Election 2016

Post predictions.

I said PREDICTIONS! Not what you want to happen, what you honestly think will happen.

270towin.com/

Other urls found in this thread:

youtube.com/watch?v=8DbsCgwVVIc
twitter.com/SFWRedditGifs

>Not what you want to happen, what you honestly think will happen.
You first OP.

I honestly can't see a realistic path where he even gets close.

The ride was fun though

...

...

>recognizes that Trump is fighting an uphill battle
>HE MUST BE A LIBTARD!

The current makeup of the electoral map makes it very difficult for any republican candidate to win. There's just too many conservatives locked out of their vote counting in states like MA, NY, IL, and CA.

Add in the fact that Trump hasn't even unified his base and that the GOP leadership is actively holding out against him, and it's very reasonable to come to the conclusion that he will lose.

He'll let her have Alaska so she doesn't sudoku right after. Anyway, that shithole is rightful Canada's clay.

Hillary seems incapable of increasing her poll numbers.

Not to sound tumblrish, but science says people dislike women who seem to be seeking power but no such stigma is attached to men, therefore the longer this campaign goes on, the weaker Hillary will get.

This is what i think the result will be.

If Trump is doing averagely in his performance, he can probably flip some Rust belt states, if he is exceptional, he can flip the entire rust belt.

He can't win, but I'll enjoy the debates regardless.

All the maps that don't have Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are wrong.

>Illinois
>voting republican
How the fuck would anyone ever come to that conclusion?
Do you know anything about Chicago or the state of Illin-
>Taiwan
Ah, that explains everything.

My honest prediction.

Realistic with current polling I guess, but west virginia? Am I missing something? Why would they go for clinton?

I don't really know much about Illinois, whats the deal with it?

I can't see how they would. She didn't even win against Bernie in the democratic primary because she's strongly anti coal.

A few I'm not sure about

It's full of niggers and white liberals.

You know what, Trump may actually get WV, but the rest of the mid Atlantic has been shifting left rapidly due to increased non-whites settling there.

By 2020 Virginia will be a strong left state and NC will be a leaning left state.

Georgia is also no longer a strong right state, it just leans right.

Chicago Illinois is one of the most liberal cities in the United States. It's also the third largest. The state will not vote for Trump. The rest of the state could all vote Trump and Chicago would still turn the state blue

If only Trump is elected to stop this madness

Don't know about Colorado , but in this case it doesn't matter

Yep

pic related

blue won

now that the dude weed lmao is over, Colorado is in play. It's a state with a Libertarian streak, it may go for Trump over Clinton what with TTIP...

>Trump flipping Pennsylvania
Stop this dumb desperate meme.

I'm a Pittsburgh native. Trump is not taking this state, despite how much I would love it.

That must be infuriating

>I live in this place that means I know everything

nah

Honestly, I think it's going to be a Democrat year. I predict a margin of about 10 percent. Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania will all go Democrat, mainly because I think the anything-but-Trump voters will be strongly motivated to turn up. The negative campaign against Trump will get very ugly. But then there are going to be a lot of butthurt fags who are disappointed and feel left out. Some of these will grab guns and go full Elliot Rodger. There won't be a race war -- just a lot of sad faggots. Business will continue as usual and the level of change won't be very noticeable.

Honest predictions -- this is what I think is very likely to happen, even though I don't like Hillary Clinton much.

Trump was behind Clinton by a point in the last poll. Pennsylvania is predicted to be a future red-leaning/swing state with the demographic changes

'Tis what happens when niggers are given the right to vote.

Trump's message is tailored to do well in Ohio and Pennsylvania, if he doesn't beat her there he isn't beating her.

SAY IT WITH ME

O!

H!

...

>Vermont and Pennsylvania red
>Colorado Blue

There were polls showing Trump beating Clinton in CO

That's hilarious coming from someone who doesn't even live in the United States.
What if I started talking about how I know so much about UK politics because I took a class in college once?

Pennsylvania consists of 2 notable cities on opposite sides of the state and a shit load of literally nothing but Scranton and Penn state somewhere in the middle.

The shit load of nothing accounts for a small minority of the population.
Philadelphia is the overwhelming plurality of the voting population and always votes blue.
For a republican to win Pittsburgh, they need to convince the Burgh to support them by more than just a slight margin, and right now Pittsburgh is leaning Clinton.

