I just check Trumps polling numbers for the first after a weeks. What the fuck happened? What did do this time? He is practically in free-fall. I thought he was supposed to be closing the gap by now. Remember how he said in the primaries that he "hasn't even started on her yet". Yet, here we are the middle of GE battle and he just dips lower and lower. Is Trump duping us or something?
I also here that pundits are saying he has like a 5% chance at winning. How is that even possible?
I honestly believe that if he just shut the fuck up, avoided press conferences, avoided debates and just laid low for the remainder of the campaign he would achieve better results than he will using current strategies.
Nicholas Lopez
I'm not making this up. Alot of the polling companies changed their methodlogy as soon as Trump started to overtake hilldogs. e.g. Rueters asks disproportionately more Democrats than Republicans despite there being more Republican voters in the primaries than the Democrats.
Here is Reuters asking alot more dems than republicans when it should be the opposite.
I wonder who the "Independents" are as well."
2nd slide
Tyler Cook
Why does it matter Trump is running a false flag campaign, he wants Hilary to win.
Jack Wilson
>staying composed after 14 months of media onslaught >ego issues
pick one
Noah Roberts
Don't worry, little CTR worker bee! There's gonna be something nice bonus for you at the end of the election! It's going to be a great big surprise! So close your eyes and hold out your hands!
Justin Gutierrez
I'd call you retarded, but it's OK, you're not American. There are more Democrats than Republicans this country. That's a literal fact.
Nolan Lopez
The polls are trash. As soon as Trump took the lead in the polls, they changed their polling methods and have been sampling about 15% more democrats. In other words, the polls are skewed to favor Clinton.
James James
holy kek what is this sorcery?
double czeched
Noah Walker
>composed Uhhhhhh OK
Brayden Barnes
>I wonder who the "Independents" are as well." about 40% of people, who largely favor trump over clinton R's are slightly undersampled I's are greatly undersampled
Camden Myers
desu i think trump's bid was a publicity stunt that got out of hand.
Cooper Perry
...
Matthew Ortiz
Yeah because thats how he won the republican nomination, by being quiet. Anglos are the biggest pussies in the world.
Adam Phillips
when is he not?
Ethan Jackson
That's a male
Justin Gonzalez
FPBP! By a fucking leaf at that /thread
Jaxon Morris
Why am I drunk on a Monday morning? Oh fuck, is it Tuesday? Oh well. Fuck you faggots.
Carter Flores
I'm seeing a nice pattern in these graphs desu.
Liam Hernandez
World peace
Oliver Walker
for you
Leo Scott
>timestamp >digits
David Rogers
The thing is that Trump shines when he attacks establishment elites (Jeb, McCain, Wall Street, Debbie Wasserman, Hillary etc.) or celebrities, but when he passive-aggressive attacks private citizen nobodies like Curiel, the ceripple reporter and KHAAAAAAN he looks retarded and petty, with a jedgement so bad even hardcore Trumpfags facepalm.
Henry Gray
I'm answering where Trump's lost votes are most likely going to you idiot.
Did I say he was going to lose to Johnson? No, learn to read Cletus.
Anthony Brooks
Pretty sure taking the bait over and over from the father of a dead veteran, unable to let someone else get the last word even as your poll numbers tank, isn't what you'd call "composed"
Lincoln Cook
WAKE ME UP
Tyler Turner
>he's not trying to look bad on purpose funny how he blasts ahead in the polls then suddenly decides that he can shoot someone and not lose a single supporter
Logan Allen
See also
Aiden Taylor
the optics of taking on a dead veteran's father are bad no matter if he's completely in the right. he's been fucking with the media since before we were born, he's looking bad on purpose.
Lincoln Roberts
Is this supposed to be satire?
Brandon Watson
yes, acting not having a seizure like hillary
Nolan Barnes
We're using Hillary as a comparison, right? kek
Connor Brown
>I just check Trumps polling numbers for the first after a weeks >posts bogus poll
Get the fuck out of here shill. You're tired and weak, just like the criminal you support.
>s a g e
Zachary Bailey
You better start working out now, Jose. You'll need to be in good shape to work hard building our wall.
Andrew Phillips
That's the 2nd post
Kevin Collins
>he's looking bad on purpose.
I don't need to add anything to this
Wyatt Miller
it's too easy
Parker Bennett
don't you think it's coincidental that he starts to "fuck up" every time he's leading in the polls?
Xavier Flores
Maybe behind the scenes.
If the polls are rigged now, you don't think they'll try to rig the actual election?
Probably why they added yet another candidate. Just one more person to fudge votes away from whoever they want (Trump).
Trump's ultimate goal must be to expose that elections are fake because that guy is never going to actually be president unless he takes the presidency through force.
