Best case scenario for Trump

Best case scenario for Trump.

He still loses.

Prove me wrong.

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Trump.

Nope, you're right.
He's probably going to lose.

VA is polling red right now retard,
I dont even need to mention PA

More than just best case, it looks very likely to be the actual outcome, with perhaps him picking up another vote in Maine.

Once again, terminal non-performance of Republicans in the Mid-Atlantic region due 100% to non-White immigration which they do absolutely nothing about. Might as well stick your guns right up your ass and pull the trigger because you certainly aren't using it for anything else.

It's not the best case scenario. Obviously best case is win Michigan/Colorado.

It's not very likely, but it's certainly his best comceivably possible scenario.

>VA
>Red
Kys my man

the election is rigged.
he can't win.

He'll take NH, and 2 from ME.

BS

I'm sorry, but VA is for Trump now

PA, MI, NH, CO, VA are all in play. And there aren't any states edging the other direction.

He's not winning PA thanks to niggadelphia

He'll win MI and CO to go his favor.

Trump will win NY. It will happen.
He will also take NJ, MI, CO, PA, and possibly VA and CA.

Northern Virginia is too cucked, unfortunately. He has a good shot at PA, though.

*burp*

>b-b-but everyone around me in my poor white rural coal country area have trump signs up, we can win!

>NJ, NY, VA, CA
What's it like being this delusional?

*fart*

>best case scenario
How is his best case scenario the same scenario RCP is giving him right now from the aggregate of polls?

Best scenario=/= Most likely scenario

Best case scenario would be if he one all the toss up states, or even all the lean dem states, not what he would win as predicted

>VA is polling red

HOLY SHIT
Michigander here, I did not see this yet, it is close

He's up in Virginia right now.

nice date on those polls

>would be if he one
You have an american flag, shouldn't you know English?

Two incomparable events, but Brexit was consistently polled as losing up until the final week, where it gained some leads. Then it went back to losing. 10 point lead for Remain was polled on the day of the referendum. Just go out and vote, it's useless looking at polls and forecasts.

VA resident here, trump support is strong but virginia is democratic because Kaine

He's up in Virginia, tbf

they're within margin of error on polls that are using shit like +10 female for their final weighting. leading to shit like +1 trump among whites.

he should, he got a won percent in English class though

wow, a bong poster who isn't full of shit

good on you m8

I follow the liberal pollster people pretty closely. They were all really excited for this one poll to drop today. It ended up having Hillary up 6 in Wisconsin and up 4 in Michigan. At this point it looks like NH, MI CO and ME2 are the 3 most plausible Trump flips :<

Hopefully the polling gets better for him on election day. Would be great to have a 50/50 even from Nate cuck on election day

b b but muh october polls

>blue states

Literally all he'd have to do is flip any one of: Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia and he wins. Gives me more confidence than ever

Fuck speling and fuck your mother

look at the actual polls and their weighting. remington is weighted to fucking +10 female voters and only 17% independents, which doesn't seem at all realistic.

He's gaining fast in Pennsylvania.

businessinsider.com/pennsylvania-polls-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-2016-11

California is going to go red

Are people taking into account black vote will be down because of no black candidate? Also who dies early voting favor more? Dems or gop?

Someone had a few too many pills

No, it isn't. Stop shilling for your shitskin state, mongrel.

black vote is down too , all over

so they have to lower the D sample, but they wont

New Hampshire goes red, electoral college is tied, congress elects president in that scenario.

Congress definitely elects Trump because each state delegation has one vote, and there's way more red states than blue.

MICHIGAN BROS

GO OUT AND VOTE TRUMP

ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN BLUE COUNTIES

WE ARE SO CLOSE ALL WE NEED ARE MORE YOUNG ADULTS TO VOTE TRUMP

IF TRUMP WINS MICHIGAN HE WINS THE ELECTION

GO

AND

V O T E
O
T
E

they've lowered the d bias some, but they just make up for it with female voter bias instead to try and hide it.

Also has to hope the polling in Florida, Nevada, and NC are good, and that polling in Either VA, CO, PA, NH, MI or WI is off by 2-7% depending on the state.

There's a solid chance. Probably not favourite at this point, but certainly competitive.

>the worst case scenario not being a tie

Also check em

The black vote is fucking irrelevant.

Tuesday will prove you wrong, I can hardly wait!

last poll in VA, trump +3. NH is also up.

no one ever mentions this when these maps get posted but fuck commiefornia

why would it be impossible for him to win in a similar way to Bush in 2004?

what has changed in certain states that people now consider it impossible that they would go red?

Beat me to it.

All it takes from there is a lucky flip from VA, PA, MI, or CO, and it's fucking over.

Niggers, Spics and Libs.

A poisonous mixture.

I went there last year and the rural counties seem pretty based tbqh.

you understand that basically every poll is going to have a pro-hillary bias right? any poll you see coming out of the united states 8/10 times has a pro-hillary bias to it

All of which have a lower turnout than in 2012 or 2008.

CA, PA will be red.

Any of the states marked in yellow can go to Trump and win him the election. Which is the most likely I have no idea.

Does anyone over there even like that sniveling weasel? How could they vote for him?

