BREAKING... NEW POLLS

New Quinnipiac polls...

FL: Trump 42%, Clinton 39% -

OH: Clinton 41%, Trump 41% -

PA: Trump 43%, Clinton 41%

New Quinnipiac polls...

Other urls found in this thread:

politico.com/blogs/swing-states-2016-election/2016/07/trump-has-edge-in-key-states-225442
realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
politico.com/magazine/story/2016/06/coal-country-democrats-donald-trump-2016-213988
twitter.com/SFWRedditImages

Who's going to get the blame for this?

Bernie 2016

Fuck yeah!

Donald J Trump

wtf i hate pennsylvania now

DEMOGRAPHICS:

Q says among WHITE voters, Trump is: +24 in FL +18 in PA +9 in OH

Losing BIG league with non-whites: -60 in PA, -54 in OH, -35 in FL

>mass immigration
>lose the ability to elect who you want to lead your country

Europe, I'm warning you. They will never want the same leaders as you.

Link.

Link, faggor

politico.com/blogs/swing-states-2016-election/2016/07/trump-has-edge-in-key-states-225442

They came out ~10 minutes ago

Great news to wake up to

He needs to campaign more in PA,Michigan,Wisconsin,Virginia. I don't know why he is wasting time in Indiana.

IOWA

Trump 44 Clinton 42

If he wins the electoral college without the popular vote there will be libtard tears almost worth the bullshit.

...

Is Quinnipac typically biased towards either side?

>Russia wants best for America
Wot da fak?

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html
>Trump +0.2
FUCK YES

I like it, but it's still too early to take these polls seriously.

Shut uo drudge, get a newer more modern siren image before you come onto MY /pol.

If the D is +4-8 then it's probably legit.

The actual result will be R+7 however.

He's probably winning by even more. These polls are always done in liberal heavy areas to skew the stats.

...

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
Net R+0.7, so a very slight historical bias toward Republican turnout in their methodology.

Certain Corners of the Internet:

Given the polling news today, there will be Question Time later today about Trump's path to victory and how his messaging will lead him there.

>Trump leading college educated whites despite national polling saying otherwise

>Nate Tin

I don't know who will end up winning, but I do love how a month of the media playing echo chamber for the Clinton machine and a hundred million dollars in ads, Hilary has absolutely jack shit to show for it.

Hillary wants to antagonize the Russians. Why the hell should we fight?

Trumps plan is pic related.

FBI ENDORSEMENT FTW! HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA SHILLS BTFO

> Polls show trump behind
> JEWS, SHILLS, LIARS!

> Polls show trump ahead.
> HAHA WE'RE GONNA WIN!

Why?

>Quinnipac
How I wish those numbers were real...

>PA

That's huge.

My guy is going to win. Not your guy. My guy.

I, for one, will wait for the actual results in November. Polls are all bullshit.

I want to be friends with Russia. I don't want that lying cunt to win. I want to see regressive tears. I never voted R in my life and at the age of 32 I will be doing just that in the state of PA.

I don't even like Trump, but this is a whole different political environment.

This might be your last chance to elect a republican.Maybe 2020 if Hillary fucks up

Bern victim here.
We Trump now.
14/88 Gas the kikes, refund now!

We cant be "friends" with Russia, but we should not be in conflict with them. with Clinton we will be.

Will Shillary see a small - possibly temporary - surge from #BernVictims following their loony leader?

to be fair, being -35 with spics and niggers in florida is way better that media would want it to be

Hillary's entire career is a fuckup. It no longer matters to the uninformed and the illiterate. They'll check the "D" box.

They'll be right for once, i guess it's the one of the two times this year.

I don't know, maybe we can be friends. I certainly don't want escalated conflict with that warmongering puppet at the helm.

Young people don't vote.

How the hell is PA more inclined to support Trump than OH? Is it because of PA's proximity with NY?

Ohio is traditionally more red than PA. PA went for Obama by around 5.5 percentage points, compared to 3.5 percentage points for Ohio.

I honestly still hope Trump will pick Kasich as his VP for this reason. He needs Ohio badly and Kasich would solidify it for him.

