Trump General - Make Portugal Great Again

Text TRUMP to 88022 for important crisis updates

>Trump Delegates: 1,537

EVENT SCHEDULE
donaldjtrump.com/events/

UPCOMING RALLY
>Houston, Texas 6/17/16
>youtube.com/watch?v=gFhV1F0j3XI

PAST RALLIES
>Dallas, Texas 6/16/16
youtube.com/watch?v=InKKQHU4ldk
>Atlanta, Georgia 6/15/16
youtube.com/watch?v=dAQwoh9RxQ8
>Greensboro, NC 6/14/16
youtube.com/watch?v=m6eazuXSXaU
>Trump National Security Speech 6/13/16
youtube.com/watch?v=Y9TQpvOpJho

INTERVIEWS
>Donald Jr. and Eric on Hannity 6/15/16
youtube.com/watch?v=hpSWw7GOFhk
>Trump on Greta 6/15/16
youtube.com/watch?v=VARlsRti4mk
>Trump on the Factor 6/13/16
youtube.com/watch?v=MbpPIpovA7k
>Trump on CNN 6/13/16
youtube.com/watch?v=RqFqEhwx1XU
>Trump on Today 6/13/16
youtube.com/watch?v=ds27dlItL1E

ENTERTAINMENT
>Obama more angry at Donald Trump than Orlando Islamic Terrorist
youtube.com/watch?v=pO6zDC5ZZrQ
>Trump destroys WaPo
youtube.com/watch?v=dpCh7_aeoNU
>2006 Hillary saying basically: "Fuck Mexicans"
youtube.com/watch?v=_uXJ1mgkyF0
>Violence Against Trump Supporters
youtube.com/watch?v=DSVtE82Bkm0
>FLASHBACK: Obama – “Hillary is a Liar”
youtube.com/watch?v=UTtizmetQMY
>2004 Pocahontas Describes Hillary as a Donor Puppet
youtube.com/watch?v=qYa3Q4NUYPM
>The Long Road to the White House
youtu.be/ZJyIztXX3Bs

TRUMP RALLY PLAYLIST
pastebin.com/X9qQJVKJ
play.spotify.com/user/washingtonpostpolitics/playlist/0RGDi11O4gfXuJNjZxSp29

TV/LIVESTREAMS
sites.google.com/site/trumpgen/tv-streams
pastebin.com/BxSqb0Sf

CROOKED HILLARY GUIDE
crookedhillary.com (WEBSITE FOR SALE)
pastebin.com/v7WHnG6b
wikileaks.org/clinton-emails/
imgur.com/a/VzlEf

Previous:

Other urls found in this thread:

forward.com/opinion/national/342905/unmasking-the-anti-semitic-meme-of-asuka/
realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
twitter.com/SFWRedditVideos

MOVEMENT

Awooovment!

Alright I'm starting to make a list of arguments as to why no sane person could ever vote for Shillary, compiling events showing her evilness and uselessness with proper sources.

Any help (e.g. in form of videos, links, arguments, events or quotes) is greatly appreciated.

_-*~*DAILY REMINDER*~*-_

Donald "babyfingers" Trump regularly incites political violence and is a serial liar,rampant xenophobe, racist, misogynist and birther who has repeatedly pledged to ban all Muslims — 1.6 billion members of an entire religion — from entering the U.S.

Well, to counter the recent shill tactic to point out to RCP misleading poll average I'll be posting an updated set of charts.

The first (pic related) is the linear trend from 2016-01-01 to 2016-06-15. Although it shows a decrease in Trump numbers Hillary took a much harder drop in the same period.

Remember this is the trend. Simply connecting the first and last poll in the period doesn't show the trend, only the difference between those two data points.

First for ignore Finnish and Romanian shills

BRING BACK IOWA

Reminder for shills

Second chart is the 30 days moving average. It averages all the polls in the previous 30 days of a certain date, displaying the long term trend of the data and insulating the trend from the clear outliers.

