No. You're doing exactly what they want you to do.
he deal is that in the 2012 and 2008 elections, the turnout was only 55%, with college graduates voting at about 75-80% and highschool graduates and highschool dropouts voting at much lower percents.
most current predictions and polling organisations will be looking at these previous demographics who are likely to vote and tehy will be looking at them in those propotions.
They are extrapolating the past into the future.
However when an election seems close or important people vote at higher turnouts.
Educated people, who are more anti-trump, already have high voter turnout. there is not much potential for them to gain votes more than they already have.
However IF trump can achieve enough energisation, and enough mobilisation of the less-educated voters, then he'll be able to achieve unprecedented victories.
There is some tentative evidence that he is able to do that.
The fact that republican primary voter turnouts have been something like 25% higher than former years for instance.
It's a long shot, but if Trump can keep the campaign high energy and get everyone who supports him to turn out, he could make it happen.
The key is that he needs to remain high energy.
make people inerested, excited, motivated to vote and get their country back.
people saying "it's hopeless" will hinder this. People won't vote if they think that they've already lost and their vote won't turn it around.
So you need to counter pessimistic messages.
Trump needs to continue his media domination
Trump needs the republica party to get him funds to do a strong ad campaign.
It's difficult but possible.
