Sit down, Drumpfniggers. Nate stepped up to the plate Trump couldn't finish in his article this morning:
>Florida is a well-polled state, and Clinton remains slightly ahead in the polling average there, with a lead of about 1 percentage point. But Florida is now somewhat less likely to jump its position in the queue and save Clinton if she has last-minute problems elsewhere
>The best we can do is to look at polls that conducted some of their interviews since the FBI news. There’s really no evidence of a further shift to Trump yet
>Her lead in the poll — 2.5 percentage points — is essentially identical to what it was two days ago (3.0). That’s not to say the news won’t hurt Clinton, but Clinton has a variety of potential responses to the FBI news, which could mitigate any potential effects
>Let’s say that the polls continue to shift toward Trump for whatever reason. Clinton’s lead in North Carolina may be harder for Trump to overcome than our model may imply
>OK, this is getting far into the weeds.The point is really just this: Despite the recent tightening, Clinton has a fairly significant lead in the polls. Trump needs a further shift because of Comey or some other news... so we encourage you to think broadly about how the Electoral College might play out
So in addition to Nate Oatmeal, Rick Wifeson and (((Bill Kristol))), which respected pundit do you think will kill himself/herself on the 9th?
Leo Lopez
I swear he's getting balder by the day.
Gabriel Gomez
I can't believe he's doubling down
Jack Myers
>Nate Cardboard Wew I didn't even read the greentext.
Jackson Garcia
>story is still basically a day old >no polls reflect it
WOW Thanks NATE SILVER
Carter Rivera
>Nate Hydrogen >relevant
Charles Cox
his career ends november 9th
Parker Davis
this
Grayson Moore
Hold still, Nate.
Camden Price
What do you call this haircut?
Jackson Green
i'm glad we have someone to restore sanity in this hellhole of an election. hilldawg already won, it's all a matter of taking the senate now.
Tyler Baker
>Nate stepped up to the plate Trump couldn't finish
do you think "step up to the plate" is a food-related idiom?
it's about baseball you dunce
Ayden Cook
I know. It's hilarious. Just look at how he's weaseling through this. In my OP he:
>Admits that Florida is no longer going to save Clinton, but parades the Insists that the old polling before Comey is reflective of where things stand now
>Shows a shrink for Clinton nationally yet says nothing has changed anyway (???) and then says because Clinton has "potential responses" to the new scandal, she probably won't lose any votes (???)
>Contradicts what his OWN """scientific model"""" says about Trump winning NC
>Doubles down a third time by saying that the outdated polls (((prove))) that no one's mind has been changed
Loving every laugh
Asher Martinez
The "Terrible Prediction Jew" fade
Cooper Adams
Muh sides
Lucas Edwards
Cuck on top, short on the sides
Blake White
What kind of balding pattern is that? Did he rip his own hair out?
Ryder Kelly
>polls
Lucas Diaz
Nate Sawdust is nothing more than a poll aggregator who doesn't even bother to examine the samples of all the polls he's staking his entire credibility on. And this hack claims to not be a pundit.
Colton Green
Tossed data and scrambled polls
Jackson Rogers
This guy is going to be fishing money out of wishing wells within a year.
Zachary Sanchez
Nate's punditfagging again. When will they learn? They are like addicts.
Carter Brooks
Has he actually been right about anything? The prediction that made him famous wasn't even 100% correct. Is predicting 49/50 states in a predictable election really difficult?
Chase Moore
Nate Silver is Jewish and wants open borders to spite white people so he creates fake predictions to affect the vote.
Aaron Martinez
That B.A. in econ really helps him understand the nuances of polling.'
Isaac Turner
Nate "Oversampling? What's that?" Silver
Josiah Smith
>implying he doesn't do that in his spare time already
Jaxon Ross
>3 = 2.5
Jayden Ramirez
>nate "donald is a joke" silver >nate "donald will never win the nominee" silver >nate "donald lost the debates" silver
Jace Garcia
Yeah all he had to do was say "Alright this is not a normal year and historical trends are not a good indicator." He'd take a hit but with the way he's going he is going to lose all credibility, he's in Baghdad Bob mode.
