TRUMP GENERAL - FEELS EDITION

>Trump Rally in Dimondale MI 8/19/16
youtu.be/K678kE_bZq8
>First TV Trump Ad
youtu.be/p2QdJFPxcQE
>Trump Tours Flood Damage 8/19/16
youtu.be/8npfrFsBuOk
>Trump Hands Out Supplies to Victims of Floods
youtu.be/O6qYuUGK77o

Text TRUMP to 88022 for important campaign updates
>Volunteer to be a Trump election observer
donaldjtrump.com/lp/volunteer-to-be-a-trump-election-observer

EVENT SCHEDULE
donaldjtrump.com/schedule/
donaldtrump2016online.com/

RALLIES
>Trump Rally in Charlotte NC 8/18/16
youtu.be/IAjWtnGihYA
>Trump Speech in West Bend WI 8/16/16
youtu.be/CRZqz3e5Pr8
>Trump Foreign Policy Speech at Youngstown, OH 8/15/16
youtu.be/M_tifPMzerA
>Trump Rally In Fairfield, CT 8/13/16
youtu.be/wV4FW6cKm08
>Trump Rally in Altoona PA 8/12/16
youtu.be/RBdBSXKTL88
>Trump Rally in Erie PA 8/12/16
youtu.be/Wp6E9tdYkeI
>Trump Rally in Kissimmee FL 8/11/16
youtu.be/EVkFnc3Msbk

INTERVIEWS
>Trump Townhall on Hannity 8/17/16
youtu.be/67fbp3fCEuU
>Trump on Savage 8/17/16
youtu.be/1xVpcWlPhro
>Trump on F&F 8/17/16
youtu.be/9wftfUcb3Zg
>Trump on WKBT-TV 8/16/16
youtu.be/wt28Cyb5R4g
>Trump on Orlando Sentinel 8/12/16
youtu.be/b9bervFY3nI
>Trump on Hannity w/Huck 8/12/16
youtu.be/qcaOzfniSVg

ENTERTAINMENT
>Trump in 5 minutes or less
youtu.be/13A6LjDZccw
>Trump Triumphant
youtu.be/hf9O-D0If6I
>American Hero
youtu.be/d-X3BVxySLo
>This is how we MAGA!
youtu.be/9C4gBP05bGE
>Trump cares about YOU
youtu.be/_xVdYNrPCMw
>What Trump Must Do to Win
youtu.be/hiGDvph6D4Y
>Media hiding the truth about clinton
youtu.be/IdYRN8Clddw

CROOKED HILLARY GUIDE
ournextpresidenthillary.com
pastebin.com/v7WHnG6b
wikileaks.org/clinton-emails/
imgur.com/a/VzlEf
>Wikileaks Leaked DNC Hillary Voicemails
youtu.be/UBKmJ6O6tGg
prev

Other urls found in this thread:

archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/85326192/#85328546
politico.com/2012-election/results/president/pennsylvania/
philly.com/philly/news/politics/20121112_In_59_Philadelphia_voting_wards__Mitt_Romney_got_zero_votes.html
axiomstrategies.com/abc/luzerne/
electionreturns.pa.gov/ENR_New/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=17&ElectionType=G&IsActive=0
electionreturns.pa.gov/ENR_New/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=27&ElectionType=G&IsActive=0
pennsylvania.state-election.info/#state_democratic_party
latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-trump-vote-fraud-20160812-snap-story.html
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Black_Panther_Party_voter_intimidation_case
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Philadelphia
townhall.com/tipsheet/christinerousselle/2016/06/07/hoax-image-of-attacked-trump-supporter-goes-viral-n2174835
youtube.com/watch?v=tRtdA1w7AAQ
youtube.com/watch?v=IWjJHorchtk
youtu.be/AWYj6YSUmio
twitter.com/GrrrGraphics/status/767014589674336257
web.archive.org/web/20160820135330/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/08/20/clintons-health-continues-to-spur-controversy-and-conspiracy.html
twitter.com/SFWRedditVideos

>tfw Pepe and Wojak have manifested as actual people and are currently on the same team to become the president of the US

What fucking world am I living in?

awoo~

that meme magic singularity tho..