>DC not red
Get out Hill-shill.

As much as I love Trump, I really think he'll have trouble flipping Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. And if he doesn't get all three, he loses.

I mean honestly, Hillary has to get indicted for there to be a chance, and even then that would just mean Bernie would get the nomination and polls shows he would crush Trump by even wider margins.

Though I wouldn't make any bets now, as when we first started the primaries I did not at all expect Trump to be the nominee, this election is way too chaotic and unpredictable to make any assumptions right now.

low energy

I think this election will be 2012 map 2: electric boogaloo, with maybe Colorado swapping red.

He's leading in ohio though.

This Italian knows.

oh don't worry user, that delusion has yet to even reach a fever pitch

they'll be "unskewing the polls" soon and before you know it Karl Rove is throwing a temper tantrum on national TV because it took Barack Obama an hour to be declared the winner

the media wants it to be a race so they'll paint it as such, but that's the cold honest truth, the blue states currently hold the electoral advantage on a national level, and add to the fact that Trump is making places like motherfucking Georgia a battleground and that spells trouble

I support Trump and still think pic related is going to happen. I'm basing this off of recent polls on realclearpolitics, FYI. This country is too far degenerated to be saved. Let it burn, so that we can start fresh.

Let's get some things cleared up.

>1. New York and Pennsylvania
Trump is not flipping these states. Stop meming this. This are strong blue states, New YORK being one of the most consistently democratic in the country filled with liberals that will never support Trump. And the fact that it's Trumps state is negated by the fact that it's Hilary's. Unless he picks Guliani... no, even if he picks him as a VP, he's not taking New York.
The same applies to PA, for mostly reasons stated Yes, most of the state's area is bumble fuck nowhere with white trash, but Philly will keep this state safely Dem. Pittsburgh is one of the only cities in the country that isn't a complete liberal cesspool, but it's simply not big enough to stop Philly.

>2. Ohio and Florida
It's unrealistic to assume Trump will take both of these. The same bet would be for him to run with Kasich and grab Ohio. Florida has been shifting left for 3 decades now. Expect it to lean safely Dem from here on out. If Trump picks Rubio, he can make a grab for it, but then he will lose Ohio.

>3. Trump's Margin of Victory
Any maps that have landslide wins for Trump should be discarded. His only path is through a narrow win with key states.

>Quinnipiac
Use averages or go home, Quinnipiac are the people who predicted a Romney landslide in 2012

it's not trump that's making georgia a battleground, it's the niggers.

>Let it burn

only if you're in the minority in cow country

those maps don't depict population count, so to most people the system works just fine

proportionally zero people live in the red parts.

>Trump is making places like motherfucking Georgia a battleground
I think you might be the one falling for the "There is a race here"

Hillary shouldn't even Debate Trump. There is no contest.

ew. It's like a Tumor.

Somebody pop that fucking pimple.

Only in Quinnipiac polls, who consistently poll 5-10% to the republicans than the rest of the polls do. They said Romney would win 2012 easily.

I made a poor word choice, I'll admit. However, I simply cannot afford to have Bernie as president, or I'll be taxed out onto the streets.

What would the butthurt on Sup Forums be if this happened and the dems regained both houses of congress?

them polls don't lie user, I live in Georgia, Clinton isn't winning the state, but she may even have a closer margin than BO managed

The tilt towards the left has begun down here user, whether you recognize that truth or not is up to you but spoiler: Atlanta's only getting bigger and sisterfuck county's only getting smaller, in 10-15 years this state will be a swing state.

If that scenario comes to fruition, it is no longer a matter of butthurt. It becomes a matter of the survival of the US, its democracy, and white men. Possibly the world, if Hellary starts WW3 with Russia. At the very least, the first and second amendments will be completely dismantled.

>Atlanta's only getting bigger
I'VE HEARD ENOUGH. SPARE ME THE NIGHTMARES

I would agree with this.
But CO will go red.
OH and PA blue.

Clinton wins.

I don't know if I want to stick around this year to watch Sup Forums slowly self destruct as they start to become aware that Trump can't win.

