Overseas it is outpacing most Marvel films including Ragnarok which made $540 million overseas. This assures that $500 million is a lock overseas for Black Panther
MCU phase 3 average multiplier is 2.62. February movies usually have very long legs that even an R rated Deadpool managed a 2.76 multiplier. Black Panther virtually has no competition for a month and even after that the releases are no biggies. Even if assume a low multiplier of 2.5, this is making $500 million domestic.
This means Black Panther might actually end up becoming the first superhero solo and the 33rd movie to make a BILLION worldwide. It might actually end up outgrossing The Dark Knight!
I won't make that much overseas. Saw it today. It's a holiday over where I live (southern Netherlands) so school is out. Saw it during a midday screening. Barely anyone was there. Big hall as well, but still empty. Flick was okay I guess, genuinely not worth the hype. But I forsee another Wonder Women situation where it makes a FUCK ton of money from America because of your fucked up politicized culture, but not a lot overseas because we genuinely don't care.
Brandon Peterson
what are some movies primally aimed for 12% of citizens, that cucked one of biggest nations in the world?
It's making more than Ragnarok overseas. Ragnarok made $540 million in the overseas market.
Joseph Robinson
Thank God Disney agreed to give 25% back to black communities. Now black communities will look like a real life Wakanda
Elijah Sanders
>Black Panther virtually has no competition for a month >bragging about this >thinking all of this means a damn thing >its 2017 and Jews are still making money at the expense of niggers LMAO
Asher Williams
It won't have legs. It got a high gross in the UK because they have a ton of niggers, and it got a lot in South Korea because they had 10 minutes or so set there. It won't have legs. I won't even touch Ragnarok.
Lincoln Rogers
Fuck off, most of those are false figures
Cooper Adams
Don't they have to make like $400M to break even?
Ayden Hill
If it doesn't break every record it just proves America is a racist shithole.
Adrian Gutierrez
D E N I A L E N I A L
Justin Hill
>Box Office Pro tracking Black Panther to make a president's day weekend of, wait for it: >$215 MILLION!!!!!!!!! >MCU phase 3 average multiplier is 2.62.
Please save all these predictions everyone. There's no way in hell a mediocre Marvel movie the sole hook of which is pandering has legs. It'll have a huge frontloaded 4 day weekend and probably break records but for fucks sake people are donating tickets to this like it's food to starving African children.
The crash afterward will be something to behold. The anti-Jumanji.
Chase Adams
It's going to make a billion if the tracking and the overseas opening is true
Isaac Edwards
ugh... I don't want this ad campaign to succeed cause then we'll get more of it.
Aiden Moore
How much will it crash. There's virtually no releases for over a moth. Will people simply top going to movies till April? Even Pacific Rim 2 is tracking to be a flop in NA.
Cooper White
It isn't better than The Dark Knight
Charles Butler
Of course user will now argue shit won't hold well, overseas doesn't care about muh race but they'll go to see how the cat boy from CW is doing. Also no competition, really doubt it will make a gorillion though. I'll eat my movies in a wedding dress if that happens.
Cameron Baker
If it opens to as much as $215 million, does it even matter if it crashes that hard? It would have literally made back its budget and more in the very first weekend just in North America.
Adrian King
All MCU has legs.
Angel Sullivan
Overseas, people will ignore the race aspect and watch it like a normal MCU film. MCU films regularly makes more than $500 million these days. That alone is enough for BP to break a billion
Luis James
It actually looks like it's going to make a Billion! The absolute MADMAN
Brayden Lopez
>MCU film in the deadest month of the year does well on the most active weekend in post-Christmas winter after nonstop marketing If it didn't make at least $150M opening weekend I would feel embarrassed for it.
Thomas Perez
>feel embarrassed for it. >implying it's retarded marketing isn't already embarrassing
Eli Ramirez
KARA BOGA
Henry Howard
>How much will it crash. There's virtually no releases >If it opens to as much as $215 million, does it even matter if it crashes that hard? >All MCU has legs.
It will matter in the same way it mattered that TLJ ate shit in the long run and a nothing movie like Jumani got oxygen to become a blockbuster.