Kasich would be a decent pick but he won't accept.

I can't in good conscience support Trump or Clinton

George Soros right now

I don't know much about Ohio but always living in/around PA, the whites in PA are pretty much perfect for Trump

Because Appalachia.

Kasich has been acting like a little bitch ever since he lost the nomination. He is refusing to even endorse Trump and said that he probably won't attend the RNC which is being held in his home state.

Clinton won't win Virginia. Once Trump picks Flynn, it's over for her here. And PA is similar to WV. Up until the late 90s, WV was a solid blue state. Now it's going red in presidential elections. A similar pattern is happening in PA,Michigan, and Wisconsin. Since the late 1990s, they have all been getting redder. It's a realigning election. Trump isn't the bible thumping typical gop candidate, and he does well with union workers in PA. They won't vote for Clinton. He needs to do more rallying around Philly. It's all about political realignments. He has the white Demographics in his favor to win those rustbelt states. If he wins PA, that means he is automatically winning Ohio.

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

With third party candidates factored in, Trump has a 6% lead over Hillary.

Crazy stuff.

Stein is not yet in the ballot in PA, however.

I guess it's poor whites

Is your guy big

Dude, his pick will most likely be Gingrich or Pence. That's what prediction markets are saying at least.

I like Flynn, but I highly doubt he will be the VP pick. Trump won't take that risk.

PA is a weird state. It's gone blue in the general election since 88 I think but it's still safe to consider it purple if denizens of Philly just don't vote. Combine that with slightly higher turnout from the rest of the state in favor of Trump and it very well could go red. Our state elections for governor constantly flip and the legislature is usually majority red.

According to your map what other chance does he really have? NH, VA and MI are possible I guess.

I'm from PA and in my personal experiences, I've only met 3 Hillary supporters and conversely many Trump supporters. PA is very much in play this year

Trump will win PA of he puts in the effort there. He needs to be camping there almost every week until the election starts. No more wasting time in Indiana and NC, states that he will win anyway. He needs to campaign in and around Philly. He has a good thing going for him in PA. If he fucks it up, then it's his own fault.

>How the hell is PA more inclined to support Trump than OH? Is it because of PA's proximity with NY?

The Manufacturing base of this country used to be Democratic territory because of the coalittion they built between minority voters and working-class union-member Whites.

Those union members don't support Clinton because they blame her for the destruction of the middle class, particularly her support of disastrous trade deals. They correlate anti-free trade policies with pro-union policies and are turning away from the Dems towards Trump.

Pic Related, Article Related

politico.com/magazine/story/2016/06/coal-country-democrats-donald-trump-2016-213988

I wasn't just thinking poor whites but just the culture I guess. I guess they even liked Howard Stern and like that kind of rude humor too. to me, I don't understand how people can get so huffy about Trump's demeanor and crassness

...

Oh and Hillary will probably pick senator Time Kaine of Virginia as her VP. I do think Virginia will be blue. Her VP will give her a boost in that state.

obviously jobs are the biggest thing, but I just mean it also wouldn't be hard to connect to Trump and hear him out, for PA voters.

Tim Kaine I mean

TELL ME ABOUT KAINE

>even the shill polls can't hide it as much

feels fucking great man

He'll be in Columbus to coordinate with law enforcement about security for the convention and that's it.

I'm getting sick of all this anecdotal evidence people keep spewing on Sup Forums.

I'M FROM IOWA AND I'VE SEEN 50 TRUMP YARD SIGNS AND ONLY 2 CLINTON ONES. I ALSO HAVEN'T SEEN A SINGLE CLINTON BUMPER STICKER!!!

>marist gets A despite being mostly worse

Quinnipiac and PPP are the msot trustworthy polling organizations in the USA.
Celebrating a victorious polling week is not hypocritical.

so find another thread? Maybe an Australian thread

Kaine? The criminal will fit right in with Clinton. If it's Trump and a military man, against Clinton and Kaine, Trump is winning here. A big factor in why we went for Obama twice, besides black votes, was that GWB screwed over the military here. I'm not concerned about it at all. Both Republican and Democrats as running mates has never traditionally worked in states. I hope she picks Kaine. He is a net negative.

