La Pen will Win the Election - Let me Explain why

Fillon now seems to win the Republican primary. This is the best scenario possible for La Pen since he's not aggressive against immigration or the EU as Sarkozy was, and because he's too extreme in his financial policy to be elected by the public. Fillon wants to cut hundreds of thousands of government jobs. In a country like France that has a large public sector this means he can't win the election.

Imagine if you were French and you stand between two choices. One is to throw out the niggers that live on government subsidies, the other is to elect a guy who will slash hundreds of thousands of jobs - perhaps your job if you are a government employee. The choice is easy. You'll kick out the niggers.

Gentlemen, the Republicans just gave La Pen the presidency. Against Juppé she stood no chance, because he was moderate, he was no threat against anyone. But against Fillon, she will rally support from people employeed in the public sector.

Unlike Trump she's running against another right-wing politician She's going to have it much harder. For Brexit and Trump the receipt to success was left-leaning people who have a history of not showing up to vote, but this is not going to happen in France. Also, FN has a history to be good in polls and then drastically underperform in the actual election. I'm rather pessimistic.

The right vote will be split between Fillon and Le Pen if they get to round 2, and unless she's up against Hollande there isn't much of a chance.

La Pen isn't really a right wing candidate in economic terms, but a centrist.

To be honest La Pen is the least extreme option between her and Fillon. People won't vote on Fillon because a very high proportion of all people in France are public service employees, or for instance married to someone who work in the public service.
In the second round it will be between her and Fillon. If she splits the right vote she'll win because she will win left leaning voters who voted on socialist parties in the first round.

This is how the French election works.
1st round: several candidates. If one candidate gets >50 % he/she becomes president, if not then the two candidates with the biggest popular support battles it out in the 2nd round.

2nd round only two candidates/alternatives. Now tell me, which one do you think the socialist voters will choose?

The one who will slash half a million public service jobs and increase the work week?

Or the one who will keep those jobs, keep the 35 hour work week and just throw out a bunch of semi retarded brutes from Africa?

People vote with their wallets folks. Why the fuck would anyone vote for a candidate who says he will increase the hours you have to work and who will fire 500 000 public service employees?

>Why the fuck would anyone vote for a candidate who says he will increase the hours you have to work and who will fire 500 000 public service employees?
Because they don't want to vote to the candidate who is going to throw them out of the eurozone? Most french aren't europhile but still want to keep the euro.

Fillon was PM under Sarkozy.
>pro gay marriage
Check
>Allowed the construction of many mosques
Check
>inaugurated many mosques
Check
>Wrote a book about islam
Check
>Obey to the CRIF (French equivalent of AIPAC)
Check
>Free Masson
Check

And here is a Trudeau-like pic ftw.

...

The problem with FN is Le Pen herself is not a likeable person. Unlike Trump and Farage who people seem to love more than the causes they represent

>La Pen will Win
no

That's a possibility, on the other hand, the EU is very unpopular among many leftist, so the combination of Fillon slashing half a million jobs and increasing work week and La Pen's wishes to leave the EU could actually push even more voters to the FN than if she wasn't as strongly anti-EU and just anti-immigration.

No matter how we twist and turn this, Fillon is an extremely weak candidate, the right can't win with his slashing policies. Normal French people aren't prepared to lose so much just too keep niggers and other parasites on welfare.

Not too sure about that...

I hope she wins but the Frogs on Sup Forums say it's not gonna happen and that Fillon will win

Slash government jobs? Are you living on planet earth? That doesn't happen. Ever. Maybe a hiring freeze. I truly hope La Pen wins, and I wish there was more I could do, maybe I'll donate some scratch.

I agree with you, and she's a woman, trying to become president in a traditional catholic country, this works against her, I absolutely agree, but on the other hand Fillon isn't a very charismatic character either.

In the end La Pen is the least radical choice of the two, she will win this election if the Republicans elect Fillon.
Wow, you make such a strong case for your opinion.

