By 2023, used car prices will crash as people give up their vehicles...

>By 2023, used car prices will crash as people give up their vehicles. New car sales for individuals will drop to nearly zero.
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try again

one paragraph in and I can already tell it's an out of touch scientist.

It assumes autonomous vehicle.

>in 10 years we'll all be driving electric cars! oil will be obsolete.
That's what they said 10 years ago. And the 10 years before that.
At the rate we're going everyone will have self-driving cars before electric cars are universal.

My car will be 23 years by then and still will be under 75000 kilometers.

Fucking 2000 Nii-san's are indestructable!

it assumes much more than that

said the anxious treehugger for the 100th time.
They can take my gasoline hungry car out of my dead cold hands.

>Indestructible
>Barely gets driven

...

I'd cream if that was true

peak oil any day now

On the contrary. Car will be very rare and expensive, like horses today.
Owners will share them on platforms like airbnb to cover lease (it's already happening with electric Lexuses and BMWs)
And do not forget insurance. No doubt insurance for human driving vehicle will cost fuckload of shekels.

>and I can already tell it's an out of touch scientist.
Its some gender studies garbage, not a scientist.

>On the contrary. Car will be very rare and expensive, like horses today.
I'd bet my life that that won't happen in the next six years.

Sounds more like stupid hippies paying for more than they can afford.

I'm pretty sure it won't happen in 15 years

Me too

> (You)
>Sounds more like stupid hippies paying stupid yuppies

My work comute is from 300 meters to 3km, of course it barely gets driven.

sounds like you wasted 17 years of your life
unless you have a second car you use for fun stuff

>I only drive to work and back

Not going to happen unless there's a breakthough in battery technology. My commute is the range of most electric cars.

No, more likely by 2020 the subprime auto loan market crashes (killing new car sales and fucking up Tesla) while by 2024 Congress allows highways to be tolled, causing a massive shift back to railroads.

People are changing modes, not just vehicles.

We use oil for more than cars tardo.
Plastic (used in EVERYTHING) is made with oil.

He's not wrong, he just has the timeline a bit compacted.
Share economies will happen (are happening already), EVs will happen (are happening with luxury cars like Tesla, Audi e-tron, BMW i series, McLaren P1 and medium price cars like Toyotas), we just won't be full electric and shared in 6 years...

>back to railroads
As long as it's not to backroads I'm alright with it

Where am I supposed to drive? I buy everything but furniture online, grocery store is near my house.
I don't even know why I need a car.

>Where am I supposed to drive?
Why do you need a destination?

This stuff always seems to be written by urbanites who live in a city and have no idea why anyone would want to own a car, and 90% of their experiences in a car is a taxi or uber.

Because I need a goal.

All of my this

Cool. I just need to keep one of my cars running for another 5 years.

The goal is to enjoy yourself, you accomplish it by going for a drive.

>I asked my interviewer what Kodak thought of the rise of digital; she replied it was not a concern, that film would be around for decades. I looked at her like she was nuts. But she wasn’t nuts, she was just deep in the Kodak culture, a world where film had always been dominant, and always would be.
Sounds a lot like Microsoft and phones, even though just like their tablet PC concepts and the iPad, they were technically first to the jump with a "pocket" PC. Except in their case, Microsoft under Ballmer thought desktops and laptops would be around and the #1 choice for a majority of people for quite some time. Sadly, it's not the #1 choice for most anymore.

I've got to go pretty far out go somewhere where I haven't beeny seems like wasted gas.

Why do you need to go somewhere you haven't been? And even if you do, it's anything but a waste, it's an experience.

>the subprime auto loan market crashes
Wait, are they trying to do the same thing that happened with houses?

Sounds like wasted gas, there's nothing fun in driving to places that you know well.

Sounds like you're broken

Well that was very interesting, truly nothing is certain in this world, there are some interesting examples given, and to his point one could add 2 things.
1) The Oil under-use experienced in these last years that has even led beside a lower price to having the damn thing sitting in storages.
2) Glass batteries, if the thing works and is commercialized, it would do wonders to electric cars, given their weakness always comes down to the lifetime of the battery.

>x new battery chemistry
almost always fake and gay
Even if the results aren't fabricated, they are almost never feasible to manufacture at high production volumes.

The best chances we have are modifications to existing battery chemistries.

Plastic from plants is a thing now, and is getting pretty cheap

There's no other way than down.

I broke your ass.

youtube.com/watch?v=dc8Jp3XZtCQ
see this

Sharing a car is disgusting. Ppl will always wanna driver their own private space.

kek, maybe you should drive the trailer you live in somewhere else, like a camping park on weekends.

Given that individual ownership of an automobile is both a recent development in human history and still limited to a minority of humans, what makes you think this is universal?

Car2Go is the most comfy service to move around town, I don't know in what kind of third world country you live but normal people actually have a civic sense.

>
>Given that individual ownership of an automobile is both a recent development in human history and still limited to a minority of humans, what makes you think this is universal?

For men, a car is a very personal thing. Sharing it is like sharing a phone or a toothbrush.

>300 meters
just walk, you fat idiot

>buying new cars

>walk anywhere from half a kilometer to three with 20 pounds of baggage on 38 celsius.

No way .

Aussie?

>tolls
They need to do this yesterday. I'm fucking tired of bumps and potholes. As long as gas taxes change to accommodate this, that is.