Third chart is similar to the previous one, but in a 14 days moving average. Worst than the 30d moving average and yet, still better than the RCP.

Notice that with the Y axis showing the full range the difference, even if it increases in this chart, is still within the margin of error (3%) or very close.

How long until the rally?

Oh no! How will Trump recover?

Then, the next to useless 7d moving average. It is the more similar to the RCP methodology of averaging and it shows.

Look how that huge outlier in the beginning of May completely skews the chart for a week and then it goes back to normal.

That is the exact effect we are seeing this week because of the Bloomberg poll, as soon as the rest of the polls come the real difference between the candidates will be less pronounced.

Tell me about Portugal. What are gun laws like there? Who is your popular right wing politician? Are they anything like Trump? What's the general perception of Trump there?

Serious question. Why does everyone hate Trump for putting America fist, but loves Hillary and here lying,flip flopping, and crimes she committed? She's is racist against blacks, used to hate gays, but now gays think shes great, wanted a more secure border and now wants to open the floodgates. I don't even like Trump that much, but it amazes me the bias people have towards him, but love Clinton.

DONT

>And this is why a 5.8% collapse is actually good!

>The polls clearly show Trump will never be the Republican nominee

where did you get the chart?

And now, the complete set plus some more analysis.

The often posted RCP averaged polls has some inherent flaws that make them misleading (at best) or biased (at worst).

Above a set of charts, using the same data points as RCP, but with different methodologies to identify the general trends:

> Linear Trend
> Moving Average (over 30 days)
> Moving Average (over 14 days)
> Moving Average (over 7 days)

The first two charts show a more general trend, uncontaminated by the day to day oscilation caused by retcent events. Both show the gap between the candidates reducing significantly in the past few months.

The other two (1 week and 2 weeks moving average) are fickle and their trends are a product of the most recent events that reflect immediately in the polls.

Even in these cases, when the margin of error of error of the polls is taken in account, the difference between the candidates is not conclusive to determine a clear front runner.

The often posted RCP Poll average includes only the most recent poll of each pollster allowing for clear outliers (like the Bloomberg polls) to have a significant impact on the average.

Other flaws in the RCP poll average include:

> Not showing the full Y Axis, magnifying any change in poll numbers.
> Not highlighting the margin of error (averaging 3% in all of the polls)
> Considering the publication date of the poll instead of the date when the poll was actually taken

In conclusion: polls are a good way to measure long term trends assuming they are mostly unbiased. However this assumption is rarely correct and the media will usually try to fabricate cohclusions based on short term trends displayed by polls.

Always use your heads, question the narrative and don't believe blindly in anything. There is a lot at stake and people will do anything in their power to influence, manipulate and ultimately control you.

>if I repeat it again, I will be proven right

MAGA

SAIYANS FOR TRUMP

...

The Taliban are using child sex slaves to mount crippling insider attacks on police in southern Afghanistan, exploiting the pervasive practice of "bacha bazi" -- paedophilic boy play -- to infiltrate security ranks, multiple officials and survivors of such assaults told AFP.

The ancient custom is prevalent across Afghanistan, but nowhere does it seem as entrenched as in the province of Uruzgan, where "bacha bereesh" -- or boys without beards -- widely become objects of lustful attraction for powerful police commanders.

The Taliban over nearly two years have used them to mount a wave of Trojan Horse attacks -- at least six between January and April alone -- that have killed hundreds of policemen, according to security and judicial officials in the province.

"The Taliban are sending boys -- beautiful boys, handsome boys -- to penetrate checkpoints and kill, drug and poison policemen," said Ghulam Sakhi Rogh Lewanai, who was Uruzgan's police chief until he was removed in a security reshuffle in April amid worsening violence.

"They have figured out the biggest weakness of police forces -- bacha bazi," he told AFP.

He said the attacker was the checkpoint commander's own sex slave, a teenager called Zabihullah. Late one night, he went on a shooting spree, killing seven policemen including the commander as they slept.

The Taliban, who banned bacha bazi during their 1996-2001 rule, roundly denied deploying any underage boys for insider attacks.