> The problem with FN is Le Pen herself is not a likeable person. Unlike Trump and Farage who people seem to love more than the causes they represent

Why though? She's clearly the smartest and most articulate of the three. Is it because of muh soggy knees?

If she goes against a leftist in second round, she will probably win. If she goes against Fillon, it will be essentially Frexit vote. Don't think we are getting Le Pen, but one can hope.

Sikhs are based man. They hate muslims like the rest of us

Everything is still possible.
God knows how many happenings will happen in the meantime. Plus, between Fifille and MLP, the left might congregate around Melanchon or some othe socialist cuck.

I know and I agree, but fuck this multicultural faggoterie.

>One is to throw out the niggers that live on government subsidies, the other is to elect a guy who will slash hundreds of thousands of jobs

If people would actually see it like that it would be an easy victory.

I have no idea what the public opinion in France looks like though so I will just wish them good luck.

I've yet to hear a large number of Frogs say that she will lose against Fillon.

She will stand no chance against Juppe, but it's my understanding that he's not going to win the primary, if that's the case, then the right just delivered La Pen the presidency.

The French rather sacrifice the EU and Euro than slash jobs and increase the work week.

The globalists are trying to slash welfare to afford more niggers and arabs. The French will call them on this.

Brothers, victory is ensured, with the grace of the great Kek it will be ours.
Fillon wants to slash half a million government jobs and increase the work week.

He's basically saying to the French: "if you elect me I'll get your ass fire or force you to work more". Only people who are workaholics will vote on him, or people with a lot of money.

Normal French people won't vote on him, so victory is ensured. Typical leftist voters (government employees) will deal a blow that will change the course of history.

Rate her chances of winning. Currently I'm seeing her at $3.50 on betting sites, far better than trump ever was. Does she have a chance, and think the odds with rise? I still have $70 left over from my trump winnings that I would be willing to drop on another meme candidate

>swedecuck in charge of predicting french politics
can we have portugalbro back with the predictions?

>the EU is very unpopular among many leftist
only among the true lefties, who are a minority nowadays. the retardo lefties love the EU because it constantly tries to overwrite national laws to push more globalism

It's more that her success is less likely than for the other cases, though not entirely impossible.

Both other cases only had one round and after that it was over. In both cases the media made it look like the globalist option was sure to win, so a lot of people didn't even bother to go to vote.

That is not the case in France. They get the first round as warning and then (unless Le Pen gets 51% in the 1st round, which is highly unlikely because there are too many candidates) pool all globalist votes in the second round.

>People vote with their wallets

not sure, otherwise Le Pen wouldn't be so popular. it seems crazy to go back to the franc and leave the EU. every (((expert))) is telling us it'll lead to judgment day.

anyway it'll be interesting to see what far left voters do (14% or so right now) in the second round. they're closer to Le Pen. on the other hand many rightwing voters are fed up with her new leftism. no idea what will happen but it'll be an unprecedented election that's for sure

Wtf the guy in the middle is Prison Mike

Second, 77 Le Pen wins post I've seen this evening...

It's gonna happen guys; kek is with us.

>on the other hand many rightwing voters are fed up with her new leftism
Is she going for full blown national socialism now or what?

Make France great again!

different narrative. the media hysterically promotes MLP to be sure that she reaches the 2d election turn, only to ensure the victory of whatever cuck she's running against.

In a way, it will be a vote on the very existence of the EU, as the EU won't survive without France.

We are just 6 months from an event that will change our lives for ever. We are seeing the final end of the cold war (left/right, liberal/socialist) paradigm.
>the left might congregate around Melanchon or some othe socialist cuck
I think it's too late for such a solution, with less than 6 months to the election. If such a solution was possible it would have already happened, the fact that it hasn't happened tells us it never will, as they would've needed more time to successfully launch such a mission.
If Fillon wins the Republican primary, then victory is a certainty.