The fact that people are posting fucking Pennsylvania as red just shows the desperation.

I think a lot of people have this notion that once it's him v her, he will decrease the gap, but after the debates when nothing changes, it will start to get ugly here.

>as they start to become aware that Trump can't win.
It won't happen. Remember all the people screaming that Romney was winning right up until the media called it for Obama on the night?

Really? Northern Allegheny?
I'm becoming a community organizer for the GOP, and I'll tell you that the strategy for the ground game has changed. They're instituting a copy of the strategy Obama used in 2008. While a win isn't certain, Pennsylvania is certainly up for grabs. Loads of blue dog Dems are switching and I hear we have a great black organizer in Philly who is getting a lot of blacks to register Republican.

>wisconsin red
>tie

The delusional self-deception will be hilarious for a while. It already is quite funny and I'll continue coming back here just to watch the butthurt moaning. But then there's the political problem of what to do with so many disillusioned meme-ing populists who will feel disenfranchised. I'm not sure if there's going to be a useful way of channeling this political energy or if it's instead just going to turn into lots more sad Pepe memes. Trump has hit a vein of serious discontent with the pace of change, especially in the ways that dumb, poorly educated white people get left out of economic growth. I'd like to think there is a better outlet for this shit than Sup Forums.

South Hills.

I just don't know. And honestly how can you expect to infiltrate Philly like that.

It will result in even less voter turnout for future elections, which means an even smaller fraction of the country gets to decide our fate. Dubya will be the last Republican president in the country's history.

You apparently don't understand how polls work. If Trump performs as well in the polling as he has been, and I expect him to start doing better in these key swing states, then he probably wins them. It's not based on your own "expert" opinion but on data. Of course, the polls could be off, but they're a lot better predictors than your rambling about different cities in PA. I actually expect Trump to outperform the polls. People are even afraid to say they like him over the phone, which has been documented by pollsters already.

Then again, there's still a long way to go. Clinton could choose a running mate that appeals to the rust belt, and might cement her general lead.

The funny part is VPs don't matter. Americans will still have their jobs shipped overseas and fucked over by Wall Street. That's what Hillary will be all about regardless of whether she throws some token dem like Warren to the progressive base.

The colored states in this pic have voted the same since the major political realignment of 2000.

They will not be changing this election, so stop posting fumble shit like having PA go blue.

>Of course, the polls could be off,
They're from fucking Quinnipiac, they're like 8% off.

NY and PA are red this year

Hello, fellow Sup Forums posters.
Remember that Trump is highly unelectable and will never win the general election.
If you want to know why, then you should educate yourself by contacting Correct The Record.
Thank you for your time and reading this.

Who else thinks dissolving the electoral college and going straight to popular vote is a good idea?

Fuck off hill-shill

Confirmed shill thread.

The problem for Ohio like a lot of other rust belt states was the missing white working class vote. Romney just couldn't get those people to the polls, even if they might have told a pollster on the phone that they would vote for Romney. This is Trump's key demographic in many respects.

That being said, it doesn't mean Trump will win Ohio, but I think Trump has a far better chance of scrambling the electoral map in states like Ohio than Romney ever did.

Honestly believe this.

Trump has hit his max unlikeability, he has had 110% exposure, and anyone who hates him will continue to. Hillary has been 90% hidden. Trump is going to shine the light of 1000 suns on Hillary and her 500 scandals.

The independents and Berniebots will come to Trump's side or refuse to vote for her after Trump masterfully traps her into lying on stage or 'pleading the fifth' on the issues over and over and over. The people will start to reject Hillary, Trump can't lost ANYONE he hasn't already.

This is also proven in the fact that Trump is trending up by a LOT in recent weeks.

It's gonna close as fuck, but Trump will pull it out, provided there is no fuckery with the voting process going on.

I think that would be more democratic, but you know it would skew politics a long way left because that would mean left-leaning voters in big cities like New York and Los Angeles would have more say -- which properly they should.

A better system still would be proportionate representation in each state so that smaller parties can have a say. This would result in liberatarians, socialists, faggots, and everyone else getting a degree of representation in US politics, which currently they don't really.

