People who unironically think le pen could get elected

>people who unironically think le pen could get elected
>people who unironically think merkel wont be re-elected
Le pen has a very small chance of winning. She may win the first election round but in the second round literally everyone who didnt vote for her in the first place will vote for the other candidate. So unless she gets >50% in the first round shes fucked. Also there will be so much fear mongering after the first round if she wins some people who voted for her may actually vote against her.

Merkel actually has a higher chance not to be re-elected id say but the only other option, SPD+Grüne+Die Linke, a coalition by cucks and communists, is even worse.
So germany is fucked either way. An afd vote is likely a vote for communist cuck coalition and voting for merkel is voting for merkel

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youtube.com/watch?v=o3Es-PRMAg0
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Can any German explain this "election round" thing? Why do you need to win multiple elections?

In France there are more than 2 Presidential candidates. Unless one of them gets an uncontested majority (has never happened I think) there is a second election round between the two candidates with the most votes from round 1

Its like this user said. Lets say those are the results from round 1:
>le pen 35%
>cuck 1 20%
>cuck 2 15%
>cuck 3 15%
>cuck 4 10%
>cuck 5 5%
Since no one got more than 50% of all votes there will be a second round. Now all people who vote for cuck 1-5 will vote for cuck 1
Final results will be like
>cuck 1 60%
>le pen 40%

>people who unironically think Trump will win
>people who unironically think the UK will leave the EU

Nobody thinks that Merkel won't win next election.
That's a given.
Only question is how much her lead will be.

...

Logic and common sense don't work if you use mememagic. Praise kek.

you continentals need to stop being such massive cucks and grow a pair.

>Stupid American thinks he knows anything about continental European politics

Give up man, both Le pen winning and Merkel not winning have 0% chance.

In France you have the two rounds elections and in Germany you vote the party not the chancellor and because every party is even worse than Merkels CDU they will have the majority and will
provide the chancellor. Only question is which coalition the CDU will have to form with the other parties to have the majority in parliament.

They both gonna get elected

youtube.com/watch?v=o3Es-PRMAg0

And what if Cuck 1's ideology is different from the other cucks?
Like if Cuck 1 is socialist where will the votes of a conservative cuck go to?

They will still go to cuck 1 because le pen getting elected is the last thing they want

Sounds like Germany's fucked no matter what. Are there really no right wing parties in Germany?
But Le Pen might have a chance, with the non-stop terrorist attacks and rapefugee crisis, the French might be willing to finally embrace right wing nationalism, it's happened in both the U.S. and U.K. now.

Meh. Le Pen is a commie anyway, even if she kicks out the sandniggers, the French will be poor and the next cuck will invite every sandnigger back in. In Germany in the other hand, you have a non meme candidate in Perty if she decides to run. She's the only one with a non commie economic plan in the election, plus the kekfugees will get kicked out.

If Le Pen fails, Austria will still probably get based Hofer and the Netherlands will get Wilders.

...

Europeans, can you tell me why France, which has a 3-4 month terrorist attack quota, refuse to vote for hard right to put on the brakes at refugees? What's the mind of the average French person thinking there aren't any problems?

Kinda hard to do when 50% of the population thinks about muslim and nigger cock

liberals, socialists etc. stand no chance to reach the second round in France. At least that's something the French get right. The opponent in the second round for Le pen will be the cuckservative candidate from the republicains which will be either Fillon or Juppé.
As you know liberals, leftists etc. will vote for anybody to keep literal Hitlers out of office, so they wont have a (big enough) problem with voting conservative.
Thus Le pen will lose.

Cucks back then:
> muhhh no one is gonna vote for drumpf
Cucks now:
> muhhh no one is gonna vote for le pen or AfD

you faggots underestimated meme magic once and you'll get btfo again

likely outcomes of the election:
>CDU single party government under merkel
>CDU + FDP conservative/liberal coalition under merkel
>CDU + SPD 'big coalition' under merkel
less likely outcomes of the election:
>CDU + SPD + FDP 'germany coalition' under merkel
>CDU + SPD + Greens clusterfuck coalition under merkel
very unlikely outcomes of the election:
>CDU + SPD + FDP + Greens mega anti-afd coalition under merkel
>SPD + Greens + Communists leftist coalition
impossible outcome of the election:
>AfD single party government

apart from the last (impossible) case, all of the possible outcomes result either in even more treasonous merkel government, or in an even worse leftist sjw coalition government. either way, this country has no future.

