New poll shows Trump with a 5+ lead in Virginia

New poll shows Trump with a 5+ lead in Virginia.

Nate Silver has Virginia leaning red.

HOLY FUCK!!!!

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

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I think a lot of the Central Alabama black vote will go Trump too. I have been in Downtown Birmingham a lot lately and it seems they Deep South Blacks are tired of being supressed with handouts.

I think many of them will stay home this election cycle.

There is no cool black guy running this time to motivate them.

They had record turnouts back in 2008 and 2012.

It won't be the same for a boring old white lady.

Fellow bama bro! /256/ here. You /205/?

ROLL TIDE ROLL

WTF he is 50/50 in the polls only forecast. He was at 40% yesterday

I hate how Nate keeps predicting that Johnson will get more than 5% of the vote.

New report shows Hillary with a 15 point lead over Trump.
rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016-2.pdf

Doesn't Nate Cardboard's own map on that projection show an electoral vote majority for Trump?

Why are Trump's odds lower than Hillary's there? Fee-fees?

Living in NOVA now.

No chance in hell its red.

>inb4 i posted this already

Doubt it. Bill was a big supporter for blacks (welfare). Depends whether that follows over to Hillary

That's the same polling organization that showed Trump with the immense lead.

The popular vote doesn't really matter.

It's how the swing state people vote.

I already knew Clinton had no chance here in VA even with Kaine as her running mate. I didn't need this asshole to confirm that.

Bill implemented the work for welfare law.

I know blacks respect him, but he wasn't as pro-handouts as you may think.

It went dark red for Bush so I don't see how Trump can't win that constituency plus more traditionally poor liberal whites.

Fuck off, shill. Your anecdotal bullshit means nothing, even if you believe it.

Fuck NoVa, literal cancer. Virginia was comfy ad and also the heart of the confederacy before all the Yankee libshits migrated to the DC area.

VA is still a swing state. According to Nate, there's a 49% chance it will go blue so don't get too excited yet.

>Nate Silver was completely wrong about the primaries
>Will probably be 100% right about the general
How does that work?

Ignore all polls with large swings, they're memes trying to get clicks

What a dumb seal

yeah 205, close to Sylacauga.

TEN FEET TALLER
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Because the reason he was so wrong about the primaries is because he injected his biased opinion into his analysis instead of relying on more objective polls. He's since admitted that this was a mistake and is relying more on data rather than his subjective opinions.

there are no good models for the primaries

I thought Hillary picked her VP for the sole purpose of securing Virginia. Maybe he'll try to rig the votes?

Is that really your seal? It looks like someone told a preschooler to draw the romanian flag

Kaine is from Minnesota and grew up in Missouri. Virginians have no loyalty to that carpetbagging faggot.

Hey, fuck you. Arlington resents the blue meme