Hudson Reed
It's almost like he's trying to use his opinion to influence the results to suit his predictions.
Blake Ortiz
>muh polls >when early voting is already under way >which last time I checked had Trump leading
fuck off you jew cunt
Leo Martin
He's not tho, he suggested Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania may go red, which is not the "Trump BTFO" message he's been going with the past month.
Thomas Murphy
Does he intentionally shave that front part of his head?
Aiden Edwards
Underrated
Joseph Jenkins
The day before the election everything will be revised to show a 99.9% Trump victory.
>See? My magic models are never wrong!
Nathan Walker
He wasn't wrong though,Chicago vs. Cleveland Indians World Series is more likely because it actually happened Trump's presidency won't happen
Blake Ramirez
>I DO THE STATISTICS
Isaiah Ortiz
I hope he commits an hero after November 8, he'll never be credible for the rest of his life He'll have to teach statistics at DeVry until he croaks
Benjamin Phillips
Nate Silver needs to die.
He'll gain my respect if he commits suicide on November 9th. This Jewish fuck acts all high and mighty like he's an authority figure on polling and the election despite getting most thing wrong in the past year and a half. I'm sick of seeing his beady eyed, balding face and all of his ((((predictions)))). He needs a comeuppance.
Levi Gomez
...if even 2/3 go red trump wins
Alexander Torres
>(((silver))) Increasingly nervous man meme.
Mason Bennett
>that hair
Can this be the new just cuck my shit up hair style?
Benjamin Lee
I can't wait to see Nate Nickelstein's meltdown in the next days.
Jackson Sullivan
Nate Silver and 538, who predicted right up to election day that Hillary Clinton had a 99% chance of winning Michigan.
>Tell me again how accurate he is: He'd be 100% accurate if the polls were actually honest. Instead, they have samples of 50%+ democrats but Nate "Pollmaster" Sawdust doesn't bother to check the samples.
Parker Richardson
These idiots don't know how statistics works.
If the likelihood of something is low like 5% or 10% and it happens they all scream the statistics are wrong.
It is what happens when people don't study basic math
Michael Butler
It's even worse, I'd rather be hairless than have that cuck hair style, heck if I had money as this fag I'd get hair transplants It looks as like it's a wig with that really rare hair on the bald part as his real hair.
Alexander Campbell
Underated
Thomas Torres
Nate's statistics are wrong though
Michael Hughes
>Nate Polyethylene
Asher Perez
>bother to examine the samples of all the polls
It's the opposite. He adjusts all the polls to fix any flaws he thinks that particular poll has.
Daniel Campbell
I live in Miami and Trump is going to win. Literally the only people voting for Hillary are doing so because they are scared of Trump.
This isn't Obama he's running against. It's HIllary who is literally hated by everyone. She is actually getting more votes here than she would have if Trump wasn't her opponent and she's still going to lose.
Matthew Anderson
His data analysis is approaching global warming levels of dishonesty.
Cameron Taylor
Nate is a mess Nate is a big fat statistical error He is analysis is so weak, it's laughable. Believe me folks, Nate is a big fat mistake, you wouldn't believe it. He said he'd take his academic position and MOON people he's a nasty guy Nate is a nasty guy He's the founder of the socialist soviet republics oa political science departments. Let's see the polling figures Nate
He knows that they're skewed. He just doesn't care.
Xavier Brown
never trust a (((silver)))
Brody Howard
>muh polls don't people realise we're heavily into early voting?
