Face it - Trump will be our next president. Post your map predictions

Face it - Trump will be our next president. Post your map predictions

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These map threads are way too distant to call.

Trump's success is based on stirring up the Media, if he goes Moderate like he says he'll fail, if he goes full southern baptist he'll also fail. He needs to find the 'speaks the truth' sweetspot.

I can't wait!

I prefer the rust belt version

>your
c'mon man, at least throw us a bone

Clinton only needs Virginia to win. Face it - Clinton will be the next president.

And let's not forget that Clinton is leading in all of the so called swing states.

Georgia, Missouri, and Arizona might also be in play.

>Georgia
I'm sorry, there's no way this is true. Even Obama couldn't win Georgia.

yeah but the rust belt will be in play with trump's economic policies

I don't think Trump'll win desu because of vVirginia but i think the polls will start to shift as the year goes on and those states you mentioned will be more solidly R. I think ohio will too (blue collars + kasich)

The last Georgia poll found Trump ahead of Clinton by only one percentage point. She could mobilize blacks, hispanics, and women to vote for her. She polls better with whites than Obama did.

What state do you think would be the last to turn blue?

Polls are 6 months out. Things will change and I think the establishment will come around to Trump.

>GE poll
>6 months

ok

>Polls
>Reliable

Anyone who disagrees is utterly delusional. This will be the biggest blow-out since Reagan in 1984, except it'll be the Dems who Demolish.

Most of this is based on turnouts for each candidate in their respective primary races.

That's probably the best-case scenario map for Trump, and it's still shitty as hell. FL, VA, OH, maybe NC could all go Dem easily and blow things up for Trump.

If you don't like polls, how about the Vegas odds which are heavily in Hillary's favor? These are people whose fucking job it is to make money off these odds, and they're very good at what they do.

UT and KS might be a little bit much, but it's more realistic than OP's map.

Blowout is possible, but no way in hell is the upper midwest voting blue. Not before arizona and NC. They haven't voted blue since 1968

Democrats always have super low turnout for primaries when compared with their general turnout.

You can't call a general based on the primary turnout

Also here's my map

hillary will probably win but closer than you'd expect. a lot of people have been saying trump'll fold for months now and they've all been wrong

You got WV and NJ backwards. And good fucking luck taking IL.

Trump NJ???

With Christie, hell yeah.

Do you really think Trump'll take PA (my home state)? Its rust belt, but there's a lot of liberals in the east

I think he's basing it on us having recently elected a Republican governor in 2014. I don't see it happening, though. Northerner Chicago area pieces of shit will turn out in droves.

Save this image bois

He'll take IL easy. He'll sweep everything but Chicago, which will be heavily divided racially.

I'd love for that to happen. Who would the House pick? They seem to hate both candidates

If Trump picks Kasich as VP, he'll win Ohio. He might win PA and MI too since Kasich has influence there and did relatively well.

As a southern IL voter, I'd like to think so, but do you have *any* data to back this up? It feels like an absolute delusion to me. There's going to be hard turnout up north for the "Hurrrr stop Trump" movement. Plus, that crooked hellhole should absolutely love Shillary.

IL went for Gore and Kerry. It's been solid blue since '92. I don't see it.

IL hasn't voted red in 30 years

Chicago fag here. We're not voting for Trump. Red Illinois = wishful thinking.

Kasich is so boring though. You don't think he can win Ohio with just an endorsement?

>Ohio
>red

I have the best data, which is my polls+memes-polls approach. I have a 94.3% success rate.

...

>Kasich

Bet on it

As someone who lives here, I don't know. The majority of this state is usually red except for Cleveland and sometimes Columbus. I thin Kasich being a heartbeat away from a presidency changes a lot. He is boring and I don't really care for him that much, but he'd be a smart pick.

pic of typical Illinois voters

Praise kek! HE wills it!

Is it possible New Jersey could go red this cycle? Christ Christie is the govenor and they love him. High approval ratings and they think he's honest. He endorsed Trump too. I think it's possible.

>Creating these maps before August.
for fucks sakes guys

Republicans are having their fucking convention in Ohio, if they lose the state then they truly are doomed.

AZ and TX voting for trump?
they are both nearly all mexicans.
UT voting for trump?
he lost there in a landslide. mormons think he is liberal scum.
FL voting for trump?
doubtful, since they are mostly cuban.
Southern states voting for trump?
Have you forgotten they are half black and traditionally vote democrat?
Same with Ohio and Arkansas.
Also, the republicans aren't going to let him be the nominee. Most likely they will put up Paul Ryan.
And then what is Hillary going to do in the months before the election? You can bet she will be digging up shit on him and his ex wives for negative ads.

and he just chose Chris Christie (a landwhale) to help him choose people (mobsters) to be in his cabinet.
that's not going to end well.

i hate to say it but i fear the god-emperor has jumped the shark.

You'd see Pennsylvania flip long before NJ ever flips.

Republicans get into power in blue states only when the Democrats fuck up SO BAD that it becomes necessary. And then they only stay in power long enough for the Democrats to put someone moderate up who kicks their ass.

...

>clinton can't win, trump has the uneducated on his side!

...

>Kasich eating KFC
This will be the map. SCREENSHOT THIS

Endorsements mean shit. Did Romney carry Massachusetts? Nope.

Did Paul Ryan help Romney win Wisconsin? Nope.

Did Chris Christie's endorsement help Romney in 2012? Unlikely.