People pro-Marvel will say IT BROKE NEW GROUND and others will say it fell below expectations (and probably broke new second weekend dropoff records). Nobody will be happy and have a real solid story to tell, but they're hyping it so hard and basing it off "buzz", when half the buzz is bad.. it can't live up to expectation.
I'm not even being an asshole about it, they just keep making these social crusade movies and then having them peter out, while unapologetic (if crap) movies blow up. Deadpool, It and Jumanji of all things were the big multiplier stories of last year.
Shit like Star Wars may have high numbers but their multipliers aren't massive.
Evan Allen
I haven't seen it yet, but reviews are strong, and word of mouth, even here, has been very positive, as well. I'll reserve my full judgement until I've seen it, but if it's accurate to all that then I'll be glad it does well.
Owen Wood
When Black Panther underperforms projections by $100M+: >dozens of articles on “How racism in America hurt black panther” Cap this. The soyboy “””””””””journalists””””””””””” are setting themselves up ahead of time for writing material
Benjamin Rivera
TFA had a multiplier of nearly 4.0. Even TLJ had nearly 3.0. BP just needs 2.5 to make 500 million at this rate. It just needs to play like a normal MCU film overseas for it to gross a billion worldwide and its doing better than that
Brody Diaz
from objective point of view doing TLJ thing would be only good thing if movie opens well and gets bad words of mouth, there is chance people stop giving a shit about capeshit Justice League had great "screening reactions" but finally it was not a big hit. Many people already stopped beliving critics after TLJ, some say BP got great reviews only coz of black cast, so there is chance. If it does well, cinema is doomed. It will not only spawn shitload of more MCU, but also make studios push more and more black cast into every other blockbuster.
Samuel Mitchell
The marketing guys at Disney found the perfect balance of pandering to normie retards while simultaneously triggering Sup Forums retards.
Austin Watson
A shame that people won't think it's because it's a good movie (or as good as Marvel stuff can be) but because it's a movie with a primarily black cast.
Noah Hall
Yeah....Black Panther won't even come close to a billion. It will bomb in Asia, wait and see.
Nicholas King
>Grace BTFO She'll just say that it's "fabulous" and parrot everyone else saying how game-changing the movie is.
Thomas Scott
>Many people already stopped beliving critics after TLJ
I know people will retort the public is dumb and forgetful but the amount of bullshit is stacking up. Both overhyped bad movies, pandering movies propped up and movies attacked for arbitrary or irrelevant political reasons.
The disparity between RT rankings and what people like to watch is just growing bigger.
David Brown
not everything is lost if disney disagrees with that 25% thing, they gonna lose in eyes of PC-brainwashed normies, so they "may" boycott it it's not a big deal, but hey, it could be last hope otherwise ger ready for neverending capeshit till end of days
Nathan Walker
it had the second largest marvel opening in south korea already
Dominic Martin
That doesn't count
James Powell
Isn't South Korea an Asian country?
Parker Williams
Depends if you follow the Voight-Arnau theory of Korean "spacetime" as an enabler for trans-imperial intellectual networks
Adrian Nelson
I don't get it, Sup Forums told me that everyone hate niggers and it would flop compared to other Marvel movies? And yet it is doing fucking well everywhere, even in South Korea (supposed to be very racist cause asians lel).
Jace Scott
>Sup ForumsSup Forums btfo
>racists btfo
Sebastian Stewart
Most marvel solo movies make around 500-600 mil overall, black panther should be no different. >BP actually has a chance to make more money than justice league which was meant to make over 1. 3 billion How embarrassing
Jace Gomez
after $350mil of shilling it better open in that range
Leo Moore
>It would have literally made back its budget ya, no
Chase Collins
Phase 3 solo films
Doctor Strange: 680 million
Spiderman Homecoming: 880 million
Thor Ragnarok: 855 million
The only post-Avengers movie to have performed in the 500-600 range is Ant-Man. Infact no Marvel movie besides Ant-Man after 2012 has made less than 650 million and BP is outpacing most of them
Samuel Clark
BP's production budget is 200 million you mong
Kayden Rodriguez
Same except I havent seen it, I live in a major UK city and this is the prime time showing for tomorrow. This movie is going to do meh overseas, with a massive drop off second week. America it will probably break records opening weekend and then have BvS type drops because barely anybody will watch this twice
Dylan Sanchez
>Infact no Marvel movie besides Ant-Man after 2012 has made less which is sad, coz he actually had some cool shrinking feature. Doctor was just garbage filler and Thor was awful CGI-shitfest.