They're cowards and always have been.

Let's not get ahead of ourselves and assume that meme magick won't make a difference.

A lot of poltard talk about MLP but they dont
really know her.
She tries to be as politically correct as possible.
She is (unironically) a left-wing candidate
(see the economic programm of FN).
She betrayed her father who was based as fuck.
The FN is full of fags

France has no refugees. They have colonial subjects that didn't get wasted by the Germans in ww2 plus what they imported later on. They'd need ethnic cleansing of certain regions, but that is what most people don't particularly like.

As long as she kicks out the pakis and niggers.

Petry will never be chancellor though.
Afd polls around 15%.
The best outcome for the afd is to be the biggest opposition party in parliament

Thank Kek for the English channel! Kek have mercy on the poor Eurocucks and their caliphate.

I haven't followed German politics at all, but wasn't Merkel's approval rating abysmal just a few months ago?

With regard to French politics, it's an uphill battle due to the second election (Brexit and Trump did happen due to low voter turnout for the opposition for example), but if LR nominates Fillon over Sarkozy or Juppe, isn't there a chance for Le Pen to win the second election?

From what I've read, Fillon wants to slash spending, cut public jobs and make private employees work longer weeks. I understand that cucked leftists will either hold their nose and vote Fillon or not show up at all, but doesn't Le Pen do well enough with normal leftists, that a runoff between her and Fillon results in a Le Pen Presidency?

the funny thing is Merkel is representing our conservative party on the right. Before the rise of the AFD
CDU/CSU was the only "right wing" party with more than 5%

That`s why we are so uber fucked here. IF merkel was just some represent of a lefty party people could vote right wing / conservative BUT Merkel is the candidate of our moderate right. so if you don`t want merkel you have to vote either AFD, which isn`t strong enough yet or you vote more leftist.

It`s just a huge fuckup and people here know no amtter how they vote Merkel will get another term. Another Merkel term means we will never have the same demographics in Germany ever again.
It`s gg

>single party CDU government under Merkel
>FDP able to reach >5% and getting into parliament

Lel, what you smoking, monica.
It will be CDU+SPD+Greens

Yes - that is where they will land based in current assumptions. Although recent state elections had them at 25-30% if I remember correctly. The thing is, their voter base is growing over time, while people are getting fed up with Merkel for different reasons - refugees, economic stagnation, rising taxes etc. I was watching some talkshows with petry on, she's doing pretty well considering what they throw at her. It's going to be interesting.

The approval ratings dropped but theyre still decent. The problem is our coalition system will only allow merkel to be the chancellor or one from the SPD which will be even worse. Petry has 0% chance because they only poll around 15 and even if it was higher no one would enter a coalition with them

Meh - they can crash and burn for all I care.

This is my prediction also

Just looks at the election of 2002, where Le Pen father (bless be his name), got only 20% of votes again another right wing candidate (Chirac).

Hell, 80% votes that's some shit you only saw in USSR contries.

Fringe parties always do better in state elections.
Abd CDU will always get the majority of votes. And they can always coalition with SPD.
I think another GroKo is a safe bet.

>An afd vote is likely a vote for communist cuck coalition
German posters on Sup Forums are so stupid it hurts. It doesn't matter that the AfD wont reach an absolute majority. The Greens are a fucking 8% party that haven't been in a government for a decade and they still influenced German politics on many different topics. CDU faggots want to keep their mandate, their party will be on fire after they lost 50% of their voters next year. The CSU might lose their absolute majority in Bavaria if the AfD keeps rising and this will definitely happen if CDU/CSU/SPD can't reach a majority after next elections and they'll have to form a coalition with the Greens aswell who made it clear to be a culturl marxist party during their last party conference. Hell the AfD isn't even in the parliament and they already have a higher impact on our politics than the entire opposition.