Tyler Turner
>Nate aluminum Don't make me laugh
Justin Johnson
>Nate tracing paper >relevant Pick only 1
Jaxon Sanders
he's such a fucking tool. why doesn't he get it?
you can't rely on polling data that do not factor in the shame factor.
if hillary leads with 2.5 % then that means she's behind with at least 2.5 %.
as a rule take whatever trump is polling and add 5 %. then you have a reasonable approximation of trumps actual support.
further on how reliable are the polling stations turnout numbers? i'm projecting that democrats will stay at home. because who the fuck would wait in line to vote on shillary?
Carter Morales
JUST cut
Tyler Morgan
Is he balding right in the forward middle section of his head?
What the hell?
I've never seen that before.
Cooper Green
Jewish "experts" keep getting mad cause goyim are breaking free from their shackles
Evan Sanders
Thanks for reminding me that my balding is not that bad, mr. Silberstein.
Jose Sullivan
This. I know a few Hillary supporters that won't for her now and won't switch to Trump, a few did switch votes to Trump after the recent fiasco, some are voting for the Green party instead, and this is in NYC. So there you have it, about 6 people I know who were voting for Hillary, 3 are now voting for Trump the other 3 said Green party. I realized she's fucked after this weekend when these Trump voters I knew switched. The whole FBI fiasco for Hillary left a real bad taste in their mouths, they know she's crooked now, this has damaged her campaign real bad.
David Brooks
Nate has correctly predicted the last two elections with like 1 1% error rate, he is a tool hes a fucking caclulator you might not like what he has to day but NO ONE can question his authorirty on predicting shit like this
Nathaniel Anderson
Nate Arsenic and fucked up beta male pattern baldness
Austin Brown
He predicted one of the easiest elections of all time
Brandon Long
He couldn't even predict his own hairline.
Nicholas Brown
two whole elections. whoop de shit.
Thomas Martin
Nate used to be cool.
If he did take a 'donation' to write self-fulfilling prophecies for the election I hope it was enough to cover the next 10 years when he fades into obscurity for being so wrong this time.
Camden Robinson
>as a rule take whatever trump is polling and add 5 %. then you have a reasonable approximation of trumps actual support.
what ever you are smoking i want some
i guess the PEC is rigged too, part of the big (((jew))) conspiracy?
October 31, 8:07AM EDT:Snapshot (175 state polls): Clinton 324, Trump 214 EV Meta-margin: Clinton +3.6%RSS Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 97%, Bayesian 99%
Adam Morales
And Helmut Norpoth, a proffesor, has correctly predicted every single election since the primary system began (obviously the ones that occured before his career were predicted in retrospect) using years of research not based on polls or pundits and he has predicted that Trump will win.
Mason James
Michigan's polls are all fucked up because (((( POLLSTERS )))) oversample niggers that don't even show up.
Asher Torres
Lol the shills are becoming more and more transparent >NOBODY CAN QUESTION NATE PLASTIC HE PREDICTED OBAMA WOULD WIN AGAINST TWO LOW ENERGY MORONS get fucked
Isaac Thompson
...
Owen Phillips
After Brexit why would you trust polls senpai?
Luis Lee
It was the accuracy of the down ballot races that gave him the real push.
If i remember correctly during those elections he was more accurate then the princeton election consortium.
who am i kidding, (((universities))) are party of the (((liberal))) conspiracy
Gavin Jenkins
>Taking Nate Methanol seriously Really?
Thomas Sanders
because the polling was not inaccurate. Its you idiots that can not understand statistics that is the problem.
The final polls had it as a close race, within the margin of error.
Robert Peterson
>nate sodium
Ethan Bailey
>The final polls had it as a close race, within the margin of error.
You're ignorant or lying. I saw the data a few days ago and it was a huge margin.
Carson Roberts
That's exactly what he did in the primaries.
>Trump will lose (insert state) in two weeks. >Trump will probably win (same state) in two days.
He bullshits and then right before Election Day he tries to unfuck his shit.
Owen Butler
Can someone compile an up-to-date list of all the times he's been wrong in the past year
