breitbart.com
Nate Dirt saving face
John Rivera
Other urls found in this thread:
google.com.mx
nexos.com.mx
fivethirtyeight.com
en.wikipedia.org
realclearpolitics.com
twitter.com
Wyatt Collins
Nate Dookie
Nate Feces
Nate India
Grayson Smith
Nate Aluminum
Christopher Rodriguez
Nate Air
Justin Watson
Trump still loses even with a 3 pt correct in his favor.
Christian Hill
Nate needs a new job.
David Johnson
>Nate (((Silver))) spends months publishing rigged polls with deliberate oversampling to support his narrative.
>Realizes all the shilling in the world can't defeat the God Emperor.
>One last ditch effort to salvage his credibility.
Just more (((trickery))) as expected.
Matthew Reyes
Are you kidding? He literally has an empirical model to tell you what polls are reliable and model the election. And he properly accounts for uncertainty in polling which is why he gives Trump 30%.
He writes all the time how other models are under-predicting Trump because they don't properly model uncertainty and don't account for the fact that polling errors tend to be correlated nationwide.
The only thing he did wrong was try and call the Republican Nominee based on his subjective assessment rather than a real model. Basically he thought the RNC would unite against Trump like the DNC did against Bernie, but they weren't corrupt enough to.
Brandon Watson
Only trickery if you're statistically illiterate, genius.
Matthew Wilson
he was always a fraud
fuck off nate
>trump leading all polls
>g g guys read "the party decides"
what a hack
Brody Cook
checked and rek'd
Adam Ross
being objective
he called 2 obama victories
and has shown he cant really do anything else
then he clearly threw away the data this cycle
Wyatt Morris
All this damage control
Praise Kek.
Bentley Stewart
like pottery
Ethan Wilson
anybody could have called the 2 obama elections.
Andrew Martinez
Trump was not a republican. Trump is having an awful effect on downballot races for Republicans. Trump has massively increased Latino turnout in Florida and Nevada and pushed the latinos and women to vote heavily democratic.
Nate Silver suggested the Republican party would come together to defeat Trump. They didn't. They had a clusterfuck of a primary with way too many candidates and as a result the elites lost control of the party even more than they did with the tea party.
He was wrong to assign a percentage to it and to engage in dangerous speculation, but he has apologized for this. He's the only one with a good statistical model for the election.
Have you ever taken any mathematical modeling courses? No? Then fuck off.
Michael Allen
no. it is the same as saying rn HC is the guaranteed winner. if you disagree why are you shilling here for trump?
Samuel Allen
What a dirty lying piece of shit
>hey guyz listen to me, drumpf has no chance to win!
>p-poll aren't r-reliable
Leo Bailey
And we're full circle now.
Thanks Nate.
Leo Barnes
NATE
CARBUNCLE
Ryan Brown
>He's the only one with a good statistical model for the election.
Problem is, all of his sources are biased, as well as himself.
Unless you truly believe dems are +10 and women are +15 in every single electorate.
He's going to be shocked by how many dems aren't voting party line on president.
Chase Perez
Nate Grass
Isaiah Watson
yea because they have been obviously rigged.
Brody Powell
He's right. I think social media has really changed the game.
We saw it with Brexit, we saw it with the Republican primaries. Nate's predictions about the Cubs losing were also inaccurate. He's just covering his ass because he knows Trump has a high chance of winning with the high turnout and monster vote, and he doesn't want to look like a fool if it happens.
Gavin Miller
His twitter is a giant mess of him calling all options out so he can go back and say "look, i told you so!". His going to get more wrong than he did for brexit.
Andrew Watson
Nate Wagon Wheel.
Nate Loo.
Najeet.
Wyatt Stewart
He lost his nerve after his shitty calling of the republican primary. Now all he does is change predictions constantly and cover his ass.
Jaxon Ortiz
Nate Ashes
Nate Dust
Nate Cobweb
Jeremiah Campbell
exact same tactic they used in mexico during the 2012 presidential elections
do you fucks don't learn from us?
you are literally becoming mexico, fuck
use translate for this one
nexos.com.mx
Justin Hughes
Nate Magnesium
Jaxson Murphy
Nate indescript mineral
Cameron Fisher
you are agreeing with me
hes a total hack
anyone could read that book....