Nicholas Gray
>"Normal people do not want niggers in their movies, only nig nogs and SJWs will go see it! it will be a flop"
*manage to have one of the best opening of all time*
OH NO NO NO NO NO NO
>"At least there is still Asia, they hate niggers like us, it will be Marvel biggest failure there"
*Has second best opening day out of all marvel movies, and the best opening day for marvel solo superhero movie in South Korea*
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHA
Bentley Bennett
Give Sup Forums some credit, it accurately predicted TLJ would underperform.
Literally nobody said Black Panther will flop Almost everybody said it will bomb in China though and it will. Unless you are a a moron you should know that Asian countries have different tastes.
It also helps that BP was filmed in South Korea
Tyler Cox
>Literally nobody said Black Panther will flop
You can't be serious.
John James
I live outside of the real shithole, that is London, if thats what you are asking. An opening day the same as 50 shades Freed is nothing to shout about pal and it isnt going to gross anywhere near Thor3 in the end. Complete flash in the pan for the inner city Londoners
Andrew Cooper
The absolute state of 56% land
Jason Green
100% guarantee that the cuck who said this was a white man
Hunter Rogers
>be disney >see 12% of the population committing 50% of the crime >make a movie about a successful black isolationist ethnostate, pay journalists to promote it as a significant part of black culture >remind blacks that Liberia has been a country for a long time, offer to pay for blacks to all live there >spend profits on relocation of the blacks >mfw
Does anyone ever wish the jews were on our side? We could get a lot done.
Ethan Johnson
>Its two-day total in the U.K. is $7.2 million, ahead of Doctor Strange, Ant-Man, Wonder Woman and Deadpool.
>wow it's fucking nothing
Jacob Martinez
>barely anybody will watch this twice To be fair, only the biggest retards watch a movie in cinemas more than once.
Landon Lee
ladies and gentleman, we gonna broadcast Trumps first speach after Wakanda opened it self towards the world >after I heard that one of the poorest countries in the world is gonna start to exchange technology with other countries, I was surprised what could they give us, considering that we have the fire and the wheel not only since yesterday >I can say for sure that I was even more surprised that Wakanda actually had technology not even since yesterday which surpasses our own, including and especially when it comes down to weapons >and my first thought after this was, how we are gonna defend ourself against that? >at this moment, their king is telling us that, he wonna live in peace with us, but people of america, how can we be so sure of that, considering that yesterday we still thought that Wakanda would be some backwater dirthole like everything else in Africa, but instead it was the nation with the strongest weapons worldwide
Elijah Wilson
cont: >America, and the World, don't believe the lies of the King of Wakanda, I can say for sure he is only going to make us lull into a false sense of security, so that can conquer america and the rest of the world >I say, we need to make our army and our weapon technology stronger, so that we can defend ourself against Wakanda, and if it's needed even conquer it for ourself, cause as long they are sitting on that huge magic-rock thing the world will never be save from this country >I say we need to make our army stronger, so that we can make sure that we are safe from in the future >and to all our allies in the west, I ask them to help us in this task, cause only together, we can stay strong against a country like that
Justin Clark
I thought South Korea was chump change compared to China
Grayson Reed
>This assures that $500 million is a lock overseas for Black Panther I have some bad news for you, yurop hates niggers
Jose White
So not only will shitty comic book movies continue to be made, but now more Afro-Centric comic book movies might be made? Sounds like we're living in hell.
Xavier Gomez
>tell audiences that they have to watch it or be arrested for a hate crime >have millionaire blacktivists buy out entire theaters for opening night >convince black kids world-wide that if they watch this movie, whitey will die >breaks records Bravo, Disney! Now watch it break records for largest second week dropoff
Josiah Cooper
You realize that every black celebrity in the country bought out their local theaters for opening night, right?
Jaxson Myers
In my California town that sits around 100k people where big movies usually have sold out screens on thurs or fri, so far Black Panther has none.
