this will be the outcome
prove me wrong
This will be the outcome
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Shes a woman
Bill is a man.
My money is on this, you dumb nigger.
>Kentucky
>Blue
>Are you CTR or just a regular mongoloid?
I think the votes will come down to this
And with the rigging factored in
>Nebraska splitting the vote
>SD going blue
Suck my cock you dopey trans gendered shills.
I'm out
Sage
The media will try as hard as they can to get Gary Johnson on the stage.
I don't know what the fuck went wrong with your brain to make you think that anything SLIGHTLY critical of Trump makes someone a shill. This place is a bigger hugbox than reddit now because of you "muh shill" faggots.
West Virginia hates clinton and so does Kentucky. Actually your entire map is autistic. I recommend ending your life, as you are proving that you have an IQ sub 20.
I think that it's mostly because your map was comically unrealistic. If you want to have a discourse, I'm happy, but your map made you look like a shill.
UT, ID, NE, and SD are a lock for red. I'll happily debate NV, VA, IA, PA, but your map is crazy. AZ will be blue before UT or SD ever will.
No offense meant, I've been playing this 270 game for a long time.
>unmoderated anonymous board.
>more of a hugbox than a place with bannings, upvotes, and with a proven partisan leadership.
Yeah no, you can say whatever you want here.
The only people complaining about a hugbox are those that don't like seeing other's opinions.
Nebraska was purple for obama.
But that was obama, and the district that went for him is almost entirely black.
That district is also responsible for most of the crime in the state.
Silly how that works.
Don't be so hard on him, I can see his map as being realistic if this is his first election. If it isn't, then he's probably touched in the head, but if he is, I can see buying the spin to make that map appear in his mind.
Also, Sup Forums is about as far from a hugbox as I can imagine. If that's what someone is looking for, reddit is the other way.
There aren't any niggers on this ballot, nigger. Also, what is the justification for SD? That's coming close to VT for whitest state.
If Hillary wins, I'm moving to Svalbard. (I'm not).
Tennessee will never go blue. Never.
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> if trump doesn't stop soiling himself in public and alienating key republicans and swing voters
>Winning Ohio and florida but losing the election
WEW LAD
Neb's probably red this year.
I live in the purple district. There were a lot of bernie signs, but most people hate hill.
best case scenario for Trump
How much does shilling pay? I could understand if you were showing a scenario, but best case, really? I'd throw AZ and NC out the window if I were you, especially if you are going to give FL to Trump. FL is more likely blue than NC or AZ. I'd be shocked if FL went that way though. Re-kejigger your map with the above scenario, and repost.
>AZ
>Blue
Automatically shilled
So who is hated more, Mondale or Obama?
Trump is pulling 2% of the black vote you fucking twit. He's got 0 chance at any black controlled area.
Niggers are stupid.
Thanks Mr. Sup Forums
Is there a real possibility of Arizona turning blue or is this Dems wishful thinking?
realclearpolitics.com
virtually tied at the moment
Oregonian here. Fuck the cali faggots!!! fuck portland!!!! fuck all the hipster faggot, liberal fucks!!!! I'm never leaving these mountains, liberal faggots don't come here.
>realclearpolitics.com
Yes, but we know, based on the /cfg/ people and history that Arizona is the state of Barry Goldwater, Jan Brewer, and Joe Arpaio.
Tell me again how it is going to go blue this cycle with that pedigree?
Dems have gone full anti white
I see. What about McCain? Is he popular in Arizona, and could his endorsment (or rebuking) of Trump swing the state?
Last time I checked he was vaguely pro-Trump, but I feel like if another major Rep turns on Trump it's going to be him.
Don't even bother listening to the CTR shill that responded to you.
They only sample democrats in those polls so the results are extremely biased.
>south Dakota and Utah
please nigger.