Adriatic.

get off your ass and fix it yourself

What a load of bullshit

>here's a shitfuckton of money collected with the express purpose of building and maintaining roads for the improved quality of life and economy of the region
>oh I see that you regularly completely fail to deliver on your promises andn explicit purpose for existing and squander the money on bullshit, here's a fuckload more money that will certainly solve the problem

No. Government (at all levels) needs more operational transparency and accountability to the public and better use of the budget it already swindles out of us, not more fucking blank checks to cash.

Which side?

my 1999 Maxima is at 400,300kms

...

>I get out of the house at 5am in the morning and put my 3KG back pack on containing my laptop, office documents and a meal for the day.
>I get on my bike and ride the 10 miles to the nearest village that has transportation.
>I get on the commuter train that takes me 50 miles into the city that I work in.
>I catch a tube train and change at two stops.
>I arrive at my work destination.
>At the end of the day I do this all over again in reverse hoping my bicycle has not been stolen of vandalized.

I am healthy but fuck me does this suck.

Usually, tolls an the money they make are granted to the company that offers the best bid to maintain the road.

The poorer one.

>The consumer simply has little incentive to care whether or not a vehicle lasts 40 years. By that point the car will have outmoded technology, inefficient operation, and probably a layer of rust. No one wants their car to outlive their marriage.
Is this guy serious?

>he didn't read my post before sperging out

The whole everyone will switch from personal cars to car sharing services ignores a very basic problem: the peak usage issue. Since most people commute to and from work at about the same time, the number of commuter cars needed won't go down by much, meaning renting a car regularly at these times wouldn't be much cheaper than just owning it.

>doing free work for a gubmint that can't into budgets even though they're making more money than ever
Yeah, no.

Where do you live? Hicksville Ohio? At least buy a car

Many millennials don't have nor want driver's licenses. Auto usage should decline soon.

>By 2023, used car prices will crash as people give up their vehicles. New car sales for individuals will drop to nearly zero.

That's simply impossible, considering that "emission credits" - which is the general name used all over the world for governments run scam which consist in subsidizing electric vehicles and "green energy" - is ENTIRELY based on robbing people out of prices they pay for useful commodities like.... used cars.

You stupid fucking moron, who probably live in the US, have people who cannot afford a used car, because they would have to pay extra money to found some rich kid in silicon valley to purchase his (on average) 100k dollar Tesla.

This summer i went to the UK with my car. 1800 km in 1 day. 2 refills. How the fuck would it have been possible with an electric car?

I come back after 1 month, and the other car, left alone in the garage for 4 weeks, still had it's original content of juice and was immediately operational. How can you do that with an electric car?

I disagree in light of ride sharing. Even if the opportunities are but a small fraction, intelligent routing can automate carpooling. There are plenty of private vehicles on the road during peak hours with single occupants as it stands. A small fraction of a huge number is still "much" in my eyes.

You mean those born in the late 90's/early 2000's. Some consider me being born in 1979 puts me in the millennial generation. However everyone my age definitely drives.

You know millenial means everyone born post mid 80’s? Basically anyone born 85-99 has a car.

>by 2023

Are you fucking stupid op?

That's a lie and you know it.
Mass transit is hell of a convenience, when you can read instead of paying attention to a road. The only place that has shit mass transit is the US.

Because of population density.

This is very dependent on where you live.
In some areas a car is invaluable. In most cities however, it tends to be a liability.

I dunno about THE WEST but what I described is the situation in the Balkans, everyone has a car, period, kids are taught by their "zet" and "kum" to drive their Mercedes, VW Golf and BMW's from 9 years of age.

Holy shit, what a fucking retard.

do you live alone user? don't you have a family? don't you go out for picnics?

> Implying Mr. Yehuda Shekelbergstein won't pocket the tolls and call it a day

[[[Scientist]]]

young people are weird. they dont want to own anything.

Picnics? I'd rather go out and splurge on roast lamb on top of Klis.

Picnics, dude what

picnics, enjoying nature with family, seeing the kids play, you haven't ever done that?

Modern cars are literal botnet. Everything proprietary, no control, phones home to manufacturer, tracks mileage and GPS and who knows what else with no option to opt out, etc.

KIDS?!

Housing is a liability, cars can be a liability, stocks are actual assets.

Thank you for signing up for the population control by autonomous electric car program! You will be able to rest in piece know that not only will your obsolete vehicle be recycled, but so will most of your intact organs!
Thank you and have a nice day.

Completely impossible.

Sure, for an European urban population with access to public transport and bikes (which really are cheaper to maintain & easier to park), the final element to not ever buying a car MAY be just renting (/ sharing in a club or cooperative of sorts) autonomously driving cars that can be called on demand.

But that still leaves everyone else. And people who regularly use cars -which will definitely include everyone not in a city- will still have cars.

>still waiting for flying cars.
>no cars.

They just don't want to grow up and take responsibility of their own lives.

I wonder how much is worth a whale like that.

>crude is only good for fuel
> highest volume energy efficiency method is dead

USA =/= Yuropoors
Sharing a car will not happen. It only exists in small tribal units (family or close friend). Americans are independent and the car represents that.

"How dare you not pay interest for 15 years"

Why aren't you cycling with such a small distance?