Brayden Lewis
And yet it opened above the Nordic god, well Reviewed Thor: Ragnarok (which made $540 million overseas) in Europe.
$500 million is a lock even if it doesn't make $100 million in China, which MCU do
Camden Ward
Grrr, this makes me so mad. I really hate niggers!
Noah Parker
Those are are overseas numbers you mong. Which celebrity is buying out local theaters in Europe or South Korea?
William James
>tfw it doesn't open to 210 million plus and Sup Forums can officially call it a box office disaster regardless of how successful it is
Thanks over hype!
Leo Green
First week sales don’t count anymore when Disney buys their own tickets. Nobody cares. These movies have zero cultural relevance and nobody ever remembers them after first week propaganda push.
Jack Davis
My predictions were for somewhere inbetween Strange and Ragnarok, with Domestic being huge and international being solid.
Aiden Rogers
>Disney bought more tickets for their own Black Panther than their own Ragnarok, so the comparison is not valid
Such mental hoop jumping even within conspiracy theory confines. KEK
Jordan Bell
>It may actually end up becoming the 3rd largest opening of all time behind the two Star Wars movies.
>using non-inflation adjusted lists for biggest grossing movies of all time
So in other words a list of the biggest movies from the last 5 years
Nathaniel Russell
Multiple GoFundMe campaigns have been started to buy out tickets world-wide. Disney also buys their own tickets for first few weeks. Learn how business works, you moron. This movie isn’t going to get Trump impeached. You buffoon.
Christopher Wilson
Not him, but they literally are buying their own tickets for "charity" on BP.
Not that those purchases are significant enough to matter.
Austin Turner
Why are you fucks giving money to it?
Jaxson Evans
Strange made 450 and Ragnarok 540. If you average it out, it comes to 500 million overseas. A 215 million opening practically gurantees 500 million domestic, which means Black Panther is going to be a Billion dollar movie
Carter Anderson
You assume it wont have massive drop offs
Lincoln Brooks
Yes, because Thor has already had two movies and was a well-liked character prior to the movies. Black Panther has never been a character that anybody gave a shit about.
You will know this movie is irrelevant when everybody forgets about it after Disney marketing division moves on to Avengers propaganda push.
Isaac Kelly
>500 million through GoFundMe
The delusion
Michael Adams
It's not going to be a billion dollar movie.
It will do much larger domestically than overseas, finishing up a bit lower than Ragnarok totally. It won't have any replay value.
Hunter Walker
>using estimates as facts kys loser. Trump will still be your president no matter how much Disney robs Peter to pay Paul.
Samuel Harris
With a 215 million opening, even the most massive dropoffs won't matter. Februaray movies have legs. Even an R rated Deadpool which had the previous February opening record had a 2.75 multiplier and Black Panther virtually has no competition
Charles Ortiz
It's not going to open to 215 million. This marketing push is beyond retarded.
It's going to do around 115.
Sebastian Robinson
and "rag'nbone man" had the second highest selling record of 2017. the masses are braindead sheep.
Ian Brown
215 million opening easily 500 million domestic. Most Marvel movies make more than 500 million overseas. Non-Americans just have to watch BP like just any other Marvel film for this to break a billion
Brandon Thompson
>implying you can track opening weekend better than actual box office analysts
The tracking started with 120 million and kept going up as pre sales information came pouring in
Ian Ward
Deadpool hit with audiences though.
Black Panther is a long ass movie about the political strife of a fictional fantasy land with two mid budget action sequences.
I just don't see it performing like that. I don't think controversy/politics translates to sales as well as Disney is hoping.
Oliver Hall
that's not how box office works, fag
Ethan Morales
to be fair UK and Korea are cucked countries
Brandon Martin
>production budget
Jason Bell
Yeah, but it's not opening to 215 million. That's pure retardation.
It will do Ant-Man numbers overseas, but Ragnarok numbers domestically.
Charles Ward
>people are donating tickets to this like it's food to starving African children It IS food for starving African children though. The only difference is that it feeds their egos rather than their stomachs.
Blake Gomez
I wonder if they will delete this when it under-preforms like with TLJ
Joshua Myers
so before it's massive marketing campaign AND before you factor in that the studio doesn't keep all the money from the box office? So yeah, 215 million domestic wouldn't equal profit
