I correctly predicted the 2012 election 100% correctly, and I"m releasing my final 2016 prediction for Trump vs. Clinton. I have no bias toward either candidate. The prediction is based off of analysis of polls, demographics, and historical precedent.
Feel free to share your thoughts. Click the .gif file to watch the night unfold as the polls close across the country.
Other urls found in this thread:
realclearpolitics.com
realclearpolitics.com
youtube.com
donaldjtrump.com
fivethirtyeight.com
twitter.com
Here is the final map.
Trump will win 280-258.
k, keep me really thinking
I have the exact same map but Clinton winning PA.
Narrow win for Clinton is my prediction.
Op pls
I'm really banking on turnout. I think Trump enthusiasm in the Western and Central parts of the state will trump Philadelphia.
I agree with OP
PA will decide this election, and PA will be narrow Trump.
>I predicted Obama vs Romney
Will the sky be blue tomorrow?
>he does see the Sanders surge coming
I like the map but Colorado would be called that quickly for Clinton.
"wouldn't"
He'll win NV and WI too
>A Future to Believe In
>Stumps for Clinton
I hope that you are right. In my mind Colorado and especially Nevada would flip first though.
If I have to guess for a Trump winning map is your map minus PA plus CO and NV for Trump.
SEPTA, the local public transport for Philadelphia, just went on strike today, too. If it keeps going until election day, Philly could have poor turnout.
i too think he'll split maine but i think he has a real chance in nh, they're pretty tired of the bullshit
It'll be closer than people think, but it's going blue this year. Same with Nevada.
Not feeling Wisconsin this year. Michigan is Trump territory, and it's gonna be a narrow win for Clinton. People will be shocked how close Michigan is. It'll be like Bernie's comeback in Michigan.
nice map. remember its legacy media not mainstream.
Going to be exciting to see what happens. I think Nevada and Colorado will be decided within 3 and 5 percentage points respectively. Just not feeling like Trump will overcome the latino vote.
>Nevada
>Blue
Lol no, realclearpolitics.com
latest poll shows Trump up and most polls show him at least tied. it will be closer than you think.
>NH
>Blue
Romney had a lot of trouble in Nevada (final results were +7 Obama), and I don't think Trump will fare much better. The polls were saying the same thing in 2012.
...
New Hampshire's trending blue in recent elections. I barely see as a toss-up state anymore. 2000 was the last time you'll see NH go red for a while. Trump is the sort of populist, Northeastern Republican that would do well there, but it's not enough.
was meant for:
Post your 2012 prediction op.
Trump is winning early voting in Michigan
Just take my word on it :^)
I wish I had it still, but I remember people telling me I was an Obama shill and that Romney would win PA and other such delusions. It was obvious Romney had no chance, especially after the 47% comment.
I'm betting this is how it's going to look. (Especially since Hillary is going to steal the election)
It's not going to be the landslide the Dems predict but it's not going to be anywhere close (or a win) as the Reps claim.
Respectable map. NC is the only one I object to. It's lean-likely red at this point.
no.
Styx is that you?
Sorry OP but your wrong
t. someone who has no idea what he's talking about
If you did, you would have given Trump the one electoral from Maine. He's guaranteed to get that.
>Florida
>for Yeb
Pick one.
>Philadelphia
Union strike in Philly right now.
>Respectable map. NC is the only one I object to. It's lean-likely red at this point.
It just hasn't been Trump long enough for it to be taken out of toss up status and sent to the lean Rep category.
It's still a must win for Trump though.
>If you did, you would have given Trump the one electoral from Maine. He's guaranteed to get that.
Nah. There is just no evidence that Trump is going to take Maine. It's a liberal state surrounded by other liberal states. It's not going to go red on hopes and dreams.
Trump will win
>Nah. There is just no evidence that Trump is going to take Maine. It's a liberal state surrounded by other liberal states. It's not going to go red on hopes and dreams.
There you go again, no idea what you're talking about. Maine's electoral votes are split up among their congressional districts. Trump is taking the one from the rural district.
Hey nice flag
>There you go again, no idea what you're talking about. Maine's electoral votes are split up among their congressional districts. Trump is taking the one from the rural district.
Let's say your hopes and dreams are true and one of the electoral votes from ME goes to Trump...
That leaves it
293 Clinton
245 Trump.
Trump still loses.
But it's all a moot point because Hillary's stealing this election anyways.
fuck off concern shill
dont watchit all its scary in the end
>fuck off concern shill
Fuck off snaggletoothed brit. This election has nothing to do with you.
Go live in majority non-white london and show your ID to buy a fucking spoon.
Lel at least we have a majority white country you filthy spic-nigger
and 50% of the black men in your country have white gfs
>Lel at least we have a majority white country you filthy spic-nigger
You're going non-White right after the USA you dumb fuck. And your politicians are even more cucked than ours.
Plus you already gave up your right to firearms so you can't even protect yourself from the sandnigger invasion.
>majority white country
>flag
KEK
We might go non-white but there will still be a lot of good people here. Our biggest source of immigrants is Asia now I think.
