withdraw from Nashabiya/Hezrama in order to shorten their own frontlines. However, this also shortens the SAA frontlines, which means more soldiers for SAA to (re)deploy to other fronts in the pocket - so it wouldn't change much save for putting the Jihadis in the same situation as before, but in a worse position. Therefore, they are highly likely to put up a hard fight in Nashabiya/Hezrama and Autaya. However, if Autaya is capped by SAA, the pocket will collapse like what we saw back in 2016. The collapse will accelerate if SAA captures Shifuniya at the same time as Autaya. Therefore, Autaya/Shifuniya are key cities the Jihadis MUST hold in order to stave off a complete collapse of the pocket from the east, even at the cost of redeploying defenders from the urban areas in the west to the farmlands of the east.
So, if the choice came to "what areas are we willing to lose in order to slow down the collapse of the pocket?", the Jihadis might choose to deploy a large amount of their reinforcements to the eastern regions of the pocket at the cost of losing some urban areas in the west.
Jack Cox
LIBERATE GHOUTA ALREADY YOU DUMB SLOW TIGER REEEEEE
Ryder Martinez
JUST
Colton Martin
The only ones I see online claiming that the SAA will come into conflict with Turkey are Kurdish sources, or MSM which are completely unaware of the current geopolitical standing is between Syria, Russia, Iran, and Turkey.
Afrin for Turkey is going to be the secure area where the rebels are going to retreat once the Idlib offensive kicks off again. Turkey won't let the rebels come inside of Turkey, so instead they're going to ship them off to Afrin and ES areas. It's brilliant on the part of Turkey and Russia, give Idlib back to the SAA, throw the radical jihadists into Afrin and let the Kurds handle them, which they won't be able to. Then use the rebels as an excuse to push deeper into SDF territory.
>caring about the olympics parasitic games that'll force you to shill out billions to facilities you will never use for almost no gain. in the mean time let the ghouta bodies hit the floor
I think S.Korea is using facilities they already had. I know the announcers said the luge/skeleton slide thing was built 10 years ago.
Nathan Smith
Would you lick that spot between her eyebrows?
Zachary Parker
>So, if the choice came to "what areas are we willing to lose in order to slow down the collapse of the pocket?", the Jihadis might choose to deploy a large amount of their reinforcements to the eastern regions of the pocket at the cost of losing some urban areas in the west.
That would be the case if the rebels had the manpower. Every assault on the armoured vehicle base in Harasta has been diasasterous for the rebels, they lose more men than the SAA and unlike the SAA, ghouta rebels don't have access to more manpower. IIRC only 25% of the remaining manpower in Ghouta from the civillians are actually willing to fight.
Apparently only 15k rebels are left in Ghouta, if that number is accurate, 15k men are not going to be able to hold any ground at all. All their fortifications won't help them the moment a serious offensive breaks through the line. So as it stands now, all the SAA need to do is capture the agricultural sector of Ghouta, then give them surrender terms. Ghouta rebels have no manpower to decide which sector they can give up and which to hold, since urban ghouta is the same size as the outskirts of Mosul which ISIS was unable to defend with 50k men and weapons out the ass. This is all assuming that the 15k number is accurate however.
Sebastian Smith
I hope so, it's insane how much they spend on most of these facilities only to them being abandoned almost immediately after the games end.
Aiden Wood
>colonelcassad How about no?
Xavier Ross
No one cares about the winter olympics.
Christian Torres
Lads What's so good about vanilla coke It's only 2 bucks and it's everywhere
Aiden Cook
>I
Nolan Carter
can't tell if that's a komatsu, CAT or even a Dressta bull dozer....
Xavier Ward
Where was that photo taken? Is it of the convoy en route or is it from Ghouta?
Joseph Watson
Tiger don't want to lose hundreds of men like last time in the Euphrates He is gonna be slow and steady
Andrew White
death to Erd*gan
Zachary Rivera
Tigers or Tribal tigers going to gouhta
Adam Brown
It was taken in an SAA training camp in Latakia
Luke Smith
Then file name is wrong
Kevin Barnes
>15k men are not going to be able to hold any ground at all. 15k is not a small number, especially in a pocket of that size. Member that ISIS pocket in NE Hama that managed to break through SAA lines to get to Idlibstan? It was less than 1k fighters in total, and they accomplished so much (granted, with outstanding circumstances). >So as it stands now, all the SAA need to do is capture the agricultural sector of Ghouta, then give them surrender terms. Agreed, with one exception: They also need to cut Duma off from the rest of the pocket. >Ghouta rebels have no manpower to decide which sector they can give up and which to hold, since urban ghouta is the same size as the outskirts of Mosul which ISIS was unable to defend with 50k men and weapons out the ass. Bad example: ISIS decided to fight to the death in the Old City, and they were able to wipe out an entire Iraqi division in the fight (F).