If Juppe wins the primary she will almost certainly lose, but he seems to fail in the Primary.
Maybe I was just lucky, but I predicted that Trump would be the president already in spring this year, and I predicted the Brexit.

It could've just been luck, you never now in retrospect whether you were right because if skills or just lucky.
There've been surveys showing that more than 60 % of the French are sceptical to the EU, and those who are are mostly leftists.

if she didn't want to stop immigration it would be pretty much the same thing as Mélenchon

Slashing 500 000 government jobs and increasing the work week is much worse for the French wallet than leaving the EU and the Euro ever could be.

Wrote a book against* islam.

>Is she going for full blown national socialism now or what?
only if you can envision an antiracist and jew-friendly national-socialism… I know, that sounds a bit like Trump, but she's not credible, likeable or has any charisma.

>Le Pen is popular amongst gays because of her anti-Islam speeches
>Fillon doesn't want gays to adopt, get married and has said everything other than making it illegal
>Le Pen could exploit the conservative vote because of her immigration policy and at the same time say that anyone voting for her opponent is homophobic

GENIUS

Unlikely. Because not matter how reasonnable her policies propositions are, for brainwashed leftists she's
>literally Hitler

Would Fillon be pro Putin/Assad/Trump?

I see a new partnership rising.

She will not be elected and in fact she will assure victory to whoever runs against her

Cordon sanitaire,bitch!

Lol, La Pen has many flaws, I agree but she is preferable to any other candidate, as she is the only one who theoretically could save the French nationstate from destruction by the globalists.
Fillon is practically the worst choice the Republicans could make as their candidate, as La Pen (as a woman in a catholic country) would struggle to get the traditional catholic vote anyways while he will push socialist voters to La Pen in the second round.

Trump also had to win the nomination.

Sources for those statements.

What the fuck are talking about?

Did you got a haircut, Marouane?

I've met a thousand Frenchies, 100% have been atheist.
France care less about religion than we do, and I see a church shutting down every month.

I wonder, if it comes down to Fillon vs Le Pen - would young leftists REALLY vote for Fillon?

I know they hate Le Pen but would they REALLY vote for someone who dislikes gay marriage, feminism. abortion and isn't a cuck on immigration?

I get the "lesser of two evils" but imagine someone VOTING for that. I just can't imagine it. They'd hate both and most likely abstain - right?

I don't think we have the same medias. MLP is assured to be in 2nd round no matter what. Maybe, maybe, MAYBE Bolloré does a bit of shilling for her, but he also does for Macron

WTF I hate France now

>If Juppe wins the primary she will almost certainly lose, but he seems to fail in the Primary.

Note the mudslim vote in the califate of Ile-d'Afrance.

No,I Want to let them grow a bit longer

How about you Pierre?

Did you do something to encourage fascism in our beautiful continent?

why are muslims allowed to vote in this primary?

I'd think Muslims would be registered with the socialists.

>trusting the polls


Pollsters and medias on suicide watch

Socialists can vote for the republican primary if they pay 2€...

They absolutely exists, otherwise the Republicans wouldn't have elected a candidate like Fillon.

But they aren't a majority, and that's kind of my point. The Republicans are electing a candidate that is only attractive to voters the Republicans already had in the bag to begin with.

To win against La Pen they needed a candidate that would be more attractive to socialist voters than La Pen, a centrist like Juppe, but they seem to choose Fillon, and if they do, we can call this election already, he won't win against La Pen.

Everyone with french papers was allowed to vote yesterday. It cost only 2 €

but I'd pay 2 euros and just vote for the worst one.
What a way to fuck up democracy.

What are the chances of Fillon winning on Sunday?

I know Sarkozy said for his voters to vote for Fillon but surely you'll get a lot of people paying these 2 euros JUST to vote for Juppe?

The election is open to all French citizens

An effort of the republicains to make themselves more popular

Praise kek.