>Merkel is representing our conservative party
Ouch. Sounds like AFD will never come to re a mainstream party if you continue letting in immigrants at the same rate that you are now. You might never have a right wing party in Germany again.

>BRexit will never happen
>Trump will never be a president

If Frauke doesn't get elected Germany is over. Over as a Bund.

Wouldn't that mean the spd gets to plant its own people in the executive? Also, isn't the spd at an all time low?

Again, you don't vote directly for the chancellor but for the party in the federal elections. So CDU voters who don't like her will still most likely vote CDU.
Also, yes she had the worst approval ratings, but she recovered after she made some concessions and admitted that her policies weren't the best yada yada.
Also while her approval might have sunken among conservative voters, the voters from the socialdemocrats, greens love her for her lefty policies.
Last but not least the approval ratings of the other parties candidates are even worse.

Further note: the CDU doesn't have an alternative to Merkel, because over the time every serious contender or up-and-coming colleagues were politically eliminated.

>I think another GroKo is a safe bet.
bullshit assumption considering the fact that two parties will join the parliament and it's very possible for the CDU to drop below 30% and the SPD to drop below 20%, if the SPD is dumb enough to actually run with Schulz they will definitely drop below 20%. Even the polls hat both parties on the edge of losing their combined 50% already, and we all know how well polls work.

Brexit and trump always was a coin toss , somethings are just impossible

we don't have nearly as many third world immigrants as you have niggers and spics and Trump still won.

The same kind of people said the same thing about Trump and by the grace of Kek he won. Bring together our energy brothers, and anything is possible.
PRAISE KEK

FDP to prevent GroKo

State elections are not comparable to the federal elections, you can't deduce anything from them.
In some the afd did well in some they did not.

Also the polling of the German institutes are normally pretty accurate as opposed to the american ones.
The shy conservative effect might add around 2-3% to the afd, but that's it.

>Afd polls around 15%.

and of course the polls are always right

Your elections work vastly different though,
in your system, Le Pen, afD and Wilders would have a much better chance of winning.

Get out with that autistic Kek shit, it might be possible to put a reality tv star into office when the candidate of the other party is Clinton but that's it.

True, but our whites are far less cucked than yours. I hope for the best for AFD and Frauke in the future, but it sounds like you'll have to suffer through years more of Merkel for now.

PRAISE KEK

For now, there is no evidence they aren't in your case. I think its worth noting the trend is in the AFD 's favor, and the heavy media shilling helps them.

>have rounds of elections instead of just one election
sounds like a system invented by a kike

They are pretty accurate yes. Afd might overperform by 3% but that's it.
You have to be delusional to think they will win.

Also you're an autist, see

It has it's downsides, like coalition La Pen is facing, but it's the sanest way to determine a candidate that speaks for the majority.

>people who unironically think Trump could get elected

Why not?

A majority which is not a majority because of common overlapping interests and ideas but because they are shamed into voting for that candidate.

It has flaws, but for stability of the government it's the superiour system.

Besides, I think people underrate intellegence of the masses. Sure most people are lazy bastrads, but it's not hard to see when you are being spoonfed a party line.

I don't think that Le Pen's chances are as low as many believe. I think it will be more of a Frexit vote than anything else.

Thing is, it's too early to tell - any number of things can happen between now and elections, and right now she is gaining in polls not falling.

What if two Hitlers ran?
Or even three?
Or even better nothing but Hitlers!
If we meme them all into Hitler's they will have to choose the least Hitler of all the Hitlers. The Worst Hitler. Problem is though that since Hitler's are bad by nature the worst Hitler is also the best.

That should force them to choose the most Hitler.

>People who unironically think UK will leave EU

>People who unironically think Trump has a shot at winning

I don't understand.

>people who unironically don't know the difference between coin tosses and european voting systems

Is this the new German CTR tactic?

Like really I wanna know

The french one will be a dice roll followed by a coin toss. The German one is basically a poll followed by back room dealing.

>SPD+Grüne+Die Linke, a coalition by cucks and communists, is even worse.

I'd kek if this happens. Just run Germany into the ground already.