Relax m8, I was just saying what I've personally seen. I found it kind of surprising because PA is usually a blue state

trump supporters have vastly more motivation than democrats

I think Trump needs to do more to highlight what the party of democrats is all about, Bernie sanders was the last gasp of the white liberals in Democrats. It's fully a corrupt black/mexican/billionaire party now

You expect anything better from here, son?

this made me giggle.

Morale is important.
We're no longer about diverse discussion and opinions; we are now #TrumpTroopers.

It isn't a valuable contribution.

Senator Tim Kaine is not a typical Democrat. He has a more ambiguous stance on abortion. He once proclaimed that he is pro-life which is an unusual position for a Democrat.

Other than that, he is considered a 'safe pick' because he is just an old white guy with political experience.

It's true that Trump is doing very well with blue collar whites. Let's hope they get Trump elected. Interesting article btw

Phili usually dictates the entire state. Hopefully the blacks stay home. I honestly don't see them voting for Hillary at the same rates as they did for Obama.

It's important to note that Ohio has sided with the winner of the election since 1960.
But since 1944, Ohio has only fucked it up once.

Nevada has also sided with the winner since Reagan in 1980.

CAPTCHA: STOP College
We must purge college-educated whites.

Trump also claims he can win Michigan, (and he can), but he hasn't even been campaign there. That is one thing I hate about Trump. He wants to compete in Michigan,Wisconsin,Minnesota? Then go campaign there.

PA bro here.

We're goin red. I can feel it. I've seen a shitton of Trump supporters in Pittsburgh.

Wawa or Sheetz?

>5. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

FL OH PA

Strongly favorable 19% 20% 17%
Smwht favorable 16 15 14
Smwht unfavorable 6 9 11
>Strongly unfavorable 53 51 54
Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 3
REFUSED/DK/NA 2 3 2

Aren't you guys worried about the Philly niggers and the Aleentown Puero Ricans turnout out? Not to mention the Dem convention in Philly. I hope you guys get everyone you know to vote Trump.

Wawa.

I also guarantee some of New England will go red. Maine and New Hampshire at the very least.

>Hillary wants war with Russia
>Trump wants to make deals

> The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.

Trade unionist here.
Bernie sheepdogged me, cheeky kike. Jill Stein was our true pinko leader, Bernie is just a cuck.
We Trump now.
This whole establishment psyops has swung me hard right.

Damn straight

Kind of, PA looks like it's gonna be really close no matter what so I'm hoping that events and the debates push Trump over the edge. Also black people aren't gonna vote as much for Hillary as they did for Obama in the last 2 elections

>Riots and shootings everywhere
>ISIS going full psycho
>Brexit
>Trump becomes President of the United States
>Hofer becomes President of Austria
>Orbán wins the refugees referendum and pisses off the EU
>Deutsche Bank collapses
>Italian banking sector collapses

2016 will be the year of Happenings.

That's it. It's fucking over.

Not even ironic, with Trump you kind of expect a Shy Tory factor where the polls aren't in his favor like Brexit, so even if he were losing by a small margin I would still anticipate a win. If this early on, he's already winning in key swing states, in non-biased polls, it's done. And that's before the convention. It's not that surprising considering the ridiculous turnout he had in those states during the primaries. Please just don't fucking pick Jewt Gingrishill.

...

I'd believe it. I live in PA and my 72 year old grandfather, who has voted Democrat for his entire life, is voting for Trump.

Yay, we love question time!

>non-biased polls
Polls are paid for, by the publisher. The publishers are all in for Shillary. The polls already are biased - even the berniebros knew as much, half a year ago about their candidate.

Else though, I agree with your assessment. And these polls, don't include the new tide of independents, which bernie just freed. If they really support the green party, and split the vote 3-way...

It is looking rather peachy for trump, atm.

I'm gonna further piss off the Aussie but even my mother who has voted straight Democrat since she was 18 and has a masters degree is voting Trump just because it's him or Hillary. Gonna be an interesting election, can't wait for the debates.

It has been a big success. There has been discussions on starting a twitter account.