No she won't. The next socialist french president will team up with Merkel on her next term to create the socialist republic of europe. Trump and Putin will retaliate, dropping nukes all over eurocuck cities and dominating the continent population to 1/50 of what it was before

I would love it if La Pen wins the election. Fingers crossed.

>Swede not understanding shit about france politics

Go figures.

She's gonna lose because it will be 2002-bis you fucktard. Appart from people from paris, the north and the azur coast where all the mudslimes and other subhumans are concentrated nobody gives a shit about immigration in France.

Mayotte is an insular department and region of France.

Between Madagascar and Mozambique.

It is 97% muslim.

The results of yesterday vote are:


Sarkozy: 79.5%

Juppé: 17.2%

Fillon: 1.5%

Fillon was the worst possible outcome:

-He is intouchable, he has never really done enything wrong.
-He will reassure old fucks afraid of Le Pen's anti euro stance (they already were 50% to vote for him in the primary) and leftists may vote for him since he's not Sarkozy-tier of hate.
-He's a moderate right winger. Would Juppé be elected, he would be so centrist the people would have radicalized. Would Sarkozy be elected, he would have been a traitor once again and people may would've been fed up. But Fillon allow a "hard right winger" to run in 2022 because he's an economic liberal and doesn't talk about islam, immigration, identity, thus in 2022 Le Pen will be cucked again because she'll face a "non nazi real right winger" guy and French people will fall for it once again.

>She's gonna lose because it will be 2002-bis you fucktard. Appart from people from paris, the north and the azur coast where all the mudslimes and other subhumans are concentrated nobody gives a shit about immigration in France.
Most areas that voted for Brexit are over 95% white.

Wasn't Sarkozy the most anti-muslim yesterday though?

At least try to fight before you surrender.

>comparing brexit with France presidential elections

Goddamn you roastbeefs are even more dumber than I though.

Good luck French Bros. Make France Great Again, take your country back and don't be ashamed of it.

My yacht is in Mayotte.

I'm concerned.

Not this time ameribro, we just lost yesterday. I'm not being defeatist but pragmatic, we now have to plan for the long run.

>Will eventually come down to Option A vs Option B
>France is 21 miles away from Britain
>Both of us hate muslims and establishment politicians

We're more similar than you think.
We're just less gay.

Reminder that 2002 was 14 years ago. Didn't you notice some changes in the meantime? I don't say that it couldn't happen, but six months is a long time in the french presidential elections. If you think you can predict anthing now, you're just fooling yourself.

A third of people in Mayotte are illegals from Comoros.

>Be from Comoros
>Vote for independence
>Mayotte decides to stay
>Comoros becomes a shithole because the white man doesn't own you anymore
>Illegally flee to Mayotte

Fucking niggers

>Fillon wants to cut hundreds of thousands of government jobs. In a country like France that has a large public sector this means he can't win the election.
This is why Europe is lost already. When the electorate somehow restricts shitskins coming in, they'll find another way to continue parasiting off the honest man.

Good post

have some more memes

>Less gay
Kek

France is the gayest country in Western Europe.

100% of women are at least bisexual and I'd say at least 25% of men.

This. Lepen is a dry granny.

>100% of women are at least bisexual
Make it 50% and I'll call it a deal.

>nobody gives a shit about immigration in France.
LOL, except the fact that 30 % say they will vote on FN, which granted shame factor effect means she might get 35-40 % already in the second round.
You're delusional if you think the French will vote on a candidate that will slash 500 000 government jobs and increase the work week. It won't happen.
It's absurd to compare 2002 with 2017. He's delusional.
The important thing is to save the European nationstate. Everything else is of secondary importance.

>>Both of us hate muslims and establishment politicians

First I think we hate establishment even more than you.

Immigration wasn't the main point of Brexit. There was a big financial side to it, with people getting bored of getting fucked over by the european union.

Here in France as I said, appart from region infested by islam we don't give a toss about them. So that's about everywhere in france except the three regions I listed.