>yet we know how to play the niggers
>and you guys get raped by yours

You FOOLS! This cannot be stopped! Kek wills it!

>keeping anyone in check
>have riots since election two weeks ago
>have a minority which commits more than half of all murders and violent crimes

Lel, this American delusion. That's why noone takes you serious ;^)

there is no majority in france

Abstention rate easily reach at least 50% since before flamby

>;^)
You don't get to call the shots on taking people seriously if you use this faggot smiley.

yeah they stand no chance

better not waste your vote goy

>;^)

>An afd vote is likely a vote for communist cuck coalition

yes goy just vote for the candidate who will drive you off a cliff at a comfortable 40 miles per hour instead of racing towards it at 80 mph that will surely save you

Yes anyone can be memed into presidency

>Le pen has a very small chance of winning.
Yes, like Brexit and Trump.
Now. Fuck off while we make France great again.

that's the spirit

Even in a two way race the afd wouldnt win shit against Merkel

I agree Le Pen will probably lose in the second round. I also agree that Petry will not be chancelor, because nobody will ever do a coalition with her and the chances of AfD getting over 50% are zero. However I don't think Merkel has it in her back. The Trump election was a very, very clear wake-up call to the Leftists. The Populists are only so strong because there is no real socialist/socialdemocratic party in the West anymore. I hope the Left has finally heard the very loud wake-up call and starts finding their core voters again. This also means giving up on the mass immigration mean which is inherently un-socialistic. A SPD that finally finds it balls would dethrone Mama Merkel quicker than she can say "alternativlos".

you sound pretty anxious

your lack of faith is disturbing

We are a real democracy amerifat, Petry would need >50% of the vote to become chancelor, there are no loopholes in the system orange Reality-Tv-stars can misuse to cheat their way to presidency.

This non-argument again.
Has been posted in this thread only 20 times already. Funnily only by beady eyed anglos and stoopid Americans.
You don't know anything about continental Europe, don't pretend you do. Stay on your side of your respective body of water and let the adults talk please.

Your lack of intelligence is disturbing, young fatawan.

> real democracy amerifat

That's why the establishment parties like CDU will always form a coalition with other cuck parties to stop changes from happening.

>moron denying kek
BTFO to Tumblr!

The left wing is a lost cause. Its core ideology imploded with the soviet union, their core voters got disgruntled by deindustrialization and what is left is a bunch of opportunists. I don't think there's really hope for them other than pander to minorities who want gibs and below 25 year olds.

(you) ;^)

I will screenshot all of these delusional posts and make them into a collage i will post in every thread on this board next fall, wenn Merkel gets her fourth turn or better even when SPD-Greens-Linke destroy this country because you wasted your vote for a meme.

as long as they have together more than 50% of the vote, sure.

> real democracy
Lel.

quit being such a downer you fucking low test beta

>being an autistic fat neet

Back to >>>/deutsch/

>The Trump election was a very, very clear wake-up call to the Leftists.

It really isn't.

I deal with Leftists in my university and various political organisations.

When they see Brexit/Trump/etc, they don't think "Maybe these guys on the Right, or in the working classes, have a point."

They think, "We'd better fucking double-down on the politically correct, multiculti mantra ASAP. More tolerance, more diversity, keep going forward."

Not even Merkel or Hitler had that much, it's impossible to get.

So much for our ((democracy)) with banned referendums.

The Rentensystem would be A HUGE talking point were the SPD should for once drop the neoliberal mantra and instead do what their people want. With Rente alone they could ride on a wave to chancelorship alone. But of course they are going to tell the voters Rente is too expensive, Germany can not afford spending two billions on Renters - and at the same time give dozens of billions to broke banks and european nations. They really need to drop this bullshit.

And that is why they've begun losing the culture war

Yeah, because its a multi-party-system. Thats the point. "Accidents" like Trump and Brexit cant happen as easily. There has to be actual democratic consensus, and not some guys stealing an election because it was raining.

>coalitions
>democracy
Pick one and only one.

>there are no loopholes in the system orange Reality-Tv-stars can misuse to cheat their way to presidency.

Topkek what am I reading? The electoral college has existed in America since day one, so it's not a loophole, it's the fucking system.