Christopher Thomas
Nate '0% chance the Cubs win' Bronze is a fucking hack get over it. All about based Bill Mitchell not your kikes (((numbers)))
Tyler Clark
Nate Oxygen
Chase Cruz
Nate Cadmium BTFO
Ayden Young
Nate Pyrite
Colton Bennett
He knows that there are many democrats that are voting trump. He knows that the split is more Urban vs Rural this time. He has written about how many more states are in play this time. fivethirtyeight.com
>Nate's predictions about the Cubs losing were also inaccurate.
The thing about statistics is if you forecast say a 5% chance of something happening and it happens then that doesn't mean the forecast was wrong. There's a 5 percent chance for every particular side of a D20 but one of them must be correct.
Again his baseball is based on mathematical modeling and there are many factors that go into his predictions. And predicting that something has a small chance doesn't make the prediction wrong if it happens.
An overall assessment of how accurate a prediction is has to use multiple data points.
Based on his model there was a very low chance the cubs win. This is modeling, not voodoo prediction magic. The cubs came from behind in a very unpredictable win.
William Clark
>muh over representation
Yeah that's why polls failed to predict the Romney victory in 2012.
Juan Cox
Nate Bismuth
Blake Campbell
reminder
James Hall
Nate Boron
James James
hahahaha
en.wikipedia.org
2008
He called 36 out of 37 gov races
He called 49 out of 50 states for president
He called the winners for every senate race
2010
He called 34 of 37 senate races
2012
He called all 50 states
But you're "being objective" so I guess that all means fuckall, amirite?
Cameron Foster
(((Nate Aluminum)))
Colton Roberts
Aluminum is a useful material
Nathan Harris
He has missed every other prediction for Donald Trump
Parker Lewis
Its also very worthless.
I guess like a useful idiot.
Andrew Moore
haha wtf does that mean?
he made a prediction about trump winning the election tonight. tune in and see what happens!
Evan Butler
when he started throwing the data out
people started shitting on him
people forget he largely missed bernie as well
lets see how he does without obama... so far it hasnt been impressive
Jackson Bailey
yawn
those elections are all infinitely easier to predict
Dominic Cook
LOL.
Every other prediction ITS OVER. TRUMP IS DONE.
Pure aluminum.
Ethan Campbell
Romney had awful turnout because he couldn't energize anyone. 6 million white voters just didn't show up. And all the dems and minorities were excited for Obama.
realclearpolitics.com
The opposite is true this year. Trump has massive enthusiasm behind him, while Hillary has a hard time getting the excitement of Democratic women, let alone anyone else.
Isaiah Perry
Nate Nylon
Brandon Cooper
and keep in mind trump is leading all polls for months in primary
he exposed himself as a hack
Henry Thompson
HAHAHAAHA
Hudson Davis
its not 2008 or 2012
hillary is no obama
and trump is no romney ect
Caleb Cook
I'm guessing he also counted on Brexit not happening, didn't he.
Face it. We've been defying your "predictions" for a while now
Dylan Jones
Urgent spread the word....
Opps they released the pre determined results a little early.
Ryan Nguyen
> Nate indescript mineral
mine your pronouns schist lord
Matthew Powell
Nate Sodiumbicarbonate isn't really to blame, statistics can be a bitch.
Nicholas Reed
Not only this.
The problem is, that people who used to be democrats in the past, fell for Trump now. It is more complicated than most people think.
Back in 1990's and I've said it few times already - Pat Buchanan had virtually the same platform as Trump but didn't go past primaries in 1992 and 1996. Now, one GOP commentator looked at his rally once and said - your voters aren't Republicans.
And he was right. They were motorcycle gangs and lots of blue collar democrats, but not republicans.
Donald Trump managed to get both Pat voters and traditional republicans. Which gives you wrong assumptions in early voting - some of those dem votes are for him. Hard to say what percentage but definitely bigger than pollsters want to admit. Hence why whole Hillary campaign went to Michigan for their last rallies.
The pollsters and analytics in general seem to have had models made for Jeb vs Hilldog and refuse to change it.
Connor Martinez
>Romney had awful turnout because he couldn't energize anyone. 6 million white voters just didn't show up. And all the dems and minorities were excited for Obama.
this is exactly what's fucking with the polls. trump is getting massive turnout, a lot of it from people who have been too disillusioned to ever vote. they don't have any models that apply to them.
Jason Hernandez
> Nate Sodiumbicarbonate
SodiumbicarboNate
Jordan Miller
Nate Nickel will never aggregate polls in this town again.
Brayden Cooper
NaTe NaHCO3
Adrian Mitchell
trump is winning. get over it faggot. your kike tricks wont work on me