Secession from EU isn't that wanted by us, moslty because we are part of the euro zone and we have strong economic bonds with our neightbors (like Germany).

Appart from thoses two points, FN program is a whole lot of big fucking nothing

I'm not surrendering, just being realist.

Didn't Fillon say he wants to take over the EU from the germans?

>there are people who think Le Pen has a snowballs chance in hell in 2017
>there are people who think (((Trump))) is 'our guy'

You idiots dont even notice how jewed you are anymore

Fifille said many things over the years, but he accomplished so few of them...

I will vote for Marine Lepen, Fillon's presidencial program is shit and will lead France into poverty.

...

>You're delusional if you think the French will vote on a candidate that will slash 500 000 government jobs and increase the work week. It won't happen

Most French know there's too many governement job. What you say will weight for sure but not enough to counter balance the fact it's either that or voting for Marine "literally Hitler" Le Pen. Just watch.

>The important thing is to save the European nationstate. Everything else is of secondary importance.

Yes.

>will lead France into poverty.

This is good. You frogs need to be purged from Earth

>Voting for women
>Ever

Baka

Wikipedia is funny; i checked the English version of Mayotte description.

This what you can read about "Cultural Practices":

"Cultural practices[edit]

Approximately 25% of the adult population, and five times as many women as men, enter trance states in which they believe they are possessed by certain identifiable spirits who maintain stable and coherent identities from one possession to the next.[23]"

Mayotte is a shithole, the only reason France kept it is for it's maritime space and some rare flowers-oil used by the french perfume industry.
Otherwise, it's just choke full of turtle-eating muslim niggers.

Sarkozy should be shot.

Johnny Depp did a trailer for a new perfume.

Divorce Sauvage; it smells good.

Trump did better against the other potential republican nominees than Clinton, you shmuck. Germany is the worst.

So the "far-right" in France is center left in the rest of the civilized world.

The left-right political spectrum in nowadays France does not really make sens anymore.

>pro gay marriage
Kek, that's the opposite, he is a supporter of "La Manif Pour Tous" (french anti gay marriage group)

>Allowed the construction of many mosques
>inaugurated many mosques

True, but since the worm is in the apple that's easy to blame, he doesn't shill for the muzzies unlike Juppé.

>Obey to the CRIF (French equivalent of AIPAC)
Everyone obey to the CRIF in France, even the FN

>Free Masson
Proof ? He is a fervent catholics and even mocked Xavier Bertrad about being a Masson, I don't think he belongs to a lodge.

you're wrong on so many accounts...

1) public sector pretty much doesn't vote FN (they mostly vote communism and official socialism - and though most FN voters are ex-communist voters, those are the former industry workers, not the public sector parasites); the only ones who do vote FN are cops and military, which will be spared by the cuts

2) Fillon is not hardline anti-immigration, but has excellent relations with Putin: he'll actually steal votes from Lepen with those who want an alliance to buttrape exploding mudslimes on their ground

3) his economics policy (he loves Thatcher, and was among the rarest French politician to have paid homage to her) will be hard, but absolutely necessary, after decades and decades of ultra-socialism (ultra-socialism being what the Lepen shemale also offers); economics-wise, he's closer to Lepen's father, and may also well take votes from those old guard voters

4) he's very traditionalist, and won't take crap from "progressists": Lepen will not get him on that ground (particularly seeing as "she" is a shemale, and FN's vice president an ass gapping faggot)

5) the only way for Lepen to be elected in 2017 was to have Sarkozy win the primary. Then Hollande would have entered the ring as well (he's so stupid he doesn't realize he only won so France could get rid of Sarkozy; same as Sarkozy only won in 2007 so France could be spared from Hollande's ex, Gogolène); then, Lepen could have won on the first round; "she" will go to the second round, though, but will lose there (this time).

All in all: Fillon has won. It's done.

anyone do you think its worth putting on a bet that she will win,