S Y P H I L I S

berenstein universe

What is going to happen here when Trump loses? I think it might be the end of Pepe memes.

...

God I hate Saturday mornings. It's when the new wave of CTR shills come on the clock.

Even though this is a paid shill, are there people that actually believe this?

You're in the correct timeline user.

Checked.

We love our awoos!

Fucking finally Trump is in the lead again on the LA Times/USC poll.

pls keep it this way Trump senpai

>berenstein universe

Clinton's campaign at this point is literally just saying Trump did the shit she did.

Also, bringing up deleted emails as Hillary Clinton is fucking retarded.

Hello /trumpgen/

Reposting this as the weekend audience didn't get a chance to see.

Challenged [1] by some Hillary supporter (or Trump hater) to make a model that would allow for Trump to win battleground states solely on the white vote I decided to take it head on.

In the subsequent discussion I chose Pennsylvania because it is one of the potential battleground states that fits the criteria we were discussing:

> majority white
> light blue
> rural white population leaning red
> big urban "diverse" population, winning the state for blue on the population advantage alone

Notice that this analysis is completely in the hypothetical realm, considering th person making it has absolutely no contact with the reality on the ground right now. Think of it as a "spherical tiger in a frictionless enclosure" type of reasoning, just the cold unforgiving math.

Also take in consideration that:

> Romney couldn't flip it
> McCain couldn't flip it
> GWB couldn't flip it (twice)

Pic related is the electoral result for PA presidential election in 2012. Romney, despite of winning 55 of the 67 counties, lost that state by 287865 votes (about 5.1%) [1].

The great majority of the deficit was due to the expressive victory the Democrats secured in Philly, where in 59 voting divisions Romney failed to secure a single vote [2], and where Romney got about 20000 fewer votes than Mccain in 2008 and about 40000 fewer votes than Bush in 2004.

Now, all this information may sound like it's fucking impossible for Trump to flip that state but, specially because of the Romney poor showing among minorities, there is a path to victory for Trump in Pennsylvania.

Next post it will be discussed how it is mathematically achievable.

[1] archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/85326192/#85328546
[2] politico.com/2012-election/results/president/pennsylvania/
[3] philly.com/philly/news/politics/20121112_In_59_Philadelphia_voting_wards__Mitt_Romney_got_zero_votes.html

>I'm too stupid to realize that anyone would have any reason to not support Donald Trump unless they were paid for it

Now, as mentioned in the previous post, Romney trailed 2012 by about 287865 votes or about 5% of the votes.

Here is the first (and naive) possible path for a Donald Trump victory in Pennsylvania: to flip 5% of the democratic vote in each county, assuming a turnout exactly like the 2012 one.

At first thought it seems easier said than done but pic related contains, among other things, how many votes Trump would have to flip in each county in order to pull it off.

> In 42 counties it suffices to flip less than 1000 votes
> In 20 counties, less than 5000
> In Chester, Bucks and Delaware, less than 10000
> in Montgomery, about 11000
> in Allegheny, about 17000
> in Philadelphia, about 28000

Now, that doesn't mean that Trump must win counties previosly lost by Romney, depicted in pic related is the new projected result by county. The only 3 counties that ends up flipping are: Bucks, Northampton and Luzerne.

The later is an interesting county considering that Axiom Strategies [1] considers it one its bellwether counties, representative of the whole state.

Now, what does it mean to "flip" a vote in this context? It can mean two things:

> directly flipping it: a person that previously voted for Obama voting for Trump this time
> flipping it through turnout: a person that previosly voted for Obama stays home, a person that didn't vote in the previous election

Another aspect of this reasoning is that votes are fungible: one vote flipped in a Republican stronghold (like Lancaster) is interchangeable with a vote flipped in Philly, for instance. Every extra vote flipped in a friendly county is one less vote needed to be flipped in the hard ones.