The poll has him up +3, no margin given, with 15% saying "don't know/refused to answer". It's probably comforting to assume that all 15% are either not voting, genuinely don't know, or simply don't want to say "Trump", but there's probably quite a few liberals in there who just didn't want to take the poll.

Virginia is a third world hellhole, held together by big money government workers. It's been fully "New Jerseyed" over the past 15 years.

it just depends on the area, I'm by Reagan airport and see more I'm in her support, but if I go out to fountainhead by belvoir it's more trump. going to be close

SEPTA is on strike. How will the niggers get to the voting areas without buses, smart one?

CO, MI, WI, PA, VA are teetering on flipping

>Texas
>red

I don't know if I believe the pro Hillary meme.

Still, even if the polls aren't biased, Trump still has a solid chance at picking up some big states.

New Mexico has too much of old mexico in it now. CO has too many califag transplants. VA/PA are possible. But all 4 of them flipping is exceedingly unlikely.

assuming he locks down florida
florida is huge

According to his campaign, NM should also be a yellow square. Also that one vote in Maine.

Wisconsin is probably a lost cause at this point. Same with VA and PA. He should focus on Michigan and New Hampshire and maybe Colorado.

Can you imagine if he lost by a margin this slim though? Even that would be a fucking miracle considering all the shit that has been flung at him.

CO or MN

Hope you're able to do it mate.

Would be your Brexit moment.

Then onto Marine Le Pen in 2017.

Trump said a few days ago, that according to interal polling, there were tied in new mexico

people part of the system here by dc want those government contracts. some of the contractors I've worked with made switch from gs employees to double their pay and half their requirements for the same job. I think alot are just to afraid of what would happen under trump

I'm hoping New Hampshire and Maine have some surprises for us, but it seems unlikely

Only one of them needs to flip, though.

Poor polling in one, low turnout in one, energised never-voted whites getting out there in one, shy Trump voters in one.

He's got a solid chance of flipping one of those states, o just hope to God he can pull it off.

Trump says a lot of things.

capped

that's true, but even 538 is wavering on florida. the indepedents there are polling like +9 for trump.

Kek is right even in this simulated universe

...

Can someone explain to me why the democrats have such an unfair advantage?

Commiefornia

yeah, i agree he can probably flip one of them. but I don't think a bush 04 victory is realistic which is what he was asking about.

there are more people in the country who are democrats than there are republicans

they've imported 2 million voters each year since 1965 and constant media brainwashing. the electoral college is based on a states population. both white men and white women vote majority republican by the way.

What's with the ongoing joke about Commiefornia going red? Am I missing something?

because demographic suicide

Yeah, that was my fault. I didn't articulate myself properly.

I actually did just mean a win -- any win, no matter how slim -- using Bush's '04 victory as a roadmap

you forget that some blacks won't vote because they can't vote for a nigger this time. atleast 15% less votes are expected if I remember correctly

I'm hesitant on all six, but I'd say CO if I had to pick. At least there's some fucking traction there.

>NY
>blue

I read this really interesting article today about how the GOP may have trouble winning the Presidency from now on, but are likely to continue to dominate the senate and house.

Liberal media loves to talk about how there are less and less white people in America (but white genocide is SO DUMB RIGHT GUYS!!!) but fail to account that changing their coalition from blue collar white people to minorities has decreased their turnout significantly.

Thus, their only strategy is to keep nominating "firsts" (first black, first woman, first latino, first half lebanese half samoan) and hoping that identity politics keep people showing up. Already Hillary doesn't have the black vote that Obama did but they argue she's making up for it because she's a woman and latinos hate Trump so much.

And if Hillary wins, she's going to be insanely unpopular and basically guarantee a GOP win if they are strategic about who they put up.

None of this really helps us because the mainstream GOP doesn't really give a fuck about immigration and serves the same globalists Hillary does.

i dont think y'all get it. Mike Moore gets it, which is why he calls WI OH MI and PA Brexit states. He gets why Hillary can be polling 25 points ahead in dem primary against Bernie 77 year old socialist Sanders, then lose.

I wish Trump was a better candidate, but he probably doesnt need to be. I think the reality is he might be ahead in all 4. People are just sick of this shit.

youtube.com/watch?v=XsPlwhahHAo

dindu and beaner population, maybe? (VA and PA)

It really isn't that unfair. Dems get an advantage from fuckhuge states being liberal (NY & CA), but the

Trump polls +3 in Virginia. Switch that to red. Game over.

Interesting one poll has him +3 in Maine, too. (RCP average for Maine has Clinton ahead by 0.7. That's "zero point seven". Maine definitely in play.)

It would be funny if ONLY Maine flipped. That would be Trump 269, Hillary 269. SCOTUS would decide and I'd bet high odds they pick Trump.

what do you'll think?

The chance of Trump flipping any of the five most competitive states.

Florida (technically still a near tie): 90%
Pennsylvania: 75%
Colorado: 70%
Virginia: 30%
New Hampshire: 10%

With 90% certainty I believe Donald Trump will win the election.

Nevada is more likely red than Pennsylvania

Wisconsin and New Hampshire are more likely red than Virginia