"We have a special mujahideen brigade for such operations -- all grown men with beards," a Taliban spokesman told AFP.

Some policemen, they said, demand bachas like a perk of the job, refusing to join outposts where they are not available.

Horrifying abuse at checkpoints makes the boys, many unpaid and unregistered, hungry for revenge and easy prey for Taliban recruitment -- often because there is no other escape from rapacious commanders.

forward.com/opinion/national/342905/unmasking-the-anti-semitic-meme-of-asuka/

Even Le Dlibert man can't explain that shit.

LOSE

Thanks Portugal

...

>BREAKING NEWS: Trump compels 1,500 women to undress
Wew

Oh, I will remind you when I will be proven right. Don't worry.

This is fucking pathetic, dude

...

Is he going to win, Sup Forums?

Many who have tried to escape have been dragged back with trumped up charges of Taliban links, two senior provincial judges told AFP.

Boys have also spurred a deadly rivalry between policemen, with officials reporting incidents such as a public gunfight this year between two commanders in Gezab district as one of them angrily accused the other of "stealing" his bacha.

"To restore security in Uruzgan, we will first have to separate policemen from their bachas," one of the judges said.

"But if they are told to reform their ways, a common reply is: 'If you force me to abandon my boy lover, I will also abandon the checkpoint'.

The tactic appears more deep rooted in Uruzgan, where the boys are widely flaunted as a totem of affluence, with some officials openly displaying cellphone images to AFP of their "handsome bachas".

"Come see my beautiful bacha," said Naqibullah, a police commander in Dehjawze village near Tarin Kot, boasting that he had been holding the teenager for two years.

With a touch of kohl on his eyes, and bleached blond curly hair poking out of his embroidered hat, the boy sat in a corner of the checkpoint surrounded by opium farms, quietly refilling tea glasses for Naqibullah's guests.

"Commanders prowl neighbourhoods for young boys. We are scared of dressing up our children or buying new clothes that will make them attractive," said Nader Khan, a tribal elder in Dehrawud.

Khan's 13-year-old nephew was taken captive earlier this year by Naqibullah, a local commander not related to the Dehjawze official, when his family sent him to deliver bread for policemen. He was released only after angry tribal elders besieged the governor's office in Tarin Kot.

Governor Mohammad Nazir Kharoti told AFP he ordered Naqibullah's arrest but he was released in less than a month because he was needed for combat duty.

tfw no awoo

Kek
The Legendary Super Saiyan

You got a source on that?

could you source these?

If they get paid will they be prostitestors?

Do you have the memory of goldfish?

>misogynist
There's a safe space set up over at reedit, not paid for by the Donald Trump Foundation.

Threadly reminders:

Everything you need to know about Hillary's foreign policy is explained in pic related.

Every CTR shill has that same blood on their hands, for supporting her.

>Every CTR post = another drip, drip, drip of innocent blood stains their hands. Literally for nickels and dimes.

Does anyone else think the black guy looks like he's in the foreground, and Alex is a fucking giant

The perspective throws me off

i would like to fuck a woman wearing that outfit

im getting ready for the rally at 7 pm

so when is he going to rise in the polls again?

...

It's going to be annoying as fuck to deal with all the media shit and the SJWs in society, but there's a good chance.

She would never lay down and think of England !

Good luck getting through Iowa's armor plating and state of the art CIWS.

Probably next week

If there is will, there is a way.

He literally makes them up. Yeah. Source is Sup Forums, in other words.

>not just wanting to fuck the actual USS Iowa

...

Gun laws:

> Portuguese citizens are allowed to own firearms for hunting, target-shooting, pest control and collecting. Self defense is not considered a legal reason for owning a firearm.

Despite of that hunting is quite common outside the major cities so it is not hard to obtain weapons legally. Also people that kill in self defense either do not get prosecuted or if it comes to that can be acquitted on those grounds.

Our politics are dire lately, the leftists gained majority and are in the process of running our country into the ground.

