What does the future hold for Nate Silver?

What does the future hold for Nate Silver?

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fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/
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He is going to continue to be fat and bald.

(((Nate Silver))) will get a new job as soap

Didn't he give Trump the highest odds of winning.

Political oblivion.

On the trash heap of history along with every other mainstream media wastrel.

Besides fake polls, yes.

Yes. If everybody fucks up real bad but you're the one who fucks up the least you get to keep your job.

Days before election, he was one of the few saying Trump had a real chance of winning (30%). Media criticized him for giving Trump a chance, and he criticized the media for saying it was 90%+ in favor of Hillary. Silver would have looked worse (not necessarily fairly) if Clinton won.

Polls do not give odds of winning.

I don't think you understand how odds work. Giving something lower odds doesn'the make that outcome impossible.

>Didn't he give Trump the highest odds of winning.
Wasn't that the LA Times rolling poll, also the AI program that analyzes internet traffic, also that Professor who has picked the last 4 or 5 elections...? Nah, Nate is former NYT cocksucker; he'll be fine among all the other media cocksuckers.

He will finally be given permission to die.

Hi I'm Nate Silver and welcome to "jackass"

The LA times poll was wrong about Trump's lead as much as many polls about Clinton. It was a national poll and Trump lost the popular vote.

Not every predictor of Trump's victory was valid.

for the love of god can we please just make Nate Silver the new Brendan Fraser

I for one will use him as a barometer for placing bets. Whatever he says to do I will do the direct opposite and come out ahead.

Nate 2018

Higher odds doesn't mean more accurate. The LA Times / USC poll was actually wildly off. It predicted Trump would win the popular vote by 3%.

The opposite of whatever he thinks it holds, apparently

>just poll my shit up

He's fine. Even though the election obviously turned out contrary to his projection, he was the only one who gave Trump a competitive chance (30%) on the night before compared to the 1-2% most outlets were giving him.

In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king. He did well enough compared to everybody else that he'll still be taken seriously, for now.

Probably suicide
>Just fuck my polls up

It's really hard to lose your job as a professional talks about politics guy, especially when you run the business.
Just look at shits like Karl Rove and Bill Kristol.

And the only reason he did that was he got so wrecked during the primary he likely felt like just tossing it to 50/50 in the end but decided to go with 30/70

...

I heard trump tower is gonna need a few new janitors once the king emperor elect deports the current staff.

He constantly defended his model from leftists saying hillary had 99%chance of winning. Saying trump had 35% win chance means of their historical data, trump might win 2 out of 6 times.

He is done, he believed the all the biased/fake polls. Nobody of any importance will take him serious in the future.

Or because, you know, this is what the statistical models predicted. He didn't have a statistical model for the primaries (not enough data and too complex), and so he was basically just giving his own opinion. He admitted he fucked up.

fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/

We actually don't know who won the popular vote as a lot of ballots weren't counted and then there's that entire LA illegals voting issue.

He should stick to reading the horoscope to people on the internet.

Zoloft

Half truth at best. He created a narrative to fall back on short before election day. Prior to this he gave Trump a really low chance.

the primary model gave trump an 87%

He'll accidentally get shot in the back of the head 9 times

Nate Feces.

Welfare

He'll be a cuck-star in third rate cuckold porn movies

Don't you have a bull to prep, Nate?

Stop reading fake news. It does not help your cause.

>fake news
Oh really, what about absentee ballots and the fact that illegans could and did vote in CA?

Absentee ballots are valid methods. Provisional ballots are not automatically counted. Unless you have news from that Department of Elections, accusations from twitter eggs are not valid.

If this doesn't trash FiveThirtyEight's credibility, I don't know what will. It's apparent that Nate Silver's predictions are only valuable when everything is done by the academic rules of law. He can't account for the stochastic nature of the world around him. I give him and others credit for trying, but the big takeaway here is that polling "science" is about as laughable as any other study that tags "science" at the end of it to sound more legitimate.

Striking out more at gay bars

I wonder what was going through his mind when he went nuclear and unskewed the polls knowing he would be criticised heavily.