Christopher Lopez
>If the polls are rigged now, you don't think they'll try to rig the actual election? they will, but they'll miss some states as well like OR and the rigging can only go so far before it's obvious
Mason Long
Or they make him (or he will by himself) win and the democrats call vote fraud because the poll showed otherwise by such a large margin.
Liam Perry
Do you have any doubts about kek?
Jonathan Gomez
>looks retarded and petty To undecided/moderates it just confirms the media narrative that he's a child. Which he is.
Julian Rogers
>Probably why they added yet another candidate. Just one more person to fudge votes away from whoever they want (Trump). he'll only take votes of people who would never vote for trump anyways. that means he's going to just leech from neocons and cucks who would have otherwise defected to hillary it actually helps trump these guys are retarded
Aaron Jackson
Doesn't spamming violate global rules?
It's obvious were getting flooded with CTR trolls, can't we just ban them?
Tyler Cook
Check out the amount of repubs vs dems voting in primaries.
Jonathan Williams
Checked
Carter Garcia
You almost memed satan into existence. Easy lad.
Lincoln Campbell
>Implying manchildren crying "shill" and "CTR" at every other post isn't spam, as if nobody could vote for Hillary or a 3rd party on their own judgement
Retard
Jason Rivera
OK, now check out the amount voting in generals.
Easton Wilson
Yes, his fucking up often coincides with a lead. His fucking up often coincides with a deficit. Fucking up is what he does at regular intervals.
Brayden Hughes
dude, really? holy wow.
Joshua Perez
You'd think, eventually, that people would get really tired of everything possible being thrown against the republican candidate every four years. Or at least numb to it.
Dylan Gomez
...
Jason Flores
Implying elections are ever decided by number of party-members
It's all about the turnout, and I can guarentee this will be the biggest Democratic turnout in American history due to the drama sureounding this election.
Gore was just weird
John kerry has the personality of a toaster
Mccain was boring
Romney was worse
But Trump v Clinton? Oh god the minority turnout alone for Clinton will be insane - blacks, muslims, gays, women (more of those than men here in the U.S), mexicans, really any southern or central american, cubans especially love Obama now because he started lifting the embargo fully, military families that aren't hard-core conservative (bc of the Khan thing being still overplayed in the last three news cycles), the berniebros that fell in line
Not to mention repubs will have record lows because none of the prior mentioned groups will vote for him, but even then, with so many white republicans jumping ship (even top donors) I'm sure the majority of people who were republican but view trump badly just won't vote or qill vote third party.
This will be Goldwater 2.0
I'm so excited
Sebastian Nelson
You're thinking of it in terms of actual votes cast by real people, and not how to fudge ballot counts.
Although, Trump is the type of guy to ask for recounts. We're talking about the head of the birther movement here after all.
Daniel Hughes
Liberals love to be in the media because the media is highly liberal there are so many liberals that want to be in the media that they ostracize all the republicans, making it a safe space for liberals in the media and thus the cycle goes on...
Watching the news nowadays relating to election coverage is garbage, but it's typical so many are just numb to it.
Gabriel Evans
holy fick kek is mad yo
Ian Gutierrez
>said god will punish gays so what? Isn't that what christians believe?
Alexander Powell
Isn't that what the Democrats are doing to Trump right now?
Oh wait Ahmed why are you even commenting nobody cares about your soon-to-be failed state
Asher Fisher
Why are you still denying your savior?
Parker White
Quads of the Gods
Samuel Bailey
>It's all about the turnout, and I can guarentee this will be the biggest Democratic turnout in American history due to the drama sureounding this election. The primary turnout showed the opposite, although primary turnout doesn't absolutely represent the GE turnout. We'll have to see how voter turnout actually is, but it may backfire on the media if they prop up Clinton too much with coverage and polls to make people think that she's safe and they don't have to bother turning up. Look at the polls and general popular opinion for Brexit: Remain was expected to win, but leave ended up winning.
Between the methodology changes to the polls and the fact that the media/liberals have created such a shitstorm against trump that any dem views you as a monster if you profess support for Trump, and a lot of people on the fence are either staying silent on their political opinion or lying.
I also think that the DNC leaks will hurt the berniebros "falling in line" massively, because if they had lost an uphill battle in a fair fight then they can consolidate in a candidate they believe in. Instead, they're being asked to fall in line with a system that had it out from their candidate from the start, for a candidate who has many different opinions from the one they supported. Voting Trump sends a big FU to the dem establishment and gives more credence for changing party platforms.
Ryan Robinson
PRAISE KEK AWOOOOOOOOO
Jackson Anderson
This is not funny anymore. I am crying IRL. This is like a burning bush, but with bits. Please no dubs.
Nathan Price
For me, it's more about "everyone hates this dude, holy fuck, I'm voting for him now"
It's literally an opposite reaction from what they want.