Although the economic left is in power people are red pilled as fuck. There is a reason pic related is the coat of arms (and flag) of one of our district capitals.

People here are very kind to tourists but very wary (and even hostile) to economic migrants, specially moors (and gypsies).

All in all there is no need for nationalist party in here, people are nationalist enough. Our borders didn't change significantly since 1300 (give or take).

It's just RCP with less compact time frames being averaged.

tfw no boy to make dress up as awoo before i dom him

RCP isnt Sup Forums you retard

1980 all over again, as far as the polling.

Monday. It all starts monday

...

>Debating someone on twitter
>They called Trump racist
>They only evidence they were able to bring up was HuffPo

I'll never redpill the John Lennon worshipping fuck, but, perhaps I'll discourage him from slandering the God-Emperor in the near future.

They aren't from RCP, retard.

So I finally gave up on Morning Joe- I held out for as long as I could, but I can't do it anymore. At first I thought they were just being harsh but fair on Trump's mistakes, now it's clear they've been 100% completely cucked and unfair to him.

I need a new news show to watch everyday- what do you guys recommend? Anything as entertaining as Morning Joe was? I don't mean a comedy show like Red Eye.

I'm sorry that your religion has apparently banned math, but the rest of humanity is still capable of using it.

IT'S AN ASUKAMENT

Ah ok

MARI BEST GRILL /s

delet this you anti-semite

>whores are always looking for an opportunity to take their clothes off

fox and friends
comfy and trump tends to be there

Reminds me of this.

>Mari
kill yourself, my man

how it feels to have bern and liberal friends on fb

>if we are losing it means we are like Reagan!

...

You watch Fox seriously?

/s

There is no Trump. He's a hologram projected by the Illuminati to give you the illusion of a candidate who you can trust. In reality, Trump doesn't exist. He's simply an idea, a projection of your ideal president. There is no Trump! In fact, even his supposed "family" are just actors who were paid to act as his relatives. Trump can never win because Trump doesn't even exist in the first place. You're being led on a wild goose chase to support a man who can never win, just so they can label you as domestic terrorists and lock you up in death camps.

Wake up sheeple

The Onion was literally bought by Clinton pal

The data is the raw RCP data, the text, spreadsheet and presentation is my OC.

You can obtain the same result as mine by following these steps:

1) Enter RCP Poll Average page [1]
2) Scroll down to Polling Data and copy the data in there to a spreadsheet with at least 3 columns: poll (name), end (date), Trump (percentage) and Clinton (percentage)
3) Make a pivot table, aggregate by end date, average poll percentage
4) Make the appropriate pivot charts

[1] realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

The whole thread gave me a sensation of deja-vu

WE HAVE THE BEST SHIPS

they cant shill for nobody anymore, cruz and marco are gone so dont worry about it

GUINESS CONFIRMS TRUMP SETS NEW WORLD RECORD FOR MAKING WOMEN DROP THEIR PANTIES

I can't tell if this is irony or serious support of Trump.

>comparing trump with mitt romney

>I have no argument and cannot into math
>instead let me post memes to prove you wrong

Yeah its a retardation alright

Doesn't make the image ring any less true. It satirized the Bernie camps growing desperation perfectly, now the exact same is happening here in Sup Forums.

I'll give it a try, but I kind of hate Steve Doocy and Brian Kilmeade's faces.

It goes far beyond that, it's entertainment news, not real news. Real news isn't broadcasted on TV, use Google.com .

Deadly serious with 16 inch guns like hers.

>he underestimates the Renegade Party
True Conservatives will unite at the Convention just you wait and see

A google docs spreadsheet would be cool desu. Like the sgopet.

Why are her nipples so low on her tits?

>Trump is down 6% in polls
>hold up; look at my math!
>4 pictures and 20 paragraphs of math
>according to my calculations, this means Trump is actually trending up!
10/10 math.

DON'T WE LOVE OUR AWOOS EVERYONE? I LOVE THE AWOOS. AND WE WILL GET THEM JOBS AGAIN, LET ME TELL YOU.