Plus I'd wager that many Mexicans will become white washed over the years and assimilate once Trump gets in charge.
Nigs will always be a problem, but not a whole lot we can do about that besides take away the welfare.
>We might go non-white but there will still be a lot of good people here.
And how long will they remain that with a steady stream of anti-White propaganda from the jew media and the anti-white education system?
> Our biggest source of immigrants is Asia now I think.
So we're going non-White but it's fine because its fucking chinks?
>Plus I'd wager that many Mexicans will become white washed over the years and assimilate
So you don't care about saving the White race, you just want the muds to "act White"?
>once Trump gets in charge.
Even though Hillary is going to steal the election?
>Nigs will always be a problem, but not a whole lot we can do about that besides take away the welfare.
Of course there is something you can do. But not as long as you rely on voting to try and make things better.
Is PA winnable for Trump? It will decide the election for sure if he can come from behind and win.
Unbiased answers please.
He is behind over 5% likely. Clinton has better ground game. I'd say 1 in 5 chance Trump can grab it.
Definitely, he's putting a lot of resources into PA. All gonna come down to who turns out. Trump is exactly the type of Republican who could win PA. McCain and Romney had no chance here.
There are a lot of Hispanics and Asians here, even a few black dudes. Not everyone is affected by the media, in fact trust is at an all time low.
Asians aren't a problem at all. They work hard and assimilate well. Sure some of them are liberal, but I think if we can get a pro-America candidate in there, we could change their culture.
I don't like the fact that whites are becoming a minority here. And who knows, maybe we can create some favorable immigration policies. That's the whole point of getting Trump in office, deporting illegals and curbing illegal immigration.
There isn't going to be a race war, because most people don't want that, so get those ideas out of your head. As long as we can solve things democratically, that is what people will want.
>Is PA winnable for Trump?
Decide for yourself.
I BET FUCKING MONEY ON THIS
>There are a lot of Hispanics and Asians here, even a few black dudes.
Where is "here"? Because the USA is on the path to becoming a non-White nation by 2042.
>Not everyone is affected by the media, in fact trust is at an all time low.
And yet every still partakes in the media for at least 20 hours a week.
>Asians aren't a problem at all.
Except for being in White countries.
>They work hard and assimilate well. Sure some of them are liberal, but I think if we can get a pro-America candidate in there, we could change their culture.
So you want non-Whites in White countries as long as they get mixed in with the White race?
>I don't like the fact that whites are becoming a minority here.
So what makes you think supporting any non-White immigration will change that?
>And who knows, maybe we can create some favorable immigration policies.
Because the Enemy will allow us to stop non-White immigration into this country legally, right?
>That's the whole point of getting Trump in office, deporting illegals and curbing illegal immigration.
You really think the Enemy will allow illegals to be deported en mass and bar illegals from immigrating here?
>There isn't going to be a race war,
Then the White race is doomed. Because the Enemy will NEVER allow you to free yourself from it through voting.
>because most people don't want that,
You're a coward. That doesn't want to fight for the survival of your race. You'd rather sit on your ass and shitpost and occasionally vote Republican.
>so get those ideas out of your head.
Yeah, I should just vote for a candidate that loves Israel and gave four of his children to the Jews, right? He'll certainly save the White race from extinction, right?
> As long as we can solve things democratically, that is what people will want.
And you're so fucking brainwashed you actually believe that we can save White people through voting!?!?
ROTFLMAO!
What a fucking cuck you are.
kek, good luck to both of us then.
>spics
>voting
Spics have lower turnouts than blacks even before Obama.
This election's different. The anti-Trump anger is very prevalent.
Clinton gets 250 electoral votes, 100% of the Electoral College vote, because the rest of the electors had unfortunate weightlifting accidents on the way to go vote.
Bro I just want realistic solutions. Trump is probably the biggest thing to happen to American nationalism for a long time.
The "gas the kikes, race war now" stuff is fun here, but it's not going to work in real life. Most whites in America don't want to harm other races, they just want their voice to be recognized.
Look at how far the Overton window has shifted just in one year. We went form a party that was openly supporting pathway to citizenship to someone who wants deportation. This is great news for us!
WI maybe, NV is looking bad from early numbers
That's nice, but latinos are still mostly anti-Trump. It may not be for a good reason, but they are.
I'm really hoping that the SEPTA strike discourages turnout. I hope they strike for the next week.
...
Honestly just heard about this from you guys. Definitely supports Trump.
Winning PA would be huge. If Trump gets all the Romney states (206 votes), then adds FL (29), PA (20), OH (18), that would give him 273 and he wouldn't need anything else. Plus he's probably gonna get Iowa (6) and North Carolina (15). So I think he could go in the 300-350 range by the time it is all said and done.
According to Nate Silver other states would flip first.
>Bro I just want realistic solutions.
Then why are you relying on voting?
>Trump is probably the biggest thing to happen to American nationalism for a long time.
American Nationalism. Not White Nationalism.
Amurrica is a Jewish, anti-White country.
