Marine Le Pen - Is it worth getting my hopes up?

Let's be real for a moment. What are the odds of her actually pulling this off? Pierre! Get in here and educate me

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She's at 30% vote intentions, the left and right have a coalition against her so she has absolutely no chance of winning the second turn against Fillon
Good news is Fillon is so terrible that Le Pen is guaranteed to win in 2022

Very low desu.

Against Sarkozy it would have been easier but now we know that her opponant will be Fillon.

still half a year until the elections.
Things are not that unlikely, it all depends on how the next 6 month fall out.

How is she backed financially? I read somewhere that she doesn't really have the resources to mount a strong campaign to battle the 2 major parties, especially if they combine forces against her (which they are doing).

She's so perfectly qt

finances do not play the same role as in American politics.
It's of lesser importance

Basically nil. Even if she performs extremely well in the first round, the other parties will conspire to have supporters vote for the other candidates. Same shit they pulled in the last election

She's financed by small groups of people, you know in France the campaign doesn't 5% of USA's campaign

This. She needs at least 40% in the first round to stand a chance.

the campaign doesn't cost more than 5% of what you spend in the US*

About the same as Trump's odds.

drumpf btfo

I'd allow her to have sex with me.

From what I've read it's very unlikely

Still more likely than the AfD getting anywhere next elections though

how can black/asian/nonwhite women even compete?

Shadilay Kek grant her victory

oh ok.

Is it true that she's working with Bannon, Trump's campaign manager, or was that just clickbait from the Daily Mail?

A lot of people in the US will be paying attention to the French election, it's unfortunate that she doesn't have a legit shot.

Nah man you have no idea how different is the mentality here in France, the FN has a long history of being hated and seen as racist, evil etc, in a country that wrote the (((Human rights))) it's quite difficult for them to win
As i said the people need to get really frustrated/pissed to vote FN, our only chance for 2017 would be large scale terrorist attacks

I would like to know the odds of me depositing my warm load in the vagina of her daughter.

It's true we had articles about it here too
that's her niece but yeah, i agree

If she is at 30%, she can't find 20% to back her? Not even the right-leaners and moderates?

so i guess Sup Forums doesnt actually want to fight globalism and was just under the sway of russian funded pro-trump shills

the second donny boy got elected all the FUCK THE GLOBIES REEEEE talk died down pretty damn quick

i need to see some MEMES
i need to see some GETS
i need to see some LEAKS

>I would like to know the odds of me depositing my warm load in the vagina of her daughter.
>of her daughter
>daughter

Being this stupid

Likelihood of good happenings, from good likelihood to bad likelihood:

1. Hofer elected in December
POWERGAP
2. Le Pen elected in 2017
POWERGAP
3. AfD getting more than 25% of the vote in 2017

Hopefully she will, but the other parties will all shill together against her, and France doesn't have the meme magic that the Anglosphere had to get Brexit and Trump in the face of elite opposition.

1st round
Le Pen has more votes than Fillon. Hollande has als more votes than Fillon.

2nd round
Hollande re-elected... :-O

Could this happen, neighbor?

Thing is the second turn will be Fillon (right wing) against Le Pen (far right) and the socialists would rather kill themselves than vote for Le Pen.
I'm sorry to break this to you guys but hey, we can always hope for a miracle.

Bro we can't even speak French. Meme magic works organically. If kek wants us to act, we will act, but we haven't seen the signs yet.

If the final round is Le Pen vs Hollande, that'll be better than Le Pen vs Fillon, right?

Near to 0%, we got a terrible reserve of people ready to counter vote Le Pens family, and their is this "Republican front' , which means every political movement will make an union against them, 'cause Hurr Nazis, Durr Darkest Hours of our History... We need a huuuuge event that will discredit everyone in the politic stage, but that wont happen.

couple more vans running through groups of people and she'll win

never lose hope

youtube.com/watch?v=JK9KbKXLZmc

Waaaay better yes, that's the best chance she has of winning but that won't happen since we arent even sure if Holland will reapply (he has Macron and Valls, two ministers of him, wanting to run at his place)

So we need a scandal to take down Fillon.

right now she would need the majority of the popular vote, no less
it never happened of course
also, the FN had been basically bashed by the MSM for 40 years, generations of french grew up being told it was literally the NSDAP
but who knows what could happen in 6 months, the left is dead right now and all the right is corrupted

>Bro we can't even speak French

Exactly. Meme magic dies as soon as you use google translate to circulate a bunch of unintelligible memes to normie frogs

lel good luck with that the man is duller than a literal brick wall

Don't give a fuck
She works for the Jews and you need to leave if you actually think the cunt should win
Fuckin newfags

There are rumors of him being homosexual, i don't know if it would even cripple him given the mentality here...

our politics is so dog shit right now.
And Marine Lepen is alright but too tame to be fair.

>the left and right have a coalition against her
Why do people still fall for the left/right meme? They're literally the same.

Frogs don't work on frogs.

CTR leave. Your tactics don't work.

>Meme magic works organically
so true. Altough these internet communities have an influence on elections in some degree (minor in my opinion). Then it is a force that can only flow downstream, we cannot "work" in mass, we can only follow the pursuit of the lulz.

That whore le pen ran out your le ebil Nazi politician and he won't ever come back
You deserve to stay cuckd

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The one time you need muhammad to blow up a government building, he disappears

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>Sarkozy in Corse
are they high or what?

If she's polling 30 % then it means she's got 35-40 % of the popular vote.

Winning over socialists voters will be easy since they won't vote on Fillon.

>There are rumors of him being homosexual, i don't know if it would even cripple him given the mentality here..