I never said it was going to go blue. I said it's tied at the moment. Arizona going blue is about as likely as Pennsylvania going red, meaning it's *most likely* not gonna happen.
oh please shill, spend that last 100k wisely, not on map threads.
no its not the modern democrat party has no appeal in AZ
>PA
>blue
not going to happen when Trump is winning all the purple districts while Hillary is only taking Philly and Pittsburg
I thought it wasn't only Democrats but more Democrats than Republicans. Isn't this the correct thing to do though since usually more Dems show up for presidential elections (but more Reps show up for midterms)?
>unskewed polls 2.0
Serious question: are people just memeing about muh unskewed polls so there will be tons of screencaps to laugh at if/when Trump loses or are they serious?
>he thinks arizona is solid read
realclearpolitics.com
McCain will most likely win re-election, a five-term incumbent in a reliably red state should coast to victory. The only way he will lose is if Clinton wins AZ by a large margin (at least 5%), and the GOP loss trickles down the senate+house races, but that's unlikely to happen.
There are more voters registered and identifying as Democrat than republican hence why more are polled in surveys. Having a 50/50 split or 1/3 split including independents would not reflect reality
I don't know about that. The 2012 senate race had a close margin.
en.wikipedia.org
>en.wikipedia.org
That's only because the Democrats picked the most Republicanish guy they could to run.
Still, while AZ is red, it's not a deep red state like Oklahoma and Idaho where GOP candidates win Presidential elections by 25+ points. Since 2000 the dems have managed to get at least 44% of the vote in every presidential election. If AZ *were* to go blue, 2016 might have the ingredients for or it to happen since there are a lot of hispanics and college educated whites, two not very trump-friendly demos.
>Kentucky
>Tennessee
>Louisiana
>Arkansas
>Georgia
>fucking West Virginia
>blue
I think that Texas and Arizona will both transition to Blue.
I don't like it, and I don't think it will happen this election, but it's pretty inevitable.
Between the Northeastern transplants and the unchecked, undocumented voting, it's going to happen.
>wyoming
>not blue
> Arizona
> blue
No.
Trump is leading in WV by 27 points, seriously doubt Hillary is going to come back there. She has a much better chance winning VA than WV.
I just don't see how Trump will win Florida. pls reassure me
Deal with it
I don't get it. How can Az remain Red for long with these much Hispanic population?
Do spics in Az also votes red?
No, it's just that spics have low voter turnout. So even if they are 30% of the population, they are only about 20% of the voting population.
Plus, a lot of Arizona spics are under 18 still, so they will not be voting.
the AZ GOP does well enough with hispanics to keep the rest of the state from turning blue.
Both California and Texas are 38% hispanic, but TX GOP does good with hispanics getting 40+% of the hispanic vote in elections, while the CA GOP kind of lost the hispanic vote for several generations after prop 187. Some state GOP parties are able to adapt to their state's demos, while others can't.
No.
Ouch, Georgia too? You have truly corrected the record.
But what happen when these young spics turn 18? Will AZ turn blue eventually? I'm Sad. It doesn't seems like there any state that will turn Red in my lifetime, ever.
So a Trump victory?
I wish I was making memebucks. More people are moving to Atlanta and both it and Savannah are turning increasingly blue.
>illegals
>voting
Seriously where do they come up with this little fantasy? I guess they think BEANERS R THERE OMG without realizing none of them can vote and the border meas every non spic resident is militaristically opposed to anyone talking amnesty. Build a wall idea fucking originated there.
It is you dipshit shill. Old people and Mormons in droves....think they are pro amnesty? Now toss in the other big demographic of former californians driven out of their states due to the frijole influx...how do you think they are gonna vote? Your lies are laughable.
There is still a place where the West is worth fighting for.
It isn't here, because who would fight for nig-bucks.
Someday will will recognize what is worth dying for. Not today, and not this place.
Enjoy Milwaukee, folks!!!!
Everyone hates mccain even the conservatives. But it's a corrupt state and he has ties to everyone, plus the people hate dems even more so gets by on that. As a gauge of his "popularity" google the shouting matches his town hall appearances generated before he stopped doing them a couple years back. Hilarious
Close only by dems in AZ standards. Notice also flake was in a huge scandal at the time, and still won by a healthy margin.