Carter Sullivan
>What the fuck happened
good DNC and Khan
Jose Lee
>free fall >already stablizing >past several days hasnt moved more than a point >2 months ago was twice as worse
Wew
Aiden King
After the Gore/Bush fiasco and 8 years of presidential niggery, Florida is going to be keen as fuck on election rigging this year
Evan Sanchez
This is some serious kek worship ameribro
Praise him
Isaiah Diaz
Like this
Jacob Clark
or this?
Carter Thompson
LIKE THIS
Dylan Lopez
LIKE THIS????
Isaac Sanchez
The interesting thing about the primaries is that it ignores anyone who wasn't identifying along party lines. It's safe to assume only the people who really gave a shit voted in the primaries. But this is a media spectacle, Trump's campaign is just this burning bus that won't stop and the American people love watching it happen.
I don't think most republicans realize, but pretty much any celebrity who isn't ( and I mean seriously, exclude these people) 70+ and/or a B-list actor is voting for Clinton or at the very least just attacking Trump.
Everything the newest voters (18-21/22 year olds) are seeing is a series of their favorite comedians and actors and pundits painting Trump as a madman who has to be stopped at any cost, and that's a powerful voting block if a majority of them agree
Michael Gutierrez
CTR IS BACK FOLKS
IT'S TIME TO TAKE THEM OUT ONCE AND FOR ALL.
Evan Ross
PRAISE KEK
MEMES FOR THE MEME GOD DIGITS FOR THE DIGIT THRONE!
Jackson Hill
What is this fuckery
Jaxson Jackson
What the nigger fuck is going on.
Ryder Turner
>Implying people magically changed their minds about Trump / Clinton
That's not how things work.
People made up their minds about the candidates a long time ago. People haven't abandoned one in favor of the other. Literally everyone who is going to vote committed to their candidate a long time ago.
>The interesting thing about the primaries is that it ignores anyone who wasn't identifying along party lines Well, not every state has closed primaries.
>It's safe to assume only the people who really gave a shit voted in the primaries Which showed a lot more republican engagement than dem engagement. Independents are a large group though, as you said.
>Trump's campaign is just this burning bus that won't stop and the American people love watching it happen. It depends, a lot of older people back Trump, I've seen it. And these are groups that vote in large numbers. (Being in New York, my vote for a non-dem presidential candidate is symbolic, but I do it anyways).
>I don't think most republicans realize, but pretty much any celebrity who isn't ( and I mean seriously, exclude these people) 70+ and/or a B-list actor is voting for Clinton or at the very least just attacking Trump. So? A lot of people backed Obama, but a lot of people also didn't like Bush from those groups (especially in 2004). Celebrities can speak publicly and may influence some people, but most people don't vote for candidates because celebrities told them too.
>Everything the newest voters (18-21/22 year olds) are seeing is a series of their favorite comedians and actors and pundits painting Trump as a madman who has to be stopped at any cost, and that's a powerful voting block if a majority of them agree That is not a group that votes in large numbers compared to older populations and is largely democratic anyways, regardless of the republican of the year. I'd say the exception was probably Obama as the hope and change candidate: voter turnout was somewhat better among the youth, and I knew several people who voted straight line item republican EXCEPT for McCain (they chose Obama instead).
I also think the media coverage of Trump is overwhelming, and there's just too much going on to readily predict the election at this point. (Continued in a moment, 1/2)
Colton Jones
Well it seems to be a trend so what makes you think it won't go back up like the other times in that graph?
continued, 2/2 Trump and Clinton both got convention bumps (although the extent of Clinton's is dubious because of methodology changes in polling by several major outfits that would favor clinton, including Reuters retroactively changing polls that had Trump ahead to have hillary ahead on the assumption that those who said they were undecided would have voted largely for Clinton).
Trump's talk on islamic terror seems to resound better when there are attacks. If there continue to be major attacks and Obama/Clinton continue to play the "tragic act" card while Trump slams radical islam, that may resound well with a lot of voters, that's great.
On the other hand, if Trump continues to engage on an individual basis with people who criticize them who aren't major political opponents - he's in trouble. The DNC brought in Khan to bait Trump and it worked. It doesn't matter that Trump was right that Khan's father misrepresented his positions and made statements that were false on their face (e.g. Trump never read the constitution). Instead he took the bait, he "attacked" the family of a war hero, and he got dragged through the mud for it. Time will heal that wound as other shit happens in the election cycle, but Trump has to give up on picking on reporters and individuals who criticize them because it just gives the dems/media the chance to keep the story alive. Same thing happened with Michelle FIelds. If he just LETS GO then their fifteen minutes of fame dies quickly and the story doesn't stay in the media cycle.
Clinton's health issues may become an issue, although I doubt anything will come out substantially before November (Bill as a sympathy card, potentially). And she's avoided a press conference for over 240 days and counting. She agreed to three debates, and I think Trump is stronger when speaking live - he missteps, but he's better on his feet than a lot of politicians, and that may fluster Hillary.