So what's happening with Trump/Hillary? Is he going to win now?

So what's happening with Trump/Hillary? Is he going to win now?

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election.princeton.edu
twitter.com/AnonBabble

Did the math and its trending to be 60~62% for Hillary on Election Day.

Who did the math?

Me. Just do some basic slope calculations and look at the averages for drops in the previous spikes and drops that happened this year.

maybe

Either way it's a win, this has been the most memetic year ever and there's plenty of butthurt to be had no matter who wins. I'm so incredibly ready for the ninth.

hilary will win. no one will let trump be president even if he wins the popular vote. the electoral vote is already like 270-130 hilary

thats not how this works.

I don't like Hillary but I'm 100% ready to browse Sup Forums when she wins.

It's going to be beautiful.

it is though. popular vote does not decide the president. voting for president is mostly pointless.

No.

He's still behind in the polls, but ultimately it's going to be determined by voter turnout.

Just like Brexit.

Hillary has no fan base

Trump will win just on turnout

Trump's strategy has been making it look like Hillary will win easily so all of the moderate Americans just stay home

> hundreds of neckbeards from around the world posting the exact same shit
yeah, truly ebin

If Trump wins I'll raise the largest American flag I can find on my house

>asians

i plan to shitpost as a proud jewish-american woman who's #withher

are you a literal mouthbreathing retard?

it's literally babby-tier statistics

>While not living in America.

Sorry, but will have to live with his shit. And his Congress will be populated with people who favor the status quo.

Good luck, you stupid naive fucker. You will learn soon enough who runs Washington DC. And executive orders can be challenged by Congress, resulting in Supreme Court challenges.

You will be impeached and thrown out if you insist on being Donald.

Never happened in your voting history

>voter turnout
thats not how our government works. hilary already won the electorate and i don't see that changing too much in a week

Trump will win.

Are your living on another planet?

It's always about turnout. State by state. Each side now is trying to discourage opposition voters from bothering.

Trump will win. Hillary and the media's got nothing on him at this point, and everyone think she's batshit insane and too weak. Not to mention a traitor to our country.

Even blacks are turning to Trump in high numbers.

Short of a massive amount of voter fraud, Hillary is doomed.

no its not. it factors in but its not the decider by any means. google electoral college. and the peruvian is telling the truth

You flat-earth society guys are hilarious.

>electoral college
I'd love to see some faithless elector break with their state's results and throw the race one way or the other just to see the fallout.

hilary is at 270+ electoral votes trump is around 130

wtf are you getting on with?

I can hardly wait for the biggest butthurt of the last two years when Trump gets BTFO and Sup Forumsfags cry their eyes out for at least the rest of 2016.

why are those 2 candidates so shitty

After FBI reopening her case, I think trump has a change of winning now.

Although of course all polls and pretty much every respectable academic gives clinton a 80% chance of winning. The Princeton election consortium gives Hillary a 97% change of a win to Hillary, for example.

election.princeton.edu

fbi won't do shit until she's already president. they've already said as much

trump has to win almost every battleground state to win it
that includes colorado which is currently 4 points up for hillary

its not impossible but the chances of him taking it is very low

MAGA(Make Austria Great Again)

MAGA(My Anus Goes "Aaaaaaaaaaaaaa")

You should get that checked out bud

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaa

>every

it starts with Florida, NC, and Ohio, which early results are showing a good lead for him

after that, he's going to need one of PA/MI/WI/CO to flip or NV/NH

that is not a tall task at all and given the unpredictability of this election and its lack of resemblance to the past two, the current polling models that oversample Democrat turnout (thus putting Clinton comfortably ahead in most of these states) could prove very wrong on at least one account, which is all that he would need

You can't really make "chances" out of this as it isn't a sports game, it's an incredibly difficult to assess prediction of the national mood

why did I laugh so hard at that

Not like it's any better here

Not how things work

>slope projections for a probability poll
>what is extrapolation

gee, here we thought you tried to sound smart.

...

You aren't a democracy anyways

to be fair, the electoral college puts the "american democracy" thing into some doubt

It's definitely not going to be the Reagan-esque blowout that hillbots have been pushing. Trump has momentum and could pull it off.

Depends. I think she might lose, and I'm speaking as one of her donor. Trump's campaign manager is a Leninist and really knows how to raise class consciousness. Polling in New Mexico shows that Trump may have won their black vote. If that holds nationally, Hillary's goose is cooked even th9ugh she's clinched the corporate suburban and university-educated vote. There are always more of the working class than holders of capital, amd numbers win in democracy.

It's an interesting election. Trump, the People's Champion, against the Clinton neoliberals. I think the American people are sick of centrism. Hillary's natural message of quaint suburbanism with 2.5 kids, a white picket fence, and a dog named Spot no longer resonates. While she's picked up affluent America, still stuck in a 1950s timewarp, much of the country is defined by lost jobs, heroin, and decaying industry. For them, America is no longer great.

Polls don't mean shit.

why do you have several size American flags in your house?

>Hillary wins
>Trump calls foul
>Rigging was found
>It swings to Trump
>Hillary is arrested
>No charges
>Killed by domestic terrorists
I can dream.

got ur IP, thanks
t. CIA, FBI

I hope you get gassed, you dumb slut