Aaron Jenkins
It's not incorrect, those men are all going to be headed to Ghouta anyhow. It's going to be their first taste of combat, urban warfare, guerilla, and country style warfare on open fields.
Alexander Anderson
How many exactly?
Blake Rogers
Khuzestan and Baluchistan gonna flare up soon
Jonathan Rogers
Planning something?
Noah Flores
>Bad example: ISIS decided to fight to the death in the Old City, and they were able to wipe out an entire Iraqi division in the fight (F).
F
I'll concede that point, I forgot that ISIS went into Mosul being fully prepared to die in it. Rebels in ghouta don't seem like they're willing to make that ultimate sacrifice.
>15k is not a small number, especially in a pocket of that size. Member that ISIS pocket in NE Hama that managed to break through SAA lines to get to Idlibstan? It was less than 1k fighters in total, and they accomplished so much (granted, with outstanding circumstances).
I thought the SAA allowed ISIS to breakthrough their lines in order to allow them to get to Idlib, considering the breakthrough looked to be very specifically guided to come out in idlib, and how quickly the SAA closed up that pocket.
lol the protests in Iran aren't sunni, they're darvishes considered heretics by both sunnis and shias. They're chimping out over nothing, basij or iranian riot police will put it down before friday.
Chase Thomas
Baluchistan has been a low level conflict for ages, if they're both exploding that means the other minorities are too don't forget the north near Tabriz is mostly Azerbaijani, plus the kurds in the west
SAA and ISIS lost dozens of fighters in the breakthrough battle, so they weren't exactly "let out". There's pics of dead on both sides in that battle. The SAA quickly closed up the pocket because ISIS literally zerg-rushed the SAA lines with literally everything they had to get to Idlibstan.
Jonathan Cox
Dude Beirut is not the rest of Lebanon. Tyre and the rest of the lebanese cities + south and norht Lebanon are more a representative of actual lebs rather than Beirut. Lebs in general are FUCKING ultra conservative, both christians and muslims. Hell, Orthodox christians in Beirut are more conservative than us here in Bethleham
Noah Morales
Baluch rebels have been craving independence and have plent of videos online showing them blowing up PAF and some Iranian vehicles. That's another point of contention for the CIA to get into to get Iran.
True, but they'll continue to be a thorn in Iran's side
Nathaniel Collins
Where's that webm from looks cool.
Chase Gomez
Gruber staph
Nicholas Gray
Just woke up. Ghouta when?
Aaron Johnson
>Baluchistan So since the CIA riots failed Now we go to CIA uprisings
Dylan Brown
Lebanon and UAE both then
I was referring to how the UAE actually took this seriously.
Brandon Rogers
Soon Already started Gain reports in today afternoon
Oliver Wright
Y..Your Christian?
Aiden Bennett
Reminder that turks, arabs, jews, iranians and other sand niggers are not white, never were white and never will be white
Liam Peterson
>mutt calling others non white >mfw
Juan Howard
it's coming man, Alex Jones said so
Henry Hughes
Why is she so perfect?
Jacob King
I've seen a lot of news today about Syria, but haven't gotten to check in with /sg/. You guys don't fall for the propaganda so I was hoping you could give me an update?
Is Turkey fighting Syria now? Why is Russia upset at US for occupying the southern territory? Will the US leave or will russia do anything about it?
Henry Thompson
The teacher recommended to me that I drop out of pure mathematics and enroll in general math since I joined the course 5 weeks behind everyone else. Should I do it? The general math is literal year 10 brainlet dropout shit. Also thinking of hitting up a lonely fat girl I know and fucking her just to do something for the rest of the day while the fridgie blokes are installing my air conditioning.
Mason Wright
MORE DEAD TURKS
Hunter Martin
What's the reason for the riots in Tehran today? Was it sparked by (((them)))?
If you think you can cut it, don't settle for mediocrity
Hunter Young
Mosul are different with damascus. Damascus building was full of vertical meanwhile in mosul was full of horizontal.
City with Vertical Building was hard to liberate it, but if got liberated it mean easy to secure it. Meanwhile City with Horizontal Building less hard to taken it but hard to secure it.