It would probably boost his popularity and he'd get his own statue somewhere

I hope so. I bet 10€ with a friend that Hollande would be reelected.

>Socialist voting on a candidate that wants to increase retirement age, work hours and slash 500 000 jobs.
It's not going to happen.

mafiosi help each others

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>Hollande
the guillotine is already here for him.

Why would you hope so. Isn't he the worst thing that can happen, it'll only be good for your bet...

>Winning over socialists voters will be easy since they won't vote on Fillon.
That's a lie, socialists would rather kill themselves than vote for Le Pen i can assure you that.

J'ai de l'espoir dans mes frères français

can immigrants vote in france?

This election is very uncertain.

Let's check the current forces
>far left: at least 3 candidates
>left: official PS stunt, either Hollande or another suicidal guy or gal
>center-left: Macron will run, former Hollande minister
>center: Bayrou should go again. He made 15% in 2007
>right: Fillon, who should get in 2nd round
>far right: hopefully only Marine
>plus some guys who could run but nothing serious, they could get 0,5-1% tho

MLP is currently at 30% top. But as yesterday's Fillon 42% proved once again, polls are less precise than ever.

So how will it go?

MLP has a strong backup in muslim infested regions (north, east and south-east), way less in other places.

But what is important there is the 2nd round. You can analyze all you want, MLP has 30%+X%, where X% is the voices reserve, aka people who choose another candidate in 1st round and then swith to her in 2nd.

Her voices reserve isn't more than 10%, which gives us 40% top. Because 1st round candidates will call to vote for their choice in 2nd round.

Other factor is vote absention. The more the better for Marine, because it relatively pumps up her number.

If Fillon passes as a free-market lover, France socialism destroyer, there could be more absention.

Another thing we can hope are more muslim bombings and problems with refugees, which will give her "upset" voices

Depends, a non negligeable portion of them would.

Then what I be you need is for Trump to start delivering. If Trump decisively proves our media wrong, I wonder how truth everyday Frenchmen will see in your media. This time, it's our turn to inspire you.

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pretty sure nothing will happen before the elections

What do you eat in prison, Prison Mike?

The French have a good knack for uniting around a cucky candidate so they can all be cucks together. They get really touchy about right-wingers, there's not enough votes in the North and North-West to offset everything South of Paris

Not in this election.

using hitlers meme quates. hmm

Also, politicians have been warned with Trump.
They know they really have to prepare now.

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>Be sarkozy
>former president
>control the party
>has the mission to reorganize the party
>puts one of his minions in charge of organizing the primaries
>doesn't rig the primaries like Clinton did
Is he fucking retarded or what? Or maybe the fix was in for the second round because he didn't expect to lose the first one?

At least I hope Hollande will be smarter. his friend Cambadélis is in charge of the socialist primaries, I fully expect him to rig the shit out the votes.

I really want those 10€

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In the case of a Fillon-Le Pen second round we actually have our chances if we play smart. There's a few things we have to take into consideration.

- Fillon is very close to Russia so it completely negates the "HOLY SHIT FN IS RUSSIA'S SHILL" leftist non-argument.
- Fillon is very aggressive against faggots, while the FN have Philippot. We can rally a part of the LGBT community to actually vote FN.
- Fillon (like Juppé and unlike, say, Le Maire or Macron) doesn't represent freshness and that can lose him the young people vote.

I'm sure we can find a lot of other shit by scrutinizing both candidate's programs. The worst thing that can happen to Marine Le Pen right now is a Juppé win. It will be considerably more difficult to bring this old fart down compared to Fillon.

She's literally been taking money from Putin.

>Other factor is vote absention
Everyting is right except this, a lot of the abstentionists are those who don't believe in politics and thus are more likely to vote for Le Pen,
Also a lot of them are immigrants who just don't care but wouldnt vote for Le Pen.

#Coup2017

Same as Trumps were in January

hope u guys win t b h

From a Russian bank*

It's because no French bank wanted to back her up. Actually a very good argument to show that establishment is against her. You'll have it very rarely said, because it's positive for her.

Do you think?

It could go either way though. If we could get the abstentionist vote we could reach 45%, but I'm daydreaming here

Polls work, if the assumptions on turnout hold. Is there reason to believe there is a hidden vote or a lot of enthusiasm for Le Pen? That enthusiasm was clear with Trump and to a less extent during Brexit. What about her? It looks like the French are much more "meh" for her.

Well get your shit together. Because when the US, UK and Russian Unite against Germany again, we will not swwoop in and save your asses again

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>It's because no French bank wanted to back her up.
It's really incredible to be at this point.

>it's a totally Marion Lepen doing lewd thing pic number 927426528 episode

I had a dream that the French could be uncucked. That dream is slowly dying

Not CTR
I bring facts
Both are funded by Qatar and SA and you're a cuck piece of shit who only thinks with his dick if you want either to win

>Either le pen
>Right Wing
Nice joke

orders from above.
you probably know that all French banks CEOs went to the same schools as PS/Républicains leaders (HEC, X, ENA, etc)

they cant say we're sexist, we want a female right winger to win

Sarkozy told his people to vote Fillon when he dropped
Fillon will get no less than 60% and you're all retarded to not see this

Bump.

I have flashbacks to a time only 6 months ago when people were posting that about Trump too.

Shadilay my brother

Marine Le Pen is just another politician. She doesn't have beliefs,her market is just made of nationalists and people who are fed up with other politicians. She's a joke. Anyone who thinks she is a good choice must be pretty retarded. She's just a populist.

Thanks for Correcting the Record!

>I'm a hardcore moderate centrist

who is the young bitch, her daughter?

whats name?

La suite svp :=)

Fuck off CTR. She has promised an EU referendum