There are two factors to explore to achieve this result: to target disaffected Bernie voters for the direct flip and to increase the enthusiasm of the base to achieve the "turnout" flip.

The tactics to employ to achieve this goal will be explored in the next post.

[1] axiomstrategies.com/abc/luzerne/

Return to the real thread and remember to always look at the timestamps so we don't get divided.

>Chump fires Manafort and makes a nutjob from fucking Breitbart and some blonde bimbo his campaign managers

Just when I thought he couldn't get any worse! By September, he'll fire them and make Alex Jones and Tila Tequila his campaign managers! Sad!

Yeah, sure, and you all log on at 10AM exactly.

You realize we have doxx on all of you, right? Like, your actual addresses.

Now one may ask: why is it believable that Trump could flip a state not even George W Bush could in both terms? Three factors that can make it possible:

1) Obama turnout in his reelection bid brought about 300k fewer votes than in his first term, making it very unlikely that Hillary will get anywhere near the record high 3.3M votes [1 ]of Obama 2008 or even the 3M votes [2] of Obama 2012.
2) Bernie Sanders got almost 720000 votes [3] in Pennsylvania 2016 democratic primaries. Considering the revelations of favouritism (at best) or outright fraud (at worst) in the process it wouldn't be a surprise if many of them (the "Bernie or Bust" crowd) simply didn't show up to vote or even voted for Trump at the election. Even 10% of those primary votes could represent 70000 votes, more likely concentrated in the habitual bastions of the democrats (like Philly).
3) Considering that Romney failed to secure a single vote in 59 voting divisions of Philadelphia it is very unlikely that Trump can do any worse than him at the general election. Even being his weak point the minority vote already didn't show in force for Romney so it won't be more of a deciding factor this election than it was in 2012.

In conclusion: it is very difficult to flip PA but not impossible.

About that last point: it ties perfectly into the "voter fraud comments" made by Trump [4] with regards to the Philly vote. According to the LA Times article Trump told supporters at the rally that the only way he could lose Pennsylvania would be if cheating occurs "in certain sections of the state." and he is right about that.

[1] electionreturns.pa.gov/ENR_New/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=17&ElectionType=G&IsActive=0
[2] electionreturns.pa.gov/ENR_New/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=27&ElectionType=G&IsActive=0
[3] pennsylvania.state-election.info/#state_democratic_party
[4] latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-trump-vote-fraud-20160812-snap-story.html

It seems like there needs to be a bigger penalty against people who file frivolous lawsuits.

Frivolous being that the filer has no proof of injury/loss and no evidence that anything even happened.

The dishonest media distorted Trump's comments [1] as if he was claiming outright voting fraud (vote changing at the poll) would occur but in reality that's not what it meant at all.

Trump implies (and it is backed by facts) that "in certain sections of the state", namely Philadelphia, vote intimidation against republican voters can pretty much influence the result of the election.

Among the ways to rig an election, "ballot stuffing" and "vote changing" are the most obvious and easy to detect of them and it is absolutely not what Trump is implying to be happenning.

It is not a coincidence that Romney failed to secure votes in some voting divisions in Philadelphia. At least one case of voter intimidation, by members of the "New Black Panther party" [2], was investigated by the DOJ and ultimately dismissed but many more are suspected (but never prosecuted).

The modus operandis is simple. With Philly being a high density "majority minority" city (55% non white) [3] and with party affiliation being very much divided by racial lines (black people, the biggest minority in Philly voting almost exclusively democratic) supressing white votes at the ballots equals supressing republican votes.

In the New Black Panther case:

> Two members of the New Black Panther party (...) stood in front of the entrance to the polling station (...)
> Shabazz carried a billy club, and is reported to have pointed it at voters while both men shouted racial slurs, including phrases such as "white devil" and "you're about to be ruled by the black man, cracker."

And that's the way to prevent republican votes in Philly. Guard the polling stations and threaten anyone with the wrong tone of skin, effectively preventing them from voting.

