This is how I'm seeing the election right now

This is how I'm seeing the election right now.
What states can Trump steal from Shillary to win it all?
No including that "California can go red" meme

Other urls found in this thread:

wral.com/wral-poll-trump-charges-ahead-in-nc/16183780/
realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton-5538.html
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_College_(United_States)
twitter.com/NSFWRedditVideo

Trump will win PA.

NC, NH, ME district. 270.

"no"

wait fuck I forgot to give Trump NC, so my map should be 273-265

And this is assuming he takes all battleground states.

Right now PA isn't looking good. According to early voting stats, FL isn't looking good either.

...

I think FL is a pretty safe bet as of now, but PA I'm not so sure

He's winning early voting in FL what are you on about? This is the current map

None. Hope you are here on november 9th.

NC + NH + ME2

or he just wins Michigan or Wisconsin or both and gg

>full red
>still losing by 10
u w0t

i dont understand american politics. Why are places like cali worth 55 whilst somewhere like mt is worth 3? is it based off of population or something

Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsyvania, Maine, New Hampshire, Michigan, North Carolina are all likely Trump IMO

but honestly guys Im expecting a 47 state sweep. Trump gets everything except CA, IL and NY.

Trump can win Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. If he wins both, he only needs either Utah or Nevada.

yes

I think his best bet is NH or CO

Yes. It's based entirely off population plus two senators.

yeah it's population, which is why New Jersey is worth 14, while Alaska is worth 3

MN is blue, 100%; it even went blue in the 1984 Reagan election (lol Mondale). Wisconsin might be red, but depends on turnout.

Pretty much based on population, and the number of congressional seats each state has. And congressional seats are. Based on population so yes m8

only lost by a few thousand and the democrat running against Reagan was a resident of that state

you have the brain of a 6 year old child

>Canada
>in charge of electoral maps

And just what makes you think DC would go for trump?

what
did
he
mean
by
this
?

MI.

Nobody's talking about it and nobody's expecting it but he's going to take it.

Mondale was from Minnesota.

I honestly wish there were some way non-US flags could get banned from posting in electoral map threads.

They don't know shit about the demographics in each state.

>Fl
>not looking good
So you either fell for the early voting pollster meme or you are a shill.
Either way, have a sage

>have a sage

Uw0t? I didn't make the thread. Lurk more, idiot.

Wisconsin is going Trump

I hear you, but MN has been blue in every election since like 1960; the Twin Cities are just too liberal for the rest of the state to overcome. Even with low motivation in hillary voters, I'd expect mn to be blue by 5-10%.

What makes everybody think MI, WI, and MN are going red?
I want to believe, but I need reasoning.

I live in mn; believe me, I know more about Mondale and wellstone and our other "savor liberal" reps than I'd like to. Mark my words, MN will be blue.

I know it isn't but 3.... but Delaware has a lot of Amish and Mennonite, and working class in the south.
Is it a possibility?

WI is full of drunk rednecks that think they are from the south. They are red all the way.

>Trump winning NC
He's down by 5 points still and hasn't gone up even after the e-mails. Now he's going to lose even worse if the nogs get a judge to halt the voter purges.

If his present Wienergate surge holds up for the next week, all he has to do is gain 2.5 points in Colorado and he's won. You know he's ahead in Nevada and North Carolina as of this morning?

wral.com/wral-poll-trump-charges-ahead-in-nc/16183780/

>ahead in NC
No he's not.

the last poll shows clinton +8,
note that this was before the continuation of the investigation into the emails
polls show a significant swing in Trump's direction as a result plus the fact that many polls oversample democrats
Trump has a chance

I don't think the Amish vote.

PA is looking pretty nice right now, at least near pittsburgh

Using cucked polls too.

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton-5538.html

Erm...

WI will go red because the youth vote won't stump for Hillary like they did for Obama, and Milwaukee has a big white demographic for such a large city. Remember, Wisconsin put Scott walker in office. They're fully capable of going red.

I know nothing about Michigan or Pennsylvania for sure, but Pennsylvania is similar to Wisconsin demographically; pockets of metropolitan blue surrounded by seas of suburban/rural red.

See

NC, CO, NH

>le fair and balanced election
>state of the art voting machines

>No including that "California can go red" meme
You think I'm trying to force a meme but in reality I'm shilling for kek. Mark my words: California will vote 55% Trump 45% Hillary. Those will be the results in California.

Cool, though that WRAL poll seems a bit high compared to the others.

CTR pls go

which is why I put them as red on my map, but I'm still not sold on MN, WI, or MI. NH maybe, and ME MIGHT get a split vote.

Probably not CO. Too many Californians live there now.