Christie's approval is also at an all-time low.

The Great Plains states are the most heavily Republican electoral votes that exist and you have them as Democrat, and yet North Carolina (which you have Trump winning) is actually a close swing state in the real world. This is the most nonsensical projection I've ever seen.

If Trump did win (and I don't think he will), he'd have to keep Romney's seats, of which North Carolina is the most at risk, on the home front. He'd also have to go on the assault and take Florida, Ohio, and either Pennsylvania or both Colorado and Virginia. Colorado and Virginia were closer in 2012, but Trump's policies could play up well in Pennsylvania, so his choice which of those two avenues he goes down. No matter what, though, Ohio and especially Florida are essential.

In other words, there are really only six states that Trump needs to care about: Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia and Colorado. Time spent in any other state is wasted time. If, say, Georgia were to be at serious risk, that would signify that Trump is too far behind to have a chance at winning the swing states.

Do election results come out in the US at any predetermined order, on election night?

Agree with most but the South will not vote blue. Not since the 70s

you said a lot of stupid shit in this post i would've had to green text the whole thing

>Do election results come out in the US at any predetermined order, on election night?

I'd like to know this too. Besides the time zone things I don't think so, but some states (like Florida) tend to lag behind.

>all these people with NY going blue

Delusional

My patented analysis that's accurate 114.5% of the time proves to me that Democrats want to make America happy, while Republicans want to make America great. As D comes before R, the Democrats have the initiative, and as such will attempt to paint a smiley face across the country. My masterful 5 bajillion IQ has allowed me to predict their plan of action, and as such this will be the election results. Screencap this post I have never ever ever been wrong in my entire life, ever.

>Virginia
>Red
hahahahaha

Clinton won more people in Manhattan alone than Trump did overall during the primary.

Nah

He would have to win over every single Bernie Sanders supporter.

Top lel to that.

No, the results come out on a state by state basis. Whichever states finish counting first report, but the media will predict states going to a certain candidate ahead of time based on the numbers.

So you'll see smaller states called first.

51.16% isn't exactly a commanding majority. It's definitely feasible for the Republicans to take Virginia.

That's not a fair assessment, because far fewer people in NY are registered republicans, and NY had some really extreme rules in which you had to change your party designation to GOP back in IIRC september to be able to vote in the closed primary.

So there could've been hordes of independent/democrat voters who wanted to vote for trump but couldn't.

Personally I don't think Trump is turning NY blue, but I think it'll be much closer than it usually is.

>predicting polls 6 months before the General
potlel, however Hillaryfags are delusional if they think Iowa and North Carolina will be up for grabs.

>269 up

He'll take Illinois if he can appeal the way Rauner did. People here that actually work (and therefore, will actually be motivated enough to go to the polls) despise democrats unilaterally. We've been under the rule of a democratic sith lord for 30 years.

Clinton won't be a president in any scenario. If she manages to with there will be an armed uprising. When the ballot fails, a bullet helps.

Do you REALLY think that Trump can win those blank states?

How is it that so many blue states like New Jersey, Wisconsin, and Michigan have republican governers?

>GA
>ever going blue
Top kek m8 we have 159 counties that have been gerrymandered to perfection It's not even possible.

Utah? Georgia? Indiana?
Trump is not going to lose there at all

...

>NV

Flips cuz Casinos

>UT

It'll stay Red for fear of beaner immigration

>CO

Possible flip if Trump endorses le weed

>IA

Can be won fairly easily, and is an easier win than WI or MN

>IN

MY state. Plenty of Republicans except in Indianapolis or NWI

>OH

Kasich can help here, or can be won based on Hillary shitting on Blue Collar folks.

>VA

Lost cause

>NC

I don't see it going blue just yet

>GA

Red.

>FL

1st gen Cubans vote Republican, only their stupid bratty kids flip to Democrats.

BONUS ROUND

>PA

Coal jobs and dead steel industry

>NH

Went to Bush in '08

WHY IS THERE SO MUCH /dpt/ \ Sup Forums CROSS-POSTING

Off year elections. Democrats only really vote in presidential cycles.

That and Wisconsin is a red state now. Unions demolished, right wing radio propaganda throughout, gerrymandering bordering on unconstitutional, etc.

So, could Wisconsin go red?

When you only make .50 cents a post, you gotta shill your ass off to make above minimum wage.

Not in a presidential year

this is the most realistic map to victory in my opinion thanks to Trump using NAFTA and mining as a talking point and it was posited by CNN

Been playing 'The Campaign Trail'. This is the best I managed to do for Trump, playing on Easy.

americanhistoryusa.com/campaign-trail/

aaand its paul ryan for the win

You shills conveniently leave out the fact that "safe" blue states like Minnesota are swing states according to polls.

Not a Hill-shill, but sauce please on Minnesota.

I wanna see how close New Somalia is to flipping.

NH went to bush in 2000

Not happening. Doubs will confirm

bumperino

>mfw

Minnesota is only a swing state in theory. In practice it hasn't voted for a Republican since 1972.

Not winning colorado but winning virginia

>people still believe Clinton has a chance

lol

he needs to focus on working class. Shift the GOP platform away from religion, pro-life, anti-gay, etc and focus on blue collar workers. Unions have traditionally been Democrat but some might be leaning Trump already. Clinton did poorly among working class whites in the primaries. And it's easy to paint her as a puppet of the 1%

What is this map from?