[1] latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-trump-vote-fraud-20160812-snap-story.html
[2] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Black_Panther_Party_voter_intimidation_case
[3] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Philadelphia

>no u

>Trump

>Doing well in the PA suburbs

Yeah who would believe that Trump might be in legal trouble? I'm sure the 3500 cases he has been involved in (1900 initiated by him or his companies) have all been settled and I'm sure he was in the right all 3500 times.

What the fuck is wrong with you people's brains

Good grief, it looks like Crooked Hillary goes around with a catheter bag.

Berenstain Bears timeline is the best timeline.

>Trump claims pictures of woman savagely beaten was a Trump supporter assaulted by democrats until image revealed to have been a hoax showing actress Samara Weaving on the set of a Television show.
>townhall.com/tipsheet/christinerousselle/2016/06/07/hoax-image-of-attacked-trump-supporter-goes-viral-n2174835

This meme again? Trump never even mentioned it.

It was made by an obscure twitter account and no one tried to pass it as legit. It was literally made by liberals to delegitimize their savage attacks.

Read the OP of that thread, you fucking mong.

>when Trump loses
>implying
Luckily we'll never have to figure this out!

Cool! What's my address?

Youre a retard. Trump is a retard. Perfect match.

Fuck off thread splitter shill scum of the earth

Hillary will win!

Kek demands your obedience in making it happen

Check Em

HILLARY IS PERFECTLY HEALTHY
youtube.com/watch?v=tRtdA1w7AAQ

youtube.com/watch?v=tRtdA1w7AAQ

youtube.com/watch?v=tRtdA1w7AAQ

niggerfaggot

I'm not that user. Thats quite the trip down the rabbit hole though.

“I am the Bone of my SWORD
KEK is my Body and TRUMP is my Blood.
I have created over a Thousand THREADS,
Unknown to Death,
Nor known to Life.
Have withstood VIRGINITY to create many MEMES
Yet those Hands will ONLY hold DAKIMAKURAS.
So, as I Praise--
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN”!

so he's not relaxed?

youtube.com/watch?v=IWjJHorchtk

From the last thread-

Disabled American Veterans has been contacted and is reaching out to him

are you the piece of shit that made it?

Why is that old white woman hugging Kanye?

If that's the case I'm thinking of, it's something that happened in the 90's. Back then, if you weren't deleting emails, you weren't sending emails for very long.

hillary looks great

pic related

Brian Stelter is pushing this TV meme. Remember, Brian was a fatty.

only 79 day until election

...

>Your average Drumpf supporter
What a fucking loser

You're not aloud to use racial slurs. You will be getting a disciplinary notice.

-ST

t.non-native commonwealther
Suburbs is full of Trump support.

Keep posting. You might be Strider or Fischbein, but I don't think Strider's on duty today.

I cannot stand this fucker.

>Dr. Drew

Why am I not surprised that morons who are supporting a reality TV show host for president would believe a guy who hosted a shitty radio show since 1984?

Your stupidity is impressive.

Why are u here then? Why would you come hang out on a pro Trump forum? It's like a black guy hanging out with the local klansmen to offer them a differing opinion.

You did a good job, user.

youtu.be/AWYj6YSUmio

Is this your average Trump supporter?

oh shit that glance from pence.

twitter.com/GrrrGraphics/status/767014589674336257

nice

showing your true colours there Sisyphus, picking on a homeless man, feel big?

Awoo~
Yes we do.

Yeah you nailed it buddy

Thank you Lusitanon

...

Someone needs to spank you whiny children, clearly your mothers didn't do it nearly enough

Nope, this faggot is.

Dr. Drew is one of about a dozen or so doctors that have said she doesn't look healthy. Besides, we don't need a doctor, she's on fucking Coumadin. Coumadin has dangerous side effects and is only prescribed to patients who are a very high risk of intracranial blood clots, aka strokes. If your blood clotting factor is so low that you need Coumadin you aren't healthy enough to run a country.