>California will vote 55% Trump 45% Hillary.

herp derp

I'm not CTR. Stop hiding behind that.

VA just became a tossup lad

I think this is the most accurate map. Trumps path to victory will look like this plus a MI, WI, or CO win.

>MI win via Reagan democrats is most likely

I like how that spike looks.

ty burgerbros. So each state votes and then the votes are counted and who ever gets the most votes gets that state and whoever gets the most states wins?

The only way he has a chance is if we get a freak blizzard in Minneapolis and voter turnout is historically low. People were gung ho about bernie around here, but they were all willing to vote straight party line even if he didn't win. The Twin Cities is easily 70% blue every presidential election it seems.

in NC, about 20% of D's vote R candidate.
Romney won with even worse numbers in early voting.

Nate Silver (you know, the guy that people on this board literally think is a paid shill) puts him ahead in North Carolina, so I think that means he's ahead in North Carolina.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus

The election is already over.

IMO what we're seeing with the polling is almost all the "undecideds" reaching the comfort level to finally admit they're voting for Trump.

Clinton is still ahead but her hard-to-overcome lead is now within polling margin of error. A few bad polls and some bad voter turnout and the election goes to Trump.

I'm fulling expecting the Clinton camp to release a video of Trump dropping the N-word sometime tomorrow or early Friday, gotta shore up the black vote.

>>MI win via Reagan democrats is most likely

in 1984 i think MI was the only state Ronnie lost

whoever gets the most electoral college votes wins.

no, that was MN and DC

>Spreads misinformation about NC polls
>gets called a shill
Come on son, what did you expect on Sup Forums?

This is true, though I still put money on Hillary winning it

I can see 48%Trump, 47.55% Hillary rest to Johnson and Jill

MSM says Hillary Clinton has support on the same level as Kim Jong-Un.

Oh, that reminds me. Can someone start a Kim Jong-Un binocular .gif thread? I need some of Kim looking at stuff election related.

Wisconsin will probably go red. MN will almost assuredly go blue. I've lived in both states for an extended period of time, I would be surprised if it turns out differently.

You're fucking clueless.

A republican has NEVER been up in FL early voting at this point. Obama was up 250k votes come election day and only won the state by 50k.

And recent PA polls are MoE.
Don't open your fat fucking hole you hapless retard.

Screen cap this. I've come back from the future with the final results

we dont actually vote for president, we vote for the people who represent us and basically tell them who to vote for. A state gets representatives based on population

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_College_(United_States)

my mistake, i didn't look it up because phone

i can't even imagine winning 49 states that must have been wild

Fucking cuck white northern swede states

For all our talk of jews, whites are their own worst enemy

I SAID YEP

It's not whoever gets the most states, it's whoever gets 270 out of the 538 electoral college votes.

You have to do this for all of us, americans

If that happens, watch for democrats to clamor for eliminating the electoral vote.

Flip Illinois. Though the majority of my state is Red, Chicago is like a damn Smurfs depression clinic.

Nah he will win Virginia, PA, and wisconsin

>If that happens, watch for democrats to clamor for eliminating the electoral vote.

Gore won by 500,000 votes in 2000 and nothing came of it

WHAT A CONCEPT
I COULD USE A LITTLE DUBS MYSELF

Too bad.

here have mine

mn bro here. mn and wisconsin going red this year

I got you senpai

Haha...jk gotcha.

OK for real this time.

Check 'em.

Did California always had that many electoral votes?
That state is a thorn in the throat for Republicans.

dubs get

so....is a state all or nothing? I am confused.

If Trump scores 49% and Hillary scores 51%, then Hillary gets the whole state's electoral votes???

that doesn't seem right to me. shouldn't they split it?

Add 15% for Trump in all states. All of the polls use "Likely voters" for their weightings, which means they don't include unregistered voters who came in with hype (which Hillary has almost none outside of her being a woman), democrats and liberals supporting trump, increased male youth vote, voters who won't bother to vote cause they see no way for Trump to win, or registered voters who haven't been active in the past years. No matter who you want to win, you can't deny the existence of these demographics and they DO have a positive effect on Trump's votes, like it or not.

That's unfortunately how it is. It's a very archaic system used in the early development of our country

most states are winner take all
ME and NE are the only ones with split votes

>not getting it

cali has a huge population

cali can go red, Ronald Reagan was governor there and then won cali twice

also arnold Schwarzenegger was voted republican governor there

if you don't run a terrible candidate like trump calli can go R

Based on number of minorities.

Yes its a state all or nothing (except for a couple, like in maine where it's divided into districts). Yes its a retarded system and yes it should be changed.

But that's stupid, because not everyone in that population VOTES.