Gavin Turner
Suheil is going to die :3
Henry Powell
...
Nolan Sanders
The fat girl or the university work? The fat girl is because I haven't fucked her before and the university stuff is just to put on my resume
Logan Sullivan
I'd like to add to this that in some areas of Damascus, the buildings are reinforced concrete, so SyAAF can't just bomb them and call it a day.
Camden Perez
...
Dominic Ortiz
Me no like you.
Blake Nguyen
>MORE DEAD M*TTS ftfy, mutt.
Colton Sullivan
do neither; you'll feel incredible.
Luis Allen
are Rafiq would beat him ?
Josiah Hernandez
you are scum user
Ryder Mitchell
I'm doing neither now and I feel tired and horny.
Angel Collins
So what happens if SAA/YPG make an agreement in regards to Afrin? Do the Turks continue to invade?
Seems like a great way to piss off Russia
Isaac Murphy
Both actually. But I don't know your total situation. What field are you trying to go into? Should note that I just wont fuck fat people so kinda biased.
Thomas Ortiz
how do you people care about these sand people so much? just a bunch of uncivilized savages killing each other who cares
Owen Gomez
>tired and horny. thats called being a guy in his 20s
>tired and horny. >thats called being a guy in his 20s
fuckin truth, this i why i got married early desu i can have sexy times whenever basically
Hunter Robinson
(x) doubt
Jonathan Mitchell
Yeah nigga they just watching the zoo hoping the monkey maul the zoo keeper far real.
Landon Rodriguez
ASSAD MUST GO
Ian Cooper
Total situation is I'm trying to improve my math marks so I can throw it on a resume and land another electrician job. As for sex, there's no one I'm with now since the fornicatrix ended things between us, so I might as well fuck a few slags.
Spot on
Alexander Hughes
i said basically lol we have very high sex drives, sorry no one in germany likes you
David Reed
>missing the point
Grayson Myers
It's highly unlikely the SAA is going to make a deal with YPG considering they're at a very disadvantaged position being flanked by Turks to th west and north and rebels to the east and south
Joshua Reed
You do you on the chicks. Obviously don't fuck crazy or catch something from one of the whales.
As for the math marks, think about it this way: If you think that this is going to be the last time in a while you will be pursuing education, go for the hardest courses. No point in taking the easy retard (talking about the course) way out. Just a waste of time and money. Not sure how heavily math marks are valued in electricians there. How confident are you in your ability to catch up with the rest of the class and receive good marks?
Juan Anderson
I WISH THAT I COULD TURN BACK TIME. COS NOW THE GUILT IS ALL MIIINE
Ian Rogers
Who backs Kurds now? Noone?
Liam Hall
>We /adv/ now
Owen Foster
You know who
Jose Hill
I also wouldn't rule out the fact that Damascus has very narrow streets when compared to Mosul, but that's mor beneficial to the Tigers and Hezbollah rather than the rebels since both those forces operate with lesser men than the Syrian army. Its still going to be a very difficult fight, but Tigers are going to have the advantage
Carson Howard
Mutts and jews, its weird that the bad guys support the good guys
Isaac Adams
Kurds have effectively pissed off every single regional player, they act like Israel with the only difference being that the US isn't going to lose American lives to defend them, even Israel isn't going to send soldiers their way. Whatever support Kurds have is entirely nothing more than diplomatic words.
Asher Torres
>its weird that the bad guys support the good guys OOF
Aaron Brooks
ypg said it wasnt true
Brandon Rivera
Zilch, just started today, course finishes in 2 weeks and I'm behind 5 weeks on math I barely touched when I was in high school 5 years ago. The lecturer has serious doubts I can catch up in the limited time I have.
Fucking retarded for enrolling so late
Andrew Lewis
*Good goys
Benjamin Bennett
There's tons of us on Sup Forums man, 3 on int and 10 on Sup Forums I'm only here because I'm permabanned on r/syriancivilwar for pissing off the pro kurd mods
Jaxon Morris
Jesus, why do all you people know so many lietarl sluts. Obviously those degenerates exist here as well but if you go to a proper uni (and a proper degree) the girls you meet are not at all promiscuous, even going in too quickly when it coes to first or second base is impossible.
Aaron Myers
Shit, all these "regional players" had it coming to them, kurds are on the path the liberty and from their gains, it sure has hell seems like they can handle themselve.
Anyway i'd like to see the internal organisation of their leading organisations