You iddiots still haven't caught on have you? Trump is secretly a muslim! He converted AGES ago, and has been clandestinely furthering islamic agenda ever since. Ever wonder why he takes such an aggressive stance on islam, but then reveals his actual plan may not be that extreme? That's all part of his b8 and switch... first he reels in the islamophobe retards, then he softens his stance to get moderate voters... and when he's in office? BAM! Let the floodgates open! Islam is such an important part of his life that he makes sure he is not only an antisemite, but a goat fucker(that's right, that Trump™ steak that you had probably contained trump's cum... he likes to get *ahem* "personal" with his product...) and a misogynist too(remember those "ex"-wives... they're only "ex" in the legal sense... not divorced in Allah's(PBUH) eyes and they still live in his Trump Tower harem)... not to mention he's itching to get America involved with jihad. Remember how we keep hearing that "Trump is playing right into the hands of ISIS"? Those people weren't wrong, I tell you what! Expect mandatory veils for women by 2017 if Trump wins. This theory also explains why he's so hostile to pope and other christian figures... they're infidels in his eyes, right?

Childless Single Men Who Masturbate to Anime

Probably did more for his country than you ever will

Not an argument, Ben.

Hey friend.

If you don't like Trump then don't enter the thread specifically made about you, you dumb faggot.

Unless you're being paid to be here, then carry on.

why the fuck isnt she treating any of that? does she want to drop dead? i hope so

>Correct the Record
Nice conspiracy theory

you're average Hillary supporter is a dumb nigger wanting free shit so we got you beat

>Making fun of homeless people for being homeless

Shill or shitposting, that's pretty low.

Coors is the last mainstream American beer that hasn't sold out to the belgiums

It's almost as if they know you people are dumb enough to believe them. Oh right, you are dumb enough. What a bunch of saps.

Is that a drug that causes spacing out and inability to complete sentences?

Shills on suicide watch.

US poll: Who will you vote to become President?
11:44 PM - 28 Jul 2016
50%Donald Trump -Republican
22%Hillary Clinton -Dems
12%Gary Johnson -Libertarian
16%Jill Stein -Greens

>voting for a fascist
Oh yeah,he's doing a whole lot for his country /sarcasm

>Fox acting like nuffin is wrong with Hillary's health and Trump has mental health issues

F A I R A N D B A L A N C E D


web.archive.org/web/20160820135330/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/08/20/clintons-health-continues-to-spur-controversy-and-conspiracy.html

>that downward inflection and vocal fry at the end of every sentence
jesus christ this is difficult to listen to. I can't even understand his point I am so distracted by his horrible speaking style

>sikh trump shoop
>trump is muslim

...

Did you even read?

He doesn't need to to well, only to flip less than 12 000 votes in some of these suburbs. See Is it that preposterous that Hillary won't have the same turnout as Obama had in 2012 and 2008 and that Trump will absolutely have a better turnout than Romney and Mccain?

In Philly alone Romney had 40000 fewer votes in 2012 (compared to Bush II) while Obama also had about 20000 fewer votes than in 2008 meaning that that many Republicans actually stood home and didn't go out to vote for Romney.

As I said, the scenario that Trump wins PA plays just like that and if he wins PA he wins the election, probably by a landslide

keep up the shill posting user, it wouldnt be the same without you

thread specifically made about him*
Fuck I must still be drunk from last night.

>proving Trump supporters are racist
You people are too easy

You are fucking with something that is beyond your control. We will eventually destroy you. Get out while you still can.

Why don't you cry about it to your mommy you little faggot bitch

>fascism is bad

How can Trump compete with this?!

All of a sudden polls matter huh?

EVERY OTHER POLL SHOWS HILLARY WINNING YOU IDIOTS

I will make you feel, my good man. Post from a rally to be blessed by KEK for a short while.
The joy of calling Trips is a great feeling.

calling someone a dumb nigger isn't racist.

>Someone doesn't know Fake Obama America is on an unrectifiable crash course with Real Trump America on the deep web

Nothing is wrong with HIllary's health. For a 70 year old woman she's in great shape.

>Right after I masturbate to this anime comic