This is actually possible. Trump will most likely do massive damage to the Republican party, though I think they've been heading this way for a while by letting the tea-party fringe make headway against moderate Republicans and by focus too much on generating highly partisan hatred toward Democrats, and especially toward Obama. It's fascinating watching what other Republicans are doing now about Trump and how they're managing the prospect of him losing -- they don't want to be chained to a sinking ship, so many are refusing to endorse or are only saying they'll endorse "the candidate" but not even attend the national convention. It's been a thorough hostile takeover of the Republican Party.

Trump could realistically win WIS or VA as well, and could lose NV or PA.

No. There are consistently more red states and red counties, and we don't want commiefornia and jew york to skew the results in their favor.

desu :(

I always thought of Nevada a red state

>Trump could realistically win WI
God the delusion is amazing

I think honestly that the Republicans have been running very hostile on Hillary Clinton for a few years now and they don't have any new ammo -- the Benghazi and email stuff just isn't serious enough to bring her down and the fact Republicans still keep harping on this is making the Republicans look like they're short of new information.

On the other hand, the Democrats haven't even properly gotten started on Trump and it's going to get very ugly. Just wait until his interviews with Howard Stern are all over the mainstream media. Conservative Republicans will not be able to get behind this guys sex life. And then there will be all the exposes from former lovers (including domestic violence) and stories from prostitutes. In the 70s and 80s, Trump was trying to style himself as a high-living playboy and did some pretty degenerate stuff. This is all going to be played very hard in public. There's also all the attacks by Republicans on Trump that can just be redirected back at Trump until the election. It's going to get very ugly and funny, I think.

Disclaimer: I greatly dislike Hillary Clinton.

>There's also all the attacks by Republicans on Trump that can just be redirected back at Trump until the election
Already happening
youtube.com/watch?v=8DbsCgwVVIc

It's one of the longer shots, but it's possible.

Thanks, user. That's pretty amusing stuff!

>PA is red this year
Objectively false
>NY also
Are you fucking retarded?

I find a popular vote to be most ideal, but not every should have a right to vote. I'm not sure if IQ should be used as a qualifier, since it might eliminate more Republicans than Democrats from the voting process. Conversely, if Democrats are so smart as some dubious sources have claimed, why vote for people with suicidal policies on a national scale?

Can't even be witty. Just fucking kill yourself faggot.

I think you're onto something here user.

>them polls don't lie user
sure dont

>Quinnipiac
So guaranteed wins from Hillary.
K.

>On the other hand, the Democrats haven't even properly gotten started on Trump and it's going to get very ugly. Just wait until his interviews with Howard Stern are all over the mainstream media. Conservative Republicans will not be able to get behind this guys sex life. And then there will be all the exposes from former lovers (including domestic violence) and stories from prostitutes. In the 70s and 80s, Trump was trying to style himself as a high-living playboy and did some pretty degenerate stuff. This is all going to be played very hard in public
its like you think the other side has nothing to lose dredging up lewd things from 1990

which would make perfect sense if you were a concern troll spreading fud

>Quinnipiac
>the same guys reporting a 50 pt lead just a few months ago

yup. no trend here. clear win for hillary!

Canada is rightfully Alaskan clay

Quinnipiac is known for skewing polls for republicans.

Hillary is winning those states. Period.

If Johnson gets even 10% of the vote, then Hillary is done as it seemks like Johnson voters right now tend to prefer her over Trump

No, that's how far modern politics have degenerated. Focus on Trump for something that happened 20 years ago, but ignore Hellary for something that happened 4 years ago.

I'd be really interested to see anything ugly, but it seems like that's all on Bill. Yes, he let an intern give him a bj and my guess is it wasn't his first time. But I really can't imagine Hillary getting sexual favors from her staffers. It seems that for a very long time she's been preparing for a presidential run and has kept her slate clean. I can't imagine anything coming out that didn't last time she was running against Obama, since that was a relatively tight and dirty race too. US politics is bit too obsessed anyway with the sex lives of politicians.

Quinnipiac said Romney would win easily, they skew republican all the time like MSNBC skews dem

Johnson will get 2% max

You are delusional, Johnson will barely get 1% of the vote.

>Everyone showing Trump just barely winning
If that's any indication then Trump really needs to up his game if he's going to win, as currently he won't.