>The "gas the kikes, race war now" stuff is fun here,
You must be one of the new crop. The "lel Sup Forums is just being ironically edgy" type.
>but it's not going to work in real life.
It won't as long as you cucks keep voting for Jew controlled candidates.
>Most whites in America don't want to harm other races, they just want their voice to be recognized.
And you really think this country has a future for Whites, Heterosexuals Christians or Men?
Face it, you're the devil to the anti-Whites and Jews who are running this country.
>Look at how far the Overton window has shifted just in one year.
And what's sad is that you think you can legally and constitutionally save the White race when the Jews stole control of this country away from you before you were born.
>We went form a party that was openly supporting pathway to citizenship to someone who wants deportation.
And you don't fucking get it. Deporting the criminal illegal immigrants isn't going to save the White race.
Not to mention the fact that Trump only wants to deport the "criminal aliens" not "all illegal immigrants" as you claim.
>This is great news for us!
For you Amurrican Republican Conservatives.
Not for the White race.
You don't care about saving the White race from extinction. You only care about this Jewed out cuntry that is destined for collapse.
>ME 2nd district blue
>FL blue
>NC blue
>Nevada blue
>Nate Plutonium
FL and NC are red in his full model though. This is the polls-only.
The thing is most people don't want "White Nationalism" as you call it. Because it always ends up with Hitler and Odin and authoritarian governance. Most white Americans don't want that.
Meanwhile, American nationalism has to do with American traditions of Constitutional governance - which is most white people want. And it would mean an end to anti-white Marxist ideas, because we would be a pro-America and pro-white country again.
I realize there are people on here who are truly national socialists, but probably would not be if they saw the full effect. As I said before, most white Americans don't want authoritarian governance, and what you want to happen would require it.
You say I'm not going to save whites, but Trump's policies are realistic, and will save many more whites than what you would do.
Plus Trump said all illegals will be deported, because we either have a country or don't.
Don't let perfect be the enemy of good. We can accomplish a lot through a Trump presidency. Rome wasn't built in a day. Realistic ideas will save more whites than unfeasible idealism.
>The thing is most people don't want "White Nationalism" as you call it.
Because they're ignorant. They only want what the Jew media tells them.
>Because it always ends up with Hitler and Odin and authoritarian governance. Most white Americans don't want that.
And I bet you think the Holocaust happened too.
>Meanwhile, American nationalism has to do with American traditions of Constitutional governance - which is most white people want. The Jews have gained power constitutionally. The constitution is toilet paper at this point. The constitution will not save the White race.
>And it would mean an end to anti-white Marxist ideas,
Bullshit. They'll never allow you to revoke faggot marriage, de-segregation, racemixing or massive non-white immigration.
>because we would be a pro-America and pro-white country again.
You can't be a pro-White country with the Jews in it.
>I realize there are people on here who are truly national socialists, but probably would not be if they saw the full effect.
And you really don't understand National Socialism. You believe only that which you were taught.
I bet you haven't even watched TGSNT.
> As I said before, most white Americans don't want authoritarian governance, and what you want to happen would require it.
you'd much rather just want this to become a non-White Jewed out nation "legally" and "constitutionally".
>You say I'm not going to save whites, but Trump's policies are realistic,
Yeah...building a wall is soooooo realistic.
>and will save many more whites than what you would do.
I would save all the Whites. Trump doesn't care about saving the White race.
>Plus Trump said all illegals will be deported,
Not according to his website.
donaldjtrump.com
Show me where it says he'll deport all illegal immigrants that are currently in the USA.
>because we either have a country or don't.
This isn't your country. It's the Jews country.
Capped and filed. Your prediction is super conservative, but I like your style.
although I don't live in colorado, I don't think weed lmao will elect trump.
Look man, I get where you are coming from. It's true Jews have a stranglehold on this nation. And look who they are all afraid of? Trump! That's who. He poses a bigger threat to globalism than anything David Duke, William Pierce, or Varg Vikernes ever said. And that's not an insult to those guys - that's just saying how big of an impact Trump has had internationally.
You mention gay marriage, segregation and race mixing. Look, the sad fact is it took years of cultural brainwashing to get people to believe in those things. Whites did not originally support those ideals. If we take our culture back through the memes, we could reverse some of those things. Or at least make them taboo, like race mixing.
I've read a lot about National Socialism. I think it could work in a European country. But it won't work here because the American spirit is one of limited governance and freedom. It's why our ancestors came here. If you asked most white Americans if they want a big government, they'd probably say no unless they were socialists or something.
You say a wall is unrealistic, yet is a race war somehow more realistic? Even if it happened, many whites would side against you in that cause.
Florida, NC and Neva look Trump. So if Trump wins Colorado he has a chance?
Hasn't a lot of polling data leaned Trump? I keep seeing extremes in the data week to week
yeah but how the niggers gonna get to the booths when SEPTA on strike?
We have a lot of circumstances going for us. It is almost as if God wants Trump to win.
I think it will be the same except Nevada red
Either way Trump still wins
Yea he wrote a good article about it today
fivethirtyeight.com
Do you guys know of a good source to see the early voting results?