You are dreaming if you think az is in play at all. It has as much chance going blue as mass does of going red.
uhhh I don't know if you're memeing or not but mormons are very pro-amnesty. While mormons are a predominantly right leaning demo, they differ from republicans in that they are very sympathetic to the plight of illegal immigrants, due to their missionary work in Latin America allowing them to see firsthand the extreme poverty that compels illegals to come here in the first place. Hence, why Utah is one of 7 states that allows both in-state tuition and driver's licenses for illegal immigrants, and why Donald Trump only got 14% in the 2016 Utah primary.
Jesus christ.
As just a piece of info to let you know how dumb and out of touch your theory is: SB1070, the anti illegal bill that caused a huge nationwide shit storm of OMG RAYSIS AZ, was put forward by russel pearce, who represented district 18...which is largely, wait for it....mormon. They fuckin loved the guy.
You should at least have lived in or had some basic knowledge of a state before yapping so wildly about its voting habits. You're wrong on everything.
They gerrymandered Nebraska in 2012. Romney won that district by 7%.
This is how it will go.
>You are dreaming if you think az is in play at all.
I think it would be incredibly disingenuous to not think the dems can have their best performance in AZ since they last won the state just 20 years ago.
>It has as much chance going blue as mass does of going red.
considering the dems last won AZ in 96, and get at least 44% in presidential elections, and the GOP hasn't won MA since 1984 and can't even crack 40% in the state, that doesn't sound like an accurate assessment of Arizona's political leanings.
>As just a piece of info to let you know how dumb and out of touch your theory is: SB1070, the anti illegal bill that caused a huge nationwide shit storm of OMG RAYSIS AZ, was put forward by russel pearce, who represented district 18...which is largely, wait for it....mormon. They fuckin loved the guy.
uhhh, you do realize Pearce was recalled and lost his recall election only a year later... right. People did not "fucking love the guy."
"He rose to national prominence as the primary sponsor of Arizona SB1070, a controversial anti-illegal alien measure that was signed into law in 2010. He was elected President of the Arizona Senate when the Senate began its current term in January 2011, but then suffered a dramatic reversal of fortune when he was ousted in a November 2011 recall election, the first legislator in Arizona history to be so removed from office.[1]"
en.wikipedia.org
I really hope that is the result because even though I pull for Trump obvious rigging might result in ultimate happenings all over burger
You do realize perot split the vote in 96 in AZ even more than he did in 92, right?
Do you even know why pearce was recalled? Did your Google fu mention the widespread voter fraud where dems and unaffiliated were allowed to vote for his ouster? The dems literally drove the entire recall issue. Pearce was just as popular as ever with most residents of his district.
Anyone who lives here knows all this shit. Hell, have you ever been to chandler or any other mormon part of az? For that matter, have you ever been to az period? No. Youre sitting there like a clay footed idiot googling away when someone with real knowledge of the area calls out your bullshit pie in the sky theories.
Pssst...you might find this shocking, but they've even had rebellion in Utah against the lds position on illegals. The church thinks one way, the members absolutely another.
You'd know this also if you spent any fucking time in the area you are laughably pontificating on.
Fucking shills. You are worthless cancer.
underated
someone get this hothead outta here. sheesh.
surprisingly this is possible Maine has a lot of red outside of Augusta.
Boo hoo did your Google fail you?
Fuck off you worthless shill. Take your stupid talking points somewhere else.
Nobody here minds debate on these maps, but when you shit post the most wild theories over and over its obvious what you are.
P.s. Is pretty spot on . Get ready to be crying when you cash that final check
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>NH going blue
yeah that's not going to happen.
last four post RNC/DNC NH polls are Clinton +9, +10, +13, and +15. NH is a SAFE DEM state for the 2016 election.
basically that map minus NH is trump's absolute best case scenario.
Montana going blue......
kek gtfo
I meant to say red of course.