because I'm VERY concerned right now
Explain how these are rigged
Jack Kelly
Other urls found in this thread:
m.youtube.com
polling.reuters.com
quora.com
breitbart.com
cesrusc.org
alpdata.rand.org
twitter.com
Gavin Cook
Those polls are from the last several days. The DNC was a few days after the RNC so the bounce lasted longer. It's over now.
Ryder Evans
They oversample people in their 20's and 30's; millenials who don't even vote when the day comes and are fresh out of brainwashing camp/college/highschool. It'll be up to those who are in their 50's.
Robert Garcia
It is very easy to manipulate statistics, search for the actual study of each poll, look for their inclusion/exclusion criteria, their sample size, etc. The media are going in with everything they have against trump, just search "when is the general election day?" in google, watch 10 minutes of CNN, ((they)) are desperate.
Samuel Lee
You really don't think the president has already been chosen by the establishment?
Jose Jones
This.
The important piece of controlling the statistic is to control who you sample. Also keeping questions vague and off topic will help manipulate numbers.
In all honesty though, you better have something solid to defend the notion that all or most of those polls are biased or rigged otherwise the backlash will kill all credibility from trump supporters.
Nathaniel Moore
lmao
John Gonzalez
Ain't no grave gonna hold the American Public back from voting in our next President Donald J. Trump. Watch epic video.
m.youtube.com
Eli Davis
Christian Flores
Source?
Angel Brooks
...
Jack Lopez
no you're not
Michael Miller
Trump was part of a Dem plan to fracture the GOP and ensure Shillary was elected. Shockingly, the GOP voters didn't realize this until it was too late to stop it.
Cooper Powell
All of my friends and my family are pro-Trump. Almost everyone in my town is pro-Trump. Trump rallies draw thousands of people. There's so much anecdotal evidence that Trump is beating Hillary that it's obvious the polls are rigged and just plain made up.
Trust me guys, Trump is going to win in a LANDSLIDE. 80% of the vote, easily.
Cooper Russell
You're both right
It's like when we do approval ratings of Trudeau and the sample is taken from a group of Muslims, university kids and French people who work Liberal government jobs and just got raises.
Christian Phillips
>trying to make us accept the truth
FUCK YOU SHILL
I reject your reality and substitute my own
William Anderson
I literally just got done responding to someone posting a pic of the CNN poll where the 18-35 group was N/A and they were saying it was deliberate because Hillary has trouble with that age group.
Is Hillary winning because they aren't polling enough young people or because they aren't polling enough old people? Cause from where I'm sitting, she's winning because they aren't polling enough Trump supporters. Because there aren't enough.
Colton Wilson
2012 Results
>Obama 51.1%
>Romney 47.2%
LongRoom
>Obama 48.5%
Off by 2.6%
>Romney 44.7%
Off by 2.5%
RCP
>Obama 48.8%
Off by 2.3%
>Romney 48.1%
Off by .9%
2008 Results
>Obama 52.9%
>McCain 45.6%
LongRoom
>Obama 50.2%
Off by 2.7%
>McCain 43.1%
Off by 2.5%
RCP
>Obama 52.1%
Off by .8%
>McCain 44.5%
Off by 1.1%
Applying LongRoom's "unbiasing" to the polls in 2008 and 2012 makes them on average 102% less reliable than had they done literally nothing and just used the raw poll data like RCP.
Nicholas Hernandez
>dub dubs
Ryan King
what is this
Joseph Mitchell
I factored in 2004 as well, but they're still 82% less accurate than RCP.
Justin Wood
Look at the proportions. Numbers themselves don't matter if they scale up correctly.
2012 Results
>Obama won with ~8% more votes than Romney
LongRoom
>Obama won with ~8.5% more votes
Off by 0.5%
RCP
>Obama won with ~1% more votes
Off by 7%
2008 Results
>Obama won with ~16% more votes than McCain
LongRoom
>Obama won with ~16.4% more votes
Off by 0.4%
RCP
>Obama won with ~17.1% more votes
Off by 1.1%
Levi Martin
LOL
Josiah Gutierrez
>if they scale up correctly.
It's a fucking %. You can't scale it up or you're taking away from the "Other" vote you fucking idiot.
Thomas Hill
They are not, just deluded trump fans kept claiming they are to persuade you from being worried.
Why even care though, Poll's don't mean shit compared to who 'you' individually feel convinced to vote for.
Politics isn't a fucking sports game where looking at a team stats declares who will win.
Andrew Wood
Guy doesn't stand a snowballs chance in hell. This is the official beginning of the end of the GOP, people. They had the chance to run a centrist and move away from the extreme right, they run this clownstick and he has no chance with swing voters. As much as Fox likes to show Cubans and the token black guy in a MAGA hat, that's that. They'll also lose the senate (I predict 53-47 in Dem favor). They might hang onto the house just barely due to all the gerrymandering. But guess what 2020 is another presidential election, and Clinton will win again and if Dems get into state chambers they'll be able to redistrict to keep republicans out of power for good. After that it's the final solution. We go after their home states. We go after fucking Texas, the last state they hold that is worth a fuck and the only state they cannot afford to lose.We will win this election. We will win the next one. We will keep the fuckers from power, and we will take their last bastion. Blue Texas will happen, and it will happen thanks to Donald John Trump.
Connor Jones
Look at the crosstabs. They're over sampling democrats and under sampling independents.
Chase Lopez
he's dead now
Christopher Adams
And then the civil war starts, the cities starve and the niggers eat the liberals and then get shot when they try to invade the rural areas
The end
Christian Baker
USC/LA Times uses a tracking survey/poll instead of a traditional poll method.
But the same method was used in the 2012 election and was pretty accurate
Connor Brooks
I approve of this message. The hidden redpill most don't see.
Austin Bell
I haven't been polled and I don't know a single person who's been polled.
Lucas Russell
You are right I'm now a shillary for Hillary
>This is how you respond to shills pls take notice.
Oliver Diaz
HOW COULD THIS HAPPEN TO
MEEEEEEEEEEEE
Colton Allen
And another cunt we heard from...
Matthew Green
I doubt it just because of the sheer number of people showing up for rallies. Hillary's look to be around 50 people while Trump is still filling arenas. Either way, I wouldn't worry about polls until the first debate.
Grayson Campbell
It seems that most of the polls assume that Hillary will get a larger turnout than Obama and that independents don't exist. Hillary doesnt have nearly the enthusiasm behind her yjay Obama did.
Hudson Morales
The media is running out of ateam. You know there is a problem when everyone you asks if they trust the media says no
Nathaniel Long
In the long run the Democrats will win everything anyway. The foundation for all these changes in the US is the death of christianity. The last christian superpower is going away. What do we end up with? Ruthless Russia, ruthless China and postchristian USA. The Dems are going to ideologically colonize Republicans just like it happened in France, UK or Germany
Dominic Garcia
Third parties are irrelevant.
All I care about is who wins, and by how much.
Hunter Myers
That's the thing, they're not rigged, no matter how hard some people don't wanna face it. The GOP fucked themselves by running 10 different candidates instead of getting behind one person early on (and a not-exciting group of candidates in the first place) which allowed Trump's small but loyal fan base to catapult him into the front, which got others to go along with it. Now that there's not 3 or 4 other people splitting with Trump he's getting exposed.
Logan Garcia
/thread
Mason Garcia
You should only be concerned until after the debates.
Robert Baker
>$.02 has been deposited to your account shill
This is now a gore thread